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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Timberwolves21%9682
12Bulls79%106113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
36.9
29.2
16
44%
6
2
1
1
2
2
1
5
2-3
67%
7-15
7-14
47%
47%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.3
32.2
38.8
23
72%
15
1
1
1
1
3
3
12
2-2
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
46%
3-5
60%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.8
29.0
32.9
7
44%
1
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.4
24.2
30.4
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.5
13.7
23.1
4
29%
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
24.9
18.1
8
40%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 24.9
24.0
13.1
5
43%
4
0
0
0
4
6
3
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.8
23.0
30.3
6
38%
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-8
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.5
12.8
13.9
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
6.7
3.5
2
114%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
6.3
3.8
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.6
6.3
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
29.5
38.1
19
77%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
5-6
5-10
83%
50%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
29.5
37.6
21
105%
3
7
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
9-17
75%
52%
5-6
83%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
27.9
35.9
9
42%
10
3
2
1
6
1
3
7
3-6
50%
3-8
6-10
38%
54%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.1
24.3
28.8
17
50%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
7-7
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
55%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.6
16.9
12.1
6
100%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.7
24.0
22.6
12
64%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
23.7
18.8
12
36%
10
3
1
0
1
1
7
3
2-2
100%
5-16
3-6
31%
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.7
22.2
23.4
8
57%
5
1
4
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
54%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
18.5
12.1
2
20%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
16.8
7.8
3
40%
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
5
1-4
25%
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
3.3
3.6
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.2
3.3
0.5
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.