FinalWin Prob.pScore
2510%88
95
190%105
101
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
103.39296.2
MIA logo MIA
112.29086.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE95
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)95
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)94
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)93
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)93
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0CLEMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 1:04CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)93
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 293
4.9%
97
95.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q4 - 1:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)93
5.2%
96
94.8%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot93
8.1%
96
91.9%
Q4 - 1:33CLEJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 1:33CLEJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
5.9%
96
94.1%
Q4 - 1:33CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
4.3%
96
95.7%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 1:58CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 1:58CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 1:58CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)89
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 1:59CLEMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 2:07MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)89
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 289
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 2:09CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)89
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 2:21CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot86
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 2:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:41CLEMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 2:45CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)86
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 2:46CLEAnthony BLOCK (5 BLK)86
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 2:50MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)86
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 3:06CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)86
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:18CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 283
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 283
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:33CLEMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:36CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:39CLEAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:55CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:17CLEParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:17CLEParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:22MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)81
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:29CLEAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)81
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:50CLECavaliers Rebound81
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 4:52CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:11MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 281
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 5:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 5:13CLEMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot81
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 5:30MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 281
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 5:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 5:32CLEMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot81
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 5:36CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot81
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 5:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 5:54CLEAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)81
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 6:15MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 6:15MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 6:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 6:22CLEMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 6:39MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)81
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 6:59CLEVarejao 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)81
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 7:17CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 7:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 7:30CLEMISS Jamison 2' Layup79
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)79
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 8:15CLEJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)79
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 8:22CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot76
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 8:35CLEBosh STEAL (1 STL)76
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 9:00MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 9:17MIAHEAT Rebound76
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 9:18CLEMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 9:25CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot76
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 9:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 9:38CLEAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)76
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 9:57MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)76
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 10:16CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)76
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q4 - 10:32MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q4 - 10:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q4 - 10:38CLEMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot73
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q4 - 11:01MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 11:23CLEGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
13.7%
75
86.3%
Q4 - 11:23CLEGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q4 - 11:32CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q4 - 11:34CLEMISS Sessions 9' Fadeaway Jumper71
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q4 - 11:46MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)71
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE71
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound71
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
14.4%
73
85.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T12)71
16.1%
73
83.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0CLEGibson 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)71
13.7%
73
86.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 269
11.8%
72
88.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot69
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0CLEGibson 9' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 1:06MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)67
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 1:28CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)67
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q3 - 2:00MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (House 1 AST)64
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 2:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
11.1%
67
88.9%
Q3 - 2:07CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 2:11CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 2:12CLEMISS Graham 18' Jump Shot64
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 2:33MIAHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)64
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 2:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
15.4%
65
84.6%
Q3 - 2:44CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 3:03CLECavaliers Rebound64
17.2%
65
82.8%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot64
16.4%
65
83.6%
Q3 - 3:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 3:20CLEMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot64
15.4%
65
84.6%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
17.3%
65
82.7%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
17.8%
64
82.2%
Q3 - 4:00CLEWilliams 8' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q3 - 4:23CLECavaliers Rebound62
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
16.3%
63
83.7%
Q3 - 4:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 4:36CLEMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot62
15.2%
63
84.8%
Q3 - 4:53MIABosh 2' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)62
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 5:12CLEGibson 9' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 5:27CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 260
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 260
