FinalWin Prob.pScore
1827%87
90
473%95
102
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
103.48788.2
BOS logo BOS
117.28786.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS90
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0ATLAllen STEAL (4 STL)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0BOSRobinson 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0BOSMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14BOSMISS Pierce 2' Driving Layup88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20BOSMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39ATLTeague 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:10ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:21BOSDavis 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Allen 6 AST)86
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:39ATLBibby 1' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)86
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:05BOSDavis 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pierce 10 AST)84
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 3:27BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 3:28ATLMISS Teague 11' Running Jump Shot84
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 3:43BOSAllen 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)84
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 4:00ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)84
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 4:13ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 4:14BOSMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot82
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 4:35BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 4:36ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 182
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 4:39BOSRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)80
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 4:44BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 4:48ATLMISS Teague 19' Jump Shot80
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 4:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 4:59BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 5:22ATLRobinson STEAL (3 STL)80
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 5:46BOSDaniels 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)80
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 5:59ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)80
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 5:59ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)79
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 6:12BOSRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)78
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 6:29ATLGarnett STEAL (2 STL)78
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 6:50BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 6:50BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 7:03ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
8.1%
84
91.9%
Q4 - 7:03ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 1 of 277
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q4 - 7:27BOSRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)77
8.2%
84
91.8%
Q4 - 7:41ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q4 - 7:41ATLWilkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q4 - 7:58BOSErden 1' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)75
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 8:05BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 8:08ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot75
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 8:31BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Robinson 5 AST)75
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 8:50BOSJump Ball Robinson vs. Teague: Tip to Davis75
14.3%
79
85.7%
Q4 - 9:06BOSDavis 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)75
18.5%
79
81.5%
Q4 - 9:08BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
22.4%
77
77.6%
Q4 - 9:09BOSMISS Erden 1' Layup75
25.4%
77
74.6%
Q4 - 9:20ATLAllen STEAL (3 STL)75
22.4%
77
77.6%
Q4 - 9:23ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
26.8%
77
73.2%
Q4 - 9:25BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup75
25.4%
77
74.6%
Q4 - 9:34ATLAllen STEAL (2 STL)75
22.4%
77
77.6%
Q4 - 9:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
26.7%
77
73.3%
Q4 - 9:50BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
25.3%
77
74.7%
Q4 - 10:11ATLTeague 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)75
22.5%
77
77.5%
Q4 - 10:33BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)73
18.8%
77
81.2%
Q4 - 10:48ATLWilliams 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q4 - 11:17BOSErden 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)71
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 11:44ATLTeague 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
16.0%
75
84.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL69
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Robinson 17' Pullup Jump Shot69
13.0%
75
87.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0ATLPowell 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)69
11.6%
75
88.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
9.5%
75
90.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot67
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLPachulia Tip Shot (10 PTS)67
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)65
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup65
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 1:15BOSAllen 8' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)65
6.8%
75
93.2%
Q3 - 1:35ATLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)65
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 1:53ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q3 - 1:54BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 2:06ATLAllen STEAL (1 STL)63
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 2:18BOSDavis 1' Layup (12 PTS)63
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 2:19BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 2:20BOSMISS Davis 2' Layup63
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 2:33BOSCELTICS Rebound63
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 2:34BOSMISS Pierce 1' Driving Layup63
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 2:43BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 2:44BOSMISS Pierce 1' Running Layup63
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 3:04ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 3:04ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 262
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 3:18BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Pierce 9 AST)62
