for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, December 15, 2010
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Bucks
24%90
90
3
Spurs
76%99
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
96.89388.1
SAS logo SAS
97.99499.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL90
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)90
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)90
28.7%
90
71.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Gooden 2' Tip Shot90
38.8%
90
61.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)90
63.4%
90
36.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 14' Jump Shot90
38.8%
90
61.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
54.1%
90
45.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup90
46.6%
90
53.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
31.3%
90
68.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILGooden 1' Tip Shot (20 PTS)90
31.3%
90
68.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0MILMISS Jennings 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup88
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q4 - 1:03MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
20.8%
90
79.2%
Q4 - 1:04SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup88
17.7%
90
82.3%
Q4 - 1:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)88
13.4%
90
86.6%
Q4 - 1:21MILMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 288
14.5%
90
85.5%
Q4 - 1:21MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
20.1%
90
79.9%
Q4 - 1:32SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)87
15.2%
90
84.8%
Q4 - 1:48MILDouglas-Roberts 2' Running Layup (21 PTS)87
32.7%
87
67.3%
Q4 - 1:51MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
23.4%
87
76.6%
Q4 - 1:53SASMISS Parker 2' Layup85
20.6%
87
79.4%
Q4 - 2:09SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
14.9%
87
85.1%
Q4 - 2:10MILMISS Jennings 20' Fadeaway Jumper85
17.7%
87
82.3%
Q4 - 2:36MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
26.5%
87
73.5%
Q4 - 2:37SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 285
24.6%
87
75.4%
Q4 - 2:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
18.6%
87
81.4%
Q4 - 2:53MILBogut 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)85
23.2%
86
76.8%
Q4 - 3:09MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
18.1%
86
81.9%
Q4 - 3:10SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot83
15.4%
86
84.6%
Q4 - 3:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
13.5%
86
86.5%
Q4 - 3:33MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
15.0%
86
85.0%
Q4 - 3:43MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
18.8%
86
81.2%
Q4 - 3:45SASMISS Hill 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup83
16.9%
86
83.1%
Q4 - 4:05MILMbah a Moute 6' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)83
13.0%
86
87.0%
Q4 - 4:28SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)81
9.4%
86
90.6%
Q4 - 4:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q4 - 4:34MILDuncan BLOCK (7 BLK)81
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q4 - 4:49SASParker 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)81
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 4:54MILGinobili STEAL (1 STL)81
12.8%
84
87.2%
Q4 - 5:11SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)81
19.7%
84
80.3%
Q4 - 5:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
14.5%
84
85.5%
Q4 - 5:24MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 281
15.1%
84
84.9%
Q4 - 5:24MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
17.5%
84
82.5%
Q4 - 5:47SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)80
14.8%
84
85.2%
Q4 - 5:47SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)80
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q4 - 5:47SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 280
20.2%
82
79.8%
Q4 - 5:57MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
19.2%
82
80.8%
Q4 - 5:57MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
18.3%
82
81.7%
Q4 - 5:57MILBucks Rebound78
14.8%
82
85.2%
Q4 - 5:57SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot78
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q4 - 6:11MILGooden 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)78
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q4 - 6:28SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)76
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 6:44MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q4 - 6:44MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
11.2%
80
88.8%
Q4 - 6:44MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q4 - 6:45MILDuncan BLOCK (6 BLK)74
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q4 - 7:04MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot74
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q4 - 7:18MILBucks Turnover: Backcourt (T#15)74
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q4 - 7:30SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)74
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q4 - 7:42MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q4 - 7:42MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 7:53MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q4 - 7:55SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup72
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 8:17MILBogut 3' Layup (12 PTS)72
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q4 - 8:43SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 8:43SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 8:50SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q4 - 8:50MILMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot70
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q4 - 9:04SASBonner 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)70
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q4 - 9:14MILGooden 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 2 AST)70
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q4 - 9:19MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q4 - 9:20MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot68
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q4 - 9:42MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q4 - 9:43SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 168
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q4 - 9:47SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q4 - 9:47MILMISS Dooling 2' Layup68
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q4 - 10:05MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q4 - 10:06SASMISS Parker 5' Floating Jump Shot68
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q4 - 10:19SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)68
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q4 - 10:20MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Fadeaway Jumper68
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q4 - 10:40SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q4 - 10:40SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q4 - 10:52MILGooden 2' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)68
14.3%
72
85.7%
Q4 - 11:06MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot66
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q4 - 11:33MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)66
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q4 - 11:45SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 263
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS63
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILJennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)60
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot60
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Bonner 11' Jump Shot60
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILJennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)60
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 1:00MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot57
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 1:20MILGooden 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)57
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 1:41SASMcDyess 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)55
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 1:59SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 2:00SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 2:17MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P3.T14)55
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 2:37MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 2:38SASMISS Hill 20' Pullup Jump Shot55
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 3:01MILIlyasova 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)55
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 3:10SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)52
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 3:30SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 3:31MILMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot52
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 3:49SASBonner Foul Turnover (P2.T13)52
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 4:08MILDouglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)52
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 4:19SASJefferson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)49
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 4:37SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 4:38MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 4:50SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)49
