FinalWin Prob.pScore
1827%94
92
473%102
108
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
97.99494.5
SAS logo SAS
121.38988.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASNeal 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)92
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASNeal 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16SASParker 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36ATLMISS Crawford 3' Layup88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:08ATLJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:28SASBlair 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)88
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 2:45ATLPowell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)88
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 3:00SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)86
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 3:18ATLBlair STEAL (4 STL)86
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 3:29SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)86
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 3:47ATLHorford 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)86
7.1%
91
92.9%
Q4 - 3:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q4 - 3:51ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q4 - 4:05SASBlair Foul Turnover (P3.T14)84
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 4:16ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)84
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 4:44SASParker 7' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 5:01ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)82
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q4 - 5:27SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)79
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 5:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 5:44ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 5:56ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q4 - 5:57SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 6:11ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P3.T14)79
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q4 - 6:21SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
7.4%
86
92.6%
Q4 - 6:21SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q4 - 6:26ATLBonner STEAL (1 STL)79
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 6:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
12.8%
84
87.2%
Q4 - 6:30SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot79
11.7%
84
88.3%
Q4 - 6:53ATLCrawford 5' Running Bank Shot (21 PTS)79
9.5%
84
90.5%
Q4 - 7:07ATLHawks Rebound77
8.3%
84
91.7%
Q4 - 7:07SASMISS Parker 8' Floating Jump Shot77
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 7:14ATLJefferson STEAL (1 STL)77
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q4 - 7:22ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
8.2%
84
91.8%
Q4 - 7:23SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot77
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q4 - 7:36ATLMISS Bibby 20' Pullup Jump Shot77
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q4 - 7:50SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)77
8.2%
84
91.8%
Q4 - 8:03ATLHorford 8' Driving Bank Shot (15 PTS)77
14.4%
81
85.6%
Q4 - 8:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q4 - 8:24SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 275
11.0%
81
89.0%
Q4 - 8:24SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q4 - 8:25ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)75
11.4%
80
88.6%
Q4 - 8:41SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q4 - 8:41SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
14.7%
79
85.3%
Q4 - 8:44ATLHill STEAL (1 STL)75
17.7%
78
82.3%
Q4 - 9:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
22.3%
78
77.7%
Q4 - 9:03SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
21.0%
78
79.0%
Q4 - 9:14SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
18.4%
78
81.6%
Q4 - 9:15ATLMISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot75
19.5%
78
80.5%
Q4 - 9:31SASBlair 2' Layup (11 PTS)75
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q4 - 9:32SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
26.7%
76
73.3%
Q4 - 9:33SASMISS Ginobili 7' Running Jump Shot75
30.1%
76
69.9%
Q4 - 9:56ATLCrawford 1' Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)75
26.7%
76
73.3%
Q4 - 10:01SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)73
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q4 - 10:14SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
18.7%
76
81.3%
Q4 - 10:16ATLMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)73
19.8%
76
80.2%
Q4 - 10:35SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)73
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q4 - 10:48SASSPURS Rebound73
31.3%
73
68.7%
Q4 - 10:48ATLMISS Evans 16' Jump Shot73
32.8%
73
67.2%
Q4 - 11:02SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
35.7%
73
64.3%
Q4 - 11:02SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
36.2%
72
63.8%
Q4 - 11:20SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
40.9%
71
59.1%
Q4 - 11:21ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 173
41.6%
71
58.4%
Q4 - 11:24SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)71
35.7%
71
64.3%
Q4 - 11:40ATLWilkins 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)71
31.0%
71
69.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS69
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)69
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLHawks Rebound66
16.2%
71
83.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Crawford 4' Running Jump Shot66
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)66
16.2%
71
83.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASSPURS Rebound66
22.9%
68
77.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Powell 1' Reverse Layup66
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)66
26.4%
68
73.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 266
27.4%
67
72.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASSPURS Rebound66
26.7%
67
73.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot66
27.8%
67
72.2%
Q3 - 1:18ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
30.1%
67
69.9%
Q3 - 1:19SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
29.0%
67
71.0%
Q3 - 1:34ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
26.5%
67
73.5%
Q3 - 1:34ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
26.0%
67
74.0%
Q3 - 1:50SASGinobili 9' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)64
22.5%
67
77.5%
Q3 - 1:57SASSPURS Rebound64
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 1:59ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot64
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q3 - 2:13ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 2:14SASMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot64
28.4%
65
71.6%
