FinalWin Prob.pScore
755%97
81
1645%95
91
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
89.091110.0
ATL logo ATL
101.19076.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL81
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLBass Dunk (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14ORLMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 275
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)75
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39ATLJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T15)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:09ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26ATLWilliams Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26ATLWilliams Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)70
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)70
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:04ORLRichardson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)70
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 4:22ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 4:34ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 4:34ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 4:43ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 4:44ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 166
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 5:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)66
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 266
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 266
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMagic Rebound66
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMISS Nelson 15' Fadeaway Jumper66
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 5:15ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)66
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 5:38ATLHAWKS Rebound66
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 5:38ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 5:54ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)66
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 6:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 6:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q4 - 6:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)66
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 6:27ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q4 - 6:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 6:32ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Jump Shot66
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q4 - 6:48ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 6:48ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 6:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)64
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 6:55ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot64
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 7:08ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 7:08ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 7:08ORLMagic Rebound62
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 7:08ATLMISS Johnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot62
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 7:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 7:21ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 7:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 7:37ORLMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 7:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 7:45ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Running Layup62
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 7:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 8:00ORLMISS Arenas 3' Driving Layup62
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 8:15ATLWilliams Dunk (7 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)62
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q4 - 8:25ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q4 - 8:28ORLSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)62
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q4 - 8:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q4 - 8:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q4 - 8:58ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P6.T11)62
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q4 - 9:11ATLWilliams 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)62
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q4 - 9:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q4 - 9:15ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper62
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q4 - 9:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)62
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q4 - 9:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
11.0%
71
89.0%
Q4 - 9:49ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)60
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q4 - 9:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q4 - 9:53ATLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup60
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q4 - 10:17ORLRedick Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)60
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q4 - 10:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)60
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q4 - 10:34ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 260
18.9%
68
81.1%
Q4 - 10:34ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 260
17.0%
68
83.0%
Q4 - 10:48ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q4 - 10:48ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
14.9%
68
85.1%
Q4 - 11:00ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)58
13.2%
68
86.8%
Q4 - 11:25ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q4 - 11:27ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
18.3%
66
81.7%
Q4 - 11:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)58
20.6%
66
79.4%
Q4 - 11:34ATLMISS Collins 1' Layup58
19.6%
66
80.4%
Q4 - 11:47ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)58
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q4 - 11:51ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T9)58
20.6%
65
79.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL58
24.3%
65
75.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
25.6%
65
74.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Bibby 12' Jump Shot58
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
22.2%
65
77.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot58
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
22.1%
65
77.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Arenas 3PT Jump Shot58
23.1%
65
76.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)58
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 258
25.0%
65
75.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
22.4%
65
77.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot58
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 1:12ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)58
30.5%
64
69.5%
Q3 - 1:30ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
35.2%
62
64.8%
Q3 - 1:30ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q3 - 1:56ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)56
30.5%
62
69.5%
