FinalWin Prob.pScore
449%101
94
851%102
111
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
104.49091.3
DEN logo DEN
123.19190.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN94
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot94
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 293
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34DENFree Throw 2 of 293
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50ORLMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00DENAnthony 1' Driving Dunk (34 PTS)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)93
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29DENNene 1' Layup (10 PTS)93
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)93
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:57ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 3:09DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (32 PTS)93
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 3:10DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)93
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 3:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 3:14DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 3:26DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 3:27ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot93
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 3:51DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
4.1%
102
95.9%
Q4 - 3:51DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)93
4.5%
101
95.5%
Q4 - 4:11ORLRedick 1' Layup (29 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)93
5.5%
100
94.5%
Q4 - 4:21ORLMISS Redick Free Throw Technical91
3.9%
100
96.1%
Q4 - 4:21ORLMagic Rebound91
3.9%
100
96.1%
Q4 - 4:21ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
2.9%
100
97.1%
Q4 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)91
3.8%
100
96.2%
Q4 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)91
4.0%
99
96.0%
Q4 - 4:49DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
5.3%
98
94.7%
Q4 - 4:52ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot91
6.0%
98
94.0%
Q4 - 5:03DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)91
10.8%
98
89.2%
Q4 - 5:07DENNUGGETS Rebound91
18.8%
95
81.2%
Q4 - 5:08DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup91
23.0%
95
77.0%
Q4 - 5:09DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
18.8%
95
81.2%
Q4 - 5:10DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot91
22.9%
95
77.1%
Q4 - 5:19DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
18.7%
95
81.3%
Q4 - 5:21ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Bank Hook Shot91
20.5%
95
79.5%
Q4 - 5:38DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)91
24.8%
95
75.2%
Q4 - 6:05ORLCarter 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)91
40.4%
92
59.6%
Q4 - 6:24DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)88
27.3%
92
72.7%
Q4 - 6:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
21.2%
92
78.8%
Q4 - 6:43ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
22.9%
92
77.1%
Q4 - 7:05DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)88
29.2%
92
70.8%
Q4 - 7:21ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)88
41.3%
89
58.7%
Q4 - 7:34ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
48.7%
89
51.3%
Q4 - 7:35DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot88
46.4%
89
53.6%
Q4 - 7:50ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P1.T11)88
41.2%
89
58.8%
Q4 - 8:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)88
48.7%
89
51.3%
Q4 - 8:03DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot88
46.8%
89
53.2%
Q4 - 8:11DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
42.5%
89
57.5%
Q4 - 8:13ORLMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot88
44.3%
89
55.7%
Q4 - 8:30DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)88
48.7%
89
51.3%
Q4 - 8:54DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
55.2%
87
44.8%
Q4 - 8:55ORLMISS Bass 20' Jump Shot88
57.2%
87
42.8%
Q4 - 9:08ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
60.7%
87
39.3%
Q4 - 9:10DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
59.0%
87
41.0%
Q4 - 9:22DENNUGGETS Rebound88
54.9%
87
45.1%
Q4 - 9:22DENMISS Smith 2' Layup88
59.0%
87
41.0%
Q4 - 9:25DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
54.9%
87
45.1%
Q4 - 9:26DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
59.0%
87
41.0%
Q4 - 9:42ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Gortat 2 AST)88
55.0%
87
45.0%
Q4 - 10:06DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
43.2%
87
56.8%
Q4 - 10:19ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)85
48.8%
85
51.2%
Q4 - 10:32DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)83
43.2%
85
56.8%
Q4 - 11:02ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)83
54.1%
82
45.9%
Q4 - 11:02ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)82
54.1%
82
45.9%
Q4 - 11:10ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
33.2%
82
66.8%
Q4 - 11:13DENMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot78
31.8%
82
68.2%
Q4 - 11:29DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
28.6%
82
71.4%
Q4 - 11:30ORLMISS Bass 20' Jump Shot78
