| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 CHA | 100.0 | 85 | 86.8 |
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Scoring Opportunities
CHA
78
+23
-7
101
ATL
73
+13
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHA
0.83 41.3%
ATL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | CHA | ATL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | ATL | 85 0% | 90 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | CHA | Augustin 19' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) | 85 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 83 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 83 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | CHA | McGuire 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) | 83 0.2% | 88 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 81 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 81 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | CHA | McGuire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 81 0.5% | 86 99.5% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | CHA | McGuire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 80 0.3% | 86 99.7% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 79 0.2% | 86 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 79 0.3% | 85 99.7% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 79 0.7% | 84 99.3% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | ATL | MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 1.4% | 84 98.6% |
| Q4 - 0:57.0 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 79 2.1% | 84 97.9% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | CHA | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 2.6% | 84 97.4% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | ATL | Williams Layup (12 PTS) (Horford 3 AST) | 79 5.6% | 84 94.4% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 79 11.1% | 82 88.9% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 78 10.3% | 82 89.7% |
| Q4 - 1:58 | ATL | Williams 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST) | 77 7.6% | 82 92.4% |
| Q4 - 2:14 | CHA | Diaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 77 11.3% | 80 88.7% |
| Q4 - 2:14 | CHA | MISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 10.2% | 80 89.8% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10) | 76 13.5% | 80 86.5% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | ATL | MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 11.1% | 80 88.9% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 76 7.1% | 80 92.9% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | ATL | MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 76 11.2% | 80 88.8% |
| Q4 - 3:03 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 76 8.6% | 80 91.4% |
| Q4 - 3:04 | ATL | MISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 76 12.4% | 80 87.6% |
| Q4 - 3:29 | CHA | Brown 1' Layup (8 PTS) (McGuire 2 AST) | 76 8.4% | 80 91.6% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | ATL | Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14) | 74 8.7% | 80 91.3% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | CHA | Diaw 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST) | 74 5.7% | 80 94.3% |
| Q4 - 4:13 | ATL | Smith 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST) | 72 4.0% | 80 96.0% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 72 5.5% | 78 94.5% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | CHA | MISS Thomas 8' Fadeaway Jumper | 72 6.2% | 78 93.8% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | ATL | Horford 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST) | 72 8.1% | 78 91.9% |
| Q4 - 5:01 | CHA | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 72 13.6% | 76 86.4% |
| Q4 - 5:01 | CHA | Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 71 12.8% | 76 87.2% |
| Q4 - 5:24 | ATL | Smith 1' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST) | 70 10.2% | 76 89.8% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 70 13.4% | 74 86.6% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | CHA | MISS Diaw 4' Turnaround Jump Shot | 70 14.8% | 74 85.2% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | CHA | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 70 18.2% | 74 81.8% |
| Q4 - 5:51 | ATL | MISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 70 16.6% | 74 83.4% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | CHA | Livingston 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 70 14.9% | 74 85.1% |
| Q4 - 6:26 | ATL | Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13) | 68 11.7% | 74 88.3% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12) | 68 8.7% | 74 91.3% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 68 11.6% | 74 88.4% |
| Q4 - 6:41 | CHA | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 9.5% | 74 90.5% |
| Q4 - 7:03 | ATL | Johnson 11' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) | 68 12.8% | 74 87.2% |
| Q4 - 7:23 | CHA | Diaw 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST) | 68 15.9% | 72 84.1% |
| Q4 - 7:32 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9) | 66 12.8% | 72 87.2% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | CHA | MISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot | 66 10.6% | 72 89.4% |
