FinalWin Prob.pScore
1546%95
83
1954%97
97
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
91.29194.4
ATL logo ATL
105.49288.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL83
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMISS Price 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38INDMISS Price 21' Jump Shot81
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 1:58ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 1:58ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)81
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 2:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)81
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 2:05INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 2:12ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)81
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 2:29INDGranger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)81
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 2:35INDPacers Rebound81
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 2:35INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 2:53ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)81
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 3:10INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)81
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 3:16ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)78
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 3:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 3:19ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot78
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 3:41INDSmith STEAL (2 STL)78
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 3:49ATLWilkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)78
7.9%
85
92.1%
Q4 - 4:10INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Price 3 AST)78
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q4 - 4:16ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)75
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 4:32ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Granger: Tip to Smith75
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 4:35INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot75
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 4:44ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 4:44ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 275
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 5:02INDRush Driving Layup (12 PTS)75
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 5:18ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Horford 7 AST)73
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 5:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)73
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 5:35INDMISS Granger 3' Driving Layup73
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 5:46INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)73
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 5:47ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 6:04ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 6:06INDMISS Granger 17' Fadeaway Jumper73
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 6:27INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 6:30ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Hook Shot73
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q4 - 6:56INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Price 2 AST)73
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 7:09ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)70
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 7:34INDGranger 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)70
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q4 - 7:50INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 7:56ATLMISS Horford 4' Driving Layup68
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 8:16INDHorford STEAL (2 STL)68
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 8:26INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 8:27ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot68
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 8:41INDHibbert 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)68
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 8:47INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 8:49ATLMISS Teague 1' Running Layup66
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 8:56INDDunleavy 2' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)66
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 9:06ATLPowell 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)64
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 9:20INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 9:20INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 9:28ATLPowell Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)62
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 9:41ATLHAWKS Rebound62
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 9:41INDMISS Price 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 9:54ATLPowell 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)62
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 10:19INDGranger 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Price 1 AST)62
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q4 - 10:29ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q4 - 10:29ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 1 of 260
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 10:48ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q4 - 10:51INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q4 - 10:56INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 10:57ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 11:15ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 11:16INDMISS Ford 1' Layup60
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q4 - 11:26INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q4 - 11:27ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot60
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 11:34ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 11:38INDPowell BLOCK (1 BLK)60
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 11:43INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q4 - 11:44ATLMISS Teague Running Layup60
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 11:49INDTeague STEAL (1 STL)60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL60
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDFord 20' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot58
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)58
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)55
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDMISS Hibbert 12' Hook Shot55
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 1:02ATLPowell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)55
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 1:19INDMcRoberts Foul Turnover (P2.T10)55
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 1:30INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 1:31ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 255
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 1:31ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 1:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)55
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 1:37INDWilkins BLOCK (1 BLK)55
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 1:50ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)55