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 5:02MILDouglas-Roberts Foul Turnover (P3.T13)49
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 5:13SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 5:13SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 5:30MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 5:30MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 5:37MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q3 - 5:39SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot47
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 6:01MILDouglas-Roberts 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)47
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 6:09SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)45
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 6:23MILDooling Palming Turnover (P1.T12)45
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 6:39MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 6:40SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot45
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 6:56MILDouglas-Roberts Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)45
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 7:09SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)45
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q3 - 7:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 7:25SASMISS Hill Free Throw 3 of 345
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q3 - 7:25SASHill Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)45
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 7:25SASHill Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)45
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q3 - 7:42MILIlyasova 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
3.7%
59
96.3%
Q3 - 7:58SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)43
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 8:19MILHill STEAL (2 STL)43
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 8:38SASParker 13' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 8:56MILDouglas-Roberts 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)43
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 9:15SASBlair 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)41
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q3 - 9:33MILIlyasova 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)41
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q3 - 9:51SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS)39
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 9:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q3 - 9:57MILJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)39
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q3 - 10:04MILBucks Rebound39
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q3 - 10:04MILParker BLOCK (1 BLK)39
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q3 - 10:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q3 - 10:10SASMISS Blair 1' Layup39
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q3 - 10:29SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q3 - 10:30MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot39
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q3 - 10:54SASBlair Foul Turnover (P4.T10)39
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q3 - 11:06MILIlyasova 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)39
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q3 - 11:16SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)37
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q3 - 11:38MILBogut 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL35
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Splitter 10' Jump Shot35
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
3.7%
51
96.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Bank Shot35
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILMISS Ilyasova 3' Layup35
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0MILMISS Jennings 2' Layup35
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 1:07MILBogut 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)35
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 1:23SASSplitter 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)33
3.2%
51
96.8%
Q2 - 1:38MILDouglas-Roberts Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)33
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 1:42SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)33
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 1:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 1:53MILMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 2:18SASBlair 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)33
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 2:35MILIlyasova 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)33
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 2:46SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)31
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 2:46SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)31
4.4%
46
95.6%
Q2 - 2:56MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 2:56MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 3:07SASJefferson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)29
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 3:11SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 3:12MILBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)29
5.2%
43
94.8%
Q2 - 3:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 3:20SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot29
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 3:29MILParker STEAL (1 STL)29
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 3:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 3:33SASMISS Duncan 4' Driving Layup29
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 3:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 3:46MILMISS Bogut 10' Jump Shot29
5.2%
43
94.8%
Q2 - 4:08SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)29
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 4:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 4:21MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot29
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 4:53SASJefferson 2' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)29
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 5:10MILGooden Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)29
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 5:30SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)29
9.2%
39
90.8%
Q2 - 5:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 5:39MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot29
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 5:42MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 5:43MILDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)29
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 5:57MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Neal 14' Jump Shot29
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 6:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 6:07MILMISS Gooden 12' Jump Shot29
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 6:31SASBonner Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)29
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 6:46MILDooling 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
10.5%
36
89.5%
Q2 - 7:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 227
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 7:15MILDooling 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 7:40SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)24
8.6%
35
91.4%
Q2 - 8:01SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 8:02MILMISS Bogut 8' Jump Hook Shot24
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 8:21SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 8:24MILNeal STEAL (1 STL)24
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q2 - 8:39SASHill 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)24
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q2 - 9:02MILBoykins 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)24
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 9:27MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q2 - 9:30SASMISS Neal 2' Layup22
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 9:34SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 9:36MILMISS Gooden 12' Jump Shot22
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q2 - 9:49MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q2 - 9:51SASMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot22
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 10:04SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 10:06MILMISS Boykins 13' Turnaround Bank Shot22
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 10:15MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q2 - 10:15SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 122
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q2 - 10:22SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q2 - 10:24MILMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot22
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 10:49SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T5)22
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q2 - 11:07MILGooden 2' Layup (2 PTS)22
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q2 - 11:29SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q2 - 11:29SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 220