| Q4 - 7:49 | ATL | Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 66 12.7% | 72 87.3% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | CHA | Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 66 17.3% | 70 82.7% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | CHA | Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 65 15.7% | 70 84.3% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | CHA | Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 64 13.8% | 70 86.2% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | ATL | MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 12.9% | 70 87.1% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 64 11.0% | 70 89.0% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | ATL | MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 12.9% | 70 87.1% |
| Q4 - 9:02 | CHA | Diaw 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST) | 64 12.1% | 70 87.9% |
| Q4 - 9:24 | ATL | Horford 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST) | 62 9.7% | 70 90.3% |
| Q4 - 9:39 | CHA | Diaw 2' Running Layup (15 PTS) | 62 12.1% | 68 87.9% |
| Q4 - 9:46 | ATL | Teague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12) | 60 9.7% | 68 90.3% |
| Q4 - 10:02 | CHA | Diaw Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11) | 60 8.5% | 68 91.5% |
| Q4 - 10:16 | CHA | Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 60 10.5% | 68 89.5% |
| Q4 - 10:17 | ATL | MISS Powell 19' Jump Shot | 60 9.8% | 68 90.2% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | CHA | Diaw 5' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST) | 60 8.5% | 68 91.5% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | CHA | Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 58 6.9% | 68 93.1% |
| Q4 - 10:52 | CHA | MISS Livingston 18' Jump Shot | 58 5.9% | 68 94.1% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 58 6.9% | 68 93.1% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | CHA | Smith BLOCK (3 BLK) | 58 5.9% | 68 94.1% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 58 7.5% | 68 92.5% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | CHA | Teague BLOCK (2 BLK) | 58 6.6% | 68 93.4% |
| Q4 - 11:12 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 58 7.5% | 68 92.5% |
| Q4 - 11:13 | ATL | MISS Evans 3' Layup | 58 7.1% | 68 92.9% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | ATL | Wilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 6.2% | 68 93.8% |
| Q4 - 11:19 | CHA | Smith BLOCK (2 BLK) | 58 6.6% | 68 93.4% |
| Q4 - 11:20 | CHA | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 58 7.5% | 68 92.5% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | CHA | MISS Jackson 1' Layup | 58 6.5% | 68 93.5% |
| Q4 - 11:45 | CHA | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 58 7.5% | 68 92.5% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | ATL | MISS Evans 18' Jump Shot | 58 7.0% | 68 93.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 58 6.1% | 68 93.9% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ATL | Teague 11' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 58 7.5% | 68 92.5% |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10) | 58 9.9% | 66 90.1% |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 58 11.7% | 66 88.3% |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | CHA | MISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 10.4% | 66 89.6% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | CHA | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 11.7% | 66 88.3% |
| Q3 - 0:29.0 | ATL | MISS Teague 15' Jump Shot | 58 11.1% | 66 88.9% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | CHA | Jackson 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Brown 2 AST) | 58 9.9% | 66 90.1% |
| Q3 - 0:52.0 | ATL | Horford 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 4 AST) | 56 8.0% | 66 92.0% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | CHA | Brown Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9) | 56 10.3% | 64 89.7% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 56 12.1% | 64 87.9% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | CHA | MISS Augustin 12' Running Jump Shot | 56 10.9% | 64 89.1% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | ATL | Powell Foul Turnover (P1.T11) | 56 12.1% | 64 87.9% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | CHA | Augustin 2' Running Layup (20 PTS) (Brown 1 AST) | 56 10.3% | 64 89.7% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | ATL | Evans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10) | 54 8.5% | 64 91.5% |
| Q3 - 2:08 | CHA | Brown 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST) | 54 7.6% | 64 92.4% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | ATL | Powell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 52 6.4% | 64 93.6% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | ATL | Powell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 52 6.6% | 63 93.4% |
| Q3 - 2:27 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 52 7.6% | 62 92.4% |
| Q3 - 2:29 | ATL | MISS Powell 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 52 8.6% | 62 91.4% |
| Q3 - 2:51 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 52 7.6% | 62 92.4% |
