for complete access.
All Games Monday, December 13, 2010
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Hornets
16%86
84
1
Heat
84%100
96
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
101.28390.2
MIA logo MIA
112.98578.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHGray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHGray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Arroyo 12' Jump Shot82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIADampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 3 of 381
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAHEAT Rebound79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55NOHMISS Paul 14' Fadeaway Jumper79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34NOHAriza 3' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T5)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04NOHMISS Ariza 2' Driving Dunk77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T4)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Dampier 4' Tip Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Running Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:56NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)77
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:34NOHMISS Ariza 10' Hook Shot77
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)77
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)77
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 7:12NOHWest Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)77
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 7:40MIAWade 2' Layup (28 PTS)77
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 7:50NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)77
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 8:09MIAChalmers 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)77
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 8:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 8:15NOHBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)77
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 8:22NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot77
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 8:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 8:32NOHMISS West 19' Fadeaway Jumper77
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 8:42NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot77
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 8:57NOHWest Foul Turnover (P2.T10)77
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 9:22NOHWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)77
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot77
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 9:41NOHAriza 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)77
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 9:53NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot75
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 10:05NOHBosh STEAL (1 STL)75
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 10:27MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 7 AST)75
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 10:43NOHOkafor Foul Turnover (P2.T8)75
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 10:54MIABosh 8' Hook Shot (21 PTS)75
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q4 - 11:01MIAHEAT Rebound75
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot75
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 11:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q4 - 11:20NOHJones BLOCK (1 BLK)75
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 11:37NOHHornets Rebound75
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot75
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)75
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 175
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
11.5%
80
88.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 1:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q3 - 1:03NOHMISS Green 14' Fadeaway Jumper75
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
16.3%
78
83.7%
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q3 - 1:39NOHDampier STEAL (1 STL)75
19.4%
76
80.6%
Q3 - 1:56NOHHornets Rebound75
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
21.5%
76
78.5%
Q3 - 2:15NOHJack 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
18.8%
76
81.2%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)73
16.0%
76
84.0%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)73
16.6%
75
83.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
18.8%
74
81.2%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
20.8%
74
79.2%
Q3 - 3:02NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
18.1%
74
81.9%
Q3 - 3:02NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q3 - 3:06MIAJames 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)71
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 3:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 3:36NOHMISS Green 7' Running Jump Shot71
19.0%
72
81.0%
Q3 - 3:42NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
21.1%
72
78.9%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot71
20.2%
72
79.8%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
20.2%
72
79.8%
Q3 - 4:14NOHGreen 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)71
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q3 - 4:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q3 - 4:32MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)69
16.2%
71
83.8%
Q3 - 4:55NOHWest 13' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)69
17.8%
70
82.2%
Q3 - 5:12MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
15.6%
70
84.4%
Q3 - 5:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
17.6%
68
82.4%
Q3 - 5:28NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 3 of 367
18.0%
68
82.0%
Q3 - 5:28NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)67
19.8%
68
80.2%
Q3 - 5:28NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)66
19.3%
68
80.7%
Q3 - 5:45MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)65
15.6%
68
84.4%
Q3 - 5:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
20.2%
65
79.8%
Q3 - 5:53NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot65
21.2%
65
78.8%
Q3 - 6:05NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
22.6%
65
77.4%
Q3 - 6:06NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
20.5%
65
79.5%
Q3 - 6:23MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)65
22.6%
65
77.4%
Q3 - 6:32NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)65
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q3 - 6:32NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 264
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q3 - 6:54MIABosh 3' Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)64
19.9%
65
80.1%
Q3 - 7:12NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
21.7%
63
78.3%
Q3 - 7:12NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
21.3%
63
78.7%
Q3 - 7:31MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 6 AST)62
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 7:48NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)62
21.7%
61
78.3%
Q3 - 7:48NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)61
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 7:48NOHWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)60
19.3%
61
80.7%
Q3 - 7:49NOHMISS Ariza 9' Jump Shot60
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 8:01MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 8:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIAHEAT Rebound60
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 8:23NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot60
22.2%
59
77.8%
Q3 - 8:31MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)60
