FinalWin Prob.pScore
543%94
105
857%96
117
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
111.79492.3
UTA logo UTA
127.29293.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL105
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)104
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLLewis 1' Layup (15 PTS)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0UTAMiles 1' Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0UTAJAZZ Rebound102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0UTAMISS Jefferson 1' Reverse Layup102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18UTAMISS Millsap 11' Fadeaway Jumper102
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 1:42UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 1:43ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot102
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 1:48ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 1:49ORLMISS Nelson 6' Running Jump Shot102
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 1:56UTAKirilenko 2' Dunk (17 PTS) (Millsap 5 AST)102
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 2:00ORLMillsap STEAL (3 STL)102
0.8%
111
99.2%
Q4 - 2:02ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)102
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 2:03ORLMISS Howard 2' Putback Layup102
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 2:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)102
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 2:08ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 2:26UTAKirilenko 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)102
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 2:45ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)102
2.0%
109
98.0%
Q4 - 2:52ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 2:54UTAMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot99
1.1%
109
98.9%
Q4 - 3:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 3:14ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 298
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 3:14UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)98
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 3:29ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)98
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 3:47UTAMiles 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)95
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 4:04ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 4:04ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 4:22UTAMiles 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Kirilenko 5 AST)93
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 4:39ORLHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)93
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 4:55UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)91
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 5:08ORLCarter 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)91
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 5:31UTAD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)88
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 5:51ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)88
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 5:58ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 5:59UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 6:19ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 6:19ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 6:32ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 6:33UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 6:50ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 6:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 7:01UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)81
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 7:14UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 7:15ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 181
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 7:27UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 7:27UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)79
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 7:27UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)79
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 7:28UTAMISS Kirilenko 2' Layup79
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 7:40UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)79
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 7:41ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 7:54ORLMagic Rebound79
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 7:54ORLJefferson BLOCK (3 BLK)79
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 8:11UTAMiles 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)79
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 8:27ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)79
3.4%
91
96.6%
Q4 - 8:32ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 8:33UTAMISS Miles 2' Driving Layup76
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 8:42UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 8:43ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 9:03UTAJefferson 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Price 3 AST)76
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 9:23UTAMISS Miles Free Throw Technical76
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 9:23ORLWatson STEAL (1 STL)76
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 9:29UTAMiles 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Price 2 AST)76
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q4 - 9:42ORLLewis 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
6.6%
86
93.4%
Q4 - 9:48ORLMagic Rebound74
5.3%
86
94.7%
