FinalWin Prob.pScore
1244%92
95
1856%94
86
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
111.88582.8
MIL logo MIL
98.98789.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA95
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILBrockman 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILMISS Salmons 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 292
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)92
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTAMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 1:10UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 4' Jump Shot92
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 1:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)92
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 1:17UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 1:40MILIlyasova 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)92
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 1:49UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P2.T10)92
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 2:06UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 2:07MILMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot92
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 2:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 2:20UTAMISS Millsap 14' Jump Shot92
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 2:26UTAJazz Rebound92
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 2:26UTASalmons BLOCK (1 BLK)92
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 2:43UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 2:45MILMISS Salmons 15' Jump Shot92
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 2:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 2:52UTAJennings BLOCK (1 BLK)92
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 3:13UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 3:15MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 1' Layup92
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 3:29UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 3:29UTAJefferson 1' Tip Shot (18 PTS)92
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 3:31UTAMISS Miles 1' Layup90
94.6%
82
5.4%
Q4 - 3:41UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
96.1%
82
3.9%
Q4 - 3:43MILMISS Salmons 9' Jump Shot90
95.6%
82
4.4%
Q4 - 3:59UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
94.5%
82
5.5%
Q4 - 3:59UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
94.2%
82
5.8%
Q4 - 4:04UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
92.4%
82
7.6%
Q4 - 4:06MILMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
91.4%
82
8.6%
Q4 - 4:21UTAMillsap 2' Layup (14 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST)88
89.0%
82
11.0%
Q4 - 4:28MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)86
85.1%
82
14.9%
Q4 - 4:47UTAKirilenko 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)86
79.0%
82
21.0%
Q4 - 5:13MILBogut 1' Dunk (19 PTS)84
69.0%
82
31.0%
Q4 - 5:35UTAKirilenko 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Elson 2 AST)84
75.5%
80
24.5%
Q4 - 5:38MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)82
69.2%
80
30.8%
Q4 - 5:59UTAD. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
61.0%
80
39.0%
Q4 - 6:22MILJennings 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)79
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q4 - 6:34MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
51.8%
78
48.2%
Q4 - 6:35UTAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot79
54.3%
78
45.7%
Q4 - 6:42UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
59.9%
78
40.1%
Q4 - 6:43MILMISS Salmons 8' Jump Shot79
57.5%
78
42.5%
Q4 - 7:04UTAMiles 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
51.2%
78
48.8%
Q4 - 7:06UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
44.8%
78
55.2%
Q4 - 7:08UTAMISS Miles 5' Jump Shot77
39.7%
78
60.3%
Q4 - 7:25MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)77
44.8%
78
55.2%
Q4 - 7:52UTAJefferson 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)77
37.5%
78
62.5%
Q4 - 8:06UTAElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q4 - 8:07UTAMISS Jefferson 13' Hook Shot75
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q4 - 8:14UTAElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q4 - 8:15UTAMISS Jefferson 8' Hook Shot75
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q4 - 8:37MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Gooden 4 AST)75
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q4 - 8:54MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
44.7%
75
55.3%
Q4 - 8:56MILMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
49.2%
75
50.8%
Q4 - 9:12MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
44.8%
75
55.2%
Q4 - 9:13UTAMISS Miles 7' Jump Shot75
46.6%
75
53.4%
Q4 - 9:29MILDooling Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)75
50.7%
75
49.3%
Q4 - 9:35UTAKirilenko Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
56.7%
74
43.3%
Q4 - 9:35UTAKirilenko Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
55.3%
74
44.7%
Q4 - 9:52MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
44.7%
74
55.3%
Q4 - 9:52MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
45.7%
73
54.3%
Q4 - 10:08MILBUCKS Rebound73
50.2%
72
49.8%
Q4 - 10:09UTAMISS Okur 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
52.0%
72
48.0%
Q4 - 10:31MILGooden 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)73
56.0%
72
44.0%
Q4 - 10:51UTAMiles 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)73
61.4%
70
38.6%
Q4 - 11:13MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
55.2%
70
44.8%
Q4 - 11:13MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
56.0%
69
44.0%
Q4 - 11:28UTAGooden STEAL (1 STL)71
60.5%
68
39.5%
