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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bucks27%87103
5Mavericks73%9599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.0
41.9
36.0
21
72%
14
2
1
1
2
2
4
10
1-6
17%
10-12
7-13
83%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.2
41.1
33.6
23
58%
5
10
2
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
6-15
4-11
40%
40%
3-4
75%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.0
31.8
37.5
5
36%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-10
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
12.3
24.5
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.1
5.1
22.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.6
27.4
12.8
16
66%
2
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
5-5
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
3-4
75%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
27.2
18.2
14
87%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
6-7
86%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
23.1
29.7
12
55%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
21.7
9.2
8
44%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
46%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
7.0
16.6
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.7
1.3
2.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.5
2.6
0
0-1
43%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.3
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
39.0
36.2
30
59%
7
3
1
1
2
3
0
7
3-3
100%
9-18
7-13
50%
52%
3-6
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.7
31.2
30.7
11
70%
7
10
3
1
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
41%
1-4
25%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
28.2
25.0
11
81%
9
0
0
0
1
0
2
7
3-4
75%
4-5
2-4
80%
59%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
27.8
29.8
9
38%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-7
5-10
57%
47%
0-4
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
15.4
16.8
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
30.9
27.0
12
56%
3
8
0
1
1
3
0
3
5-6
83%
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
27.1
24.2
14
71%
5
0
0
1
2
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
20.7
21.6
8
41%
3
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.0
19.5
18.4
2
27%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-4
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
0.2
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.1
5.8
0
1-2
52%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
2.3
0
0-0
44%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.