24.2%
59
75.8%
Q3 - 8:50NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)60
26.9%
57
73.1%
Q3 - 9:11NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
23.5%
57
76.5%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot58
22.7%
57
77.3%
Q3 - 9:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
21.0%
57
79.0%
Q3 - 9:24NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot58
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 9:30NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
23.6%
57
76.4%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot58
22.7%
57
77.3%
Q3 - 9:47MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
21.0%
57
79.0%
Q3 - 9:48NOHIlgauskas BLOCK (3 BLK)58
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 10:05NOHHornets Rebound58
22.8%
57
77.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Hook Shot58
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 10:14MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
20.3%
57
79.7%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot58
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 10:36NOHWest 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)58
20.3%
57
79.7%
Q3 - 10:59MIABosh 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)56
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 11:05MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q3 - 11:06NOHMISS Paul 6' Running Jump Shot56
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q3 - 11:30MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)56
22.3%
55
77.7%
Q3 - 11:45NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)56
24.6%
53
75.4%
Q3 - 11:45NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH54
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 3' Driving Reverse Layup (24 PTS)54
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)54
26.5%
51
73.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot54
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q2 - 1:22MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 4 AST)54
25.9%
51
74.1%
Q2 - 1:38NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)54
32.0%
48
68.0%
Q2 - 1:48NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
28.5%
48
71.5%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot52
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q2 - 2:07NOHWest 4' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)52
25.6%
48
74.4%
Q2 - 2:12NOHWest REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)50
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 2:13NOHMISS Pondexter 21' Jump Shot50
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)50
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)50
23.8%
47
76.2%
Q2 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)50
24.4%
46
75.6%
Q2 - 2:47NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q2 - 2:47NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
27.9%
45
72.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 3 AST)48
25.7%
45
74.3%
Q2 - 3:14NOHWest 13' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)48
29.6%
42
70.4%
Q2 - 3:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
27.6%
42
72.4%
Q2 - 3:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
28.1%
41
71.9%
Q2 - 3:50NOHOkafor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)46
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 4:01NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
30.6%
40
69.4%
Q2 - 4:23NOHPaul 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 4:34NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)44
26.6%
40
73.4%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
25.8%
40
74.2%
Q2 - 4:59NOHOkafor 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)44
24.1%
40
75.9%
Q2 - 5:17MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 5:32NOHAriza 2' Layup (7 PTS) (West 2 AST)42
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 5:43MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)40
21.7%
38
78.3%
Q2 - 5:57NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q2 - 6:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 6:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 6:29MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
17.7%
36
82.3%
Q2 - 6:30NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 6:42NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot37
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 6:51MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
17.7%
36
82.3%
Q2 - 6:52NOHMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot37
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)37
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 7:29NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 7:56NOHOkafor 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)35
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 8:17NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 8:18NOHMISS Green 4' Driving Layup33
17.6%
32
82.4%
Q2 - 8:37NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 233
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 8:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
17.5%
32
82.5%
Q2 - 8:56NOHSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)33
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 9:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q2 - 9:12NOHJack Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)31
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 9:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 9:14NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)30
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 9:20NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup30
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q2 - 9:43NOHJack 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)30
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 10:02MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 10:10NOHChalmers STEAL (1 STL)28
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 10:26NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 228
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 10:36NOHGray 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)28
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q2 - 10:54NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 126
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q2 - 11:05NOHGray Foul Turnover (P2.T3)26
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q2 - 11:09NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot26
17.9%
25
82.1%
Q2 - 11:31NOHGreen 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)26
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q2 - 11:43NOHJack Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)24
15.6%
25
84.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot23
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIADampier 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)21
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0NOHAriza 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)21
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
11.8%
23
88.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 1:17NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q1 - 1:17NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 218
10.9%
23
89.1%
Q1 - 1:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
10.8%
23
89.2%
Q1 - 1:49NOHHoward STEAL (1 STL)18
13.0%
20
87.0%
Q1 - 2:08NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:09NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.3%
20
86.7%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:46NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 2:46NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 217