Q4 - 9:48ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 10:12UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Price 1 AST)74
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 10:31UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q4 - 10:32ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q4 - 10:43ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q4 - 10:44UTAMISS Elson 20' Jump Shot74
10.5%
83
89.5%
Q4 - 11:01ORLRedick 7' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)74
10.1%
83
89.9%
Q4 - 11:31UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)72
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q4 - 11:31UTAJAZZ Rebound72
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 11:31UTAMISS Price 14' Jump Shot72
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 11:47UTAMiles Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)72
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA72
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound72
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Millsap 1' Dunk72
9.4%
82
90.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)72
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot69
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0UTAMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot69
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q3 - 1:13ORLElson STEAL (2 STL)69
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q3 - 1:26ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q3 - 1:29UTAMISS Miles 7' Running Bank Shot69
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q3 - 1:49ORLKirilenko STEAL (2 STL)69
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q3 - 1:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)69
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q3 - 1:56UTAMISS Millsap 9' Fadeaway Jumper69
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q3 - 2:10UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q3 - 2:12ORLKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)69
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q3 - 2:20ORLBass REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)69
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q3 - 2:21UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
6.9%
82
93.1%
Q3 - 2:27UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)69
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q3 - 2:28ORLMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot69
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q3 - 2:48UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)69
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q3 - 3:12ORLBass 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)69
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q3 - 3:22ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 3:23UTAMISS D. Williams 2' Driving Layup67
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q3 - 3:30UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot67
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 3:46UTAJefferson 2' Layup (14 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)67
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 4:04UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)67
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 4:05ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q3 - 4:17UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)67
13.7%
77
86.3%
Q3 - 4:17UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)67
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q3 - 4:22ORLMillsap STEAL (2 STL)67
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 4:41UTAD. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)67
18.3%
75
81.7%
Q3 - 4:51UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
23.6%
72
76.4%
Q3 - 4:52ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
24.8%
72
75.2%
Q3 - 5:11UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
27.6%
72
72.4%
Q3 - 5:11UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 267
28.3%
71
71.7%
Q3 - 5:15UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
27.3%
71
72.7%
Q3 - 5:16ORLJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)67
28.4%
71
71.6%
Q3 - 5:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
31.1%
71
68.9%
Q3 - 5:28UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q3 - 5:59ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q3 - 5:59ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
26.8%
71
73.2%
Q3 - 6:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
25.0%
71
75.0%
Q3 - 6:06UTAMISS Price 17' Jump Shot65
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q3 - 6:20ORLHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)65
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 6:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
24.9%
71
75.1%
Q3 - 6:38UTAMISS Millsap 5' Jump Shot65
23.9%
71
76.1%
Q3 - 6:56ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 7:27UTAMillsap 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)63
19.9%
71
80.1%
Q3 - 7:47UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
22.3%
69
77.7%
Q3 - 7:48ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot63
23.2%
69
76.8%
Q3 - 8:19UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
25.6%
69
74.4%
Q3 - 8:45UTAJump Ball Millsap vs. Bass: Tip to D. Williams63
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q3 - 8:45ORLBass REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)63
35.1%
66
64.9%
Q3 - 8:47ORLKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)63
32.6%
66
67.4%
Q3 - 8:49ORLBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)63
35.1%
66
64.9%
Q3 - 8:50ORLKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)63
32.6%
66
67.4%
