FinalWin Prob.pScore
346%103
113
954%104
112
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
117.79691.4
DEN logo DEN
116.796101.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS113
100%
112
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T9)113
99.8%
112
0.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASGinobili 6' Running Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)113
90.2%
112
9.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENAnthony 1' Layup (31 PTS)111
38.7%
112
61.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASAnthony STEAL (1 STL)111
61.2%
110
38.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENAnthony 1' Dunk (29 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)111
87.5%
110
12.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)111
93.0%
108
7.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)110
92.2%
108
7.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)109
83.2%
108
16.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 2109
80.1%
108
19.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)109
69.4%
108
30.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENNUGGETS Rebound109
80.0%
107
20.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot109
84.6%
107
15.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
86.9%
107
13.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot109
83.8%
107
16.2%
Q4 - 1:01SASHill Foul Turnover (P2.T8)109
73.0%
107
27.0%
Q4 - 1:07DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)109
83.7%
107
16.3%
Q4 - 1:07DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2109
85.5%
106
14.5%
Q4 - 1:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)109
83.0%
106
17.0%
Q4 - 1:09SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot109
85.5%
106
14.5%
Q4 - 1:31DENAnthony 2' Driving Reverse Layup (27 PTS)109
88.0%
106
12.0%
Q4 - 1:43DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)109
91.0%
104
9.0%
Q4 - 1:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2109
91.4%
104
8.6%
Q4 - 1:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2109
93.5%
104
6.5%
Q4 - 2:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)109
94.7%
104
5.3%
Q4 - 2:03DENMISS Nene 1' Layup109
93.6%
104
6.4%
Q4 - 2:27SASJefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)109
90.4%
104
9.6%
Q4 - 2:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)106
80.8%
104
19.2%
Q4 - 2:49DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 1106
79.3%
104
20.7%
Q4 - 2:58DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)106
83.1%
102
16.9%
Q4 - 2:59SASMISS Duncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot106
85.5%
102
14.5%
Q4 - 3:23DENAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)106
90.1%
102
9.9%
Q4 - 3:38SASParker 2' Layup (24 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)106
92.1%
99
7.9%
Q4 - 3:49DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)104
89.5%
99
10.5%
Q4 - 3:49DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)104
90.3%
98
9.7%
Q4 - 3:59SASDuncan 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS)104
92.5%
97
7.5%
Q4 - 4:21DENAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)102
89.9%
97
10.1%
Q4 - 4:26DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
85.4%
97
14.6%
Q4 - 4:27SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot102
86.9%
97
13.1%
Q4 - 4:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
90.0%
97
10.0%
Q4 - 4:39DENMISS Nene 3' Alley Oop Dunk102
88.8%
97
11.2%
Q4 - 4:45DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
85.5%
97
14.5%
Q4 - 4:46SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot102
87.1%
97
12.9%
Q4 - 5:04DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)102
86.7%
97
13.3%
Q4 - 5:04DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)102
87.6%
96
12.4%
Q4 - 5:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
89.9%
95
10.1%
Q4 - 5:08SASMISS Duncan 12' Running Jump Shot102
90.9%
95
9.1%
Q4 - 5:32DENAnthony 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)102
92.9%
95
7.1%
Q4 - 5:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
94.7%
93
5.3%
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup102
95.2%
93
4.8%
Q4 - 5:58DENSmith Palming Turnover (P3.T7)102
96.3%
93
3.7%
Q4 - 6:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)102
92.8%
93
7.2%
Q4 - 6:04SASMISS Parker 12' Fadeaway Jumper102
93.5%
93
6.5%
Q4 - 6:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)102
94.8%
93
5.2%
Q4 - 6:28DENMISS Smith 10' Running Jump Shot102
94.3%
93
5.7%
Q4 - 6:43SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)102
93.0%
93
7.0%
Q4 - 7:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)99
86.0%
93
14.0%
Q4 - 7:06DENMISS Nene 1' Layup99
84.9%
93
15.1%
Q4 - 7:17SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
82.1%
93
17.9%
Q4 - 7:17SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
81.2%
93
18.8%
Q4 - 7:41DENNene 3' Reverse Layup (19 PTS)97
78.1%
93
21.9%
Q4 - 8:02SASDuncan 1' Dunk (26 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)97
80.4%
91
19.6%
Q4 - 8:19DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)95
76.0%
91
24.0%
Q4 - 8:31SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
84.2%
88
15.8%
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 294
83.6%
88
16.4%
Q4 - 8:31SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
84.2%
88
15.8%
Q4 - 8:32SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
81.7%
88
18.3%
Q4 - 8:53SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
84.2%
88
15.8%
Q4 - 8:54DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot94
83.2%
88
16.8%
Q4 - 9:16SASGinobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)94
78.8%
88
21.2%
Q4 - 9:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
69.7%
88
30.3%
Q4 - 9:36DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot91
68.1%
88
31.9%
