FinalWin Prob.pScore
2245%101
120
2655%102
116
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
126.39599.3
DET logo DET
120.89692.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDET
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR120
100%
116
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Stuckey 12 AST)120
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)120
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)119
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)118
99.8%
113
0.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot118
99.7%
113
0.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)118
99.1%
113
0.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)117
98.9%
113
1.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)116
98.0%
113
2.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)116
92.9%
113
7.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2115
91.7%
113
8.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)115
87.6%
113
12.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2115
88.6%
112
11.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0TORBayless 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)115
85.5%
112
14.5%
Q4 - 1:03DETWallace Tip Shot (20 PTS)113
73.3%
112
26.7%
Q4 - 1:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)113
83.2%
110
16.8%
Q4 - 1:03DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup113
88.8%
110
11.2%
Q4 - 1:21TORBayless 28' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)113
80.9%
110
19.1%
Q4 - 1:39TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)110
57.7%
110
42.3%
Q4 - 1:40DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot110
53.2%
110
46.8%
Q4 - 2:05TORBargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bayless 7 AST)110
42.4%
110
57.6%
Q4 - 2:24TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)107
24.6%
110
75.4%
Q4 - 2:24DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
20.7%
110
79.3%
Q4 - 2:43TORBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)107
13.7%
110
86.3%
Q4 - 3:06DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 11 AST)104
8.0%
110
92.0%
Q4 - 3:31TORJohnson Layup (6 PTS) (Barbosa 7 AST)104
15.4%
108
84.6%
Q4 - 3:46TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
10.9%
108
89.1%
Q4 - 3:47DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot102
9.7%
108
90.3%
Q4 - 4:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)102
7.3%
108
92.7%
Q4 - 4:06DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot102
9.5%
108
90.5%
Q4 - 4:09DETPISTONS Rebound102
7.2%
108
92.8%
Q4 - 4:09DETMISS Wallace 1' Layup102
9.4%
108
90.6%
Q4 - 4:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)102
7.1%
108
92.9%
Q4 - 4:30DETMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot102
9.3%
108
90.7%
Q4 - 4:53DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
7.0%
108
93.0%
Q4 - 4:54TORMISS Kleiza 18' Jump Shot102
7.9%
108
92.1%
Q4 - 5:02TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
13.3%
108
86.7%
Q4 - 5:04DETMISS Hamilton 13' Fadeaway Jumper102
12.1%
108
87.9%
Q4 - 5:22DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)102
9.6%
108
90.4%
Q4 - 5:23TORMISS Wright 7' Running Jump Shot102
10.6%
108
89.4%
Q4 - 5:38DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 10 AST)102
13.1%
108
86.9%
Q4 - 5:54TORBargnani 6' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)102
17.1%
106
82.9%
Q4 - 6:10DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)100
15.5%
106
84.5%
Q4 - 6:14DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
11.7%
106
88.3%
Q4 - 6:15TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
12.8%
106
87.2%
Q4 - 6:21TORWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)100
15.5%
106
84.5%
Q4 - 6:22TORMISS Barbosa 21' Jump Shot100
12.7%
106
87.3%
Q4 - 6:48TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
15.4%
106
84.6%
Q4 - 6:49DETMISS Wallace 1' Tip Shot100
14.1%
106
85.9%
Q4 - 6:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)100
11.6%
106
88.4%
Q4 - 6:53DETMISS Hamilton 14' Fadeaway Jumper100
14.1%
106
85.9%
Q4 - 7:12TORStuckey STEAL (1 STL)100
13.4%
106
86.6%
Q4 - 7:22DETPISTONS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#11)100
17.3%
106
82.7%
Q4 - 7:30DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
13.3%
106
86.7%
Q4 - 7:31TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1100
13.8%
106
86.2%
Q4 - 7:34DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)98
10.6%
106
89.4%
Q4 - 7:54TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)98
8.0%
106
92.0%
Q4 - 7:57TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
10.6%
106
89.4%
Q4 - 7:58DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
9.7%
106
90.3%
Q4 - 8:18TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)98
9.7%
106
90.3%
Q4 - 8:27DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)95
6.0%
106
94.0%
Q4 - 8:33DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
4.7%
106
95.3%
Q4 - 8:34TORMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
5.0%
106
95.0%
Q4 - 8:46DETMonroe Layup (10 PTS)95
5.9%
106
94.1%
Q4 - 9:11TORKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)95
8.9%
104
91.1%
Q4 - 9:11TORKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)94
8.4%
104
91.6%
Q4 - 9:15DETBynum Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)93
7.1%
104
92.9%
Q4 - 9:29TORBarbosa 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)93
5.7%
104
94.3%
Q4 - 9:37DETGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)91
4.5%
104
95.5%
Q4 - 9:55TORKleiza 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barbosa 6 AST)91
3.6%
104
96.4%
Q4 - 9:58TORRaptors Rebound89
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 9:58TORVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)89
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 10:03TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
3.4%
104
96.6%
Q4 - 10:04DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
3.2%
104
96.8%
Q4 - 10:20TORBarbosa 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)89
2.7%
104
97.3%
Q4 - 10:37DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)87
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 10:58TORBarbosa Driving Layup (13 PTS)87
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 11:13DETVillanueva 15' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)85
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 11:32TORJohnson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Barbosa 5 AST)85
3.9%
99
96.1%
Q4 - 11:42TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS Gordon 10' Running Jump Shot83
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET83
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)83
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey Layup83
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0TORKleiza 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Dorsey 1 AST)83
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)81
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0TORBarbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)81
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 278
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETMISS Stuckey 11' Turnaround Jump Shot78
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0TORKleiza Layup (5 PTS) (Barbosa 4 AST)78
