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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers61%10193
1676ers39%9781
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.1
42.0
34.3
28
68%
8
3
1
1
0
1
1
7
5-6
83%
10-16
5-8
63%
55%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
41.0
35.7
19
53%
13
3
0
1
2
4
6
7
7-9
78%
6-14
7-13
43%
54%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.3
36.0
31.2
9
37%
4
4
2
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
3-8
7-14
38%
49%
0-3
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.4
29.7
23.9
8
40%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.1
19.6
26.8
6
61%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.8
28.4
19.6
15
77%
10
2
2
1
0
2
1
9
4-4
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.8
18.3
23.0
5
43%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-5
20%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.1
13.0
19.5
3
26%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-5
20%
54%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.0
12.0
18.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
7.8
0
1-1
44%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.6
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.4
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.1
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
37.9
38.1
18
50%
6
6
2
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
50%
2-4
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.6
35.9
27.2
18
68%
13
5
1
0
2
0
2
11
1-3
33%
7-9
4-9
78%
49%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
33.9
34.4
8
40%
8
0
1
1
0
1
5
3
0-0
-
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.5
31.4
35.2
6
20%
3
6
2
1
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
0-4
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
24.9
32.0
6
34%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
25.5
23.2
6
50%
4
1
1
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.0
20.6
3.0
4
25%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-5
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
17.7
19.8
8
37%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
6.2
5.4
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.4
5.9
6.0
7
81%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
13.3
0
1-3
47%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.8
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.9
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.