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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 15, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Rockets30%96105
10Thunder70%103117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.7
34.7
31.3
15
59%
4
3
3
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.3
33.3
25.7
5
36%
3
5
3
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.9
27.3
26.7
22
66%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-6
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
5-7
71%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.6
26.9
30.5
18
57%
5
1
0
1
2
1
0
5
2-4
50%
8-14
7-14
57%
51%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.5
22.4
21.2
9
71%
3
2
3
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
27.1
22.3
12
82%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
23.8
18.8
13
55%
5
0
0
0
0
3
4
1
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.6
15.5
21.9
6
38%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-4
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.4
13.3
11.2
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.7
12.0
19.2
2
35%
1
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
3.6
13.8
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
6.2
0
1-2
45%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.9
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
38.6
32.9
21
70%
4
5
1
1
0
3
1
3
7-7
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.2
35.5
35.4
32
78%
7
4
0
1
0
3
0
7
6-6
100%
10-16
7-13
63%
51%
2-2
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
34.1
27.5
15
77%
9
1
1
1
2
2
4
5
4-4
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
50%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
31.9
31.6
17
64%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
6-10
7-14
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
23.7
24.9
8
82%
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
57%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.3
31.9
21.8
16
87%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
2-3
67%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
16.1
16.1
2
50%
0
4
3
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
13.2
20.1
2
33%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
8.6
12.3
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
5.3
3.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
1.2
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.1
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.