Q4 - 11:43UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
65.5%
68
34.5%
Q4 - 11:45MILMISS Salmons 6' Jump Shot71
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL71
60.5%
68
39.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound71
60.5%
68
39.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 8' Jump Shot71
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0UTABell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)71
59.9%
68
40.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
49.3%
68
50.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
50.1%
67
49.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0UTAElson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)68
54.9%
66
45.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILDooling 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)66
49.4%
66
50.6%
Q3 - 1:03UTAJazz Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#8)66
59.1%
63
40.9%
Q3 - 1:10UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
63.4%
63
36.6%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
62.1%
63
37.9%
Q3 - 1:36MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
59.2%
63
40.8%
Q3 - 1:38UTAMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot66
60.5%
63
39.5%
Q3 - 1:54MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)66
63.5%
63
36.5%
Q3 - 2:15MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
70.8%
60
29.2%
Q3 - 2:17UTAMISS Bell 9' Jump Shot66
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 2:37MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)66
74.6%
60
25.4%
Q3 - 2:56UTAD. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)66
71.0%
60
29.0%
Q3 - 3:11MILDooling 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)63
61.9%
60
38.1%
Q3 - 3:32UTAJefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)63
69.8%
57
30.2%
Q3 - 3:44UTAJazz Rebound63
73.6%
57
26.4%
Q3 - 3:44UTABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)63
71.0%
57
29.0%
Q3 - 3:53MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (17 PTS)63
73.7%
57
26.3%
Q3 - 4:22UTAD. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)63
75.8%
55
24.2%
Q3 - 4:31UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
69.5%
55
30.5%
Q3 - 4:32UTAMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
66.3%
55
33.7%
Q3 - 4:49MILBogut 7' Hook Shot (15 PTS)60
69.5%
55
30.5%
Q3 - 5:07MILBUCKS Rebound60
71.2%
53
28.8%
Q3 - 5:08UTAMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot60
72.3%
53
27.7%
Q3 - 5:15UTAElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
74.9%
53
25.1%
Q3 - 5:17UTAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot60
72.4%
53
27.6%
Q3 - 5:45MILSalmons 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
75.0%
53
25.0%
Q3 - 6:12UTAMillsap 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
76.5%
51
23.5%
Q3 - 6:34MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Gooden 3 AST)58
73.8%
51
26.2%
Q3 - 6:50UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
76.6%
49
23.4%
Q3 - 6:50UTAKirilenko 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)58
76.6%
49
23.4%
Q3 - 6:51UTAMISS Kirilenko 6' Jump Shot56
71.4%
49
28.6%
Q3 - 7:09UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
72.3%
49
27.7%
Q3 - 7:10MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot56
71.3%
49
28.7%
Q3 - 7:29UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q3 - 7:29UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 255
68.2%
49
31.8%
Q3 - 7:29UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
69.2%
49
30.8%
Q3 - 7:31UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
66.7%
49
33.3%
Q3 - 7:40UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
69.2%
49
30.8%
Q3 - 7:41MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 21' Jump Shot55
68.1%
49
31.9%
Q3 - 7:56UTAMillsap 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
65.7%
49
34.3%
Q3 - 8:09UTAJazz Rebound53
61.8%
49
38.2%
Q3 - 8:10UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 253
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q3 - 8:10UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
61.0%
49
39.0%
Q3 - 8:15UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
58.2%
49
41.8%
Q3 - 8:17MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 252
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q3 - 8:17MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
55.8%
49
44.2%
Q3 - 8:33UTAJefferson 8' Hook Shot (14 PTS)52
57.9%
48
42.1%
Q3 - 8:47UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
54.4%
48
45.6%
Q3 - 8:49MILMISS Gooden 14' Jump Shot50
53.2%
48
46.8%
Q3 - 9:12UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 9:12UTAD. Williams 1' Layup (10 PTS)50
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 9:13UTAMISS Millsap Layup48
44.0%
48
56.0%
Q3 - 9:18MILJennings Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)48
46.6%
48
53.4%
Q3 - 9:30UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q3 - 9:30UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 247
42.3%
48
57.7%
Q3 - 9:33MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)47
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q3 - 9:47MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q3 - 9:48UTAMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot47
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q3 - 10:06MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)47
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q3 - 10:19MILBUCKS Rebound47
39.4%
48
60.6%
Q3 - 10:19MILMISS Ilyasova 5' Jump Shot47
41.8%
48
58.2%
Q3 - 10:23UTAJennings STEAL (2 STL)47
39.4%
48
60.6%
Q3 - 10:41MILBogut 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)47
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q3 - 10:51UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
46.3%