| Q3 - 2:51 | CHA | MISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 7.4% | 62 92.6% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | ATL | Smith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9) | 51 7.6% | 62 92.4% |
| Q3 - 3:21 | CHA | Brown Traveling Turnover (P1.T8) | 51 6.8% | 62 93.2% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 51 8.1% | 62 91.9% |
| Q3 - 3:31 | CHA | MISS Augustin 3PT Jump Shot | 51 7.2% | 62 92.8% |
| Q3 - 3:39 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9) | 51 8.1% | 62 91.9% |
| Q3 - 3:41 | CHA | MISS McGuire 1' Reverse Layup | 51 7.2% | 62 92.8% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | ATL | Horford 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST) | 51 8.5% | 62 91.5% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | CHA | Augustin 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 51 9.7% | 60 90.3% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9) | 49 8.5% | 60 91.5% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | CHA | MISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot | 49 7.5% | 60 92.5% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 49 8.5% | 60 91.5% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | ATL | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 8.0% | 60 92.0% |
| Q3 - 5:00 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 49 7.0% | 60 93.0% |
| Q3 - 5:00 | ATL | MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot | 49 8.0% | 60 92.0% |
| Q3 - 5:21 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 49 7.5% | 60 92.5% |
| Q3 - 5:48 | ATL | Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST) | 49 8.8% | 60 91.2% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6) | 49 11.7% | 57 88.3% |
| Q3 - 6:25 | ATL | Horford 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 49 14.2% | 57 85.8% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | CHA | Augustin 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 49 16.1% | 55 83.9% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | ATL | Johnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 47 14.6% | 55 85.4% |
| Q3 - 7:28 | CHA | Augustin 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 47 16.5% | 53 83.5% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9) | 45 14.5% | 53 85.5% |
| Q3 - 7:41 | ATL | MISS Horford 18' Jump Shot | 45 13.9% | 53 86.1% |
| Q3 - 7:51 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 45 12.6% | 53 87.4% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | CHA | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 13.2% | 53 86.8% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | CHA | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 14.8% | 53 85.2% |
| Q3 - 8:10 | ATL | MISS Smith 2' Running Layup | 45 14.2% | 53 85.8% |
| Q3 - 8:32 | CHA | Diaw 1' Running Layup (11 PTS) | 45 12.9% | 53 87.1% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 43 11.4% | 53 88.6% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | ATL | MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot | 43 10.9% | 53 89.1% |
| Q3 - 8:56 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 43 9.8% | 53 90.2% |
| Q3 - 8:57 | CHA | MISS McGuire 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 43 10.3% | 53 89.7% |
| Q3 - 9:21 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 43 11.5% | 53 88.5% |
| Q3 - 9:21 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 43 11.8% | 52 88.2% |
| Q3 - 9:27 | CHA | Jackson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST) | 43 13.1% | 51 86.9% |
| Q3 - 9:44 | ATL | Williams 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 41 11.5% | 51 88.5% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 41 13.1% | 49 86.9% |
| Q3 - 9:57 | ATL | MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot | 41 14.3% | 49 85.7% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | CHA | Diaw 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 41 13.4% | 49 86.6% |
| Q3 - 10:35 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 39 11.9% | 49 88.1% |
| Q3 - 10:36 | ATL | MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 11.4% | 49 88.6% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 39 10.4% | 49 89.6% |
| Q3 - 11:00 | CHA | MISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot | 39 10.8% | 49 89.2% |
| Q3 - 11:16 | ATL | Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST) | 39 12.2% | 49 87.8% |
| Q3 - 11:37 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 39 15.4% | 46 84.6% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | CHA | Horford BLOCK (3 BLK) | 39 16.0% | 46 84.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 39 17.4% | 46 82.6% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 39 17.4% | 46 82.6% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | CHA | MISS Augustin 39' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 16.6% | 46 83.4% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | CHA | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 17.6% | 46 82.4% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | ATL | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot | 39 17.1% | 46 82.9% |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | CHA | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 39 16.2% | 46 83.8% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 39 17.6% | 46 82.4% |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | ATL | MISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 39 17.1% | 46 82.9% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | CHA | Augustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 39 16.1% | 46 83.9% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | CHA | Augustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 38 15.9% | 46 84.1% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | ATL | Smith 1' Running Slam Dunk (8 PTS) | 37 14.0% | 46 86.0% |