Q3 - 2:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
40.3%
59
59.7%
Q3 - 2:04ORLMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot56
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 2:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)56
44.8%
59
55.2%
Q3 - 2:24ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot56
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q3 - 2:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
40.3%
59
59.7%
Q3 - 2:42ORLMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot56
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 2:56ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)56
44.8%
59
55.2%
Q3 - 3:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
50.2%
57
49.8%
Q3 - 3:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 256
50.8%
57
49.2%
Q3 - 3:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
53.1%
57
46.9%
Q3 - 3:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)55
50.4%
57
49.6%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMISS Howard 5' Turnaround Hook Shot55
47.1%
57
52.9%
Q3 - 3:39ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
50.3%
57
49.7%
Q3 - 3:51ORLAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)55
54.6%
55
45.4%
Q3 - 4:00ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
59.2%
55
40.8%
Q3 - 4:03ATLMISS Johnson 11' Driving Hook Shot55
57.9%
55
42.1%
Q3 - 4:14ATLHAWKS Rebound55
54.4%
55
45.6%
Q3 - 4:14ATLMISS Smith 13' Fadeaway Jumper55
57.9%
55
42.1%
Q3 - 4:40ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)55
54.4%
55
45.6%
Q3 - 4:48ATLCollins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)53
50.8%
55
49.2%
Q3 - 4:50ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 4:51ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
49.2%
55
50.8%
Q3 - 5:08ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
45.8%
55
54.2%
Q3 - 5:08ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
45.2%
55
54.8%
Q3 - 5:11ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)51
42.1%
55
57.9%
Q3 - 5:38ATLHAWKS Rebound51
37.6%
55
62.4%
Q3 - 5:39ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
39.0%
55
61.0%
Q3 - 5:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)51
42.1%
55
57.9%
Q3 - 5:50ATLMISS Horford 2' Driving Layup51
40.7%
55
59.3%
Q3 - 6:14ORLHoward 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS)51
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q3 - 6:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)49
35.3%
55
64.7%
Q3 - 6:15ORLMISS Richardson 2' Layup49
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q3 - 6:34ATLJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)49
35.2%
55
64.8%
Q3 - 6:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
31.3%
55
68.7%
Q3 - 6:40ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q3 - 6:58ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)49
35.2%
55
64.8%
Q3 - 7:22ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)49
43.0%
52
57.0%
Q3 - 7:30ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
35.8%
52
64.2%
Q3 - 7:31ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q3 - 7:55ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)46
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q3 - 8:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)44
29.7%
52
70.3%
Q3 - 8:09ATLMISS Horford 7' Turnaround Hook Shot44
28.7%
52
71.3%
Q3 - 8:30ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
26.4%
52
73.6%
Q3 - 8:30ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
26.0%
52
74.0%
Q3 - 8:33ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)42
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q3 - 8:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
20.9%
52
79.1%
Q3 - 8:52ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 242
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 8:52ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
23.1%
52
76.9%
Q3 - 8:55ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
21.1%
52
78.9%
Q3 - 9:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q3 - 9:05ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot41
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q3 - 9:17ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)41
21.7%
52
78.3%
Q3 - 9:29ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)41
24.3%
50
75.7%
Q3 - 9:46ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)41
27.1%
50
72.9%
Q3 - 10:07ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)41
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q3 - 10:32ATLJohnson 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)38
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q3 - 10:43ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q3 - 10:45ORLMISS Richardson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot38
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q3 - 11:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
34.2%
45
65.8%
Q3 - 11:03ATLMISS Johnson 11' Floating Jump Shot38
34.2%
45
65.8%
Q3 - 11:23ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T6)38
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q3 - 11:36ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)38
35.1%
45
64.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL38
38.1%
43
61.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound38
38.1%
43
61.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Wilkins 61' 3PT Jump Shot38
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
39.5%
43
60.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot38
40.2%
43
59.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0ORLMagic Rebound38
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Williams 2' Driving Reverse Layup38
41.1%
43
58.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Allen 8' Hook Shot38
40.1%
43
59.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
42.5%
42
57.5%
Q2 - 1:07ORLArenas 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)38
46.4%
41
53.6%
Q2 - 1:19ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
42.3%
41
57.7%
Q2 - 1:20ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 236
42.0%
41
58.0%
Q2 - 1:20ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)36
39.7%
41
60.3%
Q2 - 1:44ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
43.2%
40
56.8%
Q2 - 1:44ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
42.6%
40
57.4%
Q2 - 1:52ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)34
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 1:52ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
40.1%
39
59.9%
Q2 - 2:11ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
43.0%
38
57.0%
Q2 - 2:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)32
40.0%
38
60.0%
Q2 - 2:20ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot32
39.1%
38
60.9%
Q2 - 2:39ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)32
36.9%
38
63.1%
Q2 - 2:52ATLThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
31.2%
38
68.8%
Q2 - 2:52ATLThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
32.2%
37
67.8%
Q2 - 2:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 2:58ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot29
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 3:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)29
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 3:09ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