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 3:43ATLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)62
10.4%
69
89.6%
Q3 - 3:58BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)60
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 4:16ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)60
12.3%
66
87.7%
Q3 - 4:35BOSGarnett 6' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Pierce 8 AST)58
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 4:54ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)58
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 5:11BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)56
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 5:18BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)56
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q3 - 5:19ATLMISS Horford 7' Fadeaway Jumper56
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 5:38BOSErden 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Pierce 7 AST)56
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 5:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
19.3%
59
80.7%
Q3 - 5:44ATLErden BLOCK (1 BLK)56
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 6:04BOSGarnett 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
22.2%
59
77.8%
Q3 - 6:19ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)56
24.8%
57
75.2%
Q3 - 6:19ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 255
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 6:26ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
25.1%
57
74.9%
Q3 - 6:27BOSMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot55
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q3 - 6:55ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)55
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 7:14BOSGarnett 1' Layup (11 PTS)53
19.4%
57
80.6%
Q3 - 7:15BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)53
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q3 - 7:16BOSMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
23.7%
55
76.3%
Q3 - 7:37BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q3 - 7:39ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
22.6%
55
77.4%
Q3 - 8:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
24.7%
55
75.3%
Q3 - 8:02BOSMISS Erden Free Throw 1 of 153
24.2%
55
75.8%
Q3 - 8:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)53
27.3%
53
72.7%
Q3 - 8:19ATLMISS Smith Layup53
28.3%
53
71.7%
Q3 - 8:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
30.6%
53
69.4%
Q3 - 8:30BOSMISS Robinson 22' Jump Shot53
29.5%
53
70.5%
Q3 - 8:47ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)53
27.3%
53
72.7%
Q3 - 8:55ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q3 - 8:56BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot50
21.0%
53
79.0%
Q3 - 9:12ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)50
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 9:31BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)47
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q3 - 9:34BOSRobinson 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)47
17.1%
52
82.9%
Q3 - 9:47BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q3 - 9:48ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot47
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q3 - 10:16BOSAllen 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pierce 6 AST)47
21.5%
50
78.5%
Q3 - 10:29ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
23.9%
48
76.1%
Q3 - 10:56BOSAllen 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)45
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q3 - 11:13ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
23.7%
46
76.3%
Q3 - 11:32BOSAllen 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)43
21.4%
46
78.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS43
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound43
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
25.6%
44
74.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLPowell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)43
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0BOSGarnett Putback Layup (9 PTS)43
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)43
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0BOSMISS Pierce Layup43
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot43
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0BOSGarnett Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)43
31.5%
42
68.5%
Q2 - 1:03BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 1:04ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
35.4%
40
64.6%
Q2 - 1:27BOSDavis 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)43
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 1:41ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)43
40.9%
38
59.1%
Q2 - 2:00BOSGarnett Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)43
43.2%
38
56.8%
Q2 - 2:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
39.7%
38
60.3%
Q2 - 2:16ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup43
40.6%
38
59.4%
Q2 - 2:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
42.9%
38
57.1%
Q2 - 2:25BOSMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
41.9%
38
58.1%
Q2 - 2:32BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)43
39.7%
38
60.3%
Q2 - 2:33ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
40.7%
38
59.3%
Q2 - 2:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
42.9%
38
57.1%
Q2 - 2:43BOSMISS Davis 1' Layup43
41.9%
38
58.1%
Q2 - 3:04ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T9)43
38.7%
38
61.3%
Q2 - 3:15ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
42.3%
38
57.7%
Q2 - 3:16BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot43
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 3:26ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T8)43
38.8%
38
61.2%
Q2 - 3:31ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
42.3%
38
57.7%
Q2 - 3:33BOSMISS Garnett 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot43
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 3:56ATLPowell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)43
38.8%
38
61.2%
Q2 - 4:23BOSPierce 15' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
35.5%
38
64.5%
Q2 - 4:40BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)41
38.1%
36
61.9%
Q2 - 4:41ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot41
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 4:59BOSRobinson 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 5:18ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)41
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 5:22BOSRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)38