46
53.7%
Q3 - 10:51UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
45.5%
46
54.5%
Q3 - 11:08MILJennings Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)45
43.0%
46
57.0%
Q3 - 11:13UTASalmons STEAL (1 STL)45
39.5%
46
60.5%
Q3 - 11:22UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
43.0%
46
57.0%
Q3 - 11:24MILMISS Ilyasova 3PT Jump Shot45
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q3 - 11:41UTAJefferson 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)45
39.4%
46
60.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL43
36.4%
46
63.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound43
33.1%
46
66.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Bogut 35' 3PT Jump Shot43
35.4%
46
64.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 243
34.3%
46
65.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 243
36.4%
46
63.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
36.3%
46
63.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0UTAMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot43
34.7%
46
65.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILJennings Backcourt Turnover (P1.T5)43
36.3%
46
63.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
33.9%
46
66.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 242
33.4%
46
66.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
33.3%
46
66.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
32.6%
46
67.4%
Q2 - 1:02UTAMiles 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)42
31.3%
46
68.7%
Q2 - 1:06MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)40
27.9%
46
72.1%
Q2 - 1:29UTAMiles 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)40
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 1:44MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)37
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 2:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 2:04UTAMISS Miles 10' Jump Shot37
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 2:22MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)37
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 2:40UTAD. Williams Layup (6 PTS)37
31.1%
41
68.9%
Q2 - 2:45UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
28.5%
41
71.5%
Q2 - 2:46MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 17' Jump Shot35
27.7%
41
72.3%
Q2 - 3:15UTAMiles 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)35
26.1%
41
73.9%
Q2 - 3:31UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
22.0%
41
78.0%
Q2 - 3:32MILMISS Salmons 12' Jump Shot32
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 3:42MILBUCKS Rebound32
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 3:44UTAMISS Miles 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 4:07UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
22.2%
41
77.8%
Q2 - 4:09MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot32
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 4:22UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
20.0%
41
80.0%
Q2 - 4:22UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 4:34UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 4:35UTAMISS Kirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 4:44UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 4:45MILMISS Gooden 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
17.7%
41
82.3%
Q2 - 4:55MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 4:58UTADooling BLOCK (1 BLK)30
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 5:19MILDouglas-Roberts 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)30
18.7%
41
81.3%
Q2 - 5:39UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)30
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 6:00MILGooden 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)27
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 6:16UTAKirilenko 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)27
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 6:30MILGooden 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)25
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 6:48UTAWatson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)25
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 6:58UTAJazz Rebound23
17.7%
35
82.3%
Q2 - 6:59UTAMISS Okur 13' Jump Shot23
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 7:22UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 7:23MILMISS Maggette 15' Jump Shot23
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 7:35MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 7:37UTAMISS Miles 17' Jump Shot23
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 7:54MILSalmons 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)23
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 8:15UTAElson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)23
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q2 - 8:23UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.3%
32
79.7%
Q2 - 8:24MILMISS Maggette 13' Jump Shot21
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 8:33MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 8:34UTAMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot21
19.1%
32
80.9%
Q2 - 9:01MILDooling 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
20.7%
32
79.3%
Q2 - 9:17MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q2 - 9:18UTAMISS Okur 8' Hook Shot21
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 9:35MILMaggette Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)21
24.3%
30
75.7%
Q2 - 9:49UTAElson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)21
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q2 - 10:08UTAJazz Rebound21
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q2 - 10:08MILMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Layup21
