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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Raptors42%9791
21Bobcats58%10097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
36.3
26.4
9
35%
4
2
3
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
50%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
35.9
24.9
12
56%
12
1
2
1
2
1
7
5
2-4
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
60%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
34.6
24.6
17
54%
3
9
1
1
0
4
2
1
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
2-5
40%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
34.1
31.4
14
46%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-3
0%
7-11
4-9
64%
50%
0-3
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.1
27.8
36.4
12
37%
8
2
0
1
1
4
4
4
3-5
60%
3-10
6-13
30%
49%
1-4
25%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
25.1
13.6
6
60%
6
1
0
0
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.0
21.8
25.5
12
51%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
3-7
43%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.9
19.2
22.7
9
44%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
2.8
11.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.0
2.5
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.5
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.6
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.7
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
44.7
36.7
16
70%
4
3
2
1
4
2
0
4
6-10
60%
5-7
6-11
71%
51%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.1
35.0
30.5
12
44%
3
7
1
1
1
1
2
1
3-4
75%
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.7
34.7
36.2
9
41%
7
5
4
1
1
4
2
5
1-2
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
25.2
34.1
7
39%
4
4
1
1
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
19.3
17.4
18
68%
8
1
0
0
1
3
2
6
2-5
40%
8-11
4-7
73%
53%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
21.3
17.0
14
53%
7
0
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-3
67%
6-12
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.8
18.7
20.4
10
63%
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
52%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.3
13.1
20.1
6
77%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
12.8
17.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
8.6
6.0
5
102%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.3
3.5
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
3.3
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.9
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.