30.0%
82
70.0%
Q4 - 11:48DENHarrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)78
33.2%
82
66.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL78
43.4%
79
56.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)78
48.5%
79
51.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENNUGGETS Rebound78
43.9%
79
56.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper78
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
43.9%
79
56.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
43.0%
79
57.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)76
38.5%
79
61.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLBass 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)76
49.0%
76
51.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)74
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q3 - 1:14ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)74
48.9%
74
51.1%
Q3 - 1:31DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)72
43.6%
74
56.4%
Q3 - 1:36DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
39.2%
74
60.8%
Q3 - 1:38ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
40.5%
74
59.5%
Q3 - 1:46ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
43.6%
74
56.4%
Q3 - 1:47DENMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup72
42.2%
74
57.8%
Q3 - 2:01DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
39.3%
74
60.7%
Q3 - 2:02ORLMISS Gortat 2' Layup72
40.7%
74
59.3%
Q3 - 2:06ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
43.8%
74
56.2%
Q3 - 2:08DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup72
42.4%
74
57.6%
Q3 - 2:21ORLGortat Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T10)72
39.3%
74
60.7%
Q3 - 2:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
42.2%
74
57.8%
Q3 - 2:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
39.2%
74
60.8%
Q3 - 2:26DENMISS Nene Layup71
37.9%
74
62.1%
Q3 - 2:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
34.9%
74
65.1%
Q3 - 2:43ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
36.2%
74
63.8%
Q3 - 3:02DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)71
40.0%
74
60.0%
Q3 - 3:18ORLLewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)71
48.7%
71
51.3%
Q3 - 3:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)68
39.9%
71
60.1%
Q3 - 3:42DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
38.6%
71
61.4%
Q3 - 3:55ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)68
35.5%
71
64.5%
Q3 - 4:17DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)68
40.4%
71
59.6%
Q3 - 4:35DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
44.0%
69
56.0%
Q3 - 4:37ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
45.5%
69
54.5%
Q3 - 4:51DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)68
49.1%
69
50.9%
Q3 - 5:17ORLCarter Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)68
52.3%
67
47.7%
Q3 - 5:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)66
48.6%
67
51.4%
Q3 - 5:23DENMISS Anthony 2' Driving Layup66
47.1%
67
52.9%
Q3 - 5:32DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
43.9%
67
56.1%
Q3 - 5:33ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot66
45.3%
67
54.7%
Q3 - 5:45ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
48.6%
67
51.4%
Q3 - 5:47DENMISS Nene 2' Layup66
47.1%
67
52.9%
Q3 - 5:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
43.9%
67
56.1%
Q3 - 5:51DENMISS Shel. Williams 8' Jump Shot66
47.2%
67
52.8%
Q3 - 6:03ORLHoward 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)66
44.3%
67
55.7%
Q3 - 6:18DENLawson 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)64
40.7%
67
59.3%
Q3 - 6:21ORLLawson STEAL (1 STL)64
44.3%
65
55.7%
Q3 - 6:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)64
48.6%
65
51.4%
Q3 - 6:46DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 164
48.0%
65
52.0%
Q3 - 6:54ORLAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)64
52.3%
63
47.7%
Q3 - 7:09DENShel. Williams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)64
55.9%
63
44.1%
Q3 - 7:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
59.6%
61
40.4%
Q3 - 7:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 264
60.1%
61
39.9%
Q3 - 7:27ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
61.9%
61
38.1%
Q3 - 7:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
59.8%
61
40.2%
Q3 - 7:29ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
57.0%
61
43.0%
Q3 - 7:45DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P6.T12)63
59.8%
61
40.2%
Q3 - 7:59ORLBass 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)63
55.8%
61
44.2%
Q3 - 8:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
52.1%
61
47.9%
Q3 - 8:10DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot61
50.9%
61
49.1%
Q3 - 8:31ORLCarter 18' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)61
48.1%
61
51.9%
Q3 - 8:47ORLMagic Rebound59
44.6%
61
55.4%
Q3 - 8:48ORLMISS Carter 3' Jump Shot59
41.8%
61
58.2%
Q3 - 9:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q3 - 9:13DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot59
43.4%
61
56.6%
Q3 - 9:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
40.8%
61
59.2%
Q3 - 9:20ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
