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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Suns34%99113
6Thunder66%105110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.2
36.7
27.7
30
65%
11
2
0
1
1
2
2
9
12-14
86%
9-16
4-9
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.9
31.8
18.5
20
93%
4
10
0
0
0
5
0
4
4-4
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
2-2
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.7
30.2
18.7
19
87%
4
1
0
0
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
9-10
3-6
90%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
29.4
25.6
2
35%
3
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
29.0
31.1
12
51%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
32.2
28.4
11
70%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.5
28.4
4.8
10
56%
5
1
3
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
1-1
63%
55%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.4
16.9
22.2
7
61%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
5.5
7.4
2
25%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
39%
0-0
-
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.1
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.2
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.9
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.2
42.7
35.3
28
56%
4
4
3
1
1
3
2
2
11-14
79%
7-13
7-13
54%
51%
1-6
17%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
38.8
28.4
11
61%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
3-5
60%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
37.0
36.9
19
63%
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
5-7
71%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
36.5
31.6
19
44%
2
9
1
1
1
3
1
1
9-11
82%
5-16
7-14
31%
48%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
11.4
23.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-7
0%
58%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
29.6
19.5
19
84%
8
1
1
0
1
2
4
4
3-3
100%
8-10
2-3
80%
56%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.3
24.9
24.0
11
79%
7
2
3
1
0
0
2
5
9-9
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
11.5
15.8
1
27%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
7.5
13.9
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
3.5
0
1-1
54%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
3.2
0
0-0
43%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.1
3.2
0
0-1
54%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.