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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Thunder47%9597
15Hornets53%9692
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.2
44.7
36.8
25
53%
5
6
0
1
2
2
0
5
7-8
88%
6-15
7-14
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
38.4
33.1
13
61%
8
1
0
1
0
4
1
7
5-6
83%
4-7
4-7
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
37.8
33.6
29
67%
3
10
1
1
0
7
2
1
7-8
88%
8-14
7-15
57%
44%
2-4
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
35.9
30.8
2
100%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
31.8
26.8
18
65%
9
0
1
1
3
0
4
5
2-2
100%
8-13
4-7
62%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
19.1
19.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.3
17.4
25.5
8
51%
1
0
3
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
40%
0-2
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
10.2
14.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
4.6
3.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
4.1
0
0-1
42%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
3.2
0
0-0
40%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
2.6
0
0-0
36%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.1
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
40.6
28.1
24
64%
13
4
4
1
1
4
6
7
2-2
100%
11-18
6-12
61%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
40.3
30.8
9
42%
3
2
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-4
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
37.4
26.2
15
48%
4
1
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
2-7
29%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
36.1
30.9
18
80%
0
7
5
2
0
3
0
0
3-3
100%
6-7
4-7
86%
52%
1-3
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
27.6
28.2
6
37%
8
1
0
1
1
2
1
7
2-5
40%
2-6
4-7
33%
55%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
14.5
17.9
13
78%
4
3
3
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.4
13.0
19.3
3
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
11.8
5.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
11.1
15.6
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
6.9
20.2
2
26%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.5
0.8
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
6.4
0
1-2
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.1
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.