42.0%
61
58.0%
Q3 - 9:41DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)59
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q3 - 9:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
40.8%
61
59.2%
Q3 - 9:58ORLMISS Bass 1' Driving Layup59
42.0%
61
58.0%
Q3 - 10:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
44.8%
61
55.2%
Q3 - 10:05DENMISS Shel. Williams 15' Jump Shot59
43.7%
61
56.3%
Q3 - 10:25ORLCarter 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)59
41.1%
61
58.9%
Q3 - 10:44DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P5.T10)57
37.8%
61
62.2%
Q3 - 11:02DENNUGGETS Rebound57
35.0%
61
65.0%
Q3 - 11:02ORLShel. Williams BLOCK (2 BLK)57
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 11:06ORLMagic Rebound57
38.4%
61
61.6%
Q3 - 11:06ORLShel. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)57
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 11:25DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)57
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 11:43ORLHoward 2' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)57
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN55
32.0%
61
68.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLGortat 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)55
28.9%
61
71.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup53
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T8)53
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
24.8%
61
75.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Nelson 5' Fadeaway Jumper51
20.7%
61
79.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)51
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q2 - 1:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
25.4%
59
74.6%
Q2 - 1:08ORLMISS Bass 6' Jump Hook Shot51
25.9%
59
74.1%
Q2 - 1:22DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)51
27.2%
59
72.8%
Q2 - 1:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
25.4%
59
74.6%
Q2 - 1:26ORLMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot51
25.9%
59
74.1%
Q2 - 1:45DENLawson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)51
27.2%
59
72.8%
Q2 - 2:06ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)51
30.5%
57
69.5%
Q2 - 2:06ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)50
30.2%
57
69.8%
Q2 - 2:21DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)49
28.0%
57
72.0%
Q2 - 2:42ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
33.3%
54
66.7%
Q2 - 2:42ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 248
33.0%
54
67.0%
Q2 - 2:59DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)48
33.3%
54
66.7%
Q2 - 3:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
39.3%
51
60.7%
Q2 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot48
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q2 - 3:20DENAnthony 10' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)48
42.9%
51
57.1%
Q2 - 3:41DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
45.4%
49
54.6%
Q2 - 3:42ORLMISS Lewis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot48
46.5%
49
53.5%
Q2 - 4:06ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q2 - 4:07DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
47.7%
49
52.3%
Q2 - 4:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
45.4%
49
54.6%
Q2 - 4:17ORLMISS Gortat 9' Fadeaway Jumper48
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q2 - 4:35DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)48
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q2 - 4:55ORLHoward 2' Layup (14 PTS)48
54.5%
46
45.5%
Q2 - 5:14DENNene 2' Layup (6 PTS)46
51.7%
46
48.3%
Q2 - 5:33ORLRedick 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
54.7%
44
45.3%
Q2 - 5:46DENSmith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
51.7%
44
48.3%
Q2 - 5:54ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)44
54.7%
42
45.3%
Q2 - 6:18ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
48.9%
42
51.1%
Q2 - 6:20DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 6:39DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
45.6%
42
54.4%
Q2 - 6:40ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
46.6%
42
53.4%
Q2 - 6:46DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)41
48.9%
42
51.1%
Q2 - 7:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
45.9%
42
54.1%
Q2 - 7:04ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 7:10ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
48.8%
42
51.2%
Q2 - 7:11DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 7:18ORLNene STEAL (1 STL)41
45.9%
42
54.1%
Q2 - 7:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
48.8%
42
51.2%
Q2 - 7:30DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 7:43ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
45.9%
42
54.1%
Q2 - 7:43ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q2 - 7:59DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)39
43.3%
42
56.7%
Q2 - 8:05DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
48.7%
39
51.3%
Q2 - 8:06ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
49.6%
39
50.4%
Q2 - 8:10ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
51.5%
39
48.5%