| Q2 - 0:40.0 | CHA | Smith STEAL (1 STL) | 37 16.1% | 44 83.9% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | ATL | Bibby 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 37 17.6% | 44 82.4% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 37 20.0% | 42 80.0% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | ATL | MISS Johnson 2' Running Layup | 37 21.2% | 42 78.8% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | CHA | Bibby STEAL (1 STL) | 37 20.0% | 42 80.0% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | CHA | Augustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 37 21.8% | 42 78.2% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | CHA | MISS Diaw 4' Hook Shot | 37 20.7% | 42 79.3% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | CHA | Mohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 37 21.8% | 42 78.2% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | ATL | MISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot | 37 21.3% | 42 78.7% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | CHA | Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST) | 37 20.3% | 42 79.7% |
| Q2 - 1:55 | ATL | Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 34 15.9% | 42 84.1% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 34 14.7% | 42 85.3% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | CHA | MISS Augustin 19' Jump Shot | 34 15.0% | 42 85.0% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | ATL | Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 34 16.3% | 42 83.7% |
| Q2 - 2:19 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 34 14.6% | 42 85.4% |
| Q2 - 2:20 | CHA | MISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 15.1% | 42 84.9% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 16.3% | 42 83.7% |
| Q2 - 2:35 | ATL | MISS Horford 4' Turnaround Hook Shot | 34 15.8% | 42 84.2% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 14.6% | 42 85.4% |
| Q2 - 2:49 | CHA | MISS McGuire 21' Jump Shot | 34 15.1% | 42 84.9% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 34 16.3% | 42 83.7% |
| Q2 - 3:00 | ATL | MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 15.8% | 42 84.2% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | CHA | Diaw 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST) | 34 14.7% | 42 85.3% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | ATL | Horford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST) | 32 13.5% | 42 86.5% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | CHA | McGuire 6' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST) | 32 14.9% | 40 85.1% |
| Q2 - 4:33 | CHA | Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 13.5% | 40 86.5% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | ATL | MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 13.1% | 40 86.9% |
| Q2 - 4:54 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 30 12.1% | 40 87.9% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | CHA | MISS Brown 16' Jump Shot | 30 12.5% | 40 87.5% |
| Q2 - 5:30 | ATL | Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 2 AST) | 30 13.8% | 40 86.2% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 30 16.8% | 37 83.2% |
| Q2 - 5:39 | CHA | MISS Brown 5' Floating Jump Shot | 30 17.3% | 37 82.7% |
| Q2 - 5:57 | ATL | Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST) | 30 18.5% | 37 81.5% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | CHA | Brown 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST) | 30 22.4% | 34 77.6% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | ATL | Bibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 28 20.8% | 34 79.2% |
| Q2 - 6:22 | ATL | Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 28 18.7% | 34 81.3% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | ATL | MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 20.2% | 34 79.8% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | CHA | Brown 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST) | 28 18.7% | 34 81.3% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | CHA | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 17.3% | 34 82.7% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | ATL | MISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 16.8% | 34 83.2% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | ATL | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 26 15.7% | 34 84.3% |
| Q2 - 7:33 | CHA | MISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot | 26 16.2% | 34 83.8% |
| Q2 - 7:48 | CHA | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 17.4% | 34 82.6% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | ATL | MISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 26 17.1% | 34 82.9% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 26 16.1% | 34 83.9% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 26 17.3% | 33 82.7% |