Q3 - 2:31ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)64
25.9%
65
74.1%
Q3 - 2:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 2:57SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot64
28.5%
65
71.5%
Q3 - 3:17ATLHorford 2' Running Layup (13 PTS)64
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q3 - 3:40SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS)62
22.3%
65
77.7%
Q3 - 4:04ATLHorford 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
25.1%
63
74.9%
Q3 - 4:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
22.5%
63
77.5%
Q3 - 4:16SASMISS Duncan 2' Dunk60
21.4%
63
78.6%
Q3 - 4:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q3 - 4:22ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
20.1%
63
79.9%
Q3 - 4:38ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
22.5%
63
77.5%
Q3 - 4:39ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
20.1%
63
79.9%
Q3 - 5:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
22.2%
63
77.8%
Q3 - 5:02SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 260
21.8%
63
78.2%
Q3 - 5:02SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 260
20.0%
63
80.0%
Q3 - 5:09SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
19.2%
63
80.8%
Q3 - 5:10SASMISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
21.3%
63
78.7%
Q3 - 5:34SASSPURS Rebound60
19.2%
63
80.8%
Q3 - 5:35ATLMISS Bibby 2' Layup60
20.1%
63
79.9%
Q3 - 5:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
22.3%
63
77.7%
Q3 - 5:46SASMISS Duncan 12' Fadeaway Jumper60
21.3%
63
78.7%
Q3 - 6:10ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)60
19.2%
63
80.8%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
17.0%
63
83.0%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q3 - 6:41ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
19.2%
61
80.8%
Q3 - 6:56ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
22.1%
61
77.9%
Q3 - 6:57SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot58
21.2%
61
78.8%
Q3 - 7:17ATLCollins 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)58
19.2%
61
80.8%
Q3 - 7:40ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 7:43SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup56
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 8:01ATLBlair STEAL (3 STL)56
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 8:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
17.1%
61
82.9%
Q3 - 8:07SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup56
16.4%
61
83.6%
Q3 - 8:18ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)56
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 8:36SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q3 - 8:51SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
13.1%
59
86.9%
Q3 - 8:52ATLMISS Williams 9' Turnaround Jump Shot53
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q3 - 9:10SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 9:10SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 253
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q3 - 9:24ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)53
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 9:35ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 9:36SASMISS Ginobili 13' Floating Jump Shot53
16.3%
58
83.7%
Q3 - 9:59ATLBibby 21' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 10:08ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot51
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 10:28ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 10:28ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 250
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 10:42SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)50
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q3 - 11:02ATLHorford 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)50
15.1%
55
84.9%
Q3 - 11:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q3 - 11:17SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Bank Shot48
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q3 - 11:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
11.9%
55
88.1%
Q3 - 11:26ATLMISS Collins 18' Jump Shot48
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q3 - 11:42SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)48
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL48
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound48
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup48
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLWilkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)48
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLWilkins 2' Layup (2 PTS)47
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Crawford 9' Running Bank Shot45
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASParker 6' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
12.1%
53
87.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
13.9%
51
86.1%
Q2 - 1:00ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q2 - 1:02SASMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot45
14.9%
51
85.1%
Q2 - 1:22ATLBlair STEAL (2 STL)45
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 1:25SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)45
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q2 - 1:27SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 1:28SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot45
14.9%
51
85.1%
Q2 - 1:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 1:42ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 1:54ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q2 - 1:54SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 145
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q2 - 1:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 2:00ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot45
18.0%
49
82.0%
Q2 - 2:20SASBlair 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)45
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q2 - 2:31ATLBibby 2' Layup (4 PTS)45
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q2 - 2:34SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)43
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 2:36SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 2:37ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot43
17.8%
47
82.2%
Q2 - 2:58SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 2:58SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 243
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 3:21ATLWilliams 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)43
18.9%
46
81.1%
Q2 - 3:37SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)41
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 3:50ATLCrawford 5' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)41
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 3:57ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot39
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 4:16SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 4:16SASBlair 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)39