Q4 - 9:53SASGinobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)91
64.5%
88
35.5%
Q4 - 10:10SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
57.9%
88
42.1%
Q4 - 10:11DENMISS Smith 4' Running Jump Shot89
56.2%
88
43.8%
Q4 - 10:21SASGinobili Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)89
52.2%
88
47.8%
Q4 - 10:39DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)87
46.6%
88
53.4%
Q4 - 10:39DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)87
47.9%
87
52.1%
Q4 - 10:47SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)87
52.3%
86
47.7%
Q4 - 11:07DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)85
46.5%
86
53.5%
Q4 - 11:21DENNUGGETS Rebound85
51.9%
84
48.1%
Q4 - 11:22SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
53.5%
84
46.5%
Q4 - 11:34SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
57.2%
84
42.8%
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Forbes Driving Layup85
55.6%
84
44.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS85
51.9%
84
48.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
56.5%
84
43.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot85
55.1%
84
44.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
51.9%
84
48.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0DENMISS Carter 2' Driving Layup85
55.1%
84
44.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENNUGGETS Rebound85
51.9%
84
48.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
53.3%
84
46.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
56.5%
84
43.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)85
57.4%
83
42.6%
Q3 - 1:18SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)85
61.2%
82
38.8%
Q3 - 1:35SASSpurs Rebound82
51.1%
82
48.9%
Q3 - 1:36DENMISS Anthony 2' Driving Layup82
49.7%
82
50.3%
Q3 - 2:00SASParker 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)82
46.6%
82
53.4%
Q3 - 2:04DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)80
41.4%
82
58.6%
Q3 - 2:14SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)80
37.0%
82
63.0%
Q3 - 2:33DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)77
28.6%
82
71.4%
Q3 - 2:52SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)77
37.0%
79
63.0%
Q3 - 3:01DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
42.0%
79
58.0%
Q3 - 3:23SASMcDyess Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)77
50.7%
76
49.3%
Q3 - 3:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)75
46.3%
76
53.7%
Q3 - 3:45DENMISS Lawson 6' Running Jump Shot75
44.9%
76
55.1%
Q3 - 4:00SASMcDyess 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)75
41.7%
76
58.3%
Q3 - 4:01SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
38.0%
76
62.0%
Q3 - 4:02SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot73
34.7%
76
65.3%
Q3 - 4:14SASNeal Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)73
38.0%
76
62.0%
Q3 - 4:27SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
34.0%
76
66.0%
Q3 - 4:27DENMISS Shel. Williams 1' Layup72
32.6%
76
67.4%
Q3 - 4:47SASMcDyess 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)72
29.5%
76
70.5%
Q3 - 4:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
34.0%
76
66.0%
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Nene 3' Jump Shot72
32.6%
76
67.4%
Q3 - 5:13SASDuncan 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot (24 PTS)72
29.9%
76
70.1%
Q3 - 5:34DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
26.8%
76
73.2%
Q3 - 5:34DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 270
27.4%
75
72.6%
Q3 - 5:34DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
26.5%
75
73.5%
Q3 - 5:34DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
26.5%
75
73.5%
Q3 - 5:34DENMISS Shel. Williams 1' Tip Shot70
29.1%
75
70.9%
Q3 - 5:35DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Layup70
29.1%
75
70.9%
Q3 - 5:42DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
26.5%
75
73.5%
Q3 - 5:43SASMISS Parker 2' Layup70
27.6%
75
72.4%
Q3 - 5:58DENAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)70
30.3%
75
69.7%
Q3 - 6:18SASDuncan 18' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)70
34.1%
73
65.9%
Q3 - 6:35DENLawson 3' Running Layup (13 PTS)68
30.8%
73
69.2%
Q3 - 6:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
34.1%
71
65.9%
Q3 - 6:49SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot68
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 7:09DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
38.1%
71
61.9%
Q3 - 7:09DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 268
39.0%
70
61.0%
Q3 - 7:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
37.9%
70
62.1%
Q3 - 7:27SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (20 PTS)68
37.9%
70
62.1%
Q3 - 7:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)66
34.5%
70
65.5%
Q3 - 7:30SASMISS Duncan 1' Tip Shot66
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q3 - 7:32SASMISS Parker 23' Jump Shot66
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q3 - 7:45DENNene 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)66
34.5%
70
65.5%
Q3 - 8:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
38.1%
68
61.9%
Q3 - 8:06SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot66
39.2%
68
60.8%
Q3 - 8:13SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
41.9%
68
58.1%
Q3 - 8:15DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot66
40.7%
68
59.3%
Q3 - 8:26DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
38.0%
68
62.0%
Q3 - 8:27SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup66
39.2%
68
60.8%
Q3 - 8:47DENAfflalo 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)66
41.9%
68
58.1%
Q3 - 8:52DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
45.4%
66
54.6%
Q3 - 8:53DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot66
48.1%
66
51.9%
Q3 - 9:15SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)66
45.4%
66
54.6%
Q3 - 9:18SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
