FinalWin Prob.pScore
185%102
95
3015%88
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.99898.5
WAS logo WAS
97.99696.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 0:01.0WASMISS Hinrich 4' Jump Shot95
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)95
70.1%
94
29.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)94
64.6%
94
35.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0WASHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
53.2%
94
46.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0WASMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 293
57.7%
93
42.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)93
47.5%
93
52.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
44.7%
93
55.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0WASYoung Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)91
30.4%
93
69.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIABosh Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)91
11.4%
93
88.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 390
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)90
20.3%
93
79.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0WASHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
5.9%
93
94.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0WASMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 289
7.0%
92
93.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0WASHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 289
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)89
18.6%
91
81.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0WASHoward 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 12 AST)86
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
17.3%
89
82.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
20.9%
89
79.1%
Q4 - 1:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
35.5%
89
64.5%
Q4 - 1:14WASMISS Blatche 20' Jump Shot86
31.3%
89
68.7%
Q4 - 1:38MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (32 PTS)86
27.1%
89
72.9%
Q4 - 1:39WASHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)84
19.0%
89
81.0%
Q4 - 1:55WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
12.8%
89
87.2%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 284
13.6%
89
86.4%
Q4 - 1:56MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
17.5%
89
82.5%
Q4 - 2:15WASBlatche 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Young 1 AST)83
13.8%
89
86.2%
Q4 - 2:32WASHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
17.8%
87
82.2%
Q4 - 2:33WASMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot83
26.1%
87
73.9%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)83
23.6%
87
76.4%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)82
22.0%
87
78.0%
Q4 - 3:01WASYoung 21' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Hinrich 11 AST)81
17.6%
87
82.4%
Q4 - 3:08WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
22.7%
85
77.3%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
25.9%
85
74.1%
Q4 - 3:32WASHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)81
42.5%
85
57.5%
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
32.2%
85
67.8%
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
30.9%
85
69.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
24.7%
85
75.3%
Q4 - 3:53WASMISS Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 279
23.6%
85
76.4%
Q4 - 3:53WASArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
20.6%
85
79.4%
Q4 - 4:12MIABosh 3' Putback Layup (13 PTS)79
23.6%
84
76.4%
Q4 - 4:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
17.8%
84
82.2%
Q4 - 4:15MIABlatche BLOCK (1 BLK)77
13.9%
84
86.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
17.7%
84
82.3%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup77
13.9%
84
86.1%
Q4 - 4:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 4:28WASMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
15.8%
84
84.2%
Q4 - 4:45MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T17)77
12.1%
84
87.9%
Q4 - 4:52WASBlatche Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)77
17.3%
84
82.7%
Q4 - 5:10WASWIZARDS Rebound77
18.0%
84
82.0%
Q4 - 5:10MIAArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)77
19.6%
84
80.4%
Q4 - 5:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
23.7%
84
76.3%
Q4 - 5:19WASMISS Young 6' Jump Shot77
21.8%
84
78.2%
Q4 - 5:37WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 277
18.4%
84
81.7%
Q4 - 5:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
22.1%
84
77.9%
Q4 - 5:51WASThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
17.9%
84
82.1%
Q4 - 5:51WASThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
19.0%
83
81.0%
Q4 - 5:55WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
23.0%
82
77.0%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot76
25.0%
82
75.0%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
37.3%
82
62.7%