Q3 - 9:06UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)63
35.0%
66
65.0%
Q3 - 9:06UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
35.5%
65
64.5%
Q3 - 9:11ORLJefferson STEAL (2 STL)63
38.4%
64
61.6%
Q3 - 9:28UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)63
42.0%
64
58.0%
Q3 - 9:33UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
49.2%
61
50.8%
Q3 - 9:34ORLMISS Carter 3' Layup63
50.4%
61
49.6%
Q3 - 9:48UTAHayward Foul Turnover (P1.T7)63
53.0%
61
47.0%
Q3 - 10:09ORLCarter 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)63
48.9%
61
51.1%
Q3 - 10:26UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)61
45.5%
61
54.5%
Q3 - 10:31UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
41.8%
61
58.2%
Q3 - 10:33ORLJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)61
42.9%
61
57.1%
Q3 - 10:40ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
45.5%
61
54.5%
Q3 - 10:41UTAMISS Jefferson 1' Layup61
44.3%
61
55.7%
Q3 - 11:02ORLBass 2' Layup (12 PTS)61
41.8%
61
58.2%
Q3 - 11:08ORLBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
38.7%
61
61.3%
Q3 - 11:10ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
36.3%
61
63.7%
Q3 - 11:25UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)59
38.7%
61
61.3%
Q3 - 11:42ORLCarter 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
45.2%
58
54.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL57
42.0%
58
58.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound57
42.0%
58
58.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Howard 82' 3PT Jump Shot57
39.5%
58
60.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
41.6%
58
58.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Evans 6' Jump Shot57
40.9%
58
59.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
39.1%
58
60.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
35.3%
58
64.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 155
35.0%
58
65.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
39.1%
56
60.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot55
39.9%
56
60.1%
Q2 - 1:06UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)55
41.6%
56
58.4%
Q2 - 1:06UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)55
42.4%
55
57.6%
Q2 - 1:19UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
45.6%
54
54.4%
Q2 - 1:21ORLMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot55
46.4%
54
53.6%
Q2 - 1:35UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
48.0%
54
52.0%
Q2 - 1:35UTAJefferson 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)55
48.0%
54
52.0%
Q2 - 1:36UTAMISS D. Williams 2' Driving Layup55
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q2 - 1:50ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)55
52.2%
52
47.8%
Q2 - 2:06UTAMillsap 6' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)52
45.0%
52
55.0%
Q2 - 2:22ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
48.1%
50
51.9%
Q2 - 2:22ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
47.6%
50
52.4%
Q2 - 2:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
45.0%
50
55.0%
Q2 - 2:39UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 150
44.6%
50
55.4%
Q2 - 2:50UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
48.1%
48
51.9%
Q2 - 2:51ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
49.1%
48
50.9%
Q2 - 3:07UTAD. Williams 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)50
51.4%
48
48.6%
Q2 - 3:13ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 150
54.4%
46
45.6%
Q2 - 3:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
53.9%
46
46.1%
Q2 - 3:13ORLHoward 2' Putback Layup (9 PTS)50
53.9%
46
46.1%
Q2 - 3:13ORLMISS Nelson 1' Layup48
48.9%
46
51.1%
Q2 - 3:25UTAWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)48
51.4%
46
48.6%
Q2 - 3:29ORLJefferson STEAL (1 STL)48
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q2 - 3:44UTAWatson 1' Layup (2 PTS)48
51.4%
46
48.6%
Q2 - 3:48UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
54.0%
44
46.0%
Q2 - 3:50UTAMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot48
56.5%
44
43.5%
Q2 - 3:59UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
54.0%
44
46.0%
Q2 - 4:01ORLMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot48
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q2 - 4:08ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
56.7%
44
43.3%
Q2 - 4:09ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot48
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q2 - 4:28UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
56.8%
44
43.2%
Q2 - 4:28UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 248
57.5%
43
42.5%
Q2 - 4:45ORLGortat 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)48
56.5%
43
43.5%
Q2 - 5:02UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
53.5%
43
46.5%
Q2 - 5:02UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
54.2%
42
45.8%
Q2 - 5:15ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)46
56.4%
41
43.6%
Q2 - 5:28ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
50.5%
41
49.5%
Q2 - 5:29UTAMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
49.6%
41
50.4%
Q2 - 5:37UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
47.6%
41
52.4%
Q2 - 5:37ORLMISS Redick 7' Running Jump Shot43
48.5%
41
51.5%
Q2 - 5:52UTAD. Williams 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)43
50.5%
41
49.5%
Q2 - 6:10ORLBass 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)43
52.7%
39
47.3%
Q2 - 6:19ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
50.4%
39
49.6%
Q2 - 6:20ORLMISS Gortat 15' Jump Shot41
48.1%
39
51.9%
Q2 - 6:39ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
50.4%
39
49.6%
Q2 - 6:41UTAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot41
49.4%
39
50.6%
Q2 - 6:57UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
47.1%
39
52.9%
