FinalWin Prob.pScore
1657%97
80
2543%94
103
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
90.98894.2
DET logo DET
115.78983.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL80
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLTeague Driving Layup (4 PTS)80
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLPowell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09DETGordon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44DETMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stuckey 10 AST)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53ATLMISS Teague 1' Layup74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59DETVillanueva 1' Driving Reverse Layup (20 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33DETStuckey Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47ATLMISS Powell 9' Jump Shot72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08DETWilcox Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13ATLMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DETStuckey 1' Layup (14 PTS)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS)72
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:02DETMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stuckey 9 AST)70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:17DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 4:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 270
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 270
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:29DETWilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 4:29DETWilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 4:46DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)70
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 4:47ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot70
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 5:03DETVillanueva 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)70
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 5:22ATLBibby 21' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 5:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 5:31DETMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot68
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 5:47ATLWilkins 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 6:10DETMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 8 AST)66
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 6:25ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)66
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 6:43DETVillanueva Dunk (16 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)66
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 6:46ATLVillanueva STEAL (3 STL)66
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 6:55ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q4 - 6:56DETMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 7:06DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q4 - 7:07ATLMISS Smith Layup66
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q4 - 7:27DETVillanueva 1' Dunk (14 PTS)66
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q4 - 7:32ATLVillanueva STEAL (2 STL)66
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q4 - 7:45ATLHawks Rebound66
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q4 - 7:45DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q4 - 8:03ATLSmith 28' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)66
14.0%
74
86.0%
Q4 - 8:23DETMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)63
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q4 - 8:36DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q4 - 8:37ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot63
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q4 - 8:51DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
17.0%
71
83.0%
Q4 - 8:51DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q4 - 9:06DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
23.3%
69
76.7%
Q4 - 9:08ATLMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)63
24.6%
69
75.4%
Q4 - 9:28DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)63
27.6%
69
72.4%
Q4 - 9:46ATLPowell 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
38.2%
66
61.8%
Q4 - 10:02DETVillanueva Tip Shot (9 PTS)61
34.1%
66
65.9%
Q4 - 10:04DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
39.2%
64
60.8%
Q4 - 10:05DETMISS Gordon Layup61
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q4 - 10:08ATLStuckey STEAL (2 STL)61
39.2%
64
60.8%
Q4 - 10:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
44.8%
64
55.2%
Q4 - 10:16DETMISS Wilcox 1' Alley Oop Dunk61
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q4 - 10:20DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
39.2%
64
60.8%
Q4 - 10:21DETMISS McGrady 16' Pullup Jump Shot61
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q4 - 10:34ATLPowell Foul Turnover (P1.T11)61
39.2%
64
60.8%
Q4 - 10:54ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
44.8%
64
55.2%
Q4 - 10:54DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
43.0%
64
57.0%
Q4 - 11:04DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
40.2%
64
59.8%
Q4 - 11:05ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
41.8%
64
58.2%
Q4 - 11:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)61
45.4%
64
54.6%
Q4 - 11:15DETMISS Villanueva 1' Layup61
43.8%
64
56.2%
Q4 - 11:26ATLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)61
40.1%
64
59.9%
Q4 - 11:42ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)61
45.3%
64
54.7%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot61
43.7%
64
56.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL61
40.1%
64
59.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
45.9%
64
54.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMISS Hamilton 16' Running Jump Shot61
44.5%
64
55.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLSmith Layup (21 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)61
41.2%
64
58.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
35.9%
64
64.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot59
34.6%
64
65.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLBibby 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 1:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)57
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q3 - 1:08DETMISS Wallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot57
27.1%
64
72.9%
Q3 - 1:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 1:30ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot57
25.7%
64
74.3%
Q3 - 1:46DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)57
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 1:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
32.7%
62
67.3%