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q2 - 4:17SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 239
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 4:17SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
21.3%
41
78.7%
Q2 - 4:22SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 4:23ATLMISS Smith 11' Jump Bank Shot39
23.5%
40
76.5%
Q2 - 4:31ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
25.2%
40
74.8%
Q2 - 4:33SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
24.5%
40
75.5%
Q2 - 4:49ATLSmith 2' Dunk (12 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)39
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 4:51ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 4:52SASMISS Parker 4' Running Bank Shot37
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 4:58SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 5:00ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup37
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 5:22SASParker 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 5:29SASSPURS Rebound37
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 5:32SASMISS Duncan 5' Hook Shot37
24.3%
38
75.7%
Q2 - 5:45SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 5:46ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot37
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 5:56SASBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T9)37
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 6:07ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)37
22.7%
38
77.3%
Q2 - 6:22ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot37
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q2 - 6:38ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T2)37
22.7%
38
77.3%
Q2 - 6:57SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)37
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 7:15SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
28.9%
35
71.1%
Q2 - 7:17SASMISS McDyess 11' Jump Shot37
30.6%
35
69.4%
Q2 - 7:24SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
29.0%
35
71.0%
Q2 - 7:27ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot37
29.7%
35
70.3%
Q2 - 7:45SASHill 2' Layup (5 PTS)37
31.5%
35
68.5%
Q2 - 8:03ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)37
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q2 - 8:13ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 8:28SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot34
28.0%
33
72.0%
Q2 - 8:29SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 8:30SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
28.0%
33
72.0%
Q2 - 8:36SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 8:37ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot34
27.2%
33
72.8%
Q2 - 8:53SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 9:10SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 9:11ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 134
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 9:18ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 9:20SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 9:36ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)32
26.2%
31
73.8%
Q2 - 9:53ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 9:55SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 129
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q2 - 10:04SASSPURS Rebound29
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 10:04ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot29
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 10:25SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)29
26.3%
29
73.7%
Q2 - 10:50ATLWilliams 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)29
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 11:07ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q2 - 11:08ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 227
26.4%
26
73.6%
Q2 - 11:08ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q2 - 11:10SASMcDyess Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)26
26.2%
26
73.8%
Q2 - 11:22ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
24.2%
26
75.8%
Q2 - 11:22ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
23.9%
26
76.1%
Q2 - 11:23SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)24
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q2 - 11:28ATLCrawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q2 - 11:49SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)21
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL21
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound21
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 34' 3PT Jump Bank Shot21
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
19.2%
24
80.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0SASMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot21
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLCrawford 5' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
19.2%
24
80.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)19
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
20.8%
21
79.2%
Q1 - 1:09SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)17
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 1:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
17.9%
21
82.1%
Q1 - 1:17ATLMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)17
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 1:39SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS)17
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 1:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 2:00ATLMISS Evans 12' Jump Shot17
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 2:24SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)17
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 2:42ATLCrawford 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)17
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 2:47SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 2:51SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 2:53ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot15
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 3:00ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 3:02ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot15
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 3:19SASParker 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)15
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 3:27SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 3:29ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 3:44SASParker 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)15
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 3:56ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)15
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 4:08ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 4:10SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot13