24.0%
30
76.0%
Q2 - 10:16MILBUCKS Rebound21
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q2 - 10:16MILMISS Salmons 3' Jump Shot21
24.0%
30
76.0%
Q2 - 10:25MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q2 - 10:26UTAMISS Okur 7' Jump Shot21
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q2 - 10:47MILGooden 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)21
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q2 - 10:51MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
26.3%
28
73.7%
Q2 - 10:53MILMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot21
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q2 - 11:01MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 11:06MILMISS Maggette 1' Layup21
28.1%
28
71.9%
Q2 - 11:10UTAMaggette STEAL (1 STL)21
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 11:31MILDooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
28.7%
28
71.3%
Q2 - 11:45UTAMiles 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
32.9%
25
67.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL19
30.8%
25
69.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound19
28.6%
25
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Jennings 42' 3PT Jump Shot19
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAOkur 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)19
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
23.4%
25
76.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0UTAMISS Millsap 3' Jump Shot16
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILGooden 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)16
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0UTAMillsap 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)16
27.1%
23
72.9%
Q1 - 1:10MILGooden 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)14
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 1:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 1:21UTAMISS Miles 7' Jump Shot14
28.0%
21
72.0%
Q1 - 1:32UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 1:33MILMISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot14
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 1:49UTAMillsap 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)14
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 2:09MILDooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)12
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 2:20MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.8%
19
72.2%
Q1 - 2:21UTAMISS D. Williams 16' Jump Shot12
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 2:37MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
29.5%
19
70.5%
Q1 - 2:37MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 212
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 2:53MILBUCKS Rebound12
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 2:54UTAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 212
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q1 - 2:54UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 3:08UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q1 - 3:09MILMISS Salmons 15' Jump Shot11
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 3:31UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 3:37UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 3:38MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot8
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 4:07UTAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)8
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 4:18UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 4:19UTAMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 4:38UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 4:39MILMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot6
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 4:57MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 4:58UTAMISS D. Williams 5' Jump Shot6
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 5:18UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 5:20MILMISS Bogut 10' Hook Shot6
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 5:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 5:42UTAMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot6
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 5:54MILBogut 10' Hook Shot (5 PTS)6
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 6:12UTAD. Williams 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)6
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 6:30MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 6:30MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
22.5%
15
77.5%
Q1 - 6:40MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 6:41UTAMISS Bell 14' Jump Shot4
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 6:56MILDouglas-Roberts 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)4
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 7:02MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 7:04UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 7:04UTAMISS Kirilenko 1' Layup4
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 7:06UTAMISS Millsap 1' Layup4
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 7:11MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 7:23MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 7:24UTAMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot4
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 7:44MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 7:44MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 7:48UTAJennings STEAL (1 STL)4
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 8:09MILJennings 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 8:27MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 8:28UTAMISS D. Williams 9' Jump Shot4