37.0%
36
63.0%
Q2 - 3:25ATLThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
34.6%
36
65.4%
Q2 - 3:27ORLMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 229
35.0%
36
65.0%
Q2 - 3:27ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
37.0%
36
63.0%
Q2 - 3:36ATLSmith 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)28
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 3:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 3:41ATLMISS Smith 1' Running Layup28
39.8%
34
60.2%
Q2 - 3:56ORLHoward Slam Dunk (9 PTS)28
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 4:15ATLHorford 6' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)26
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 4:40ORLHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)26
38.0%
32
62.0%
Q2 - 4:52ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P1.T7)24
35.4%
32
64.6%
Q2 - 5:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q2 - 5:02ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q2 - 5:29ATLHorford 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)24
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 5:42ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q2 - 5:42ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
38.4%
30
61.6%
Q2 - 5:42ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 5:44ORLMISS Howard 6' Turnaround Hook Shot22
34.1%
30
65.9%
Q2 - 6:01ORLMagic Rebound22
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 6:01ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot22
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 6:19ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 6:19ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
37.5%
29
62.5%
Q2 - 6:22ORLCollins STEAL (1 STL)22
39.0%
28
61.0%
Q2 - 6:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)22
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q2 - 6:31ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot22
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 6:42ATLHAWKS Rebound22
39.0%
28
61.0%
Q2 - 6:43ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot22
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 6:59ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)22
39.0%
28
61.0%
Q2 - 7:18ATLCollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 7:43ORLNelson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)20
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q2 - 7:58ATLCollins 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)18
39.9%
25
60.1%
Q2 - 8:14ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T4)18
43.1%
23
56.9%
Q2 - 8:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)18
45.8%
23
54.2%
Q2 - 8:21ATLMISS Teague 19' Jump Shot18
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q2 - 8:38ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)18
43.1%
23
56.9%
Q2 - 8:53ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T6)18
45.8%
23
54.2%
Q2 - 9:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q2 - 9:10ORLMISS Bass 13' Turnaround Jump Shot18
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q2 - 9:18ORLAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
46.1%
23
53.9%
Q2 - 9:21ATLMISS Smith 11' Driving Jump Shot18
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 9:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q2 - 9:31ORLSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)18
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q2 - 9:50ORLMagic Rebound18
46.1%
23
53.9%
Q2 - 9:50ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 9:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q2 - 9:57ORLMISS Richardson 3' Layup18
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q2 - 10:07ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q2 - 10:08ATLMISS Williams 1' Layup18
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 10:27ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)18
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q2 - 10:40ATLTeague 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)16
41.1%
23
58.9%
Q2 - 11:01ORLTeague STEAL (1 STL)16
43.6%
21
56.4%
Q2 - 11:05ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q2 - 11:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
43.5%
21
56.5%
Q2 - 11:08ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot16
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q2 - 11:09ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q2 - 11:34ORLRedick 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)16
43.5%
21
56.5%
Q2 - 11:49ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q2 - 11:49ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 214
41.9%
20
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL14
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound14
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Teague 40' 3PT Jump Shot14
43.1%
20
56.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLHoward 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)14
41.7%
20
58.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)12
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Redick 4' Jump Shot12
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
37.0%
20
63.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Richardson 20' Fadeaway Jumper12
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Redick Free Throw Technical12
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q1 - 1:03ATLEvans Palming Turnover (P1.T4)12
39.5%
20
60.5%
Q1 - 1:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 1:08ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 112
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 1:12ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 1:17ORLTeague BLOCK (1 BLK)12
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 1:35ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 1:52ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
47.0%
16
53.0%
Q1 - 1:54ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 212
47.3%
16
52.7%
Q1 - 1:54ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 1:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 1:54ORLPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)11
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 2:07ATLHorford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
47.0%
16
53.0%
Q1 - 2:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 2:32ORLMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot11
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 2:46ATLJohnson Palming Turnover (P2.T3)11
51.6%
14
48.4%
Q1 - 2:55ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 2:56ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 3:12ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 3:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
49.7%
14
50.3%
Q1 - 3:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 3:28ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 3:30ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper11
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q1 - 3:54ORLArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)11
49.6%
14
50.4%
Q1 - 4:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 4:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 4:05ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Tip Shot8
