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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Kings25%96105
15Rockets75%105118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.4
31.7
27.6
15
61%
10
0
0
0
0
2
1
9
5-5
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
28.8
29.9
10
63%
2
6
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-1
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.3
26.1
22.9
17
54%
7
2
0
1
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
8-15
4-10
53%
46%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.8
25.1
24.8
5
51%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
20.3
5.4
11
46%
2
3
0
0
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
0-1
43%
46%
1-4
25%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.2
28.8
19.0
17
61%
5
0
0
0
3
1
3
2
5-9
56%
6-10
3-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
25.7
11.9
10
71%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
48%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
22.9
24.7
10
73%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
2-2
100%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.0
21.4
16.6
8
57%
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.6
9.3
19.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.2
30.9
1
5-11
46%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.1
5.1
0
1-1
46%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.6
28.9
32.2
23
55%
10
4
0
1
1
1
5
5
3-4
75%
10-19
8-14
53%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.7
28.2
34.2
12
68%
4
9
3
1
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.5
24.0
18.3
11
85%
4
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
1-1
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.9
23.9
29.4
14
44%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
49%
2-5
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.3
22.4
28.5
3
25%
5
1
2
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.6
25.6
18.7
18
83%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
3-4
75%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
24.1
21.0
11
51%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
5-10
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
22.9
15.3
13
64%
5
1
1
0
0
2
3
2
5-5
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.4
19.8
3.0
6
60%
3
6
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.7
15.6
22.6
7
79%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
2-5
-
51%
2-4
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
4.6
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
9.8
0
2-3
49%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.9
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.