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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Timberwolves19%103113
7Nuggets81%115115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.3
43.1
38.3
43
76%
17
3
0
1
0
2
7
10
10-12
83%
9-18
6-13
50%
46%
5-5
100%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
38.0
33.8
17
42%
5
4
0
1
2
5
0
5
3-5
60%
7-17
8-16
41%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.8
24.1
30.4
3
20%
4
5
2
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.4
22.6
26.3
8
57%
3
3
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
20.7
13.9
4
40%
10
1
0
0
3
1
1
9
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.8
29.9
28.4
9
44%
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
3
5-5
100%
2-5
3-8
40%
43%
0-3
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
28.0
26.6
12
64%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
8-10
80%
2-3
2-6
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.9
23.9
19.9
12
76%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
8.4
2.6
5
83%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
1.4
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.5
5.9
0
1-1
43%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.7
4.3
0
0-1
43%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.0
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
37.9
36.1
17
64%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
2-5
3-6
40%
55%
3-6
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.1
34.8
31.6
23
60%
4
9
3
1
0
0
2
2
6-7
86%
7-14
4-7
50%
56%
1-2
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
34.3
35.4
24
51%
7
4
0
1
3
2
1
6
8-10
80%
8-18
9-17
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.3
24.6
34.1
6
61%
6
2
2
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
6-9
50%
61%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
23.7
16.8
6
60%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.8
31.5
24.1
15
50%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
4-10
40%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
27.6
23.9
18
64%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
6-7
86%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
2-7
29%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.5
13.2
9.5
4
50%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
9.9
11.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.6
2.6
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.2
15.0
1
1-3
46%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.4
2.2
0
0-0
55%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.0
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.