49.1%
66
50.9%
Q3 - 9:20DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Layup66
48.0%
66
52.0%
Q3 - 9:36SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)66
45.4%
66
54.6%
Q3 - 9:56DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T5)64
41.8%
66
58.2%
Q3 - 10:11SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
38.4%
66
61.6%
Q3 - 10:11SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)63
38.1%
66
61.9%
Q3 - 10:31DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
35.2%
66
64.8%
Q3 - 10:31DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
35.7%
65
64.3%
Q3 - 10:39DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
38.4%
64
61.6%
Q3 - 10:40SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
39.5%
64
60.5%
Q3 - 10:55DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
41.9%
64
58.1%
Q3 - 11:04SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)62
45.4%
62
54.6%
Q3 - 11:22DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
38.9%
62
61.1%
Q3 - 11:22DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
39.7%
61
60.3%
Q3 - 11:42SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
42.0%
60
58.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS57
38.9%
60
61.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound57
38.9%
60
61.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper57
37.1%
60
62.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
38.8%
60
61.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot57
38.0%
60
62.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASParker 6' Fadeaway Bank Shot (18 PTS)57
36.3%
60
63.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENLawson 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
32.7%
60
67.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot55
38.0%
58
62.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASParker 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)55
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASSpurs Rebound53
32.7%
58
67.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASMISS Parker 14' Floating Jump Shot53
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q2 - 1:08DENAfflalo 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)53
32.9%
58
67.1%
Q2 - 1:28SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)53
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q2 - 1:36DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)53
38.9%
56
61.1%
Q2 - 1:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q2 - 1:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
35.8%
56
64.2%
Q2 - 2:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
33.6%
56
66.4%
Q2 - 2:11DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 251
33.2%
56
66.8%
Q2 - 2:11DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q2 - 2:20SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)51
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q2 - 2:38DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)48
28.1%
55
71.9%
Q2 - 2:53DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
33.5%
52
66.5%
Q2 - 2:54SASMISS Neal 8' Running Jump Shot48
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q2 - 3:11DENNene 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
37.0%
52
63.0%
Q2 - 3:31SASParker 3' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)48
39.4%
50
60.6%
Q2 - 3:37DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)46
37.0%
50
63.0%
Q2 - 3:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 246
34.0%
50
66.0%
Q2 - 3:52SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)46
35.8%
50
64.2%
Q2 - 3:56SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
34.1%
50
65.9%
Q2 - 3:58DENMISS Lawson 3' Driving Layup45
33.1%
50
66.9%
Q2 - 4:07SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)45
31.2%
50
68.8%
Q2 - 4:29DENAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
34.1%
50
65.9%
Q2 - 4:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q2 - 4:46SASDuncan Putback Layup (12 PTS)45
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q2 - 4:48SASMISS Parker 4' Driving Jump Shot43
32.1%
48
67.9%
Q2 - 5:02SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q2 - 5:03DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot43
33.6%
48
66.4%
Q2 - 5:24SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)43
31.8%
48
68.2%
Q2 - 5:32SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
29.2%
48
70.8%
Q2 - 5:34DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
28.5%
48
71.5%
Q2 - 5:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
26.9%
48
73.1%
Q2 - 5:54SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 6:08DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q2 - 6:08DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q2 - 6:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
31.9%
46
68.1%
Q2 - 6:16SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 241
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 6:16SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q2 - 6:19SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 6:21DENMISS Nene 2' Dunk40
31.4%
46
68.6%
Q2 - 6:34SASJefferson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)40
29.5%
46
70.5%
Q2 - 6:56DENAnthony 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)40
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 7:05DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
34.9%
44
65.1%
Q2 - 7:06SASMISS Ginobili 22' Fadeaway Jumper40
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q2 - 7:25DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)40
37.6%
44
62.4%
Q2 - 7:37SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q2 - 7:37SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 239
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q2 - 7:39DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)39