Q3 - 1:48DETMISS Hamilton 10' Pullup Jump Shot57
35.5%
62
64.5%
Q3 - 2:08ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)57
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q3 - 2:29DETMonroe 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)54
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 2:50DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
29.5%
60
70.5%
Q3 - 2:51ATLMISS Crawford 15' Pullup Jump Shot54
30.6%
60
69.4%
Q3 - 2:57DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)54
33.4%
60
66.6%
Q3 - 3:14DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
30.9%
60
69.1%
Q3 - 3:15ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot54
32.2%
60
67.8%
Q3 - 3:46DETPrince Dunk (10 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)54
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 3:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q3 - 3:51ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup54
40.4%
58
59.6%
Q3 - 4:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
44.3%
58
55.7%
Q3 - 4:08DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot54
42.8%
58
57.2%
Q3 - 4:33ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)54
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 4:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
35.9%
58
64.1%
Q3 - 4:51DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot52
34.5%
58
65.5%
Q3 - 5:09ATLBibby Driving Layup (7 PTS)52
32.1%
58
67.9%
Q3 - 5:21DETStuckey Layup (10 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)50
28.9%
58
71.1%
Q3 - 5:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q3 - 5:27DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot50
35.0%
56
65.0%
Q3 - 5:40ATLWallace STEAL (2 STL)50
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q3 - 6:08DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)50
37.5%
56
62.5%
Q3 - 6:24ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)50
40.9%
54
59.1%
Q3 - 6:45DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)48
37.4%
54
62.6%
Q3 - 6:52DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
33.4%
54
66.6%
Q3 - 6:53ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
34.6%
54
65.4%
Q3 - 7:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
38.1%
54
61.9%
Q3 - 7:15DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 248
37.6%
54
62.4%
Q3 - 7:15DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
35.7%
54
64.3%
Q3 - 7:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
37.9%
53
62.1%
Q3 - 7:18ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot48
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 7:33DETPrince 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)48
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q3 - 7:51ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P3.T8)48
45.4%
51
54.6%
Q3 - 8:06DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)48
49.8%
51
50.2%
Q3 - 8:28ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)48
53.3%
49
46.7%
Q3 - 8:38DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)45
46.0%
49
54.0%
Q3 - 9:02ATLSmith Layup (17 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)45
42.6%
49
57.4%
Q3 - 9:22DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T8)43
39.1%
49
60.9%
Q3 - 9:39ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)43
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q3 - 9:46ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
32.3%
49
67.7%
Q3 - 9:47DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot41
31.3%
49
68.7%
Q3 - 10:08ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
30.2%
49
69.8%
Q3 - 10:08ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
29.7%
49
70.3%
Q3 - 10:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
27.4%
49
72.6%
Q3 - 10:08ATLMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)39
25.4%
49
74.6%
Q3 - 10:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q3 - 10:31DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot39
26.4%
49
73.6%
Q3 - 10:52ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)39
24.5%
49
75.5%
Q3 - 10:52ATLHawks Rebound39
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q3 - 10:52ATLMISS Horford 28' 3PT Jump Shot39
25.3%
49
74.7%
Q3 - 11:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q3 - 11:16DETMISS Hamilton 9' Pullup Jump Shot39
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q3 - 11:38ATLSmith 4' Hook Shot (15 PTS)39
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET37
23.1%
49
76.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound37
20.6%
49
79.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Villanueva 54' 3PT Jump Shot37
22.3%
49
77.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)37
22.3%
49
77.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLHawks Rebound37
24.1%
49
75.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)37
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLWilkins 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)37
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot35
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 1:04DETHamilton 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)35
27.2%
46
72.8%
Q2 - 1:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q2 - 1:19ATLMISS Wilkins 21' Jump Shot35
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 1:40DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)35
32.6%
44
67.4%
Q2 - 1:56ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)35
39.5%
41
60.5%
Q2 - 2:09ATLHawks Rebound35
42.7%
41
57.3%
Q2 - 2:10ATLPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)35
40.4%
41
59.6%
Q2 - 2:14DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)35
42.6%
41
57.4%
Q2 - 2:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
39.5%
41
60.5%
Q2 - 2:18DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
41.7%
41
58.3%
Q2 - 2:37DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)35
39.5%
41
60.5%
Q2 - 2:38ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot35
40.4%
41
59.6%
Q2 - 2:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
42.6%
41
57.4%
Q2 - 2:53DETMISS Stuckey Tip Shot35
41.6%
41
58.4%
Q2 - 2:54DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
39.5%
41
60.5%
Q2 - 2:56DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup35
41.6%
41
58.4%
Q2 - 3:05DETPISTONS Rebound35
40.1%
41
59.9%
Q2 - 3:06DETMISS Villanueva 2' Layup35
42.6%
41
57.4%
Q2 - 3:25ATLSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)35
40.1%
41
59.9%
Q2 - 3:40DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
34.8%
41
65.2%
Q2 - 3:40DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
35.1%
40
64.9%
Q2 - 3:45ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)32
37.1%
39
62.9%
Q2 - 4:15DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)30
35.2%
39
64.8%