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 5:24ATLRobinson STEAL (1 STL)38
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 5:43ATLPachulia Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 5:43ATLPachulia Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 6:04BOSDavis 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)36
32.2%
34
67.8%
Q2 - 6:12BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
34.3%
32
65.7%
Q2 - 6:13ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot36
35.3%
32
64.7%
Q2 - 6:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
37.4%
32
62.6%
Q2 - 6:28BOSMISS Davis 15' Pullup Jump Shot36
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 6:42BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
34.4%
32
65.6%
Q2 - 6:43ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 236
34.8%
32
65.2%
Q2 - 6:43ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
36.6%
32
63.4%
Q2 - 7:00BOSDavis Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)35
34.8%
32
65.2%
Q2 - 7:08BOSCELTICS Rebound35
36.4%
30
63.6%
Q2 - 7:09BOSMISS Daniels 1' Layup35
38.3%
30
61.7%
Q2 - 7:14ATLGarnett STEAL (1 STL)35
36.4%
30
63.6%
Q2 - 7:35BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
39.2%
30
60.8%
Q2 - 7:35BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
39.8%
29
60.2%
Q2 - 7:37BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
41.7%
28
58.3%
Q2 - 7:38BOSMISS Harangody 16' Jump Shot35
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 7:52BOSHarangody REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
41.7%
28
58.3%
Q2 - 7:53BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot35
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 8:19ATLWilkins 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 8:38BOSDavis 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 8:54ATLTeague 1' Dunk (11 PTS)33
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q2 - 8:58BOSHarangody Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)31
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q2 - 9:10ATLWilkins Layup (2 PTS)31
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 9:11ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
32.9%
26
67.1%
Q2 - 9:12ATLMISS Powell 10' Jump Shot29
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q2 - 9:29BOSHarangody 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)29
32.9%
26
67.1%
Q2 - 9:53ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
35.2%
24
64.8%
Q2 - 9:56BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 10:15ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q2 - 10:15ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q2 - 10:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q2 - 10:24ATLMISS Wilkins 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot24
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q2 - 10:42BOSHarangody 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)24
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q2 - 10:59ATLPowell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)24
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q2 - 11:11ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q2 - 11:12BOSMISS Harangody 15' Jump Shot22
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q2 - 11:30ATLPachulia 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)22
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q2 - 11:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 11:31ATLMISS Evans 1' Layup20
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q2 - 11:40ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q2 - 11:41BOSMISS Daniels 3' Jump Shot20
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS20
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLDaniels STEAL (1 STL)20
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Teague 3' Jump Shot20
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0BOSDaniels 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)20
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Powell 16' Jump Shot20
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0BOSDaniels 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLBradley STEAL (1 STL)20
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 1:13ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 1:14BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 220
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 1:14BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 1:32ATLTeague Dunk (6 PTS)20
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 1:40ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 1:41BOSMISS Pierce 9' Pullup Jump Shot18
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 1:49BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 1:50ATLMISS Wilkins 16' Jump Shot18
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 2:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 2:17BOSMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot18
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 2:33ATLTeague Slam Dunk (4 PTS)18
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 2:37BOSBradley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)16
24.0%
17
76.0%
Q1 - 2:44ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 2:44ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 3:01BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)14
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 3:22ATLTeague 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
22.2%
15
77.8%
Q1 - 3:43ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 3:44BOSMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 4:09ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
18.9%
15
81.1%
Q1 - 4:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 4:14BOSMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
20.0%
15
80.0%
Q1 - 4:25BOSGarnett Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)12
18.9%
15
81.1%
Q1 - 4:25BOSCELTICS Rebound12
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 4:25ATLMISS Powell 21' Jump Shot12
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 4:48BOSRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)12
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 4:56BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 4:57ATLMISS Smith 5' Running Jump Shot12
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 5:11ATLHawks Rebound12
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 5:12BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
26.2%
11
73.8%
Q1 - 5:26BOSCELTICS Rebound12
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 5:26ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 5:34BOSRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)12
26.7%
11
73.3%
