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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Jazz44%9295
18Bucks56%9486
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
38.4
34.4
22
59%
2
11
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-8
63%
4-12
5-10
33%
50%
3-3
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
37.5
30.6
12
62%
9
4
1
1
1
0
4
5
4-6
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.0
33.9
30.9
18
52%
9
2
1
1
2
2
3
6
4-5
80%
7-15
6-12
47%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.9
29.0
31.1
15
53%
9
1
4
1
2
2
1
8
3-5
60%
6-12
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.2
24.0
18.9
3
21%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
29.5
21.9
16
47%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
2-5
40%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.8
16.4
11.8
4
40%
4
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
13.3
16.9
3
30%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.5
12.2
16.4
2
100%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.5
5.0
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.0
0.8
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.2
7.7
0
1-2
47%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.0
45.1
34.0
18
54%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-9
4-9
11%
47%
4-6
67%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
36.9
29.4
13
54%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
7-7
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
35.1
36.8
19
61%
9
2
1
1
1
4
0
9
3-6
50%
8-12
7-13
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.2
29.6
38.5
6
43%
3
4
2
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
5-12
75%
42%
0-3
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
17.0
27.9
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
29.1
19.5
12
75%
7
4
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
6-7
4-7
86%
48%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.6
26.3
25.5
14
94%
2
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
3-4
75%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
12.7
20.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
7.7
8.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.7
0.5
1.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
55%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.1
9.1
0
1-3
49%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.5
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.3
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 34.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.