Q4 - 6:06WASMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot76
35.0%
82
65.0%
Q4 - 6:20MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)76
29.8%
82
70.2%
Q4 - 6:33WASBlatche Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)74
24.1%
82
75.9%
Q4 - 6:54WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
18.5%
82
81.5%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
20.0%
82
80.0%
Q4 - 7:23WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Hinrich 10 AST)74
29.6%
82
70.4%
Q4 - 7:40WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
35.0%
80
65.0%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot74
37.2%
80
62.8%
Q4 - 7:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
42.1%
80
57.9%
Q4 - 7:58WASMISS Blatche 19' Jump Shot74
39.9%
80
60.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)74
39.9%
80
60.1%
Q4 - 8:23WASThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)74
46.0%
80
54.0%
Q4 - 8:32MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)74
39.8%
80
60.2%
Q4 - 8:46WASHinrich Foul Turnover (P3.T7)74
45.9%
80
54.1%
Q4 - 9:14MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)74
43.2%
80
56.8%
Q4 - 9:36WASBlatche 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hinrich 9 AST)72
37.2%
80
62.8%
Q4 - 9:59WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
43.0%
78
57.0%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
44.7%
78
55.3%
Q4 - 10:23WASHoward 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
51.2%
78
48.8%
Q4 - 10:44WASWIZARDS Rebound72
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
58.5%
76
41.5%
Q4 - 10:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
62.3%
76
37.7%
Q4 - 10:55WASMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot72
60.6%
76
39.4%
Q4 - 11:11MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T14)72
58.4%
76
41.6%
Q4 - 11:15MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
63.5%
76
36.5%
Q4 - 11:16WASMISS Howard 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
62.0%
76
38.0%
Q4 - 11:23WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
58.4%
76
41.6%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot72
60.0%
76
40.0%
Q4 - 11:43WASYoung 1' Layup (26 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)72
63.4%
76
36.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
68.3%
74
31.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0WASBlatche 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)72
73.3%
74
26.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASWIZARDS Rebound72
77.5%
72
22.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASMISS Blatche 21' Jump Shot72
79.6%
72
20.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)72
77.4%
72
22.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)71
76.7%
72
23.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
73.3%
72
26.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0WASMISS Hinrich 9' Jump Shot70
72.1%
72
27.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)70
69.4%
72
30.6%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
65.7%
72
34.3%
Q3 - 1:11WASMISS Young 19' Jump Shot68
64.5%
72
35.5%
Q3 - 1:29MIAJames 1' Dunk (24 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)68
61.5%
72
38.5%
Q3 - 1:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
56.3%
72
43.7%
Q3 - 1:35WASMISS McGee 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
54.9%
72
45.1%
Q3 - 1:42WASWIZARDS Rebound66
51.8%
72
48.2%
Q3 - 1:43WASMISS Booker 3' Layup66
54.9%
72
45.1%
Q3 - 2:00WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
51.8%
72
48.2%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
55.3%
72
44.7%
Q3 - 2:10MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
58.4%
72
41.6%
Q3 - 2:11WASMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot66
57.0%
72
43.0%
Q3 - 2:24MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)66
53.8%
72
46.2%
Q3 - 2:29MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
58.3%
72
41.7%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot66
55.1%
72
44.9%
Q3 - 2:56WASHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
58.2%
72
41.8%
Q3 - 2:56WASHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
59.0%
71
41.0%
Q3 - 3:12MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 6 AST)66
65.1%
70
34.9%
Q3 - 3:28WASHoward 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)63
56.7%
70
43.3%
Q3 - 3:33WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
60.8%
68
39.2%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot63
62.2%
68
37.8%
Q3 - 3:55WASYoung 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)63
65.1%
68
34.9%
Q3 - 4:00WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
68.9%
66
31.1%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMcGee BLOCK (4 BLK)63
70.7%
66
29.3%
Q3 - 4:18WASHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)63
73.6%
66
26.4%
Q3 - 4:28MIAYoung STEAL (1 STL)63
