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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat59%104113
9Knicks41%10191
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
38.2
36.2
32
66%
11
10
1
1
0
5
1
10
1-3
33%
11-17
7-14
65%
54%
3-6
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
37.9
37.3
26
51%
8
5
2
2
3
2
3
5
6-8
75%
7-19
8-15
37%
53%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
36.0
36.3
26
61%
7
1
1
1
0
5
1
6
4-5
80%
11-19
8-15
58%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.4
26.2
14.8
11
110%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
3-3
100%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
11.9
19.3
2
50%
4
1
2
0
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
21.8
28.7
8
67%
2
0
2
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
20.4
14.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
19.2
8.9
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.2
16.9
21.6
2
35%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
4.4
13.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
4.2
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
2.9
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.8
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.5
40.9
41.6
8
29%
4
10
1
2
0
3
0
4
2-4
50%
3-9
5-10
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
40.2
37.4
25
67%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
5-6
83%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
4-8
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.1
38.0
39.5
24
39%
14
4
1
1
2
4
7
7
2-7
29%
11-28
10-19
39%
53%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
37.8
39.0
17
58%
10
2
2
1
0
1
3
7
3-4
75%
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.5
33.9
35.0
5
32%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
0-2
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
20.5
18.8
8
67%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.8
13.6
6.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.2
5.3
2.8
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.9
4.0
11.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.4
2.9
2.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.4
2.9
1.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
2.1
0
0-0
41%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.0
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.0
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.