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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pacers34%9373
12Bulls66%9892
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
41.2
29.9
13
36%
5
2
0
1
2
3
2
3
2-2
100%
4-14
3-6
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.2
35.2
31.9
12
40%
8
2
1
1
2
3
3
5
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
1-7
14%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.3
21.0
26.7
9
35%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-12
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.0
20.0
29.4
6
38%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
6-11
29%
49%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.8
15.9
21.0
6
75%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.9
32.1
19.1
5
25%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
1-7
14%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
28.0
15.1
2
25%
7
3
2
0
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.7
27.0
16.2
13
53%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-5
60%
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
19.6
2.5
7
51%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
6.4
0
1-1
49%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
5.4
0
0-1
45%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.1
3.8
0
1-1
43%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.6
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.2
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
38.8
34.4
17
44%
6
12
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-3
67%
3-12
7-14
25%
50%
3-6
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.1
37.4
26.8
22
47%
18
4
1
1
0
2
4
14
2-5
40%
10-21
6-11
48%
54%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
36.6
34.9
15
68%
9
0
2
1
0
3
0
9
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
33.5
32.8
12
76%
5
2
1
1
3
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.6
18.4
13.5
3
39%
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
22.4
20.3
8
68%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.7
20.5
22.6
9
57%
2
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.7
20.4
22.7
5
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-2
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
9.3
14.0
1
13%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-4
25%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
2.6
10.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
3.7
0
0-1
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.2
1.4
0
0-0
48%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.1
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.