69.4%
66
30.6%
Q3 - 4:47WASYoung 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
73.6%
66
26.4%
Q3 - 5:07WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 5:10WASMISS Thornton 2' Layup63
78.8%
64
21.2%
Q3 - 5:12WASThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 5:13WASMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
78.8%
64
21.2%
Q3 - 5:17WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 5:18WASMISS Thornton 20' Jump Shot63
78.8%
64
21.2%
Q3 - 5:35MIAJames 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)63
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 5:41MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
73.7%
64
26.3%
Q3 - 5:42WASMISS Blatche 20' Jump Shot61
72.6%
64
27.4%
Q3 - 6:03WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
71.6%
64
28.4%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot61
72.6%
64
27.4%
Q3 - 6:21WASThornton 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blatche 3 AST)61
74.9%
64
25.1%
Q3 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
77.5%
62
22.5%
Q3 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
77.0%
62
23.0%
Q3 - 6:50MIAHeat Rebound59
74.8%
62
25.2%
Q3 - 6:52WASMISS Blatche 7' Jump Shot59
73.8%
62
26.2%
Q3 - 7:06MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
72.3%
62
27.7%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 258
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q3 - 7:27WASBlatche 2' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)58
72.4%
62
27.6%
Q3 - 7:37WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
75.2%
60
24.8%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
76.2%
60
23.8%
Q3 - 7:49WASYoung 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Thornton 5 AST)58
78.1%
60
21.9%
Q3 - 8:10MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)58
83.1%
57
16.9%
Q3 - 8:28WASBlatche 1' Driving Dunk (12 PTS)55
78.5%
57
21.5%
Q3 - 8:32MIABlatche STEAL (4 STL)55
80.8%
55
19.2%
Q3 - 8:41WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
83.2%
55
16.8%
Q3 - 8:41WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
83.5%
54
16.5%
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
85.0%
53
15.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAHeat Rebound52
81.3%
53
18.7%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMcGee BLOCK (3 BLK)52
79.6%
53
20.4%
Q3 - 9:15MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
81.3%
53
18.7%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
79.6%
53
20.4%
Q3 - 9:34WASMcGee 2' Slam Dunk (5 PTS)52
81.2%
53
18.8%
Q3 - 9:36WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
83.3%
51
16.7%
Q3 - 9:37WASMISS Young 1' Layup52
84.8%
51
15.2%
Q3 - 9:48WASThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
83.3%
51
16.7%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot52
84.0%
51
16.0%
Q3 - 10:07WASThornton 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)52
85.8%
51
14.2%
Q3 - 10:16WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
87.4%
49
12.6%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot52
87.9%
49
12.1%
Q3 - 10:34WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
88.9%
49
11.1%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)52
90.2%
47
9.8%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
88.9%
47
11.1%
Q3 - 10:58WASMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot50
88.4%
47
11.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
87.6%
47
12.4%
Q3 - 11:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
87.3%
47
12.7%
Q3 - 11:18MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
86.1%
47
13.9%
Q3 - 11:20WASMISS McGee 3' Layup48
85.6%
47
14.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)48
84.3%
47
15.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
82.5%
47
17.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
82.5%
47
17.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASMISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot46
82.1%
47
17.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
81.0%
47
19.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 246
82.3%
47
17.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
81.0%
47
19.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
82.9%
46
17.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
82.5%
46
17.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0WASMISS Blatche 8' Jump Shot44
80.0%
46
20.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIABlatche STEAL (3 STL)44
78.8%
46
21.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 244
80.3%
46
19.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
78.9%
46
21.1%
Q2 - 1:14WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
81.5%
45
18.5%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup44
81.9%
45
18.1%
Q2 - 1:30MIAHeat Rebound44
82.8%
45
17.2%
Q2 - 1:31WASMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot44
