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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Cavaliers21%9477
8Thunder79%105106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.0
29.6
30.9
8
40%
4
4
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.2
27.7
29.7
7
47%
16
0
1
1
1
1
9
7
1-1
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
53%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.8
25.4
30.3
11
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.5
24.3
30.4
12
68%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
2-3
67%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
24.3
29.1
8
36%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
47%
2-7
29%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.3
23.7
18.7
9
40%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-5
20%
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
18.4
15.3
6
35%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
6-8
75%
0-5
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.5
15.8
9.6
7
49%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-5
60%
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.2
15.7
15.2
2
25%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
14.8
16.9
1
9%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.2
13.9
7.4
3
54%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
6.4
11.6
3
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
1-3
33%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.5
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 21.9
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
30.3
34.9
19
63%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
4-5
80%
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.2
30.2
39.3
25
67%
7
0
1
1
1
5
0
7
3-4
75%
8-13
8-15
62%
52%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
27.1
34.9
14
62%
3
11
2
2
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
4-9
8-16
44%
48%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
20.2
32.5
1
17%
1
3
3
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
20.2
28.4
4
67%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
5-8
67%
59%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
23.5
4.5
4
29%
7
2
2
0
0
0
2
5
0-2
0%
2-6
1-1
33%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
20.9
12.9
9
75%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
1-2
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.3
20.9
22.4
19
89%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
20.4
19.6
2
100%
8
2
0
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
12.0
2.6
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
7.4
1.3
5
51%
5
0
1
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-4
0-0
50%
54%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
6.9
2.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.