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 7:48DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
32.3%
44
67.7%
Q2 - 7:49SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
33.1%
44
66.9%
Q2 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 7:57DENMISS Forbes 3PT Jump Shot39
34.2%
44
65.8%
Q2 - 8:14SASNeal 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)39
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 8:28DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q2 - 8:28DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 237
30.9%
43
69.1%
Q2 - 8:46SASGinobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)37
30.5%
43
69.5%
Q2 - 8:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
26.2%
43
73.8%
Q2 - 8:59DENMISS Harrington Driving Layup34
25.5%
43
74.5%
Q2 - 9:12SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T1)34
24.5%
43
75.5%
Q2 - 9:28DENAnthony 1' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)34
26.6%
43
73.4%
Q2 - 9:36DENNUGGETS Rebound34
28.6%
41
71.4%
Q2 - 9:36DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot34
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 9:46SASBlair 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)34
28.6%
41
71.4%
Q2 - 9:59DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 9:59DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 232
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 10:10SASParker 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
26.6%
40
73.4%
Q2 - 10:22SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
24.9%
40
75.1%
Q2 - 10:23DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot30
24.2%
40
75.8%
Q2 - 10:35DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 10:36SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 10:49SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.9%
40
75.1%
Q2 - 10:50DENMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot30
24.2%
40
75.8%
Q2 - 11:00SASParker 9' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 11:10DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)28
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q2 - 11:23DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
25.0%
37
75.0%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot28
25.6%
37
74.4%
Q2 - 11:39SASSpurs Rebound28
27.0%
37
73.0%
Q2 - 11:40DENMISS Forbes 2' Driving Layup28
26.4%
37
73.6%
Q2 - 11:45DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
25.0%
37
75.0%
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
25.6%
37
74.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS28
27.0%
37
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
27.0%
37
73.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
31.6%
34
68.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 227
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
30.6%
34
69.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)25
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q1 - 1:08SASParker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q1 - 1:23DENHarrington 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)23
27.6%
32
72.4%
Q1 - 1:32SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)23
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q1 - 1:51DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)20
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q1 - 2:12SASBlair 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)20
30.3%
27
69.7%
Q1 - 2:23DENSmith 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)18
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q1 - 2:43SASHill 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)18
30.3%
25
69.7%
Q1 - 3:09DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)16
28.6%
25
71.4%
Q1 - 3:16DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)16
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q1 - 3:33DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
34.4%
21
65.6%
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 3:49DENNene 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)16
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q1 - 4:03SASParker 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
38.5%
19
61.5%
Q1 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)14
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 4:11DENMISS Nene Reverse Layup14
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 4:34SASQuinn 1' Layup (2 PTS)14
34.4%
19
65.6%
Q1 - 4:37SASQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q1 - 4:39SASMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot12
31.1%
19
68.9%
Q1 - 4:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q1 - 4:51DENMISS Shel. Williams 2' Layup12
31.9%
19
68.1%
Q1 - 4:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 4:57DENMISS Shel. Williams 2' Layup12
31.9%
19
68.1%
Q1 - 4:59DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 5:01DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot12
32.3%
19
67.7%
Q1 - 5:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
30.8%
19
69.2%
Q1 - 5:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 5:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 5:44DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot10
28.6%
19
71.4%
Q1 - 5:54DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 5:55SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 6:11SASQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.5%
19
70.5%
Q1 - 6:12DENMISS Shel. Williams 3' Layup10
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 6:23DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
27.7%
19
72.3%
Q1 - 6:25SASShel. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)10
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 6:46DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
29.5%
19
70.5%
Q1 - 6:53DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 6:55SASMISS Parker 2' Finger Roll Layup10