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q2 - 1:46WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
81.4%
45
18.6%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot44
81.9%
45
18.1%
Q2 - 2:15WASBlatche 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)44
83.3%
45
16.7%
Q2 - 2:33MIAJames Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)44
85.0%
43
15.0%
Q2 - 2:38WASHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
83.3%
43
16.7%
Q2 - 2:41WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
81.4%
43
18.6%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Howard 1' Layup42
82.0%
43
18.0%
Q2 - 2:45MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
83.3%
43
16.7%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot42
82.0%
43
18.0%
Q2 - 2:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
83.3%
43
16.7%
Q2 - 2:59WASMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
82.7%
43
17.3%
Q2 - 3:14MIAHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)42
82.0%
43
18.0%
Q2 - 3:37MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q2 - 3:38WASMISS Young 5' Jump Shot40
79.7%
43
20.3%
Q2 - 3:49WASWIZARDS Rebound40
78.0%
43
22.0%
Q2 - 3:49WASMISS Blatche 7' Jump Shot40
79.7%
43
20.3%
Q2 - 4:05MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)40
78.6%
43
21.4%
Q2 - 4:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
74.5%
43
25.5%
Q2 - 4:13WASMISS Blatche 14' Jump Shot37
73.7%
43
26.3%
Q2 - 4:42MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS)37
71.8%
43
28.2%
Q2 - 4:53WASHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)35
69.6%
43
30.4%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)35
75.2%
40
24.8%
Q2 - 5:19WASThornton 8' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)35
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q2 - 5:36WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
79.3%
38
20.7%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
79.5%
38
20.5%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 235
80.8%
38
19.2%
Q2 - 5:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
81.1%
38
18.9%
Q2 - 5:38WASMISS Armstrong 5' Jump Shot35
80.6%
38
19.4%
Q2 - 5:41WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
79.3%
38
20.7%
Q2 - 5:42WASMISS Young 13' Jump Shot35
80.6%
38
19.4%
Q2 - 6:09MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)35
79.2%
38
20.8%
Q2 - 6:21WASBlatche 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)33
77.6%
38
22.4%
Q2 - 6:39MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)33
79.3%
36
20.7%
Q2 - 6:55WASHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)31
77.6%
36
22.4%
Q2 - 7:03MIAWade 3' Layup (7 PTS)31
76.3%
36
23.7%
Q2 - 7:17WASBooker 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
74.3%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 7:20WASBooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
76.2%
34
23.8%
Q2 - 7:22WASMISS Young 13' Jump Shot29
77.7%
34
22.3%
Q2 - 7:26MIABooker STEAL (1 STL)29
76.2%
34
23.8%
Q2 - 7:50WASHoward 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)29
78.3%
34
21.7%
Q2 - 8:10MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
80.6%
32
19.4%
Q2 - 8:34WASBooker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
77.0%
32
23.0%
Q2 - 8:37WASBooker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
75.0%
32
25.0%
Q2 - 8:38WASMISS Young 18' Jump Shot26
76.4%
32
23.6%
Q2 - 8:56WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
75.0%
32
25.0%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot26
75.6%
32
24.4%
Q2 - 9:20WASHinrich 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
77.5%
32
22.5%
Q2 - 9:39MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
79.2%
30
20.8%
Q2 - 10:08WASHoward 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
75.6%
30
24.4%
Q2 - 10:26MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
77.2%
28
22.8%
Q2 - 10:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
75.6%
28
24.4%
Q2 - 10:36WASMISS Young 9' Jump Shot21
74.9%
28
25.1%
Q2 - 10:54MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
73.4%
28
26.6%
Q2 - 11:08WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)19
71.6%
28
28.4%
Q2 - 11:18WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
73.5%
26
26.5%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot19
74.1%
26
25.9%
Q2 - 11:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
75.5%
26
24.5%
Q2 - 11:36WASMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 219
75.3%
26
24.7%
Q2 - 11:36WASHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
74.0%
26
26.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIAHinrich STEAL (2 STL)19
75.4%
25
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
77.3%
25
22.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound19
77.3%
25
22.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
76.0%
25
24.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0WASMcGee Foul Turnover (P2.T2)19