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 4:07ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot8
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 4:15ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)8
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 4:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 4:26ORLMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot8
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 4:49ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
47.7%
13
52.3%
Q1 - 5:17ORLRichardson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
49.8%
11
50.2%
Q1 - 5:35ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 5:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 5:39ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 6:01ATLJohnson 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 6:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 6:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot6
50.7%
9
49.3%
Q1 - 6:16ORLMagic Rebound6
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 6:17ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)6
50.7%
9
49.3%
Q1 - 6:35ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)6
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 6:46ATLHAWKS Rebound6
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 6:46ORLMISS Bass 20' Jump Shot6
54.9%
7
45.1%
Q1 - 6:58ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.4%
7
43.6%
Q1 - 7:03ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup6
55.9%
7
44.1%
Q1 - 7:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.3%
7
45.7%
Q1 - 7:13ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Dunk6
55.0%
7
45.0%
Q1 - 7:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
56.5%
7
43.5%
Q1 - 7:21ATLMISS Horford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot6
55.9%
7
44.1%
Q1 - 7:38ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)6
54.3%
7
45.7%
Q1 - 7:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
56.5%
7
43.5%
Q1 - 7:48ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
55.0%
7
45.0%
Q1 - 7:54ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
56.5%
7
43.5%
Q1 - 8:00ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
58.3%
5
41.7%
Q1 - 8:02ATLMISS Smith 6' Turnaround Hook Shot6
60.0%
5
40.0%
Q1 - 8:24ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)6
58.6%
5
41.4%
Q1 - 8:48ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
56.6%
5
43.4%
Q1 - 8:59ATLHAWKS Rebound4
58.6%
3
41.4%
Q1 - 8:59ATLMISS Smith 4' Turnaround Jump Shot4
59.9%
3
40.1%
Q1 - 9:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
58.9%
3
41.1%
Q1 - 9:12ORLMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot4
59.5%
3
40.5%
Q1 - 9:32ATLSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)4
60.7%
3
39.3%
Q1 - 9:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 9:44ORLMISS Richardson 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
64.9%
0
35.1%
Q1 - 9:54ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 9:56ATLMISS Johnson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot4
65.5%
0
34.5%
Q1 - 10:17ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 10:24ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:25ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot2
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 10:40ATLHAWKS Rebound2
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 10:41ORLMISS Bass 2' Reverse Layup2
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 10:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:48ATLMISS Collins 2' Layup2
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 10:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:00ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot2
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 11:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 11:13ATLMISS Smith 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 11:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:20ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 11:43ORLHoward 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)2
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
58.7%
0
41.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.0%
ATL
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
24
54%
ATL
8
21
38%
Midrange
ORL
8
30
27%
ATL
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
ATL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
27
35
77%
ATL
19
29
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1948%9.5 / 20
J. Nelson1869%9.0 / 13
B. Bass1350%6.5 / 13
G. Arenas1036%5.0 / 14
J. Richardson950%4.5 / 9
H. Turkoglu857%4.0 / 7
J. Redick450%2.0 / 4
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 4
M. Allen0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford2467%12.0 / 18
J. Johnson1745%8.5 / 19
M. Bibby1558%7.5 / 13
J. Smith1233%6.0 / 18
M. Williams1267%6.0 / 9
J. Collins563%2.5 / 4
Z. Pachulia225%1.0 / 4
J. Teague233%1.0 / 3
E. Thomas2100%1.0 / 1
M. Evans0-0.0 / 1
D. Wilkins0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+9
-12
88
ATL
75
+18
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.0%
ATL
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
105.9
ORL 89.0 +12.1
ATL 101.1
Pace
91.2
89.5
ORL 110.0 +33.1
ATL 76.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.4
ORL 13.1 +5.6
ATL 18.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.1%
ORL 38.0%
ATL 45.0% +7.0%
TO %
15.7%
14.2%
ORL 12.2% +2.5%
ATL 14.7%
ORB %
26.1%
23.5%
ORL 13.6%
ATL 28.9% +15.3%
FTrt
32.8
26.9
ORL 49.3 +13.0
ATL 36.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
60.7%
ORL 60.0%
ATL 69.7% +9.7%
STL %
7.3%
6.8%
ORL 9.9% +6.6%
ATL 3.3%
BLK %
7.5%
6.6%
ORL 3.2%
ATL 11.1% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.8%
ORL 46.0%
ATL 47.9% +1.9%
Rim FG%
61.7%
60.0%
ORL 54.2% +16.1%
ATL 38.1%
Mid FG%
40.4%
42.5%
ORL 26.7%
ATL 46.3% +19.6%
3P %
36.6%
35.2%
ORL 23.5%
ATL 33.3% +9.8%
FT %
69.2%
78.0%
ORL 77.1% +11.6%
ATL 65.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
30.4%
ORL 33.8% +7.6%
ATL 26.3%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
47.4%
ORL 42.3% +9.0%
ATL 51.2%
3P Att. %
32.8%
22.2%
ORL 23.9% +1.4%
ATL 22.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes19.928.1
Points8191
Rebounds3851
Assists1523
Steals93
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)38 (4)
Field Goals25-7133-80
At-the-Rim FG13-248-21
Midrange FG8-3019-41
2-Point FG21-5427-62
3-Point FG4-176-18
Free Throws27-3519-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
42.1
19
48%
20
1
2
2
6
5
5
15
7-12
58%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
35.1
8
57%
6
3
1
0
0
3
0
6
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
31.1
18
69%
2
3
2
0
2
3
0
2
5-5
100%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
30.8
13
50%
5
1
2
0
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 30
30.6
9
50%
2
3
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
26.7
10
36%
1
3
0
0
2
4
0
1
5-6
83%
1-7
14%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
19.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
13.2
0
0%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
11.0
4
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
F · 6'10" 234 · 23
#33 · F · 6'10" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
46%
38
15
9
2
12
0
6
32
27-35
77%
21-54
39%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.