FinalWin Prob.pScore
178%104
106
2522%94
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.89086.3
GSW logo GSW
95.58892.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0GSWMISS Udoh 15' Jump Shot106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (House 1 AST)106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0GSWRadmanovic 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03MIAJones 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)103
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHeat Rebound100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19GSWMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23GSWLin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25GSWMISS Lin 4' Floating Jump Shot100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIALin STEAL (1 STL)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46GSWRadmanovic 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20GSWUdoh 8' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57GSWWilliams 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20GSWWARRIORS Rebound100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31GSWMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:06GSWMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47GSWBiedrins 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05GSWWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIABosh 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:42GSWMISS Lee 10' Jump Shot96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59MIABosh 14' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25GSWEllis 15' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade 1' Putback Layup (32 PTS)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Dampier 1' Reverse Layup92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 7:04GSWLee 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 7:23MIAWade 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (30 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45GSWMISS Wright 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:11MIABosh 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:33GSWLee 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)88
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (28 PTS)88
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (27 PTS)87
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (26 PTS)86
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 9:08GSWMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 9:15GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot85
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIADampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)85
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 9:35GSWMISS Law 3PT Jump Shot85
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 9:52MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T17)85
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 9:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 9:56GSWMISS Law 4' Jump Shot85
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:18GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot85
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 10:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot85
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 10:50GSWAmundson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:50GSWMISS Amundson Free Throw 1 of 285
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 10:55MIAWright STEAL (2 STL)85
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIADampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)85
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:09GSWMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot85
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:20GSWWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot85
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:32GSWMISS Radmanovic 10' Floating Jump Shot85
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 284
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW84
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0GSWAmundson Foul Turnover (P2.T14)84
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)84
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)81
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0GSWAmundson 1' Putback Dunk (7 PTS)81
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0GSWMISS Williams 2' Layup81
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)81
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0GSWMISS Amundson Free Throw 2 of 281
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0GSWAmundson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)81
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q3 - 1:19GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)78
98.7%
62
1.3%
Q3 - 1:28MIAJames 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)78
98.5%
62
1.5%
Q3 - 1:55GSWRadmanovic 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)75
97.7%
62
2.3%
Q3 - 2:01GSWWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
97.9%
60
2.1%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot75
98.0%
60
2.0%
Q3 - 2:21GSWLaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)75
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q3 - 2:21GSWLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)75
98.3%
59
1.7%
Q3 - 2:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)75
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q3 - 3:03GSWEllis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)75