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 1:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)55
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 1:57INDMISS Ford 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 2:10ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)55
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 2:30INDPosey 4' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)55
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 2:55ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)53
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 3:22INDFord 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 3:26INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 3:29ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Hook Shot51
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q3 - 3:55INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 3:55INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 4:16ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)49
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 4:28ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 4:29INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q3 - 4:45INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 4:48ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Hook Shot49
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q3 - 5:10INDRush 3' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)49
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 5:20INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 5:21ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 5:32ATLHAWKS Rebound47
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q3 - 5:32ATLMISS Evans 19' Jump Shot47
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 5:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)47
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q3 - 5:46INDMISS Granger 18' Fadeaway Jumper47
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 6:06ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)47
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 6:22INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q3 - 6:22INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 6:37ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)45
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 6:44ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 6:44INDMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 6:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)45
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 6:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 7:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)45
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q3 - 7:02INDMISS Collison 2' Driving Layup45
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 7:16ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)45
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 7:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 7:39INDMISS Hibbert 13' Hook Shot45
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 7:59ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)45
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q3 - 8:23INDCollison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)45
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q3 - 8:31INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q3 - 8:32ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 8:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)42
10.5%
55
89.5%
Q3 - 8:49INDMISS Hibbert 5' Driving Layup42
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q3 - 9:00INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q3 - 9:02INDMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 9:15ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)42
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q3 - 9:27ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q3 - 9:28ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot42
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 9:56INDCollison 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)42
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q3 - 10:05INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
14.9%
52
85.1%
Q3 - 10:07ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Bank Shot40
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q3 - 10:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)40
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q3 - 10:26INDSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)40
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q3 - 10:35ATLEvans 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)40
14.9%
52
85.1%
Q3 - 10:55INDMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)40
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q3 - 11:03INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
13.9%
50
86.1%
Q3 - 11:04ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot37
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q3 - 11:22INDMcRoberts 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)37
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q3 - 11:38ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)35
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL35
12.1%
48
87.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDCollison 11' Running Hook Shot (3 PTS)35
12.1%
48
87.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
11.4%
48
88.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Hook Shot33
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)33
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 230
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q2 - 1:16INDHorford STEAL (1 STL)30
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 1:37ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T8)30
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 1:51INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)30
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 2:05INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 2:07ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot27
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 2:31INDCollison Backcourt Turnover (P2.T8)27
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 2:35INDPacers Rebound27
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 2:36INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot27
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 2:44ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)27
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 3:02INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
8.3%
45
91.7%
Q2 - 3:02INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 226
8.0%
45
92.0%
Q2 - 3:02INDPacers Rebound26
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 3:03INDMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot26
7.7%
45
92.3%
Q2 - 3:23ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)26
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 3:23ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)26
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 3:35INDFoster 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)26
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 3:51ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)24
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 4:06INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)24
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 4:21ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
6.2%
43
93.8%