Q2 - 4:34ATLHorford Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)30
40.6%
36
59.4%
Q2 - 4:40DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)28
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 4:57DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 4:58DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
37.1%
36
62.9%
Q2 - 5:12ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
36.0%
36
64.0%
Q2 - 5:12ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
35.2%
36
64.8%
Q2 - 5:31DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 5:31DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 5:54ATLHorford 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)26
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 6:16DETMcGrady 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)24
34.2%
34
65.8%
Q2 - 6:29DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)24
36.3%
32
63.7%
Q2 - 6:30ATLMISS Crawford 20' Pullup Jump Shot24
37.3%
32
62.7%
Q2 - 6:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
39.4%
32
60.6%
Q2 - 6:46DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
38.5%
32
61.5%
Q2 - 6:57DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)24
36.3%
32
63.7%
Q2 - 6:58ATLMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot24
37.3%
32
62.7%
Q2 - 7:15DETWilcox Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
40.0%
32
60.0%
Q2 - 7:29DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
37.2%
32
62.8%
Q2 - 7:29ATLMISS Wilkins 7' Jump Shot24
38.1%
32
61.9%
Q2 - 7:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
40.0%
32
60.0%
Q2 - 7:48DETMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot24
39.1%
32
60.9%
Q2 - 8:04ATLCrawford 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)24
38.2%
32
61.8%
Q2 - 8:28DETVillanueva 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)22
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 8:51DETJump Ball Villanueva vs. Pachulia: Tip to Gordon22
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 8:51ATLVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)22
38.9%
30
61.1%
Q2 - 9:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 9:14DETMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 9:18ATLVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)22
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 9:20ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
41.3%
30
58.7%
Q2 - 9:23DETMISS Gordon 1' Layup22
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 9:39ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)22
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 9:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 9:48DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot20
35.5%
30
64.5%
Q2 - 10:02DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 10:03ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 220
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q2 - 10:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 10:17DETGordon 13' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wilcox 1 AST)19
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 10:28DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q2 - 10:30ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.2%
28
62.8%
Q2 - 10:43ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
39.0%
28
61.0%
Q2 - 10:44DETMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot19
38.2%
28
61.8%
Q2 - 10:59DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q2 - 11:01ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot19
37.5%
28
62.5%
Q2 - 11:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 11:24DETMISS Wilcox 5' Hook Shot19
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 11:35DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
36.7%
28
63.3%
Q2 - 11:36ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET19
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound19
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS McGrady 54' 3PT Jump Shot19
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)19
38.1%
28
61.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETVillanueva Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)19
39.4%
28
60.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLWallace STEAL (1 STL)19
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETWallace 1' Layup (2 PTS)19
44.1%
26
55.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
47.0%
24
53.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETMISS Wallace Reverse Layup19
48.4%
24
51.6%
Q1 - 1:03DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q1 - 1:04ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 219
47.9%
24
52.1%
Q1 - 1:04ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
49.3%
24
50.7%
Q1 - 1:12DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)18
47.1%
24
52.9%
Q1 - 1:24ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
50.0%
22
50.0%
Q1 - 1:24ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 1:26DETMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
47.0%
22
53.0%
Q1 - 1:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 1:38ATLMISS Crawford 20' Fadeaway Jumper16
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q1 - 1:54DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
47.0%
22
53.0%
Q1 - 1:54DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 216
47.5%
21
52.5%
Q1 - 2:11DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
47.8%
21
52.2%
Q1 - 2:12ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot16
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 2:37DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)16
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 2:55ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
54.8%
18
45.2%
Q1 - 2:55ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 215
54.4%
18
45.6%
Q1 - 3:12DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)15
55.0%
18
45.0%
Q1 - 3:28ATLSmith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 3:37ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
55.0%
18
45.0%
Q1 - 3:38DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot15
54.3%
18
45.7%
Q1 - 4:01ATLStuckey STEAL (1 STL)15
52.8%
18
47.2%
Q1 - 4:17DETPrince 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)15
55.2%
18
44.8%
Q1 - 4:41ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
57.2%
16
42.8%
Q1 - 4:41ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
56.6%
16
43.4%
Q1 - 4:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
55.2%
16
44.8%
Q1 - 4:53DETMISS Hamilton 15' Fadeaway Jumper13
54.5%
16
45.5%
Q1 - 5:15ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)13
52.8%
16
47.2%
Q1 - 5:19ATLHawks Rebound11
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 5:19ATLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)11