Q2 - 8:11ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup39
49.6%
39
50.4%
Q2 - 8:35DENCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)39
51.5%
39
48.5%
Q2 - 8:50ORLBass 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)39
56.8%
36
43.2%
Q2 - 9:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
53.9%
36
46.1%
Q2 - 9:07DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 137
53.6%
36
46.4%
Q2 - 9:20ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
56.4%
34
43.6%
Q2 - 9:28ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
54.0%
34
46.0%
Q2 - 9:29DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot35
53.1%
34
46.9%
Q2 - 9:48ORLHoward 1' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)35
51.3%
34
48.7%
Q2 - 10:07DENCarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)33
48.7%
34
51.3%
Q2 - 10:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
51.0%
32
49.0%
Q2 - 10:22ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
51.8%
32
48.2%
Q2 - 10:36DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
53.8%
32
46.2%
Q2 - 10:36DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 233
54.3%
31
45.7%
Q2 - 10:44ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
53.5%
31
46.5%
Q2 - 10:57DENSmith 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)33
56.3%
31
43.7%
Q2 - 11:03ORLCarter STEAL (1 STL)33
58.3%
29
41.7%
Q2 - 11:20DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)33
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 11:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
58.3%
29
41.7%
Q2 - 11:38ORLHoward 2' Tip Shot (10 PTS)33
58.3%
29
41.7%
Q2 - 11:40ORLMISS Carter 1' Layup31
54.2%
29
45.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL31
56.0%
29
44.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
55.3%
29
44.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
54.7%
29
45.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)31
53.4%
29
46.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
55.3%
29
44.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
53.4%
29
46.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
53.0%
29
47.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENAnthony 2' Layup (13 PTS)29
50.5%
29
49.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
53.4%
27
46.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup29
54.8%
27
45.2%
Q1 - 1:05ORLWilliams 21' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
53.4%
27
46.6%
Q1 - 1:18DENEly 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)27
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q1 - 1:30DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical27
48.7%
27
51.3%
Q1 - 1:30ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)27
48.7%
27
51.3%
Q1 - 1:39DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
43.4%
27
56.6%
Q1 - 1:53DENNUGGETS Rebound24
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q1 - 1:53ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot24
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 2:09DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)24
43.8%
27
56.2%
Q1 - 2:22ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q1 - 2:34ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q1 - 2:35DENMISS Nene 9' Jump Hook Shot21
43.2%
24
56.8%
Q1 - 2:51DENNUGGETS Rebound21
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 2:51DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup21
43.1%
24
56.9%
Q1 - 2:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 2:56ORLMISS Howard 16' Jump Bank Shot21
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 3:14ORLMagic Rebound21
44.1%
24
55.9%
Q1 - 3:16DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
43.4%
24
56.6%
Q1 - 3:36ORLRedick 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)21
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 3:50DENAnthony 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)18
37.5%
24
62.5%
Q1 - 4:13ORLHoward 9' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)18
39.6%
22
60.4%
Q1 - 4:26DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)16
37.7%
22
62.3%
Q1 - 4:42ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)16
41.7%
19
58.3%
Q1 - 5:00DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 5:00DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
40.3%
18
59.7%
Q1 - 5:03DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.8%
17
58.2%
Q1 - 5:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
44.2%
17
55.8%
Q1 - 5:05ORLMISS Howard 1' Tip Shot14
42.5%
17
57.5%
Q1 - 5:07ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup14
42.5%
17
57.5%
Q1 - 5:33DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)14
44.2%
17
55.8%
Q1 - 5:46ORLLewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)14
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 6:10DENAnthony 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)11
42.1%
15
57.9%
Q1 - 6:25ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)11
44.0%
13
56.0%
Q1 - 6:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 6:36DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
39.4%
13
60.6%