Q2 - 4:28ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 4:29ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 4:40INDCollison Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)21
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 4:57ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)21
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 5:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.4%
37
88.6%
Q2 - 5:04INDPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)21
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 5:16INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 5:17INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 5:17INDMISS Hibbert 1' Putback Dunk21
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 5:18INDMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 5:22ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)21
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 5:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)21
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 5:26ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot21
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 5:45ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 5:47INDMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 6:14ATLCrawford 11' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
13.3%
37
86.7%
Q2 - 6:35INDHibbert 4' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)21
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 6:59ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)19
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 7:19INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 7:19INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 7:33ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)17
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 7:42ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 7:43INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot17
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q2 - 7:51INDCollison Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 8:04ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 8:04ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 8:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)16
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 8:16INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot16
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 8:32ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)16
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 8:38ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 8:39INDMISS Hansbrough 2' Layup16
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 8:42INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 8:44INDMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot16
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 9:06ATLWilkins 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)16
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q2 - 9:11INDWilkins STEAL (2 STL)16
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q2 - 9:30ATLPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q2 - 9:30ATLPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q2 - 9:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q2 - 9:35INDMISS Hibbert 14' Turnaround Jump Shot16
25.2%
25
74.8%
Q2 - 9:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 9:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
27.3%
24
72.7%
Q2 - 9:58INDSmith STEAL (1 STL)16
28.7%
23
71.3%
Q2 - 10:07ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)16
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q2 - 10:15ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q2 - 10:17INDSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)16
34.0%
21
66.0%
Q2 - 10:33ATLTeague 4' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)16
35.7%
21
64.3%
Q2 - 10:48INDFord 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q2 - 10:53INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q2 - 10:55ATLMISS Crawford 21' Fadeaway Jumper14
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q2 - 11:05ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)14
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q2 - 11:15ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q2 - 11:16INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q2 - 11:23ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
38.1%
18
61.9%
Q2 - 11:26ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
35.6%
18
64.4%
Q2 - 11:27INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q2 - 11:44ATLSmith 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)14
38.1%
18
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND14
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound14
43.0%
16
57.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Ford 43' 3PT Running Jump Shot14
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLWilkins Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
42.5%
16
57.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
40.7%
16
59.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDMISS Ford 9' Fadeaway Jumper14
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
42.6%
16
57.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 214
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
40.5%
16
59.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
42.6%
15
57.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 212
40.5%
14
59.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
40.6%
14
59.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Wilkins Running Dunk12
42.0%
14
58.0%
Q1 - 1:03INDWilkins STEAL (1 STL)12
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 1:16ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
42.7%
14
57.3%
Q1 - 1:16ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
43.0%
13
57.0%
Q1 - 1:24ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
45.6%
12
54.4%
Q1 - 1:26INDMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
46.1%
12
53.9%
Q1 - 1:43INDPacers Rebound12
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 1:44ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 2:09INDRush 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)12
45.5%
12
54.5%
Q1 - 2:18ATLWilkins 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)10
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 2:26ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
45.5%
10
54.5%
Q1 - 2:49INDFord 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
47.8%
9
52.2%
Q1 - 3:01ATLCollins Foul Turnover (P2.T2)8
45.5%
9
54.5%
Q1 - 3:11ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
43.2%
9
56.8%
Q1 - 3:13INDMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
43.9%
9
56.1%
Q1 - 3:32ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)8
45.5%
9
54.5%
Q1 - 3:40ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
47.7%
7
52.3%
Q1 - 3:42INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot8
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 3:58ATLWilliams 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)8
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 4:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)8
51.8%
5
48.2%
Q1 - 4:04ATLMISS Horford 9' Step Back Jump Shot8
53.5%
5
46.5%
Q1 - 4:16ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.8%
5
48.2%
Q1 - 4:18INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
52.5%
5
47.5%
Q1 - 4:23INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
54.2%
5
45.8%
Q1 - 4:24ATLMISS Crawford 6' Driving Jump Shot8
53.5%
5
46.5%