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 3:07GSWAmundson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
99.1%
55
0.9%
Q3 - 3:07GSWAmundson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
99.2%
54
0.8%
Q3 - 3:21MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)75
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 3:38GSWMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 3:58MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)73
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 4:01GSWAmundson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)73
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 4:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)73
99.0%
53
1.0%
Q3 - 4:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
98.6%
53
1.4%
Q3 - 4:17GSWMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
98.5%
53
1.5%
Q3 - 4:47MIABosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)70
98.3%
53
1.7%
Q3 - 5:03MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q3 - 5:04GSWMISS Ellis 3' Driving Reverse Layup68
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWade 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS) (James 9 AST)68
97.3%
53
2.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 5:37GSWMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot66
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 5:42GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
96.3%
53
3.7%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot66
96.5%
53
3.5%
Q3 - 5:53GSWWARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)66
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 5:55GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
96.3%
53
3.7%
Q3 - 5:58GSWMISS Lee 2' Layup66
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 6:20MIAJames Palming Turnover (P3.T12)66
96.1%
53
3.9%
Q3 - 6:33GSWWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 6:33GSWMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 266
96.8%
52
3.2%
Q3 - 6:35MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)66
96.7%
52
3.3%
Q3 - 6:37MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot66
96.9%
52
3.1%
Q3 - 6:55GSWWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 6:55GSWWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q3 - 7:06GSWWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
97.3%
50
2.7%
Q3 - 7:09GSWMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
97.6%
50
2.4%
Q3 - 7:10GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
97.3%
50
2.7%
Q3 - 7:11GSWMISS Ellis 1' Dunk66
97.6%
50
2.4%
Q3 - 7:18MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)66
97.3%
50
2.7%
Q3 - 7:34GSWLee 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)66
97.7%
50
2.3%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)66
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 7:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
97.4%
48
2.6%
Q3 - 7:58GSWMISS Lee 7' Jump Shot63
97.2%
48
2.8%
Q3 - 8:12MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)63
96.8%
48
3.2%
Q3 - 8:16GSWLee Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)61
96.3%
48
3.7%
Q3 - 8:32MIAArroyo 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
95.7%
48
4.3%
Q3 - 8:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
95.1%
48
4.9%
Q3 - 8:40GSWMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
94.9%
48
5.1%
Q3 - 8:54GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
94.3%
48
5.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 259
94.4%
48
5.6%
Q3 - 8:55MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
94.9%
48
5.1%
Q3 - 9:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
94.3%
48
5.7%
Q3 - 9:02GSWMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
93.9%
48
6.1%
Q3 - 9:21MIAArroyo 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 7 AST)58
93.3%
48
6.7%
Q3 - 9:45GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)55
91.3%
48
8.7%
Q3 - 9:55MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)55
90.0%
48
10.0%
Q3 - 10:14GSWEllis 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)53
88.7%
48
11.3%
Q3 - 10:20GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
91.2%
45
8.8%
Q3 - 10:22GSWMISS Biedrins 9' Jump Hook Shot53
92.0%
45
8.0%
Q3 - 10:40MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)53
91.2%
45
8.8%
Q3 - 10:44GSWWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)51
90.0%
45
10.0%
Q3 - 11:01GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 251
88.8%
45
11.2%
Q3 - 11:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
89.7%
45
10.3%
Q3 - 11:07GSWWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)50
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q3 - 11:29MIABosh 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)50
87.2%
45
12.8%
Q3 - 11:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
85.7%
45
14.3%
Q3 - 11:48GSWMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
85.1%
45
14.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW48
83.8%
45
16.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound48
83.8%
45
16.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Williams 2' Driving Reverse Layup48
85.1%
45
14.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)48
84.1%
45
15.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0GSWWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)45
79.7%
45
20.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAJames 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
