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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks27%8790
4Celtics73%95102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.5
35.8
30.4
26
69%
5
1
0
1
1
4
2
3
7-9
78%
8-12
3-6
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.0
34.2
34.6
1
6%
4
3
3
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-7
6-12
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.6
27.8
26.9
11
61%
3
8
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
43%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
25.9
38.1
8
57%
7
2
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
8-14
57%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
14.8
7.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
25.1
8.3
18
73%
4
2
3
0
0
4
0
4
2-3
67%
8-11
1-2
73%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
22.1
12.5
6
50%
4
0
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.9
18.6
22.1
7
61%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
18.4
11.2
10
89%
4
0
2
0
0
0
3
1
6-6
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
9.1
15.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
8.2
3.3
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.5
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.5
41.4
20.0
14
47%
0
5
3
1
0
6
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.4
39.4
36.2
18
65%
2
6
4
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
52%
2-6
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.2
38.2
36.2
15
45%
5
10
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-10
5-9
30%
50%
2-5
40%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.6
31.9
31.9
17
81%
14
3
2
1
0
1
3
11
1-1
100%
8-10
6-11
80%
52%
0-0
-
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
23.9
19.4
10
73%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
5-6
2-4
83%
55%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.0
32.8
27.2
18
57%
10
2
0
1
0
1
3
7
2-2
100%
8-15
4-9
53%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.9
18.5
19.4
6
60%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.0
7.4
2.2
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.1
4.5
2.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.4
2.1
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.8
33.9
2
4-8
52%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.8
6.7
0
1-2
58%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.2
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.4
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.