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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks60%9482
27Nets40%9189
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.6
43.2
28.8
19
60%
5
5
1
1
0
5
0
5
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
46%
2-7
29%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.5
41.2
33.4
14
38%
5
6
0
1
0
2
2
3
5-6
83%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
1-6
17%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
39.3
33.7
15
56%
10
4
2
1
1
2
1
9
3-3
100%
6-12
7-12
50%
55%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.5
33.6
33.1
8
44%
4
3
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.0
26.4
35.9
15
60%
10
2
0
2
3
1
3
7
7-8
88%
1-6
6-12
17%
51%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
12.7
9.6
1
27%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
12.5
12.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
12.4
14.0
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.9
8.9
16.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
7.3
15.4
2
35%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.9
2.4
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.2
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.3
36.5
28.9
7
29%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.8
33.6
33.7
22
50%
6
8
1
1
0
4
0
6
6-9
67%
8-15
5-10
53%
48%
0-3
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.7
31.7
30.9
16
44%
6
2
0
1
1
5
2
4
6-7
86%
5-15
6-12
33%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
29.4
8.9
10
63%
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
5-8
1-2
63%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
19.1
29.6
4
40%
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.8
29.4
14.1
10
50%
6
3
3
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.6
21.8
6.2
8
57%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.4
20.2
18.1
3
44%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
15.3
26.9
7
60%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.9
3.0
11.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.6
13.3
0
1-2
41%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
8.7
0
1-3
44%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.