84.1%
42
15.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Tip Shot43
80.7%
42
19.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot43
80.7%
42
19.3%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
82.0%
42
18.0%
Q2 - 1:03GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 243
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q2 - 1:03GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
80.4%
42
19.6%
Q2 - 1:20MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)43
82.5%
41
17.5%
Q2 - 1:41GSWLee 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Biedrins 2 AST)41
79.9%
41
20.1%
Q2 - 1:56MIABiedrins STEAL (2 STL)41
82.5%
39
17.5%
Q2 - 2:12GSWLee 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)41
84.1%
39
15.9%
Q2 - 2:25MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)41
85.7%
37
14.3%
Q2 - 2:48GSWEllis 1' Driving Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)39
84.1%
37
15.9%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)39
85.9%
35
14.1%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)38
85.6%
35
14.4%
Q2 - 3:05MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
84.6%
35
15.4%
Q2 - 3:07GSWMISS Law 3' Jump Shot37
84.0%
35
16.0%
Q2 - 3:26GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
82.6%
35
17.4%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot37
83.2%
35
16.8%
Q2 - 3:39MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
84.6%
35
15.4%
Q2 - 3:39GSWMISS Law Free Throw 2 of 237
84.3%
35
15.7%
Q2 - 3:39GSWLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
83.2%
35
16.8%
Q2 - 3:53MIAGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)37
84.3%
34
15.7%
Q2 - 4:06GSWGadzuric Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)37
86.1%
34
13.9%
Q2 - 4:23MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
84.4%
34
15.6%
Q2 - 4:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
82.9%
34
17.1%
Q2 - 4:30GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
81.0%
34
19.0%
Q2 - 4:30GSWMISS Amundson Tip Shot35
82.3%
34
17.7%
Q2 - 4:31GSWMISS Wright 3' Jump Shot35
82.3%
34
17.7%
Q2 - 4:32GSWWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
81.0%
34
19.0%
Q2 - 4:34GSWMISS Wright 1' Putback Slam Dunk35
82.3%
34
17.7%
Q2 - 4:35GSWWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
81.0%
34
19.0%
Q2 - 4:36GSWMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot35
82.3%
34
17.7%
Q2 - 4:48GSWLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
81.0%
34
19.0%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
81.6%
34
18.4%
Q2 - 5:14GSWEllis 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
83.1%
34
16.9%
Q2 - 5:15GSWGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)35
84.7%
32
15.3%
Q2 - 5:16GSWMISS Amundson 17' Jump Shot35
85.7%
32
14.3%
Q2 - 5:33MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)35
84.7%
32
15.3%
Q2 - 5:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
81.3%
32
18.7%
Q2 - 5:40GSWMISS Gadzuric 3' Jump Shot32
80.8%
32
19.2%
Q2 - 5:47GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
79.5%
32
20.5%
Q2 - 5:49GSWMISS Ellis 2' Layup32
80.8%
32
19.2%
Q2 - 5:52GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
79.5%
32
20.5%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot32
80.1%
32
19.9%
Q2 - 6:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
81.3%
32
18.7%
Q2 - 6:03GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 232
81.1%
32
18.9%
Q2 - 6:03GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
79.9%
32
20.1%
Q2 - 6:10GSWWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
81.0%
31
19.0%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot32
81.7%
31
18.3%
Q2 - 6:31GSWEllis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)32
83.0%
31
17.0%
Q2 - 6:43MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)32
84.3%
29
15.7%
Q2 - 6:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
86.0%
29
14.0%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot32
84.9%
29
15.1%
Q2 - 7:04GSWGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
86.1%
29
13.9%
Q2 - 7:18MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)32
84.7%
29
15.3%
Q2 - 7:41GSWAmundson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)29
81.6%
29
18.4%
Q2 - 7:58GSWGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
83.1%
27
16.9%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 229
83.3%
27
16.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)29
84.3%
27
15.7%
Q2 - 8:15GSWGadzuric 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)28
83.4%
27
16.6%
Q2 - 8:38MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)28
84.8%
25
15.2%
Q2 - 8:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
86.1%
25
13.9%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Dampier 4' Jump Shot28
85.2%
25
14.8%
Q2 - 9:05GSWGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)28
86.1%
25
13.9%
Q2 - 9:05GSWGadzuric 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)28
86.1%
25
13.9%
Q2 - 9:07GSWMISS Ellis 3' Jump Shot28
88.1%
23
11.9%
Q2 - 9:17GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
87.2%
23
12.8%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
87.6%
23
12.4%
Q2 - 9:37GSWWright 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Amundson 1 AST)28
88.4%
23
11.6%
Q2 - 9:38GSWGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
90.3%
20
9.7%
Q2 - 9:47GSWMISS Law 28' 3PT Jump Shot28
91.0%
20
9.0%
Q2 - 9:49GSWGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
90.3%
20
9.7%