| Q2 - 7:57 | CHA | MISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot | 26 17.8% | 33 82.2% |
| Q2 - 8:19 | ATL | Powell 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 3 AST) | 26 19.2% | 33 80.8% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 26 20.9% | 31 79.1% |
| Q2 - 8:34 | CHA | MISS Livingston 17' Jump Shot | 26 21.5% | 31 78.5% |
| Q2 - 8:37 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 26 22.8% | 31 77.2% |
| Q2 - 8:39 | CHA | Horford BLOCK (2 BLK) | 26 21.5% | 31 78.5% |
| Q2 - 9:02 | ATL | Horford 3' Putback Layup (4 PTS) | 26 22.9% | 31 77.1% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 26 24.7% | 29 75.3% |
| Q2 - 9:07 | ATL | MISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot | 26 26.1% | 29 73.9% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | CHA | Brown 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST) | 26 24.7% | 29 75.3% |
| Q2 - 9:45 | ATL | Teague Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 24 22.9% | 29 77.1% |
| Q2 - 9:55 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 24 21.0% | 29 79.0% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | CHA | MISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 21.6% | 29 78.4% |
| Q2 - 10:02 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 24 23.0% | 29 77.0% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | CHA | MISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot | 24 21.7% | 29 78.3% |
| Q2 - 10:24 | ATL | Evans 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST) | 24 23.0% | 29 77.0% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 24 24.7% | 27 75.3% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | CHA | Teague BLOCK (1 BLK) | 24 25.3% | 27 74.7% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | ATL | Powell Putback Layup (2 PTS) | 24 26.8% | 27 73.2% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 24 28.7% | 25 71.3% |
| Q2 - 10:49 | ATL | MISS Evans 10' Jump Shot | 24 30.3% | 25 69.7% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | CHA | Augustin 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 24 28.8% | 25 71.2% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 26.9% | 25 73.1% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | ATL | MISS Powell 18' Jump Shot | 22 26.2% | 25 73.8% |
| Q2 - 11:40 | CHA | Thomas 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 22 24.8% | 25 75.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ATL | 20 23.1% | 25 76.9% | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | ATL | Wilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 21.5% | 25 78.5% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | CHA | MISS Augustin 17' Jump Shot | 20 21.9% | 25 78.1% |
| Q1 - 0:10.0 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 20 22.9% | 25 77.1% |
| Q1 - 0:12.0 | ATL | MISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 22.5% | 25 77.5% |
| Q1 - 0:32.0 | CHA | Thomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 20 21.5% | 25 78.5% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | ATL | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 18.1% | 25 81.9% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | ATL | Evans 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS) | 17 18.1% | 25 81.9% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | ATL | MISS Teague 2' Running Layup | 17 20.8% | 23 79.2% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 17 19.9% | 23 80.1% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | CHA | MISS Brown 3' Jump Shot | 17 20.3% | 23 79.7% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | ATL | Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 17 21.4% | 23 78.6% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | CHA | Augustin 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST) | 17 20.2% | 23 79.8% |
| Q1 - 1:51 | ATL | Collins Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 15 18.3% | 23 81.7% |
| Q1 - 2:08 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 15 21.9% | 20 78.1% |
| Q1 - 2:08 | CHA | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 22.3% | 20 77.7% |
| Q1 - 2:29 | ATL | Evans 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST) | 15 23.3% | 20 76.7% |
| Q1 - 2:37 | CHA | McGuire 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 15 25.2% | 18 74.8% |
| Q1 - 3:01 | ATL | Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 13 23.4% | 18 76.6% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | ATL | Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 26.8% | 15 73.2% |
| Q1 - 3:14 | CHA | MISS McGuire 1' Layup | 13 27.4% | 15 72.6% |
| Q1 - 3:17 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 13 28.7% | 15 71.3% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | CHA | MISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot | 13 27.4% | 15 72.6% |
| Q1 - 3:25 | CHA | Augustin Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 13 28.7% | 15 71.3% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | ATL | Collins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 12 26.9% | 15 73.1% |
| Q1 - 3:58 | CHA | Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 12 25.1% | 15 74.9% |
| Q1 - 4:05 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 9 21.7% | 15 78.3% |
