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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers79%105103
28Wizards21%9589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.1
36.8
33.6
18
81%
10
2
1
1
1
1
2
8
6-7
86%
6-7
5-9
86%
56%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
30.7
40.4
16
59%
9
7
1
1
0
3
5
4
4-6
67%
6-11
8-14
55%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.1
25.5
28.5
10
54%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.3
25.5
27.8
6
43%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.3
23.8
34.1
24
69%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
6-10
60%
3-7
8-16
43%
50%
4-6
67%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.0
24.2
19.0
16
58%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
2-6
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.8
22.5
19.3
4
34%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-3
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.8
22.5
19.3
0
0%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.1
17.5
26.9
7
41%
4
1
0
1
2
1
2
2
5-8
63%
1-5
4-8
20%
55%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
8.9
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.6
2.2
5.1
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.8
1.9
0
0-0
42%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.7
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.9
35.6
25.9
7
32%
5
4
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.9
35.4
36.5
11
37%
2
10
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
46%
1-7
14%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
29.0
27.8
12
75%
9
0
3
1
2
2
6
3
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
53%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.0
27.0
17.4
11
44%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
5-8
63%
3-9
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
5.1
17.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
41%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
34.5
14.4
9
60%
9
0
1
0
0
0
4
5
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
31.9
28.2
21
47%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
9-17
4-8
53%
47%
0-4
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.0
15.4
13.3
6
44%
9
0
0
0
1
1
6
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
14.2
4.2
6
43%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
2-6
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.1
12.0
4.5
4
33%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
5.8
0
1-1
45%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.9
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.3
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.