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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat78%100104
29Kings22%9083
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
36.0
34.3
14
50%
17
2
0
1
1
2
2
15
2-2
100%
6-13
7-14
46%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
35.6
35.9
36
67%
6
6
1
2
1
3
3
3
5-9
56%
14-21
7-14
67%
53%
1-2
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
35.2
33.7
25
59%
10
3
2
1
0
3
1
9
3-5
60%
8-16
7-13
50%
55%
2-3
67%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
23.3
19.9
6
44%
4
1
1
0
1
3
0
4
0-2
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.4
20.8
22.4
7
58%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
27.2
24.2
8
51%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
2-4
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.2
22.6
22.3
3
50%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
16.2
17.3
1
57%
4
0
0
0
3
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
11.2
11.8
2
114%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
9.4
10.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
2.6
5.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.8
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
32.9
27.8
12
51%
2
7
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.2
30.6
31.7
5
23%
1
1
3
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
5-11
29%
46%
0-3
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.4
30.3
26.1
13
53%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.8
27.5
22.7
6
38%
3
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-3
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.3
20.9
25.1
6
22%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-6
33%
2-11
5-10
18%
45%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
26.8
23.5
20
72%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
5-7
71%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.6
25.7
12.7
7
39%
11
0
1
0
3
0
5
6
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.2
16.5
21.6
8
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
4-9
4-7
44%
51%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.0
16.1
17.8
4
33%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
40%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
9.8
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.1
2.6
7.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
0.3
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.