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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat85%10295
30Wizards15%8894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
40.5
36.5
32
66%
7
6
1
1
0
4
1
6
11-12
92%
6-12
8-14
50%
55%
3-7
43%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
39.9
37.3
20
46%
6
2
1
2
2
3
1
5
4-6
67%
5-14
8-15
36%
53%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
36.0
35.7
20
69%
9
2
1
1
0
7
1
8
7-10
70%
5-9
8-15
56%
52%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.4
19.0
19.8
2
20%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
15.7
16.3
4
67%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
29.0
25.9
8
57%
6
4
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
23.3
16.9
1
27%
2
0
0
0
4
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.2
16.0
19.8
2
35%
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
12.1
12.8
4
50%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
8.5
10.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
58%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
0.1
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.8
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.0
47.9
31.2
13
35%
6
12
2
1
0
5
0
6
5-6
83%
4-12
3-6
33%
45%
0-4
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
45.6
30.7
30
63%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
11-21
4-9
52%
46%
2-2
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
40.3
36.4
20
42%
12
3
4
1
1
2
3
9
4-6
67%
8-21
7-15
38%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
26.9
24.7
5
32%
10
0
0
1
4
2
2
8
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.0
26.4
29.4
10
56%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
21.9
19.3
13
56%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-6
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
44%
0-2
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.1
20.8
13.2
1
27%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
7.7
26.4
2
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
1.9
8.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.6
0.6
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.0
10.1
0
1-3
44%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.9
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.