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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Cavaliers36%9699
19Pacers64%101108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.0
39.5
33.2
22
75%
6
11
0
1
0
5
1
5
5-6
83%
7-11
4-10
64%
46%
1-1
100%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
38.2
31.4
17
41%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
7-15
4-9
47%
47%
0-4
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.5
35.7
31.4
17
57%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
4-7
57%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.8
35.4
32.8
4
22%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
2-5
40%
1-7
3-7
14%
43%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.2
30.0
33.2
15
67%
6
2
0
1
2
3
0
6
5-5
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.3
20.1
19.8
11
44%
4
0
3
0
0
1
0
4
7-10
70%
2-8
4-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
18.9
14.1
6
38%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
0-0
-
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
13.4
10.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.2
2.3
9.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.5
2.3
7.2
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 21.9
2.3
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.2
2.1
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.5
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.7
39.2
33.8
30
66%
12
0
2
1
3
4
2
10
2-2
100%
8-15
5-10
53%
50%
4-7
57%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.0
36.2
27.4
15
49%
6
3
0
0
6
4
2
4
3-5
60%
6-13
5-11
46%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.3
34.7
30.3
15
50%
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
5-7
71%
2-9
3-5
22%
52%
2-3
67%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.3
28.2
27.5
5
43%
5
6
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
1-2
5-9
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.8
17.8
17.3
9
83%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
28.0
32.5
15
64%
7
0
0
1
1
4
0
7
6-6
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
1-4
25%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.9
24.3
21.2
6
60%
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
2-5
40%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.7
19.8
17.8
6
44%
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
11.8
16.8
7
52%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-4
25%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
6.9
0
1-2
49%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
6.7
0
1-1
53%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.1
6.6
0
1-2
48%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.2
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.