Q2 - 9:50GSWMISS Wright 4' Jump Shot28
91.0%
20
9.0%
Q2 - 10:03GSWWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
90.0%
20
10.0%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 128
90.2%
20
9.8%
Q2 - 10:19GSWEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
89.2%
20
10.8%
Q2 - 10:25GSWLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
88.0%
20
12.0%
Q2 - 10:27MIAGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)26
88.4%
20
11.6%
Q2 - 10:29MIADampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)26
89.2%
20
10.8%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Dampier 2' Layup26
88.4%
20
11.6%
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
89.2%
20
10.8%
Q2 - 10:37GSWMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
88.9%
20
11.1%
Q2 - 11:00MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)26
88.1%
20
11.9%
Q2 - 11:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
88.9%
20
11.1%
Q2 - 11:08GSWMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
88.6%
20
11.4%
Q2 - 11:24GSWWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
87.9%
20
12.1%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot26
88.2%
20
11.8%
Q2 - 11:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
89.0%
20
11.0%
Q2 - 11:46GSWMISS Lee 2' Layup26
88.6%
20
11.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
87.9%
20
12.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWEllis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)26
89.0%
20
11.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWade 3' Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)26
89.8%
18
10.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
88.7%
18
11.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0GSWMISS Wright 2' Layup24
88.4%
18
11.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0GSWWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
87.8%
18
12.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0GSWMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
88.4%
18
11.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)24
87.8%
18
12.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
86.6%
18
13.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Dampier 1' Tip Shot22
85.9%
18
14.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
86.6%
18
13.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Dampier 2' Tip Shot22
85.9%
18
14.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
86.6%
18
13.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot22
85.9%
18
14.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIAHeat Rebound22
86.6%
18
13.4%
Q1 - 1:05GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
85.7%
18
14.3%
Q1 - 1:05GSWMISS Amundson 1' Tip Shot22
86.3%
18
13.7%
Q1 - 1:07GSWMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot22
86.3%
18
13.7%
Q1 - 1:27MIAJames 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
85.7%
18
14.3%
Q1 - 1:34MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
84.2%
18
15.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup20
83.5%
18
16.5%
Q1 - 2:04MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
84.3%
18
15.7%
Q1 - 2:05GSWMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot20
83.9%
18
16.1%
Q1 - 2:26MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)20
83.2%
18
16.8%
Q1 - 2:26GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
84.3%
18
15.7%
Q1 - 2:26GSWMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 220
84.5%
17
15.5%
Q1 - 2:38MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)20
84.4%
17
15.6%
Q1 - 2:55GSWBiedrins Foul Turnover (P2.T3)20
85.5%
17
14.5%
Q1 - 3:15MIAWade 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)20
84.6%
17
15.4%
Q1 - 3:19MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
83.4%
17
16.6%
Q1 - 3:20GSWMISS Biedrins 8' Jump Shot18
83.0%
17
17.0%
Q1 - 3:39MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
82.0%
17
18.0%
Q1 - 3:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
80.7%
17
19.3%
Q1 - 3:48GSWMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot16
80.2%
17
19.8%
Q1 - 3:57GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
79.2%
17
20.8%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup16
79.6%
17
20.4%
Q1 - 4:13GSWWilliams 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)16
81.0%
17
19.0%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWade 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
82.2%
15
17.8%
Q1 - 4:33MIAHeat Rebound14
81.0%
15
19.0%
Q1 - 4:34MIAEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)14
80.0%
15
20.0%
Q1 - 4:47GSWWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
81.0%
15
19.0%
Q1 - 4:52GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
79.5%
15
20.5%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS James 12' Floating Jump Shot14
80.0%
15
20.0%
Q1 - 5:16MIAHeat Rebound14
80.8%
15
19.2%
Q1 - 5:19GSWMISS Lee 3' Layup14
80.4%
15
19.6%
Q1 - 5:43MIABosh 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
79.3%
15
20.7%
Q1 - 5:59GSWBiedrins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)12
78.1%
15
21.9%
Q1 - 6:24MIABosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)12
76.8%
15
23.2%
Q1 - 6:49GSWWilliams 1' Driving Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)10
75.3%
15
24.7%
Q1 - 6:53MIABiedrins STEAL (1 STL)10
76.8%
13
23.2%
Q1 - 7:07GSWLee 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)10
78.8%
13
21.2%
Q1 - 7:26GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
80.0%
11
20.0%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 110