Q1 - 5:46ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 5:46ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 5:51BOSRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)10
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 5:59BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 6:00ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.3%
11
77.7%
Q1 - 6:10ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 6:12ATLMISS Bibby 6' Running Jump Shot10
22.1%
11
77.9%
Q1 - 6:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 6:17ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot10
22.1%
11
77.9%
Q1 - 6:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 6:25BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot10
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 6:38BOSCELTICS Rebound10
21.7%
11
78.3%
Q1 - 6:39BOSMISS Pierce 1' Driving Layup10
22.8%
11
77.2%
Q1 - 6:48BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
21.7%
11
78.3%
Q1 - 6:49ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot10
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 7:14BOSGarnett 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)10
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 7:26ATLBibby 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 7:37BOSRobinson 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)8
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 7:47BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
24.3%
7
75.7%
Q1 - 7:48ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot8
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 8:01ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 8:02BOSMISS Erden Free Throw 1 of 18
25.4%
7
74.6%
Q1 - 8:13ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)8
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 8:35BOSPierce Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 8:42ATLPierce STEAL (1 STL)6
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 8:55BOSGarnett 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)6
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 9:13ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)6
27.0%
3
73.0%
Q1 - 9:32ATLHawks Rebound4
25.5%
3
74.5%
Q1 - 9:32BOSMISS Garnett 5' Jump Shot4
25.0%
3
75.0%
Q1 - 9:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.1%
3
75.9%
Q1 - 9:50ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot4
24.5%
3
75.5%
Q1 - 10:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:03ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
24.2%
3
75.8%
Q1 - 10:09BOSRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:24ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
23.8%
3
76.2%
Q1 - 10:43BOSPierce 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)4
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 11:00ATLWilliams 1' Layup (4 PTS)4
26.5%
1
73.5%
Q1 - 11:01ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.6%
1
75.4%
Q1 - 11:02ATLMISS Williams 2' Layup2
23.8%
1
76.2%
Q1 - 11:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.6%
1
75.4%
Q1 - 11:10BOSMISS Robinson 8' Fadeaway Jumper2
24.3%
1
75.7%
Q1 - 11:25BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
23.5%
1
76.5%
Q1 - 11:39ATLWilliams 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Erden vs. Smith: Tip to Williams0
23.5%
0
76.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.14 57.0%
BOS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
11
19
58%
BOS
19
32
59%
Midrange
ATL
20
39
51%
BOS
19
33
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
BOS
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
19
24
79%
BOS
8
11
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2668%13.0 / 19
J. Teague1882%9.0 / 11
M. Bibby1161%5.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia10100%5.0 / 5
A. Horford857%4.0 / 7
D. Wilkins758%3.5 / 6
J. Powell650%3.0 / 6
J. Crawford350%1.5 / 3
J. Smith16%0.5 / 9
J. Collins0-0.0 / 0
M. Evans0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen1869%9.0 / 13
G. Davis1856%9.0 / 16
K. Garnett1785%8.5 / 10
P. Pierce1544%7.5 / 17
N. Robinson1447%7.0 / 15
S. Erden1083%5.0 / 6
M. Daniels660%3.0 / 5
L. Harangody450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
69
+10
-18
79
BOS
75
+13
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.14 57.0%
BOS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
106.1
ATL 103.4
BOS 117.2 +13.8
Pace
89.5
90.6
ATL 88.2 +1.5
BOS 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.9
ATL 16.3 +0.3
BOS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
51.9%
ATL 52.2%
BOS 56.6% +4.4%
TO %
14.2%
14.9%
ATL 18.6%
BOS 12.0% +6.6%
ORB %
23.5%
21.2%
ATL 29.4% +4.4%
BOS 25.0%
FTrt
26.9
30.5
ATL 35.3 +22.0
BOS 13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
63.5%
ATL 47.1%
BOS 63.6% +16.5%
STL %
6.8%
9.1%
ATL 11.5%
BOS 13.8% +2.3%
BLK %
6.6%
6.8%
ATL 3.1% +1.4%
BOS 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.3%
ATL 57.0%
BOS 57.3% +0.3%
Rim FG%
60.0%
61.6%
ATL 57.9%
BOS 59.4% +1.5%
Mid FG%
42.5%
42.6%
ATL 51.3%
BOS 57.6% +6.3%
3P %
35.2%
36.5%
ATL 30.0%
BOS 33.3% +3.3%
FT %
78.0%
77.0%
ATL 79.2% +6.5%
BOS 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
37.4%
ATL 27.9%
BOS 38.6% +10.6%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
44.6%
ATL 57.4%
BOS 39.8% +17.6%
3P Att. %
22.2%
18.0%
ATL 14.7%
BOS 21.7% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLBOS
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes23.724.1
Points90102
Rebounds3733
Assists1628
Steals1012
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)24 (2)
Field Goals34-6844-83
At-the-Rim FG11-1919-32
Midrange FG20-3919-33
2-Point FG31-5838-65
3-Point FG3-106-18
Free Throws19-248-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 237 · 24
35.8
26
68%
5
1
0
1
4
3
2
3
7-9
78%
8-12
67%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
34.2
1
6%
4
3
3
0
2
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-7
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
27.8
11
61%
3
8
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 245 · 25
25.9
8
57%
7
2
0
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
14.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
25.1
18
82%
4
2
3
0
4
0
0
4
2-3
67%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
22.1
6
50%
4
0
0
0
4
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 225 · 31
18.6
7
58%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
18.4
10
100%
4
0
2
0
0
1
3
1
6-6
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
· 6'4" 195 · 22
8.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 33
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'5" 185 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
57%
37
16
10
2
18
0
10
27
19-24
79%
31-58
53%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.