77.5%
25
22.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)19
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0WASMcGee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)19
77.5%
25
22.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot19
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
77.5%
25
22.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0WASMISS Young 3' Layup19
77.1%
25
22.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
76.0%
25
24.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
77.5%
25
22.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0WASMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
77.1%
25
22.9%
Q1 - 1:04WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
76.9%
25
23.1%
Q1 - 1:06WASMISS McGee 2' Layup19
77.7%
25
22.3%
Q1 - 1:09WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
76.9%
25
23.1%
Q1 - 1:11WASMISS Blatche 3' Jump Shot19
77.7%
25
22.3%
Q1 - 1:29MIADampier 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
76.8%
25
23.2%
Q1 - 1:33MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
74.6%
25
25.4%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)17
73.7%
25
26.3%
Q1 - 1:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
74.6%
25
25.4%
Q1 - 1:48WASMISS Blatche 11' Jump Shot17
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
73.6%
25
26.4%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q1 - 2:12WASHinrich 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
71.6%
25
28.4%
Q1 - 2:33WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
73.6%
23
26.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot15
74.1%
23
25.9%
Q1 - 2:56WASHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
75.2%
23
24.8%
Q1 - 3:12MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)15
79.1%
20
20.9%
Q1 - 3:23WASYoung 3' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)15
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q1 - 3:28MIABlatche STEAL (2 STL)15
82.0%
18
18.0%
Q1 - 3:46WASYoung 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)15
83.3%
18
16.7%
Q1 - 3:58WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
84.5%
16
15.5%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot15
84.9%
16
15.1%
Q1 - 4:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
86.0%
16
14.0%
Q1 - 4:09WASMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot15
85.7%
16
14.3%
Q1 - 4:26MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)15
84.8%
16
15.2%
Q1 - 4:48WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thornton 4 AST)13
83.7%
16
16.3%
Q1 - 4:53WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
84.8%
14
15.2%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot13
85.2%
14
14.8%
Q1 - 5:09WASMcGee 1' Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)13
85.9%
14
14.1%
Q1 - 5:17MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)13
86.8%
12
13.2%
Q1 - 5:34WASThornton 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)13
87.8%
12
12.2%
Q1 - 5:55MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)13
88.6%
10
11.4%
Q1 - 6:03MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
88.0%
10
12.0%
Q1 - 6:04WASMISS Thornton 3' Layup11
87.7%
10
12.3%
Q1 - 6:15WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
87.0%
10
13.0%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
87.3%
10
12.7%
Q1 - 6:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
88.0%
10
12.0%
Q1 - 6:23WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot11
87.7%
10
12.3%
Q1 - 6:45MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
87.0%
10
13.0%
Q1 - 6:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
85.0%
10
15.0%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
84.2%
10
15.8%
Q1 - 7:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
85.4%
10
14.6%
Q1 - 7:10WASMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot8
85.1%
10
14.9%
Q1 - 7:28MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)8
84.2%
10
15.8%
Q1 - 7:49WASMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
85.4%
10
14.6%
Q1 - 7:49WASMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 28
85.7%
9
14.3%
Q1 - 7:54MIABosh 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
85.3%
9
14.7%
Q1 - 7:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
84.3%
9
15.7%
Q1 - 8:00WASMISS Blatche 15' Jump Shot6
84.0%
9
16.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
83.7%
9
16.3%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 25
83.5%
9
16.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
83.7%
9
16.3%
Q1 - 8:25WASMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
83.4%
9
16.6%
Q1 - 8:42WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
82.6%
9
17.4%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot5
82.9%
9
17.1%
Q1 - 9:01WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
84.3%
9
15.7%