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q3 - 1:11DETStuckey Alley Oop Layup (22 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)76
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q3 - 1:25TORWright 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST)76
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q3 - 1:36TORRaptors Rebound74
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q3 - 1:36TORStuckey BLOCK (1 BLK)74
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 1:55DETWallace Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T5)74
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q3 - 2:16TORDeRozan 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bayless 6 AST)74
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q3 - 2:31DETStuckey 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)72
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 2:36TORWallace STEAL (5 STL)72
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 2:44DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)72
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q3 - 3:01TORDavis Tip Shot (3 PTS)72
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q3 - 3:04TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 3:07TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q3 - 3:27DETWallace 1' Layup (18 PTS)70
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 3:44TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q3 - 3:44TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q3 - 3:44TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q3 - 3:47TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot68
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q3 - 4:05DETWallace Dunk (16 PTS) (Stuckey 9 AST)68
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q3 - 4:21TORBayless 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)68
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q3 - 4:46DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 4:46DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 266
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q3 - 5:09TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)66
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 5:09TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)65
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 5:11DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)64
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q3 - 5:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)64
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 5:26TORMISS Davis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot64
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 5:51DETWallace Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Stuckey 8 AST)64
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q3 - 6:01DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q3 - 6:02TORMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q3 - 6:22DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)64
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q3 - 6:22DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q3 - 6:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 6:27TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot64
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q3 - 6:47DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)64
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 7:01DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 7:02TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 264
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 7:02TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 7:19DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 7:19DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q3 - 7:44TORBargnani 17' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)63
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 8:06DETMonroe 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)61
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 8:10TORWallace STEAL (4 STL)61
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q3 - 8:25DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)61
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 8:47TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 8:47TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 260
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 8:57DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)60
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 9:17TORBayless 2' Layup (18 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)60
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 9:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 9:24DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot58
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 9:47TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)58
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 9:51TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 9:52DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot55
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 10:09TORDeRozan Layup (13 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)55
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 10:15TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 10:16DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot53
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 10:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 10:26TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot53
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 10:50DETMaxiell 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)53
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 11:04DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 11:05TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot53
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 11:17DETWallace 13' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)53
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q3 - 11:39DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 11:43TORMISS Weems 21' Jump Shot53
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET53
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORBarbosa 40' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)50
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 250
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0TORBayless 11' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)47
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q2 - 1:08DETHamilton Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)45
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q2 - 1:27TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q2 - 1:41DETVillanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)42
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q2 - 1:50DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
5.7%
62
94.3%
Q2 - 1:51TORMISS DeRozan Layup42
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q2 - 2:05DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q2 - 2:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
8.4%
59
91.6%
Q2 - 2:19TORMISS DeRozan 12' Jump Shot42
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q2 - 2:31DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)42