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 2:50NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot17
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 3:17NOHWest 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 3:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)15
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 3:20NOHMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot15
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 3:53NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 215
12.7%
18
87.3%
Q1 - 3:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 4:07MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 4:08NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
12.8%
17
87.2%
Q1 - 4:22NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
13.5%
17
86.5%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 4:36NOHBelinelli 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 4:48MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound13
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 5:13NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 213
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 5:13NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 5:20NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12.6%
15
87.4%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot12
12.3%
15
87.7%
Q1 - 5:35NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 5:59MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 6:15NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)10
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)7
9.9%
13
90.1%
Q1 - 6:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
10.7%
11
89.3%
Q1 - 6:46NOHMISS Belinelli 2' Layup7
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 7:04MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)7
11.4%
11
88.6%
Q1 - 7:22MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 7:22NOHIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)7
13.4%
8
86.6%
Q1 - 7:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)7
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 7:25NOHBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)7
13.4%
8
86.6%
Q1 - 7:26NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 7:27NOHIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)7
13.4%
8
86.6%
Q1 - 7:41NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot7
13.8%
8
86.2%
Q1 - 7:53NOHOkafor 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 8:07NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS James 3' Layup5
11.7%
8
88.3%
Q1 - 8:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Arroyo 3' Driving Layup5
11.7%
8
88.3%
Q1 - 8:13MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 8:14NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot5
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 8:46MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)5
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 8:52MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
12.9%
6
87.1%
Q1 - 8:53NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot5
13.2%
6
86.8%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
13.9%
5
86.1%
Q1 - 9:22NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 9:41NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot2
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 10:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot2
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 10:22NOHAriza 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:30NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot0
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 10:38NOHIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)0
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 11:00MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)0
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 11:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 11:12NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot0
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 11:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:20NOHBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)0
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 11:41MIABosh 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Okafor: Tip to Arroyo0
13.4%
0
86.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.02 51.2%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
12
23
52%
MIA
10
17
59%
Midrange
NOH
15
31
48%
MIA
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
1
1.5
13
8%
12%
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
NOH
27
34
79%
MIA
30
38
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2657%13.0 / 23
T. Ariza1354%6.5 / 12
C. Paul1142%5.5 / 13
E. Okafor990%4.5 / 5
M. Belinelli941%4.5 / 11
J. Jack6100%3.0 / 3
W. Green429%2.0 / 7
A. Gray4100%2.0 / 2
J. Smith250%1.0 / 2
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3276%16.0 / 21
C. Bosh2357%11.5 / 20
L. James2050%10.0 / 20
C. Arroyo744%3.5 / 8
M. Chalmers643%3.0 / 7
E. Dampier350%1.5 / 3
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
Z. Ilgauskas225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
71
+10
-12
81
MIA
79
+11
-6
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.02 51.2%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
111.4
NOH 101.2
MIA 112.9 +11.7
Pace
88.9
91.3
NOH 90.2 +11.5
MIA 78.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
NOH 16.0 +2.3
MIA 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
52.4%
NOH 42.5%
MIA 47.1% +4.6%
TO %
13.6%
14.4%
NOH 12.8%
MIA 6.5% +6.3%
ORB %
25.1%
25.2%
NOH 26.3% +5.2%
MIA 21.1%
FTrt
29.6
36.3
NOH 50.7
MIA 54.3 +3.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
54.1%
NOH 50.0%
MIA 54.8% +4.8%
STL %
8.5%
7.3%
NOH 6.0%
MIA 7.1% +1.1%
BLK %
7.6%
8.5%
NOH 1.8%
MIA 16.7% +14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.7%
NOH 51.2%
MIA 53.3% +2.1%
Rim FG%
57.5%
64.7%
NOH 52.2%
MIA 58.8% +6.6%
Mid FG%
42.1%
42.2%
NOH 48.4% +4.8%
MIA 43.6%
3P %
36.0%
37.0%
NOH 7.7%
MIA 28.6% +20.9%
FT %
76.5%
76.9%
NOH 79.4% +0.5%
MIA 78.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
31.6%
NOH 34.3% +10.0%
MIA 24.3%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
44.9%
NOH 46.3% +9.4%
MIA 55.7%
3P Att. %
19.2%
23.5%
NOH 19.4%
MIA 20.0% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points8496
Rebounds4036
Assists1417
Steals56
Blocks19
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)28 (4)
Field Goals28-6731-70
At-the-Rim FG12-2310-17
Midrange FG15-3117-39
2-Point FG27-5427-56
3-Point FG1-134-14
Free Throws27-3430-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
15 New Orleans Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Trevor Ariza
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
37.8
13
54%
4
0
2
0
0
4
2
2
3-5
60%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28
36.9
9
90%
6
0
1
0
2
6
1
5
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
36.7
26
57%
12
2
1
0
3
2
6
6
10-13
77%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
35.7
11
42%
8
5
0
0
2
4
1
7
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
29.9
9
41%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
18.1
4
29%
3
1
0
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
12.3
6
100%
0
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25
11.7
2
50%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26
10.7
4
100%
0
1
0
0
2
5
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23
10.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
#44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
DJ Mbenga
#28 · C · 7'0" 255 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Marcus Banks
#15 · G · 6'2" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
51%
40
14
5
1
12
0
10
30
27-34
79%
27-54
50%
1-13
8%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.