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 4:20ATLBibby 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 4:39SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
23.4%
12
76.6%
Q1 - 4:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 4:57ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)11
25.5%
10
74.5%
Q1 - 5:03ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)11
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 5:21SASJefferson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)10
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 5:42SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 5:43ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 210
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 5:43ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 5:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 5:56ATLMISS Bibby 13' Jump Shot9
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 6:11SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)9
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 6:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 6:29ATLSmith 1' Layup (4 PTS)9
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 6:31ATLMISS Williams 5' Running Jump Shot7
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 6:37SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)7
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 6:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot7
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 7:11SASDuncan Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)7
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 7:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 7:27ATLMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 27
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 7:27ATLMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 27
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 7:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 7:38SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 7:38SASMISS Blair 2' Tip Shot7
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Blair 2' Layup7
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 7:50SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 7:52ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot7
24.7%
6
75.3%
Q1 - 8:15SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)7
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 8:32ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)7
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 8:50SASDuncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)5
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 9:06ATLSmith 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)5
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 9:10SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 9:29ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)3
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 9:41ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 9:43SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 10:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 10:09ATLBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:31SASBlair 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 10:45ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 10:51ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 10:53ATLMISS Bibby 12' Jump Shot0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.3%
0
76.7%
Q1 - 11:10SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot0
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:33ATLBlair STEAL (1 STL)0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 11:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.3%
0
76.7%
Q1 - 11:43ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
23.3%
0
76.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
28
61%
SAS
13
23
57%
Midrange
ATL
12
38
32%
SAS
18
33
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
SAS
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
ATL
13
20
65%
SAS
16
25
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2357%11.5 / 20
A. Horford1959%9.5 / 16
M. Williams1563%7.5 / 12
J. Smith1558%7.5 / 13
M. Bibby938%4.5 / 12
D. Wilkins583%2.5 / 3
J. Collins220%1.0 / 5
J. Powell220%1.0 / 5
M. Evans233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson18100%9.0 / 9
M. Ginobili1860%9.0 / 15
T. Parker1753%8.5 / 16
D. Blair1673%8.0 / 11
G. Hill1667%8.0 / 12
T. Duncan1250%6.0 / 12
M. Bonner675%3.0 / 4
G. Neal440%2.0 / 5
A. McDyess125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+13
-15
92
SAS
75
+11
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.5
ATL 97.9 +23.5
SAS 121.3
Pace
89.5
92.7
ATL 94.5 +6.0
SAS 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.7
ATL 15.2 +1.0
SAS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.7%
ATL 49.4%
SAS 59.7% +10.3%
TO %
14.2%
13.8%
ATL 15.3%
SAS 13.7% +1.6%
ORB %
23.5%
25.0%
ATL 26.8% +3.1%
SAS 23.7%
FTrt
26.9
29.9
ATL 25.0
SAS 32.5 +7.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
58.3%
ATL 52.8% +4.0%
SAS 48.8%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
ATL 9.6%
SAS 10.1% +0.5%
BLK %
6.6%
6.7%
ATL 7.1%
SAS 7.6% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
55.3%
ATL 50.0%
SAS 60.7% +10.7%
Rim FG%
60.0%
60.3%
ATL 60.7% +4.2%
SAS 56.5%
Mid FG%
42.5%
41.6%
ATL 31.6%
SAS 54.5% +22.9%
3P %
35.2%
39.7%
ATL 50.0% +2.4%
SAS 47.6%
FT %
78.0%
76.7%
ATL 65.0% +1.0%
SAS 64.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
34.3%
ATL 35.0% +5.1%
SAS 29.9%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
39.7%
ATL 47.5%
SAS 42.9% +4.6%
3P Att. %
22.2%
26.1%
ATL 17.5%
SAS 27.3% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions9489
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points92108
Rebounds4039
Assists1920
Steals99
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)30 (6)
Field Goals36-8041-77
At-the-Rim FG17-2813-23
Midrange FG12-3818-33
2-Point FG29-6631-56
3-Point FG7-1410-21
Free Throws13-2016-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 237 · 24
42.1
15
63%
7
0
1
0
2
0
0
7
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
32.5
9
38%
5
4
2
0
3
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-10
30%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
31.3
15
58%
4
5
3
2
4
0
1
3
1-3
33%
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 245 · 25
31.3
19
59%
9
1
1
0
4
5
4
5
3-4
75%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
27.3
2
20%
8
2
0
0
0
4
3
5
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
34.5
23
57%
3
5
1
2
2
2
1
2
5-5
100%
6-13
46%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
16.5
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
14.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 225 · 31
10.4
5
83%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
· 6'4" 195 · 22
C · 6'10" 260 · 33
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
40
19
9
4
15
0
11
29
13-20
65%
29-66
44%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.