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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks57%9780
25Pistons43%94103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
43.0
35.3
17
54%
12
1
1
1
0
3
1
11
3-4
75%
7-13
7-13
54%
56%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.0
37.2
33.2
26
58%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
8-12
67%
6-14
6-11
43%
52%
2-3
67%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.5
30.1
31.1
6
52%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.6
25.7
28.2
14
64%
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
13.9
16.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.9
32.1
15.0
4
40%
2
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
31.0
32.2
2
17%
0
4
0
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
11.1
10.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
10.7
14.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
5.3
10.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
12.3
0
1-2
43%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
1.8
0
0-0
51%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.6
37.1
33.6
16
64%
3
10
2
1
0
4
3
0
8-8
100%
4-8
5-12
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.8
32.1
27.9
24
55%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
7-16
4-9
44%
46%
2-4
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.8
27.4
31.2
10
63%
5
4
0
0
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
5-11
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
27.3
23.9
2
25%
5
2
2
1
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.5
20.5
25.6
5
64%
7
0
0
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.3
27.8
21.3
23
68%
11
0
3
0
1
0
1
10
0-0
-
7-10
2-5
70%
48%
3-7
43%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.6
25.7
14.8
16
81%
6
3
1
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
4-6
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
21.7
22.6
2
17%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
20.3
5.0
5
58%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.8
16.8
0
2-4
52%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.9
9.9
0
1-3
46%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.5
7.7
0
1-2
48%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.8
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.