80.1%
11
19.9%
Q1 - 7:43GSWWright 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)8
78.7%
11
21.3%
Q1 - 8:00MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)8
81.2%
8
18.8%
Q1 - 8:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
80.5%
8
19.5%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot6
79.6%
8
20.4%
Q1 - 8:33GSWWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
80.5%
8
19.5%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)6
82.9%
5
17.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
83.9%
5
16.1%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot6
83.2%
5
16.8%
Q1 - 8:55MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
83.9%
5
16.1%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup6
83.2%
5
16.8%
Q1 - 9:12GSWWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
84.3%
5
15.7%
Q1 - 9:22GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
86.2%
2
13.8%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot6
86.5%
2
13.5%
Q1 - 9:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
87.1%
2
12.9%
Q1 - 9:34GSWMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot6
86.8%
2
13.2%
Q1 - 9:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
86.2%
2
13.8%
Q1 - 9:56MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
86.0%
2
14.0%
Q1 - 10:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
85.2%
2
14.8%
Q1 - 10:11GSWMISS Lee 14' Jump Shot4
84.9%
2
15.1%
Q1 - 10:32MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
84.1%
2
15.9%
Q1 - 10:38MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
83.3%
2
16.7%
Q1 - 10:38GSWMISS Biedrins 1' Layup2
83.0%
2
17.0%
Q1 - 10:53GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.1%
2
17.9%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot2
82.5%
2
17.5%
Q1 - 11:10GSWEllis 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)2
83.4%
2
16.6%
Q1 - 11:21GSWWARRIORS Rebound2
84.4%
0
15.6%
Q1 - 11:23GSWMISS Biedrins 7' Turnaround Bank Shot2
84.9%
0
15.1%
Q1 - 11:42MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
84.3%
0
15.7%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Arroyo0
83.4%
0
16.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.2%
GSW
0.88 44.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
34
59%
GSW
10
30
33%
Midrange
MIA
12
30
40%
GSW
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
GSW
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
15
21
71%
GSW
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3468%17.0 / 25
L. James2566%12.5 / 19
C. Bosh1653%8.0 / 15
C. Arroyo9113%4.5 / 4
J. Jones990%4.5 / 5
Z. Ilgauskas770%3.5 / 5
M. Chalmers675%3.0 / 4
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 6
J. Howard0-0.0 / 2
E. House0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2050%10.0 / 20
R. Williams1350%6.5 / 13
D. Lee1343%6.5 / 15
D. Wright1240%6.0 / 15
L. Amundson857%4.0 / 7
V. Radmanovic770%3.5 / 5
D. Gadzuric467%2.0 / 3
A. Law325%1.5 / 6
A. Biedrins220%1.0 / 5
E. Udoh250%1.0 / 2
J. Lin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+16
-16
90
GSW
74
+18
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.2%
GSW
0.88 44.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.4
MIA 117.8
GSW 95.5 +22.3
Pace
91.3
94.8
MIA 86.3
GSW 92.9 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.1
MIA 16.7
GSW 15.5 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.0%
MIA 58.3% +16.1%
GSW 42.2%
TO %
14.4%
14.8%
MIA 17.9%
GSW 14.0% +3.9%
ORB %
25.2%
26.6%
MIA 37.5% +6.1%
GSW 31.4%
FTrt
36.3
24.1
MIA 26.9 +1.6
GSW 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
56.8%
MIA 80.5% +3.1%
GSW 77.4%
STL %
7.3%
9.4%
MIA 8.9%
GSW 10.2% +1.3%
BLK %
8.5%
7.8%
MIA 11.9% +8.8%
GSW 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
53.2%
MIA 58.2% +14.0%
GSW 44.2%
Rim FG%
64.7%
59.3%
MIA 58.8% +25.5%
GSW 33.3%
Mid FG%
42.2%
38.7%
MIA 40.0%
GSW 44.8% +4.8%
3P %
37.0%
39.2%
MIA 64.3% +31.0%
GSW 33.3%
FT %
76.9%
76.1%
MIA 71.4% +4.7%
GSW 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
35.5%
MIA 43.6% +7.4%
GSW 36.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
39.7%
MIA 38.5%
GSW 34.9% +3.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
24.8%
MIA 17.9%
GSW 28.9% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes25.022.7
Points10684
Rebounds5041
Assists3324
Steals89
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)16 (3)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)25 (1)
Field Goals41-7831-83
At-the-Rim FG20-3410-30
Midrange FG12-3013-29
2-Point FG32-6423-59
3-Point FG9-148-24
Free Throws15-2114-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
34.5
34
68%
9
7
1
0
4
3
3
6
10-13
77%
12-19
63%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
33.2
16
53%
7
4
4
1
2
1
2
5
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
30.7
25
66%
7
9
1
1
4
1
0
7
2-3
67%
7-14
50%
3-4
75%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
20.9
7
70%
6
0
0
2
2
1
3
3
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
18.7
9
113%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
28.2
6
75%
2
2
1
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
27.4
9
90%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
18.3
0
0%
7
1
0
2
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
12.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
11.1
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
4.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
58%
50
33
8
7
16
0
15
35
15-21
71%
32-64
50%
9-14
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.