| Q1 - 4:07 | ATL | MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 21.2% | 15 78.8% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | CHA | Augustin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 9 20.2% | 15 79.8% |
| Q1 - 4:42 | ATL | Williams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST) | 7 18.9% | 15 81.1% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 7 21.9% | 12 78.1% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | CHA | MISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 | 7 22.1% | 12 77.9% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | CHA | Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 7 22.9% | 12 77.1% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 6 22.0% | 12 78.0% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | CHA | MISS McGuire 2' Reverse Layup | 6 20.9% | 12 79.1% |
| Q1 - 5:13 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 22.0% | 12 78.0% |
| Q1 - 5:15 | ATL | MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 21.5% | 12 78.5% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 20.4% | 12 79.6% |
| Q1 - 5:27 | CHA | MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 20.9% | 12 79.1% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | ATL | Smith 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 6 22.0% | 12 78.0% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | CHA | Jackson 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST) | 6 23.3% | 10 76.7% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | ATL | Bibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 21.9% | 10 78.1% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 4 20.5% | 10 79.5% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | CHA | MISS Mohammed 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 4 20.9% | 10 79.1% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | CHA | Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2) | 4 20.5% | 10 79.5% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | ATL | Bibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 4 22.0% | 10 78.0% |
| Q1 - 7:05 | CHA | Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 4 23.3% | 8 76.7% |
| Q1 - 7:05 | CHA | Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 3 22.9% | 8 77.1% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | CHA | Mohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 2 22.0% | 8 78.0% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | CHA | MISS Jackson 11' Step Back Jump Shot | 2 21.0% | 8 79.0% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | CHA | Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 2 22.0% | 8 78.0% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | CHA | MISS McGuire 21' Jump Shot | 2 21.0% | 8 79.0% |
| Q1 - 7:31 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 2 22.0% | 8 78.0% |
| Q1 - 7:32 | ATL | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 21.6% | 8 78.4% |
| Q1 - 7:54 | CHA | Diaw 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 20.5% | 8 79.5% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | CHA | Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 19.3% | 8 80.7% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | ATL | MISS Horford 2' Alley Oop Dunk | 0 19.0% | 8 81.0% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 0 18.2% | 8 81.8% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | CHA | MISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 18.5% | 8 81.5% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 0 19.3% | 8 80.7% |
| Q1 - 8:25 | CHA | Horford BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 18.5% | 8 81.5% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 0 19.3% | 8 80.7% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 0 19.3% | 8 80.7% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | CHA | MISS McGuire 1' Tip Shot | 0 18.5% | 8 81.5% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | CHA | MISS Diaw Layup | 0 18.5% | 8 81.5% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | ATL | Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 19.3% | 8 80.7% |
| Q1 - 8:30 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 0 18.1% | 8 81.9% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | CHA | MISS McGuire 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 0 18.5% | 8 81.5% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 19.3% | 8 80.7% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | ATL | MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot | 0 19.0% | 8 81.0% |
| Q1 - 8:56 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 18.1% | 8 81.9% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | CHA | MISS Mohammed 10' Jump Shot | 0 18.5% | 8 81.5% |
| Q1 - 9:06 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 19.8% | 8 80.2% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | ATL | MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 19.4% | 8 80.6% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 18.6% | 8 81.4% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | CHA | MISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot | 0 18.9% | 8 81.1% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | ATL | Johnson 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST) | 0 19.7% | 8 80.3% |