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 8:40MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)4
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 8:57UTAD. Williams 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)4
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 9:00UTAJazz Rebound2
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 9:00UTADouglas-Roberts BLOCK (1 BLK)2
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 9:14UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 9:15MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 9:23MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 9:25UTAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot2
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 9:33UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 9:34MILMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot2
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 9:49UTAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)2
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 9:57UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 9:58MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 20
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 9:58MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
31.9%
6
68.1%
Q1 - 10:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
33.4%
5
66.6%
Q1 - 10:17UTAMISS Millsap 15' Jump Shot0
34.0%
5
66.0%
Q1 - 10:30UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
5
64.7%
Q1 - 10:34MILMISS Bogut 1' Layup0
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 10:39UTABogut STEAL (1 STL)0
33.4%
5
66.6%
Q1 - 10:51MILSalmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)0
35.3%
5
64.7%
Q1 - 10:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 11:00UTAMISS D. Williams 7' Jump Shot0
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 11:07UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 11:08MILMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 11:29MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 11:30UTAMISS Millsap 7' Jump Shot0
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 11:47MILJennings 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Jefferson: Tip to Salmons0
41.9%
0
58.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.99 49.5%
MIL
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
12
23
52%
MIL
9
16
56%
Midrange
UTA
16
45
36%
MIL
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
MIL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
UTA
18
26
69%
MIL
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams2258%11.0 / 19
A. Jefferson1853%9.0 / 17
C. Miles1647%8.0 / 17
P. Millsap1554%7.5 / 14
A. Kirilenko1267%6.0 / 9
F. Elson440%2.0 / 5
R. Bell321%1.5 / 7
M. Okur330%1.5 / 5
E. Watson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut1959%9.5 / 16
J. Salmons1853%9.0 / 17
K. Dooling14100%7.0 / 7
C. Douglas-Roberts1354%6.5 / 12
D. Gooden1275%6.0 / 8
B. Jennings643%3.0 / 7
E. Ilyasova220%1.0 / 5
J. Brockman2100%1.0 / 1
L. Mbah a Moute0-0.0 / 1
C. Maggette0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
76
+19
-9
95
MIL
75
+8
-12
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.99 49.5%
MIL
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.2
101.9
UTA 111.8
MIL 98.9 +12.9
Pace
91.0
89.6
UTA 82.8
MIL 89.4 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.6
UTA 17.4
MIL 16.1 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
46.7%
UTA 46.4%
MIL 50.0% +3.6%
TO %
14.8%
13.9%
UTA 9.6% +4.5%
MIL 14.1%
ORB %
26.9%
24.8%
UTA 33.3% +24.7%
MIL 8.6%
FTrt
31.3
28.7
UTA 31.3 +5.9
MIL 25.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
54.9%
UTA 71.4% +5.8%
MIL 65.6%
STL %
8.3%
8.3%
UTA 9.4% +2.5%
MIL 6.9%
BLK %
9.9%
7.9%
UTA 13.2% +5.8%
MIL 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
49.5%
UTA 49.5%
MIL 51.8% +2.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
53.9%
UTA 52.2%
MIL 56.3% +4.1%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.0%
UTA 35.6%
MIL 43.2% +7.6%
3P %
34.6%
34.2%
UTA 46.7% +7.8%
MIL 38.9%
FT %
77.1%
75.7%
UTA 69.2%
MIL 83.3% +14.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
33.9%
UTA 27.7% +5.2%
MIL 22.5%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
44.5%
UTA 54.2%
MIL 52.1% +2.1%
3P Att. %
19.1%
21.6%
UTA 18.1%
MIL 25.4% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsUTAMIL
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points9586
Rebounds4631
Assists2521
Steals86
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)3 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)28 (4)
Field Goals35-8332-71
At-the-Rim FG12-239-16
Midrange FG16-4516-37
2-Point FG28-6825-53
3-Point FG7-157-18
Free Throws18-2615-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
38.4
22
58%
2
11
0
0
2
2
1
1
5-8
63%
4-12
33%
3-3
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
37.5
12
67%
9
4
1
1
0
0
4
5
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 280 · 26
33.9
18
53%
9
2
1
2
2
3
3
6
4-5
80%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 246 · 26
29.0
15
54%
9
1
4
2
2
5
1
8
3-5
60%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 34
24.0
3
21%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
29.5
16
47%
7
2
1
0
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
2-5
40%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35
16.4
4
40%
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 32
13.3
3
30%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 199 · 32
12.2
2
100%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 280 · 24
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 200 · 23
#20 · F · 6'8" 226 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
46
25
8
7
9
0
14
32
18-26
69%
28-68
41%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.