Q1 - 6:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 7:00ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 7:12DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)8
40.4%
13
59.6%
Q1 - 7:25ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 7:41DENAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 7:59ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 8:15DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
44.4%
11
55.6%
Q1 - 8:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 8:23ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot8
47.0%
9
53.0%
Q1 - 8:37DENLawson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 9:04ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)8
50.6%
7
49.4%
Q1 - 9:26DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
48.6%
7
51.4%
Q1 - 9:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
50.6%
5
49.4%
Q1 - 9:40ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
51.1%
5
48.9%
Q1 - 9:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
52.4%
5
47.6%
Q1 - 9:47DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot6
51.9%
5
48.1%
Q1 - 10:00DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
50.6%
5
49.4%
Q1 - 10:02DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot6
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 10:26ORLHoward 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)6
50.3%
5
49.7%
Q1 - 10:34ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
48.8%
5
51.2%
Q1 - 10:37DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot4
48.1%
5
51.9%
Q1 - 10:44ORLHoward 3' Layup (2 PTS)4
46.7%
5
53.3%
Q1 - 10:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 10:48ORLMISS Carter 6' Running Jump Shot2
43.8%
5
56.2%
Q1 - 11:06DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)2
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 11:31ORLCarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 11:45DENNene 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)0
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Howard: Tip to Shel. Williams0
48.6%
0
51.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.4%
DEN
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
20
50%
DEN
19
28
68%
Midrange
ORL
14
31
45%
DEN
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
DEN
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
ORL
16
20
80%
DEN
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick29104%14.5 / 14
D. Howard2162%10.5 / 17
V. Carter1856%9.0 / 16
B. Bass1045%5.0 / 11
R. Lewis840%4.0 / 10
J. Nelson418%2.0 / 11
M. Gortat233%1.0 / 3
J. Williams233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3573%17.5 / 24
T. Lawson1662%8.0 / 13
J. Smith1657%8.0 / 14
A. Afflalo1575%7.5 / 10
A. Harrington1260%6.0 / 10
Nene1063%5.0 / 8
A. Carter563%2.5 / 4
S. Williams233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+10
-13
87
DEN
77
+11
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.4%
DEN
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
112.7
ORL 104.4
DEN 123.1 +18.6
Pace
91.2
95.2
ORL 91.3 +1.1
DEN 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.3
ORL 15.8 +0.2
DEN 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
52.6%
ORL 50.0%
DEN 60.6% +10.6%
TO %
15.7%
14.5%
ORL 13.0% +1.5%
DEN 14.5%
ORB %
26.1%
23.8%
ORL 17.5%
DEN 20.6% +3.1%
FTrt
32.8
36.7
ORL 25.6 +0.6
DEN 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
57.6%
ORL 58.8% +3.0%
DEN 55.8%
STL %
7.3%
7.7%
ORL 7.8% +2.3%
DEN 5.5%
BLK %
7.5%
6.8%
ORL 11.1% +7.2%
DEN 3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
56.3%
ORL 53.4%
DEN 62.9% +9.5%
Rim FG%
61.7%
58.5%
ORL 50.0%
DEN 67.9% +17.9%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.0%
ORL 45.2%
DEN 50.0% +4.8%
3P %
36.6%
38.8%
ORL 37.0%
DEN 42.3% +5.3%
FT %
69.2%
76.6%
ORL 80.0% +5.0%
DEN 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
42.5%
ORL 25.6%
DEN 35.0% +9.4%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
31.8%
ORL 39.7%
DEN 32.5% +7.2%
3P Att. %
32.8%
25.8%
ORL 34.6% +2.1%
DEN 32.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLDEN
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.624.2
Points94112
Rebounds3440
Assists2024
Steals75
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals34-7843-80
At-the-Rim FG10-2019-28
Midrange FG14-3113-26
2-Point FG24-5132-54
3-Point FG10-2711-26
Free Throws16-2015-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
37.5
4
18%
3
8
1
0
4
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
37.3
21
62%
14
1
0
2
4
4
4
10
3-5
60%
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
33.1
8
40%
2
1
1
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-7
29%
G · 6'6" 220 · 34
32.0
18
56%
2
2
2
1
0
5
0
2
4-4
100%
4-11
36%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
26.6
10
45%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
38.0
29
104%
5
2
1
0
1
3
0
5
5-7
71%
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
25.0
2
33%
3
2
2
2
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
10.5
2
33%
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 29
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
#33 · F · 6'10" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
34
20
7
6
13
0
7
27
16-20
80%
24-51
47%
10-27
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.