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q2 - 2:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q2 - 2:33DETMISS Prince 1' Layup42
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q2 - 2:55TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)42
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q2 - 3:10TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
13.8%
56
86.2%
Q2 - 3:11DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 242
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q2 - 3:11DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q2 - 3:16DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q2 - 3:17DETMISS Villanueva 22' Jump Shot42
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 3:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q2 - 3:41TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot42
14.1%
55
85.9%
Q2 - 3:57TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q2 - 3:58DETMISS Stuckey 14' Turnaround Jump Shot42
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 4:26TORBayless 22' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q2 - 4:40DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)40
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q2 - 4:47TORVillanueva STEAL (2 STL)40
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 5:09DETGordon 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)40
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q2 - 5:12DETPISTONS Rebound40
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 5:12DETMISS McGrady Layup40
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q2 - 5:41TORBargnani 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 5:58TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
17.8%
50
82.2%
Q2 - 6:00TORMISS Barbosa 1' Driving Layup38
16.6%
50
83.4%
Q2 - 6:10TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q2 - 6:11DETMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot38
17.9%
50
82.1%
Q2 - 6:23DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
16.6%
50
83.4%
Q2 - 6:23TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
17.2%
50
82.8%
Q2 - 6:38DETGordon Tip Shot (5 PTS)38
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 6:39DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 6:41DETMISS Gordon 1' Layup38
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q2 - 6:56TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P1.T12)38
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 6:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
22.2%
48
77.8%
Q2 - 6:59DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q2 - 7:09TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)38
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 7:24DETVillanueva 7' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)35
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 7:47TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)35
18.8%
46
81.2%
Q2 - 8:04DETBynum Running Dunk (4 PTS)33
17.9%
46
82.1%
Q2 - 8:12DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 8:14TORMISS Barbosa 1' Layup33
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 8:24TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 8:25DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
20.7%
44
79.3%
Q2 - 8:33DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 8:34TORMISS Johnson Layup33
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 8:55DETBynum 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)33
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 9:12TORBarbosa 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
23.4%
42
76.6%
Q2 - 9:27DETVillanueva 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)31
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 9:30TORGordon STEAL (1 STL)31
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 9:36DETVillanueva Dunk (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)31
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 9:41TORVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)31
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 9:51DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)31
29.6%
38
70.4%
Q2 - 10:05TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P2.T9)31
34.0%
35
66.0%
Q2 - 10:20DETMcGrady 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)31
36.6%
35
63.4%
Q2 - 10:29DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
38.8%
33
61.2%
Q2 - 10:31TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 231
39.1%
33
60.9%
Q2 - 10:31TORDorsey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
40.6%
33
59.4%
Q2 - 10:45DETMcGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)30
39.0%
33
61.0%
Q2 - 11:00TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)30
41.2%
31
58.8%
Q2 - 11:17DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
39.0%
31
61.0%
Q2 - 11:17DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q2 - 11:36DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
41.2%
29
58.8%
Q2 - 11:37TORMISS Wright Layup28
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET28
43.9%
29
56.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0DETMonroe Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)25
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0TORWallace STEAL (3 STL)25
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)25
41.0%
27
59.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0TORDorsey Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)25
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETWallace 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
36.4%
27
63.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)23
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETMISS McGrady Layup23
40.4%
25
59.6%
Q1 - 1:10TORBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)23
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q1 - 1:12TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 1:14DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup23
40.5%
25
59.5%
Q1 - 1:27DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q1 - 1:29TORMISS Barbosa 20' Jump Shot23
39.9%
25
60.1%
Q1 - 1:44DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)23
41.0%
25
59.0%
Q1 - 2:08TORKleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)23
43.9%
23
56.1%
Q1 - 2:23TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
46.0%
23
54.0%
Q1 - 2:23DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 123
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 2:47TORKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)23
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 3:01DETWallace Putback Dunk (4 PTS)20
43.9%
21
56.1%
Q1 - 3:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
46.0%
19
54.0%
Q1 - 3:04DETMISS Monroe 4' Hook Shot20
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 3:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
46.0%
19
54.0%
Q1 - 3:16TORMISS Bayless 9' Running Jump Shot20
46.7%
19
53.3%
Q1 - 3:24DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)20
48.4%
19
51.6%
Q1 - 3:49TORWeems Palming Turnover (P1.T5)20
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 4:03DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q1 - 4:03DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