14.8%
25
85.2%
Q2 - 11:42MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T5)20
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS20
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILHill STEAL (1 STL)20
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)20
15.6%
25
84.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)20
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASGinobili 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)17
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MILDouglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)17
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 1:06SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q1 - 1:08MILMISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot14
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 1:25SASBonner 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)14
13.3%
21
86.7%
Q1 - 1:44MILJennings Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 1:57MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 1:59SASMISS Neal 10' Jump Shot14
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 2:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q1 - 2:10MILMISS Mbah a Moute 13' Jump Shot14
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 2:24MILBucks Rebound14
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 2:26MILDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)14
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 2:44MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 2:45SASMISS Ginobili 6' Running Bank Shot14
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 3:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 3:07MILBogut 3' Layup (6 PTS)14
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 3:10MILDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)12
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 3:35SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 3:46SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 3:47MILMISS Jennings 11' Jump Shot12
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 4:01SASParker 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 4:15MILBogut 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 4:35SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
13.5%
17
86.5%
Q1 - 4:53MILJennings 1' Layup (4 PTS)10
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 4:59MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 5:01SASMISS Jefferson 1' Dunk8
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 5:07MILBogut 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 5:18SASBlair 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
10.1%
17
89.9%
Q1 - 5:27SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 5:29MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 7' Jump Shot6
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 5:47SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS)6
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 5:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 5:54MILDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)6
12.9%
13
87.1%
Q1 - 6:12SASGinobili Layup (7 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)6
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 6:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 6:18MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 19' Jump Shot6
14.9%
11
85.1%
Q1 - 6:35SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 6:52MILJennings 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 7:15SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS)4
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 7:22SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 7:24MILMISS Dooling 11' Jump Shot4
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 7:42MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 7:43SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 7:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 7:51SASMISS Jefferson 23' Jump Shot4
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 8:11MILDouglas-Roberts 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 8:24SASBlair Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)2
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 8:31SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.5%
6
84.5%
Q1 - 8:33MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot2
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 8:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 8:47SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot2
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 9:02MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan 1' Dunk (4 PTS)2
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 9:34SASSPURS Rebound2
17.8%
4
82.2%
Q1 - 9:35MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)2
18.1%
4
81.9%
Q1 - 9:48SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 9:57MILDouglas-Roberts 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:06SASMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot0
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:15MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot0
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 10:23MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:25SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot0
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:43MILBogut Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 11:02SASGinobili 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 11:17SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 11:19MILMISS Bogut 4' Jump Shot0
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 11:38SASDuncan 8' Driving Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bogut: Tip to Jefferson0
19.7%
0
80.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.6%
SAS
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
26
46%
SAS
22
32
69%
Midrange
MIL
17
42
40%
SAS
11
29
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
6
9.0
11
55%
82%
SAS
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIL
14
16
88%
SAS
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Douglas-Roberts2166%10.5 / 16
D. Gooden2056%10.0 / 18
A. Bogut1563%7.5 / 12
E. Ilyasova1365%6.5 / 10
B. Jennings1232%6.0 / 19
K. Dooling550%2.5 / 5
L. Mbah a Moute233%1.0 / 3
E. Boykins250%1.0 / 2
C. Maggette0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2676%13.0 / 17
T. Parker1650%8.0 / 16
T. Duncan1359%6.5 / 11
R. Jefferson1146%5.5 / 12
M. Bonner788%3.5 / 4
D. Blair675%3.0 / 4
G. Hill660%3.0 / 5
G. Neal330%1.5 / 5
A. McDyess233%1.0 / 3
T. Splitter250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+9
-15
87
SAS
77
+3
-17
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.6%
SAS
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
111.5
MIL 96.8
SAS 97.9 +1.1
Pace
89.6
92.7
MIL 88.1
SAS 99.5 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.7
MIL 16.3
SAS 14.5 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
52.7%
MIL 48.1%
SAS 54.3% +6.2%
TO %
13.9%
13.8%
MIL 15.7% +1.8%
SAS 17.5%
ORB %
24.8%
25.0%
MIL 16.3% +8.0%
SAS 8.3%
FTrt
28.7
29.9
MIL 20.3
SAS 36.2 +15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
58.3%
MIL 48.6%
SAS 66.7% +18.1%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
MIL 8.6% +3.3%
SAS 5.3%
BLK %
7.9%
6.7%
MIL 16.4% +1.7%
SAS 14.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
55.3%
MIL 50.6%
SAS 56.8% +6.2%
Rim FG%
53.9%
60.3%
MIL 46.2%
SAS 68.8% +22.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
41.6%
MIL 40.5% +2.6%
SAS 37.9%
3P %
34.2%
39.7%
MIL 54.5% +17.0%
SAS 37.5%
FT %
75.7%
76.7%
MIL 87.5% +19.5%
SAS 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
34.3%
MIL 32.9%
SAS 46.4% +13.5%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
39.7%
MIL 53.2%
SAS 42.0% +11.1%
3P Att. %
21.6%
26.1%
MIL 13.9% +2.3%
SAS 11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points9092
Rebounds4039
Assists1724
Steals85
Blocks1010
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)3 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)36 (1)
Field Goals35-7936-69
At-the-Rim FG12-2622-32
Midrange FG17-4211-29
2-Point FG29-6833-61
3-Point FG6-113-8
Free Throws14-1617-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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16 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21
42.6
12
32%
3
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-14
14%
2-4
50%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
39.8
21
66%
3
2
2
1
3
2
0
3
3-3
100%
6-12
50%
2-3
67%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26
35.9
15
63%
7
4
1
7
2
2
1
6
1-2
50%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
34.7
5
50%
3
3
2
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
29.9
13
65%
6
0
1
1
3
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29
24.9
20
56%
11
0
0
1
3
3
4
7
6-7
86%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
22.0
2
33%
5
1
2
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35
5.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
5.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24
Michael Redd
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
John Salmons
#15 · F · 6'6" 210 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Carlos Delfino
#10 · G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Brian Skinner
#54 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
51%
40
17
8
10
15
0
7
33
14-16
88%
29-68
43%
6-11
55%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.