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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Celtics69%9493
21Bobcats31%8862
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
40.7
15.1
10
64%
7
0
1
0
4
2
2
5
4-4
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.8
31.3
35.0
7
70%
5
8
5
2
0
6
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.4
30.0
33.0
16
59%
6
2
2
1
0
3
1
5
6-6
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
53%
2-4
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.2
28.6
34.6
8
32%
4
2
2
1
3
1
1
3
6-8
75%
1-4
5-9
25%
51%
0-5
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.6
23.4
30.4
13
60%
11
1
1
1
1
0
1
10
1-2
50%
6-10
6-11
60%
53%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.9
26.0
26.5
16
55%
7
0
0
1
1
2
2
5
4-6
67%
6-11
4-9
55%
49%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.9
25.3
19.4
10
71%
6
1
3
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.5
12.8
19.5
6
60%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.4
12.2
6.4
5
64%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-3
33%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.9
5.7
2.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.0
4.0
3.2
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.8
12.9
0
2-4
58%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.1
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.4
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
36.8
37.4
9
26%
6
5
3
1
1
4
2
4
4-6
67%
1-11
5-11
9%
48%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.7
35.2
37.8
5
87%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.1
32.4
29.8
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
31.3
37.0
13
47%
4
7
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-4
25%
6-9
4-10
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
16.7
18.2
14
64%
5
0
2
0
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
50%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.8
26.4
17.5
5
29%
9
0
1
0
2
1
3
6
1-4
25%
2-7
2-3
29%
49%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.2
20.1
20.7
6
61%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
16.1
19.2
5
108%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
39%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
10.0
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
9.6
3.2
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
41%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.3
5.6
5.9
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.9
3.6
0
0-1
43%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.