52.8%
16
47.2%
Q1 - 4:03TORWallace STEAL (2 STL)20
54.5%
15
45.5%
Q1 - 4:04TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
56.9%
15
43.1%
Q1 - 4:06DETMISS Prince 1' Layup20
56.2%
15
43.8%
Q1 - 4:23TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)20
54.5%
15
45.5%
Q1 - 4:42TORRaptors Rebound18
52.5%
15
47.5%
Q1 - 4:42DETMISS Stuckey 7' Turnaround Jump Shot18
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q1 - 5:04TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 5:04TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 5:18TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
47.8%
15
52.2%
Q1 - 5:20DETMISS Hamilton Layup16
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 5:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 5:29TORMISS Weems 18' Jump Shot16
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 5:36DETStuckey 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)16
47.8%
15
52.2%
Q1 - 5:40TORWallace STEAL (1 STL)16
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 6:03DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 6:03DETMonroe 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 6:03DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup16
55.2%
11
44.8%
Q1 - 6:17TORWeems 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
53.7%
11
46.3%
Q1 - 6:22TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
51.7%
11
48.3%
Q1 - 6:24DETMISS Prince 5' Jump Shot14
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 6:37TORDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
49.5%
11
50.5%
Q1 - 7:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
55.5%
9
44.5%
Q1 - 7:14DETWallace 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
55.5%
9
44.5%
Q1 - 7:14DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 114
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 7:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
57.3%
7
42.7%
Q1 - 7:14DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot14
58.8%
7
41.2%
Q1 - 7:32DETPISTONS Rebound14
57.3%
7
42.7%
Q1 - 7:33DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot14
58.8%
7
41.2%
Q1 - 7:49TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)14
57.3%
7
42.7%
Q1 - 8:08DETPrince 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)11
53.2%
7
46.8%
Q1 - 8:25TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 8:29TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
57.2%
5
42.8%
Q1 - 8:30DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot11
56.6%
5
43.4%
Q1 - 8:56TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)11
55.2%
5
44.8%
Q1 - 9:11DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)8
51.1%
5
48.9%
Q1 - 9:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
53.1%
3
46.9%
Q1 - 9:25DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 28
54.7%
3
45.3%
Q1 - 9:25DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
53.8%
3
46.2%
Q1 - 9:45TORBayless Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
55.0%
2
45.0%
Q1 - 9:50TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.1%
2
46.9%
Q1 - 9:51DETMISS Maxiell Layup6
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 10:05TORDeRozan 22' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 10:15TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 10:17DETMISS Wallace 4' Jump Shot4
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 10:38TORBayless 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 10:54TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 10:56DETMISS Stuckey 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 11:19TORDeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 11:40DETStuckey 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Bargnani: Tip to Maxiell0
43.4%
0
56.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.45 72.3%
DET
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
22
29
76%
DET
28
44
64%
Midrange
TOR
13
27
48%
DET
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
DET
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
TOR
23
29
79%
DET
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Bayless3191%15.5 / 17
A. Bargnani2279%11.0 / 14
L. Barbosa2279%11.0 / 14
D. DeRozan1662%8.0 / 13
L. Kleiza1179%5.5 / 7
A. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
J. Wright450%2.0 / 4
J. Dorsey375%1.5 / 2
E. Davis338%1.5 / 4
S. Weems233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Wallace2377%11.5 / 15
R. Stuckey2357%11.5 / 20
C. Villanueva1761%8.5 / 14
T. Prince1250%6.0 / 12
R. Hamilton1142%5.5 / 13
G. Monroe1063%5.0 / 8
B. Gordon750%3.5 / 7
T. McGrady660%3.0 / 5
W. Bynum4100%2.0 / 2
J. Maxiell350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
77
+6
-18
83
DET
84
+18
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.45 72.3%
DET
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
107.5
TOR 126.3 +5.5
DET 120.8
Pace
93.1
89.3
TOR 99.3 +7.4
DET 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.6
TOR 14.5 +1.2
DET 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
49.5%
TOR 69.3% +13.1%
DET 56.2%
TO %
15.0%
13.5%
TOR 17.9%
DET 11.6% +6.3%
ORB %
28.3%
27.4%
TOR 14.3%
DET 34.9% +20.6%
FTrt
29.3
27.9
TOR 41.4 +15.6
DET 25.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
56.6%
TOR 50.0%
DET 63.8% +13.8%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
TOR 9.5% +0.1%
DET 9.4%
BLK %
6.7%
6.6%
TOR 12.3% +8.7%
DET 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
51.9%
TOR 72.3% +16.0%
DET 56.3%
Rim FG%
58.9%
59.2%
TOR 75.9% +12.3%
DET 63.6%
Mid FG%
41.2%
38.8%
TOR 48.1% +3.3%
DET 44.8%
3P %
31.6%
37.6%
TOR 64.3% +26.8%
DET 37.5%
FT %
75.5%
73.7%
TOR 79.3% +9.7%
DET 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
36.3%
TOR 41.4%
DET 49.4% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
44.8%
TOR 38.6%
DET 32.6% +6.0%
3P Att. %
16.2%
18.9%
TOR 20.0% +2.0%
DET 18.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsTORDET
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points120116
Rebounds3239
Assists2230
Steals99
Blocks92
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)24 (0)
Field Goals44-7047-89
At-the-Rim FG22-2928-44
Midrange FG13-2713-29
2-Point FG35-5641-73
3-Point FG9-146-16
Free Throws23-2916-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
37.9
22
79%
5
2
0
0
4
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
4-6
67%
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
33.6
31
91%
5
7
1
0
4
2
0
5
10-12
83%
9-10
90%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
32.0
16
62%
4
1
0
2
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
28.4
6
75%
5
0
2
2
0
4
1
4
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 205 · 24
19.6
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 194 · 28
27.1
22
79%
3
7
1
0
2
1
0
3
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 234 · 26
20.0
11
79%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
17.0
4
50%
2
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
· 6'8" 268 · 27
12.2
3
75%
2
1
1
2
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
12.2
3
38%
5
0
0
2
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 34
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
#30 · C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
72%
32
22
9
9
18
0
4
28
23-29
79%
35-56
63%
9-14
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.