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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies40%9987
15Rockets60%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.9
30.1
29.0
10
27%
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
6-6
100%
2-16
4-7
13%
56%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.4
29.8
35.2
13
40%
9
0
0
1
1
3
4
5
5-7
71%
4-13
7-14
31%
49%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
28.7
36.8
19
60%
4
3
4
1
1
3
1
3
3-4
75%
8-13
6-12
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
22.8
32.0
7
60%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
13.8
20.0
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 23.9
25.2
15.0
2
35%
2
2
2
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
19.7
23.7
6
38%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
19.3
5.4
19
96%
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
7-8
1-2
88%
47%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
18.8
18.3
8
44%
3
0
3
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.9
14.6
11.9
1
7%
4
0
0
1
3
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-6
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.8
14.5
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.6
2.7
2.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.3
38.8
28.2
17
78%
10
5
1
1
3
2
0
10
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
5-8
63%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.7
38.4
32.1
17
73%
2
18
5
1
1
5
1
1
5-6
83%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.6
35.9
28.8
23
51%
9
2
0
1
1
6
3
6
1-1
100%
11-22
7-13
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.9
32.9
26.5
34
73%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
5-5
100%
10-15
4-8
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.5
31.3
21.4
6
77%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
16.4
23.6
2
20%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.6
13.7
19.2
2
17%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
13.4
20.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
4
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.7
12.4
16.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.5
3.9
11.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
3.1
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.9
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.3
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.