Q2 - 6:59ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 241
47.5%
39
52.5%
Q2 - 6:59ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 241
49.2%
39
50.8%
Q2 - 7:17UTAJefferson 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
49.9%
39
50.1%
Q2 - 7:36ORLBass 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)41
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q2 - 8:01UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)39
49.6%
37
50.4%
Q2 - 8:16ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
54.9%
34
45.1%
Q2 - 8:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q2 - 8:26UTAMISS Jefferson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot36
48.8%
34
51.2%
Q2 - 8:44ORLRedick 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)36
46.9%
34
53.1%
Q2 - 8:59UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)34
44.3%
34
55.7%
Q2 - 8:59UTAJAZZ Rebound34
41.6%
34
58.4%
Q2 - 9:00UTAMISS Watson 28' 3PT Jump Shot34
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 9:45UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 9:48ORLElson BLOCK (1 BLK)34
42.2%
34
57.8%
Q2 - 10:06UTAElson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)34
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 10:21ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)34
46.2%
32
53.8%
Q2 - 10:45UTAElson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)31
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q2 - 10:57UTAMISS Miles Free Throw Technical31
38.7%
32
61.3%
Q2 - 11:10ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)31
38.8%
32
61.2%
Q2 - 11:27UTAMiles 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)31
41.3%
32
58.7%
Q2 - 11:48UTAJump Ball Elson vs. Howard: Tip to Watson31
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL31
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound31
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Williams 62' 3PT Jump Shot31
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
45.6%
30
54.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
46.0%
29
54.0%
Q1 - 0:18.0UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
48.5%
28
51.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot31
49.1%
28
50.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
50.5%
28
49.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0UTAMISS Millsap 20' Jump Shot31
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
48.5%
28
51.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 230
48.1%
28
51.9%
Q1 - 1:06UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)30
47.8%
28
52.2%
Q1 - 1:23ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)30
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q1 - 1:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
50.2%
25
49.8%
Q1 - 1:37UTAMISS D. Williams 6' Floating Jump Shot28
49.6%
25
50.4%
Q1 - 1:48UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
48.4%
25
51.6%
Q1 - 1:51ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot28
48.9%
25
51.1%
Q1 - 2:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
50.2%
25
49.8%
Q1 - 2:01UTAMISS Kirilenko 4' Jump Shot28
49.6%
25
50.4%
Q1 - 2:13UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q1 - 2:13ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
48.8%
25
51.2%
Q1 - 2:23ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q1 - 2:24UTAMISS D. Williams 13' Jump Shot28
49.6%
25
50.4%
Q1 - 2:44ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)28
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q1 - 3:01UTAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)25
43.5%
25
56.5%
Q1 - 3:15ORLCarter 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)25
45.6%
23
54.4%
Q1 - 3:33UTAKirilenko 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
43.5%
23
56.5%
Q1 - 3:52ORLGortat Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q1 - 4:00UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q1 - 4:00UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q1 - 4:05UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
49.6%
19
50.4%
Q1 - 4:06ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup23
50.3%
19
49.7%
Q1 - 4:12ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
52.0%
19
48.0%
Q1 - 4:13UTAMISS Millsap 5' Fadeaway Jumper23
51.3%
19
48.7%
Q1 - 4:35ORLBass 1' Dunk (6 PTS)23
49.6%
19
50.4%
Q1 - 4:41ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
47.6%
19
52.4%
Q1 - 4:42ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot21
45.9%
19
54.1%
Q1 - 5:00UTAJefferson 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)21
47.6%
19
52.4%
Q1 - 5:10ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)21
49.1%
17
50.9%
Q1 - 5:21UTAMillsap 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)19
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 5:35ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
49.1%
15
50.9%
Q1 - 5:49UTAMillsap 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)17
47.3%
15
52.7%
Q1 - 6:02UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 6:03ORLMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot17
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 6:14UTAMillsap 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 6:38ORLHoward 2' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)17
53.1%
11
46.9%
Q1 - 6:48ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
51.1%
11
48.9%
Q1 - 6:49UTAMISS Hayward 21' Jump Shot15
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 6:58ORLCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)15
48.9%
11
51.1%
Q1 - 7:22UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 7:22UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 212
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 7:37ORLBass 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
44.5%
10
55.5%