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 7:10DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)10
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 7:21DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
36.9%
14
63.1%
Q1 - 7:22SASMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot10
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 7:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 7:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Duncan 2' Tip Shot10
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 7:29SASMISS Blair 4' Running Jump Shot10
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 7:40DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 7:40DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
39.3%
13
60.7%
Q1 - 7:54SASBlair 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)10
40.8%
12
59.2%
Q1 - 8:11DENNene 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)8
39.0%
12
61.0%
Q1 - 8:15DENNUGGETS Rebound8
41.0%
10
59.0%
Q1 - 8:16DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup8
42.3%
10
57.7%
Q1 - 8:20SASJefferson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
41.0%
10
59.0%
Q1 - 8:25SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 8:27DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot6
38.5%
10
61.5%
Q1 - 8:39DENNUGGETS Rebound6
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 8:39SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot6
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 8:51DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 9:12DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 9:14SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 9:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 9:21DENMISS Nene 3' Reverse Layup6
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 9:38SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)6
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 9:53DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 10:07SASDuncan 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 10:22DENAfflalo 6' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)2
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 10:49SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 11:02DENAfflalo 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)0
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 11:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 11:18SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 11:37DENShel. Williams Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Duncan: Tip to Lawson0
45.1%
0
54.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 57.1%
DEN
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
29
69%
DEN
20
42
48%
Midrange
SAS
14
28
50%
DEN
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
DEN
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
SAS
18
25
72%
DEN
27
35
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2867%14.0 / 21
T. Parker2452%12.0 / 23
M. Ginobili1647%8.0 / 17
R. Jefferson1381%6.5 / 8
M. Bonner10100%5.0 / 5
D. Blair675%3.0 / 4
G. Neal643%3.0 / 7
A. McDyess6100%3.0 / 3
G. Hill220%1.0 / 5
C. Quinn250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3160%15.5 / 26
A. Afflalo2077%10.0 / 13
Nene1959%9.5 / 16
T. Lawson1568%7.5 / 11
J. Smith1267%6.0 / 9
A. Harrington1260%6.0 / 10
S. Williams217%1.0 / 6
G. Forbes113%0.5 / 4
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
87
+10
-9
97
DEN
87
+9
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 57.1%
DEN
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
112.7
SAS 117.7 +1.0
DEN 116.7
Pace
92.7
95.2
SAS 91.4
DEN 101.1 +9.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.3
SAS 15.8
DEN 14.2 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.6%
SAS 57.2% +4.7%
DEN 52.5%
TO %
13.8%
14.5%
SAS 8.7%
DEN 8.5% +0.2%
ORB %
25.0%
23.8%
SAS 21.6% +4.5%
DEN 17.1%
FTrt
29.9
36.7
SAS 30.1
DEN 43.2 +13.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
57.6%
SAS 60.5% +9.2%
DEN 51.3%
STL %
7.9%
7.7%
SAS 4.2% +3.2%
DEN 1.0%
BLK %
6.7%
6.8%
SAS 10.4% +8.6%
DEN 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
56.3%
SAS 57.1%
DEN 58.3% +1.2%
Rim FG%
60.3%
58.5%
SAS 69.0% +21.4%
DEN 47.6%
Mid FG%
41.6%
40.0%
SAS 50.0% +2.0%
DEN 48.0%
3P %
39.7%
38.8%
SAS 34.6%
DEN 50.0% +15.4%
FT %
76.7%
76.6%
SAS 72.0%
DEN 77.1% +5.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
42.5%
SAS 34.9%
DEN 51.9% +16.9%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
31.8%
SAS 33.7%
DEN 30.9% +2.9%
3P Att. %
26.1%
25.8%
SAS 31.3% +14.0%
DEN 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points113112
Rebounds4236
Assists2620
Steals41
Blocks71
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)29 (4)
Field Goals43-8339-81
At-the-Rim FG20-2920-42
Midrange FG14-2812-25
2-Point FG34-5732-67
3-Point FG9-267-14
Free Throws18-2527-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
37.3
24
52%
2
9
1
0
2
1
0
2
6-8
75%
9-18
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
36.4
13
81%
2
3
1
2
2
5
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
33.5
28
67%
16
4
1
4
0
4
5
11
4-6
67%
12-18
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
30.9
16
47%
3
4
1
0
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
2-10
20%
C · 6'7" 270 · 22
14.0
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
33.5
2
20%
2
4
0
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
19.6
6
43%
7
0
0
0
0
5
0
7
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
17.5
10
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
-
3-4
75%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36
15.0
6
100%
3
1
0
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
2.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
57%
42
26
4
7
9
0
8
34
18-25
72%
34-57
60%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.