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 5:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 5:37CLEMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 5:44MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)60
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 6:08CLEParker 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)60
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 6:19CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot58
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q3 - 6:38CLEGibson Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)58
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 6:38CLEMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 357
10.1%
61
89.9%
Q3 - 6:38CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)57
11.4%
61
88.6%
Q3 - 6:51MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q3 - 7:06MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 7:07CLEMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup56
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q3 - 7:21MIAIlgauskas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)56
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 7:37CLEJamison 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)56
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q3 - 7:46CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot53
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q3 - 8:04CLEVarejao Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)53
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q3 - 8:07CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 8:09CLEMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q3 - 8:28MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)53
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 8:50CLEVarejao 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)53
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 9:06MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical51
10.0%
54
90.0%
Q3 - 9:06MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
10.3%
54
89.7%
Q3 - 9:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q3 - 9:14CLEMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot51
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 9:41MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)51
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q3 - 9:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
16.8%
50
83.2%
Q3 - 9:51CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q3 - 9:55CLECavaliers Rebound51
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q3 - 9:57CLEMISS Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q3 - 10:17MIAChalmers 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)51
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q3 - 10:21CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)51
20.3%
48
79.7%
Q3 - 10:44MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)51
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q3 - 11:11CLEVarejao 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)51
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q3 - 11:19CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
22.1%
46
77.9%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot49
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q3 - 11:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q3 - 11:37CLEMISS Jamison 7' Jump Shot49
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE49
22.1%
46
77.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q2 - 0:16.0CLEMISS Varejao 5' Jump Shot49
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS)49
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
29.2%
42
70.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
29.2%
42
70.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup49
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 1:00CLEGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T6)49
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 1:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
31.0%
41
69.0%
Q2 - 1:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
34.1%
40
65.9%
Q2 - 1:19CLEMISS Williams 17' Fadeaway Jumper49
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 1:34MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)49
36.2%
40
63.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS James Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 249
34.1%
40
65.9%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
31.9%
40
68.1%
Q2 - 1:44CLEJones STEAL (1 STL)49
37.1%
39
62.9%
Q2 - 1:57MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)49
39.3%
39
60.7%
Q2 - 2:10CLEWilliams 5' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)49
35.3%
39
64.7%
Q2 - 2:27CLECavaliers Rebound47
32.6%
39
67.4%
Q2 - 2:28CLEMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
30.7%
39
69.3%
Q2 - 2:41MIAAnthony 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)47
32.6%
39
67.4%
Q2 - 3:00CLEJamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)47
35.5%
37
64.5%
Q2 - 3:13CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
28.9%
37
71.1%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
28.0%
37
72.0%
Q2 - 3:39CLEParker 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 3:43MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)42
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 4:02CLEJamison 2' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)42
20.7%
37
79.3%
Q2 - 4:05MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 4:09CLEMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot40
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 4:14CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot40
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 4:34CLEWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gibson 4 AST)40
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 4:51CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot37
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 5:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.3%
37
86.7%
Q2 - 5:30CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 5:30CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 5:38CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
11.2%
37
88.8%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS James 7' Turnaround Jump Shot35
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 5:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
10.1%
37
89.9%
Q2 - 5:51CLEMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
10.4%
37
89.6%
Q2 - 6:10MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)35
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 6:25CLEJamison Foul Turnover (P1.T4)35
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 6:37MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
13.8%
35
86.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 6:54CLEMISS Graham 18' Jump Shot35
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 7:21MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)35
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 7:39CLEHickson 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)35
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q2 - 7:55CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot33
18.9%
29
81.1%
Q2 - 8:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q2 - 8:15CLEMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 233
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q2 - 8:15CLEMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 233
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 8:19CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot33
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 8:36CLEParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)33
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 8:45CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q2 - 9:06CLESessions 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 9:20CLECavaliers Rebound28
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q2 - 9:42CLEGraham 14' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)28
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q2 - 10:04CLEGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
9.8%
29
90.2%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q2 - 10:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q2 - 10:08MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.7%
28
90.3%
Q2 - 10:10CLEMISS Sessions 15' Jump Shot26
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q2 - 10:32MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)26
10.8%
28
89.2%
Q2 - 10:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q2 - 10:44CLEMISS Hickson 15' Fadeaway Jumper26
12.0%
26
88.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)26
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAHEAT Rebound26
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot26
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q2 - 11:36CLECavaliers Rebound26