Q1 - 7:59UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 8:05UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
40.6%
10
59.4%
Q1 - 8:06ORLMISS Howard 3' Running Jump Shot10
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 8:22UTAKirilenko 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
42.5%
10
57.5%
Q1 - 8:26ORLKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)10
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 8:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
46.4%
8
53.6%
Q1 - 8:39UTAMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot10
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 8:50ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)10
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 8:58UTAD. Williams 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
46.4%
8
53.6%
Q1 - 9:09UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 9:10ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 9:26ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
50.2%
6
49.8%
Q1 - 9:27UTAMISS Jefferson 1' Layup10
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 9:41UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 9:42ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 210
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 9:42ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 9:51UTAD. Williams 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)9
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 10:06ORLLewis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 10:27UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 10:27UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
48.4%
3
51.6%
Q1 - 10:39ORLBass 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)7
49.5%
2
50.5%
Q1 - 10:52UTAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)5
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 11:12ORLHoward 2' Layup (2 PTS)5
48.9%
0
51.1%
Q1 - 11:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 11:15ORLMISS Bass 20' Jump Shot3
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 11:25UTAMISS D. Williams 21' Jump Shot3
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 11:41ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
45.6%
0
54.4%
Q1 - 11:54UTAKirilenko Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)0
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Howard: Tip to Kirilenko0
40.6%
0
59.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.3%
UTA
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
20
32
63%
UTA
15
26
58%
Midrange
ORL
9
23
39%
UTA
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
UTA
10
15.0
16
63%
94%
Free Throws
ORL
20
28
71%
UTA
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson1950%9.5 / 19
B. Bass1875%9.0 / 12
V. Carter1785%8.5 / 10
R. Lewis1575%7.5 / 10
D. Howard1437%7.0 / 19
J. Redick1470%7.0 / 10
M. Gortat550%2.5 / 5
Q. Richardson350%1.5 / 3
J. Williams0-0.0 / 2
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams3273%16.0 / 22
C. Miles2693%13.0 / 14
P. Millsap2261%11.0 / 18
A. Kirilenko1785%8.5 / 10
A. Jefferson1657%8.0 / 14
E. Watson250%1.0 / 2
F. Elson233%1.0 / 3
G. Hayward0-0.0 / 1
R. Price0-0.0 / 2
J. Evans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+16
-15
95
UTA
85
+8
-7
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.3%
UTA
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
108.2
ORL 111.7
UTA 127.2 +15.5
Pace
91.2
91.0
ORL 92.3
UTA 93.8 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
ORL 15.6
UTA 15.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
49.8%
ORL 53.1%
UTA 60.5% +7.4%
TO %
15.7%
14.8%
ORL 14.0%
UTA 10.9% +3.1%
ORB %
26.1%
26.9%
ORL 28.6% +16.5%
UTA 12.1%
FTrt
32.8
31.3
ORL 35.0
UTA 42.1 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
62.7%
ORL 47.4%
UTA 73.2% +25.8%
STL %
7.3%
8.3%
ORL 2.1%
UTA 12.0% +9.9%
BLK %
7.5%
9.9%
ORL 8.3%
UTA 12.7% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.9%
ORL 55.3%
UTA 62.9% +7.6%
Rim FG%
61.7%
60.3%
ORL 62.5% +4.8%
UTA 57.7%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.0%
ORL 39.1%
UTA 47.1% +8.0%
3P %
36.6%
34.6%
ORL 36.0%
UTA 62.5% +26.5%
FT %
69.2%
77.1%
ORL 71.4%
UTA 78.1% +6.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
37.2%
ORL 40.0% +5.8%
UTA 34.2%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
43.8%
ORL 28.7% +16.0%
UTA 44.7%
3P Att. %
32.8%
19.1%
ORL 31.3% +10.2%
UTA 21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLUTA
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points105117
Rebounds4134
Assists1830
Steals211
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)7 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)30 (0)
Field Goals38-8041-76
At-the-Rim FG20-3215-26
Midrange FG9-2316-34
2-Point FG29-5531-60
3-Point FG9-2510-16
Free Throws20-2825-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
37.4
14
37%
12
0
0
2
5
2
3
9
4-7
57%
5-14
36%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
37.2
15
75%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
1-3
33%
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
33.9
19
50%
2
10
0
0
3
4
1
1
6-6
100%
2-8
25%
3-8
38%
G · 6'6" 220 · 34
28.1
17
85%
4
3
0
0
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
28.0
18
75%
8
1
0
0
3
2
5
3
2-2
100%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
27.8
14
70%
3
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
14.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
12.7
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
10.8
5
50%
2
1
0
2
1
2
0
2
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
10.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
F · 6'6" 215 · 29
#33 · F · 6'10" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
41
18
2
5
15
0
12
29
20-28
71%
29-55
53%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.