Q1 - 9:01WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
84.5%
8
15.5%
Q1 - 9:14MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
85.3%
7
14.7%
Q1 - 9:35MIAHeat Rebound2
83.2%
7
16.8%
Q1 - 9:35WASMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot2
82.9%
7
17.1%
Q1 - 9:38WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.1%
7
17.9%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup2
82.5%
7
17.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
83.2%
7
16.8%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot2
82.5%
7
17.5%
Q1 - 9:59WASYoung 1' Driving Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)2
83.2%
7
16.8%
Q1 - 10:04MIABlatche STEAL (1 STL)2
84.5%
5
15.5%
Q1 - 10:21WASYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
85.5%
5
14.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
87.1%
2
12.9%
Q1 - 10:33MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
88.0%
2
12.0%
Q1 - 10:34WASMISS Young 14' Jump Shot2
87.7%
2
12.3%
Q1 - 10:39WASWIZARDS Rebound2
87.1%
2
12.9%
Q1 - 10:39WASMISS McGee 2' Layup2
87.7%
2
12.3%
Q1 - 10:48WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
87.1%
2
12.9%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot2
87.4%
2
12.6%
Q1 - 11:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
88.1%
2
11.9%
Q1 - 11:07WASMISS McGee 11' Jump Shot2
87.9%
2
12.1%
Q1 - 11:24MIAIlgauskas 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
87.5%
2
12.5%
Q1 - 11:45WASBlatche 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)0
86.6%
2
13.4%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball McGee vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Thornton0
87.4%
0
12.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
WAS
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
17
59%
WAS
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
WAS
21
52
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
WAS
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
MIA
25
32
78%
WAS
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3264%16.0 / 25
D. Wade2045%10.0 / 22
C. Bosh2071%10.0 / 14
M. Chalmers857%4.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas467%2.0 / 3
J. Howard450%2.0 / 4
C. Arroyo220%1.0 / 5
J. Jones233%1.0 / 3
E. Dampier250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Young3063%15.0 / 24
A. Blatche2042%10.0 / 24
K. Hinrich1336%6.5 / 18
J. Howard1354%6.5 / 12
A. Thornton1056%5.0 / 9
J. McGee531%2.5 / 8
T. Booker250%1.0 / 2
H. Armstrong125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+10
-17
91
WAS
83
+16
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
WAS
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
102.2
MIA 96.9
WAS 97.9 +1.0
Pace
91.3
94.0
MIA 98.5 +2.3
WAS 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
MIA 14.6 +0.4
WAS 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.1%
MIA 48.6% +4.9%
WAS 43.7%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
MIA 16.5%
WAS 11.7% +4.8%
ORB %
25.2%
28.0%
MIA 20.0%
WAS 25.0% +5.0%
FTrt
36.3
29.0
MIA 44.4 +14.5
WAS 29.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
52.2%
MIA 58.1%
WAS 59.5% +1.4%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
MIA 8.2%
WAS 11.5% +3.3%
BLK %
8.5%
9.6%
MIA 11.5%
WAS 12.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
50.0%
MIA 52.2% +4.7%
WAS 47.5%
Rim FG%
64.7%
57.5%
MIA 58.8% +5.0%
WAS 53.8%
Mid FG%
42.2%
38.3%
MIA 39.4%
WAS 40.4% +1.0%
3P %
37.0%
33.2%
MIA 36.4% +14.2%
WAS 22.2%
FT %
76.9%
74.5%
MIA 78.1% +8.9%
WAS 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
35.7%
MIA 23.6%
WAS 29.9% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
47.1%
MIA 45.8% +13.9%
WAS 59.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
17.2%
MIA 30.6% +20.2%
WAS 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes23.924.0
Points9594
Rebounds4444
Assists1822
Steals811
Blocks96
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals31-7237-87
At-the-Rim FG10-1714-26
Midrange FG13-3321-52
2-Point FG23-5035-78
3-Point FG8-222-9
Free Throws25-3218-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
40.5
32
64%
7
6
1
0
4
3
1
6
11-12
92%
6-12
50%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
39.9
20
45%
6
2
1
2
3
5
1
5
4-6
67%
5-14
36%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
36.0
20
71%
9
2
1
0
7
1
1
8
7-10
70%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
19.0
2
20%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
15.7
4
67%
4
0
0
2
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
29.0
8
57%
6
4
1
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
23.3
1
25%
2
0
0
4
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
16.0
2
33%
2
2
3
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
12.1
4
50%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
8.5
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
44
18
8
9
17
0
8
36
25-32
78%
23-50
46%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.