Q1 - 4:48INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T3)8
51.8%
5
48.2%
Q1 - 4:56ATLCollins Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
54.2%
5
45.8%
Q1 - 5:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 5:11INDCrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)8
52.1%
5
47.9%
Q1 - 5:15INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
53.8%
5
46.2%
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Crawford 12' Pullup Jump Shot8
53.0%
5
47.0%
Q1 - 5:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 5:37INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
53.8%
5
46.2%
Q1 - 5:37INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot8
52.1%
5
47.9%
Q1 - 5:39INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
52.1%
5
47.9%
Q1 - 5:58ATLWilliams 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)8
53.8%
5
46.2%
Q1 - 6:02INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)8
55.4%
3
44.6%
Q1 - 6:24INDPacers Rebound8
57.5%
3
42.5%
Q1 - 6:27ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
56.9%
3
43.1%
Q1 - 6:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
55.4%
3
44.6%
Q1 - 6:38INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot8
56.1%
3
43.9%
Q1 - 6:52INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
57.6%
3
42.4%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Bibby 4' Driving Jump Shot8
56.9%
3
43.1%
Q1 - 7:16INDDunleavy 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)8
55.0%
3
45.0%
Q1 - 7:21INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.2%
3
46.8%
Q1 - 7:23ATLMISS Evans 17' Jump Shot6
52.5%
3
47.5%
Q1 - 7:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
51.0%
3
49.0%
Q1 - 7:36INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 7:42INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
53.2%
3
46.8%
Q1 - 7:44ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
52.5%
3
47.5%
Q1 - 7:47ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
51.0%
3
49.0%
Q1 - 7:49ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot6
52.5%
3
47.5%
Q1 - 8:06INDGranger 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)6
51.0%
3
49.0%
Q1 - 8:16INDPacers Rebound4
49.0%
3
51.0%
Q1 - 8:16INDWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)4
47.6%
3
52.4%
Q1 - 8:22ATLHorford 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (3 PTS)4
49.0%
3
51.0%
Q1 - 8:38ATLHAWKS Rebound4
51.0%
1
49.0%
Q1 - 8:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
51.0%
1
49.0%
Q1 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 1' Tip Shot4
52.4%
1
47.6%
Q1 - 8:39ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Jump Shot4
52.4%
1
47.6%
Q1 - 9:00INDMcRoberts Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.0%
1
49.0%
Q1 - 9:11INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
52.9%
1
47.1%
Q1 - 9:12ATLMISS Horford 4' Driving Hook Shot4
52.3%
1
47.7%
Q1 - 9:33INDMcRoberts 1' Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)4
51.0%
1
49.0%
Q1 - 9:47INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
49.1%
1
50.9%
Q1 - 9:50ATLMISS Smith 5' Driving Jump Shot2
48.5%
1
51.5%
Q1 - 10:11INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
46.9%
1
53.1%
Q1 - 10:26INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.4%
1
54.6%
Q1 - 10:27ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot0
44.8%
1
55.2%
Q1 - 10:44ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.4%
1
56.6%
Q1 - 10:45INDMISS McRoberts 3PT Jump Shot0
44.0%
1
56.0%
Q1 - 11:05INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.1%
1
54.9%
Q1 - 11:07ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 20
44.9%
1
55.1%
Q1 - 11:07ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
43.7%
1
56.3%
Q1 - 11:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:21ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:40INDMISS Collison 13' Jump Shot0
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. McRoberts: Tip to Granger0
46.8%
0
53.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.6%
ATL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
30
57%
ATL
10
20
50%
Midrange
IND
5
23
22%
ATL
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
ATL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
IND
15
16
94%
ATL
27
34
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy16100%8.0 / 8
D. Granger1439%7.0 / 18
B. Rush1470%7.0 / 10
T. Ford1056%5.0 / 9
D. Collison857%4.0 / 7
J. McRoberts750%3.5 / 7
R. Hibbert621%3.0 / 14
A. Price330%1.5 / 5
J. Posey225%1.0 / 4
J. Foster250%1.0 / 2
S. Jones125%0.5 / 2
T. Hansbrough0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2563%12.5 / 20
J. Smith2162%10.5 / 17
A. Horford1636%8.0 / 22
M. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
J. Powell8100%4.0 / 4
J. Teague770%3.5 / 5
D. Wilkins563%2.5 / 4
M. Bibby338%1.5 / 4
M. Evans225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
77
+10
-14
87
ATL
77
+11
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.6%
ATL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
105.9
IND 91.2 +14.2
ATL 105.4
Pace
94.5
89.5
IND 94.4 +5.6
ATL 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.4
IND 15.3 +1.0
ATL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
50.1%
IND 42.0%
ATL 47.9% +5.9%
TO %
15.5%
14.2%
IND 13.7% +0.9%
ATL 14.6%
ORB %
25.9%
23.5%
IND 11.4%
ATL 22.5% +11.1%
FTrt
30.0
26.9
IND 19.8
ATL 46.6 +26.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
60.7%
IND 63.3%
ATL 75.8% +12.5%
STL %
7.5%
6.8%
IND 9.9% +1.2%
ATL 8.7%
BLK %
8.4%
6.6%
IND 6.6%
ATL 13.2% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.8%
IND 46.6%
ATL 53.9% +7.3%
Rim FG%
56.8%
60.0%
IND 56.7% +6.7%
ATL 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.2%
42.5%
IND 21.7%
ATL 46.3% +24.6%
3P %
35.4%
35.2%
IND 28.6%
ATL 33.3% +4.7%
FT %
78.2%
78.0%
IND 93.8% +14.4%
ATL 79.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
30.4%
IND 37.0% +9.6%
ATL 27.4%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
47.4%
IND 28.4% +27.8%
ATL 56.2%
3P Att. %
24.4%
22.2%
IND 34.6% +18.1%
ATL 16.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDATL
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8397
Rebounds3648
Assists1925
Steals98
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)39 (2)
Field Goals30-8133-73
At-the-Rim FG17-3010-20
Midrange FG5-2319-41
2-Point FG22-5329-61
3-Point FG8-284-12
Free Throws15-1627-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 230 · 30
38.8
16
100%
9
3
1
2
4
2
0
9
0-0
-
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
F · 6'9" 222 · 28
34.9
14
39%
3
2
1
0
4
4
0
3
8-8
100%
3-9
33%
0-5
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 24
34.1
6
21%
8
2
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-14
21%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
24.1
8
57%
3
5
1
0
2
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
17.3
7
50%
5
0
0
1
2
5
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25
32.4
14
70%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 217 · 34
14.0
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
13.9
1
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 28
13.4
10
56%
1
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 24
10.5
3
30%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34
3.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 250 · 25
3.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#1 · G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'8" 220 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'6" 230 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
47%
36
19
9
4
14
0
5
31
15-16
94%
22-53
42%
8-28
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.