| Q1 - 9:47 | CHA | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 0 21.0% | 6 79.0% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | ATL | Horford 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 0 22.7% | 6 77.3% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 0 23.8% | 4 76.2% |
| Q1 - 10:12 | CHA | Smith BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 24.3% | 4 75.7% |
| Q1 - 10:26 | ATL | Smith 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 0 25.3% | 4 74.7% |
| Q1 - 10:30 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 26.5% | 2 73.5% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | CHA | MISS Diaw 21' Jump Shot | 0 27.0% | 2 73.0% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 28.2% | 2 71.8% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | ATL | Smith 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 0 28.2% | 2 71.8% |
| Q1 - 10:49 | ATL | MISS Smith 2' Alley Oop Layup | 0 30.6% | 0 69.4% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 29.4% | 0 70.6% |
| Q1 - 10:56 | CHA | MISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot | 0 30.0% | 0 70.0% |
| Q1 - 11:09 | CHA | Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 30.6% | 0 69.4% |
| Q1 - 11:11 | ATL | MISS Bibby 2' Driving Reverse Layup | 0 30.2% | 0 69.8% |
| Q1 - 11:20 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 29.3% | 0 70.7% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | CHA | MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 29.7% | 0 70.3% |
| Q1 - 11:39 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 30.6% | 0 69.4% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | ATL | MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 0 30.2% | 0 69.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | ATL | Jump Ball Smith vs. Mohammed: Tip to Johnson | 0 29.3% | 0 70.7% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
CHA
0.83 41.3%
ATL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
20
35
57%
ATL
17
25
68%
Midrange
CHA
11
38
29%
ATL
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
ATL
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
CHA
17
20
85%
ATL
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Bobcats| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Augustin | 22 | 55% | 11.0 / 20 | |
| B. Diaw | 22 | 69% | 11.0 / 16 | |
| S. Jackson | 9 | 28% | 4.5 / 16 | |
| D. McGuire | 8 | 31% | 4.0 / 13 | |
| K. Brown | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| T. Thomas | 7 | 35% | 3.5 / 10 | |
| D. Brown | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| N. Mohammed | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| S. Livingston | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| G. Henderson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Hawks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 16 | 47% | 8.0 / 17 | |
| A. Horford | 16 | 67% | 8.0 / 12 | |
| M. Williams | 16 | 62% | 8.0 / 13 | |
| J. Smith | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
| M. Bibby | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| M. Evans | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| J. Powell | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| J. Teague | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| J. Collins | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
CHA
78
+23
-7
101
ATL
73
+13
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHA
0.83 41.3%
ATL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.6 105.9 | CHA 100.0 ATL 103.4 +3.4 |
| Pace | 89.5 89.5 | CHA 86.8 +1.6 ATL 85.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.2 16.4 | CHA 16.6 +0.3 ATL 16.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.2% 50.1% | CHA 39.1% ATL 50.0% +10.9% |
| TO % | 15.2% 14.2% | CHA 11.1% +3.2% ATL 14.3% |
| ORB % | 25.7% 23.5% | CHA 36.7% +9.9% ATL 26.8% |
| FTrt | 31.4 26.9 | CHA 23.0 +6.3 ATL 16.7 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.1% 60.7% | CHA 54.5% ATL 66.7% +12.2% |
| STL % | 7.1% 6.8% | CHA 9.4% +4.8% ATL 4.6% |
| BLK % | 8.9% 6.6% | CHA 5.7% ATL 11.0% +5.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.3% 52.8% | CHA 41.3% ATL 52.3% +11.0% |
| Rim FG% | 55.8% 60.0% | CHA 57.1% ATL 68.0% +10.9% |
| Mid FG% | 40.3% 42.5% | CHA 28.9% ATL 46.4% +17.5% |
| 3P % | 32.7% 35.2% | CHA 14.3% ATL 24.0% +9.7% |
| FT % | 75.6% 78.0% | CHA 85.0% ATL 92.3% +7.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 40.6% 30.4% | CHA 40.2% +8.2% ATL 32.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 40.5% 47.4% | CHA 43.7% ATL 35.9% +7.8% |
| 3P Att. % | 18.9% 22.2% | CHA 16.1% ATL 32.1% +16.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | CHA | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 85 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.5 | 24.5 |
| Points | 85 | 90 |
| Rebounds | 48 | 42 |
| Assists | 18 | 24 |
| Steals | 8 | 4 |
| Blocks | 3 | 8 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 7 (5) | 14 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 18 (5) | 11 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 30 (0) | 31 (1) |
| Field Goals | 33-87 | 36-78 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 20-35 | 17-25 |
| Midrange FG | 11-38 | 13-28 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-73 | 30-53 |
| 3-Point FG | 2-14 | 6-25 |
| Free Throws | 17-20 | 12-13 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.