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q2 - 11:36CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)26
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q2 - 11:37CLEMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q2 - 11:38CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q2 - 11:41CLEBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)26
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q2 - 11:42CLECavaliers Rebound26
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q2 - 11:43CLEDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)26
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 0:13.0CLEVarejao 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)26
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 224
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0CLEGibson 10' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 1:16CLEHickson Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)22
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)20
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q1 - 1:29MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.6%
21
89.4%
Q1 - 1:30CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 1:52MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)20
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q1 - 2:18CLEJames STEAL (1 STL)20
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 2:23CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS James 1' Alley Oop Layup20
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 2:39CLEGibson 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 2:59CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Hook Shot18
10.9%
19
89.1%
Q1 - 3:21CLEGibson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 3:34CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 116
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 3:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 3:38CLEMISS Graham 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 3:54CLEGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.3%
17
88.7%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot16
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 4:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 4:10CLEIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)16
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 4:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.7%
14
87.3%
Q1 - 4:40CLEMISS Hickson 18' Jump Shot16
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 5:07MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 5:32CLEParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)16
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 5:50MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)14
13.7%
12
86.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
14.6%
10
85.4%
Q1 - 6:02CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 6:07MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
15.3%
10
84.7%
Q1 - 6:09MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 6:13CLEMISS Williams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot14
14.6%
10
85.4%
Q1 - 6:34MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 6:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 6:49CLEJamison 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)14
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 7:05MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
14.9%
8
85.1%
Q1 - 7:05MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
15.1%
7
84.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot12
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 7:19CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 7:19CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 211
15.5%
6
84.5%
Q1 - 7:28MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
15.9%
6
84.1%
Q1 - 7:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup11
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 7:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 7:54CLEWilliams 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)11
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 7:59CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 8:01CLEMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 8:07CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 8:10CLEMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot9
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 8:22CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot9
13.2%
6
86.8%
Q1 - 8:36CLEWilliams 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)9
12.6%
6
87.4%
Q1 - 8:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#2)7
11.7%
6
88.3%
Q1 - 9:04CLEParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 9:17MIAIlgauskas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 9:38CLEVarejao 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)7
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:49MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
10.0%
6
90.0%
Q1 - 9:51MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
10.8%
4
89.2%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup5
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 10:04MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10.6%
4
89.4%
Q1 - 10:06CLEMISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot5
10.8%
4
89.2%
Q1 - 10:24MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 10:38CLEGibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 10:47CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot2
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 11:16CLEWilliams 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
9.7%
2
90.3%
Q1 - 11:19CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
9.1%
2
90.9%
Q1 - 11:21CLEMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
9.1%
2
90.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Varejao: Tip to Bosh0
9.7%
0
90.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.95 47.5%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
11
21
52%
MIA
10
15
67%
Midrange
CLE
15
33
45%
MIA
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
CLE
16
20
80%
MIA
27
41
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gibson2676%13.0 / 17
A. Varejao1869%9.0 / 13
A. Jamison1539%7.5 / 19
M. Williams1333%6.5 / 20
A. Parker1150%5.5 / 11
J. Hickson440%2.0 / 5
J. Graham429%2.0 / 7
R. Sessions450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2867%14.0 / 21
L. James2148%10.5 / 22
C. Bosh1647%8.0 / 17
M. Chalmers1478%7.0 / 9
J. Jones11110%5.5 / 5
J. Anthony536%2.5 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas450%2.0 / 4
J. Howard233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
84
+16
-8
100
MIA
77
+13
-13
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.95 47.5%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.3
111.4
CLE 103.3
MIA 112.2 +9.0
Pace
93.0
91.3
CLE 96.2 +10.0
MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
CLE 15.0 +1.7
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
52.4%
CLE 45.4%
MIA 52.9% +7.5%
TO %
14.7%
14.4%
CLE 8.6% +5.1%
MIA 13.7%
ORB %
24.3%
25.2%
CLE 21.7%
MIA 24.3% +2.6%
FTrt
31.2
36.3
CLE 23.0
MIA 58.6 +35.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
54.1%
CLE 54.3% +1.2%
MIA 53.1%
STL %
7.1%
7.3%
CLE 6.5% +2.1%
MIA 4.4%
BLK %
6.6%
8.5%
CLE 0.0%
MIA 14.8% +14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
55.7%
CLE 47.5%
MIA 56.1% +8.6%
Rim FG%
55.9%
64.7%
CLE 52.4%
MIA 66.7% +14.3%
Mid FG%
37.5%
42.2%
CLE 45.5% +8.0%
MIA 37.5%
3P %
34.2%
37.0%
CLE 27.3%
MIA 43.5% +16.2%
FT %
74.5%
76.9%
CLE 80.0% +14.1%
MIA 65.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
31.6%
CLE 24.1% +2.7%
MIA 21.4%
Mid Att. %
41.3%
44.9%
CLE 37.9% +7.8%
MIA 45.7%
3P Att. %
22.4%
23.5%
CLE 37.9% +5.1%
MIA 32.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points95101
Rebounds3845
Assists1917
Steals64
Blocks08
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)36 (1)
Field Goals35-8732-70
At-the-Rim FG11-2110-15
Midrange FG15-3312-32
2-Point FG26-5422-47
3-Point FG9-3310-23
Free Throws16-2027-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 260 · 28
39.7
18
69%
15
1
1
0
1
5
6
9
6-7
86%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
39.2
26
76%
3
4
1
0
2
6
1
2
2-3
67%
6-9
67%
4-7
57%
F · 6'9" 235 · 35
38.8
15
39%
8
1
0
0
1
4
1
7
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
3-9
33%
G · 6'1" 198 · 28
38.3
13
33%
2
9
2
0
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-10
10%
F · 6'6" 210 · 35
37.4
11
50%
3
0
1
0
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22
19.1
4
40%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 29
16.2
4
29%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
11.3
4
50%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
G · 6'5" 185 · 21
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
C · 7'0" 240 · 26
#24 · · 6'9" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'7" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'8" 205 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
48%
38
19
6
0
8
0
10
28
16-20
80%
26-54
48%
9-33
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.