49.3%
16
50.7%
Q1 - 5:44DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)11
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 5:57DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
52.8%
14
47.2%
Q1 - 5:59ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot11
53.5%
14
46.5%
Q1 - 6:27DETHamilton 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)11
55.3%
14
44.7%
Q1 - 6:44ATLEvans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)11
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 6:51ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 6:53ATLMISS Bibby 1' Layup8
51.7%
12
48.3%
Q1 - 7:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 7:01DETMISS Prince 12' Turnaround Jump Shot8
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 7:26ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 7:26ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 27
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 7:41DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T2)7
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 7:55ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)7
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 8:16DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)4
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 8:16DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)4
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 8:17DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
47.9%
10
52.1%
Q1 - 8:18DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot4
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 8:46ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)4
47.9%
10
52.1%
Q1 - 9:02DETStuckey Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
47.0%
10
53.0%
Q1 - 9:08DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)2
48.9%
8
51.1%
Q1 - 9:09ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot2
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 9:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 9:17DETMISS Monroe 7' Hook Shot2
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 9:30DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 9:31ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
49.4%
8
50.6%
Q1 - 9:50DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)2
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 9:50DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)2
50.9%
7
49.1%
Q1 - 10:08ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
53.0%
6
47.0%
Q1 - 10:26DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 10:27DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
49.3%
6
50.7%
Q1 - 10:29ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup0
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 10:46DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 10:46DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 10:51DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
52.9%
4
47.1%
Q1 - 10:52ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot0
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 11:08DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 11:08DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
55.6%
3
44.4%
Q1 - 11:24DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 11:25ATLMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot0
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 11:45DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)0
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Smith: Tip to Monroe0
60.3%
0
39.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.98 48.8%
DET
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
22
55%
DET
15
24
63%
Midrange
ATL
12
32
38%
DET
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
DET
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
ATL
14
20
70%
DET
19
21
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2657%13.0 / 23
A. Horford1753%8.5 / 16
M. Bibby1464%7.0 / 11
M. Williams650%3.0 / 6
D. Wilkins440%2.0 / 5
J. Powell450%2.0 / 4
J. Teague467%2.0 / 3
M. Evans375%1.5 / 2
J. Crawford217%1.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2455%12.0 / 22
C. Villanueva2368%11.5 / 17
R. Stuckey1662%8.0 / 13
T. McGrady1680%8.0 / 10
T. Prince1063%5.0 / 8
G. Monroe563%2.5 / 4
C. Wilcox563%2.5 / 4
B. Wallace225%1.0 / 4
B. Gordon217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
74
+7
-14
81
DET
77
+13
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.98 48.8%
DET
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
107.5
ATL 90.9 +24.8
DET 115.7
Pace
89.5
89.3
ATL 94.2 +10.7
DET 83.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.6
ATL 15.3 +2.0
DET 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
49.5%
ATL 48.5%
DET 53.8% +5.3%
TO %
14.2%
13.5%
ATL 17.2%
DET 12.1% +5.1%
ORB %
23.5%
27.4%
ATL 8.3%
DET 26.3% +18.0%
FTrt
26.9
27.9
ATL 29.4 +2.5
DET 26.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
56.6%
ATL 56.7%
DET 70.3% +13.6%
STL %
6.8%
8.0%
ATL 6.8%
DET 10.1% +3.3%
BLK %
6.6%
6.6%
ATL 1.8%
DET 11.1% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.9%
ATL 48.8%
DET 57.2% +8.4%
Rim FG%
60.0%
59.2%
ATL 54.5%
DET 62.5% +8.0%
Mid FG%
42.5%
38.8%
ATL 37.5%
DET 37.5%
3P %
35.2%
37.6%
ATL 42.9%
DET 45.5% +2.6%
FT %
78.0%
73.7%
ATL 70.0%
DET 90.5% +20.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
36.3%
ATL 32.4% +1.6%
DET 30.8%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
44.8%
ATL 47.1%
DET 41.0% +6.0%
3P Att. %
22.2%
18.9%
ATL 20.6%
DET 28.2% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points80103
Rebounds3143
Assists1726
Steals69
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals30-6837-78
At-the-Rim FG12-2215-24
Midrange FG12-3212-32
2-Point FG24-5427-56
3-Point FG6-1410-22
Free Throws14-2019-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 25
43.0
17
53%
12
1
1
0
3
2
1
11
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
37.2
26
57%
4
2
2
0
2
0
0
4
8-12
67%
6-14
43%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
30.1
6
50%
5
3
0
0
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
25.7
14
64%
2
6
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 220 · 32
13.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
· 6'6" 225 · 31
32.1
4
40%
2
1
3
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
31.0
2
17%
0
4
0
0
5
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
11.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
10.7
4
50%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
5.3
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
C · 6'10" 260 · 33
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · · 6'4" 195 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
49%
31
17
6
1
14
0
3
28
14-20
70%
24-54
44%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.