FinalWin Prob.pScore
962%109
123
2238%105
116
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
125.59895.8
TOR logo TOR
119.69799.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR123
100%
116
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)123
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 2123
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)123
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)122
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot122
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)122
99.7%
116
0.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)121
99.7%
116
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENNuggets Rebound120
99.0%
116
1.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Billups 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot120
97.9%
116
2.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Weems 4 AST)120
97.4%
116
2.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)120
99.1%
113
0.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot120
99.3%
113
0.7%
Q4 - 1:15TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)120
99.2%
113
0.8%
Q4 - 1:15TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)120
99.3%
112
0.7%
Q4 - 1:23DENAfflalo 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)120
99.4%
111
0.6%
Q4 - 1:46TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)118
98.5%
111
1.5%
Q4 - 1:46TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)118
98.6%
110
1.4%
Q4 - 1:48DENHarrington 3' Driving Layup (31 PTS)118
99.0%
109
1.0%
Q4 - 2:18TORKleiza 28' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bargnani 3 AST)116
98.6%
109
1.4%
Q4 - 2:33TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)116
99.4%
106
0.6%
Q4 - 2:35DENMISS Nene 3' Driving Layup116
99.5%
106
0.5%
Q4 - 2:50DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)116
99.7%
106
0.3%
Q4 - 2:54TORMISS Weems 3' Driving Layup116
99.4%
106
0.6%
Q4 - 3:05DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)116
99.1%
106
0.9%
Q4 - 3:05DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)115
99.0%
106
1.0%
Q4 - 3:22TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)114
98.8%
106
1.2%
Q4 - 3:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)114
98.2%
104
1.8%
Q4 - 3:37DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
98.4%
104
1.6%
Q4 - 3:48DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
98.8%
104
1.2%
Q4 - 3:49TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot114
98.7%
104
1.3%
Q4 - 4:04DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)114
98.3%
104
1.7%
Q4 - 4:27TORWeems 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)111
96.7%
104
3.3%
Q4 - 4:48DENNene 3' Layup (24 PTS)111
98.4%
101
1.6%
Q4 - 5:07TORBarbosa Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)109
96.5%
101
3.5%
Q4 - 5:29DENAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T22)109
95.1%
101
4.9%
Q4 - 5:53TORWeems 7' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)109
96.6%
101
3.4%
Q4 - 6:09TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)109
96.6%
99
3.4%
Q4 - 6:10DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
96.9%
99
3.1%
Q4 - 6:15TORMISS DeRozan 1' Putback Dunk109
97.3%
99
2.7%
Q4 - 6:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)109
97.5%
99
2.5%
Q4 - 6:16TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)109
96.6%
99
3.4%
Q4 - 6:17TORMISS Bayless 3' Driving Layup109
97.3%
99
2.7%
Q4 - 6:21TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
96.6%
99
3.4%
Q4 - 6:23DENMISS Nene 1' Layup109
96.9%
99
3.1%
Q4 - 6:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)109
97.6%
99
2.4%
Q4 - 6:30DENMISS Lawson 3' Driving Layup109
97.0%
99
3.0%
Q4 - 6:45TORBayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)109
97.6%
99
2.4%
Q4 - 7:09DENHarrington 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (29 PTS)109
98.2%
96
1.8%
Q4 - 7:36TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)106
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 7:36TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)106
97.1%
95
2.9%
Q4 - 7:51DENHarrington Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T21)106
97.6%
94
2.4%
Q4 - 8:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)106
97.7%
94
2.3%
Q4 - 8:05TORMISS Kleiza 1' Driving Layup106
97.5%
94
2.5%
Q4 - 8:27TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)106
97.1%
94
2.9%
Q4 - 8:28DENMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup106
97.3%
94
2.7%
Q4 - 8:42TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)106
97.7%
94
2.3%
Q4 - 8:59DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)106
97.1%
94
2.9%
Q4 - 9:13TORWright 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)103
94.3%
94
5.7%
Q4 - 9:15TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)103
95.5%
92
4.5%
Q4 - 9:16TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
96.2%
92
3.8%
Q4 - 9:36DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)103
95.5%
92
4.5%
Q4 - 9:49TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)103
96.5%
92
3.5%
Q4 - 9:49TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)103
96.6%
91
3.4%
Q4 - 10:10DENHarrington Running Layup (23 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)103
96.7%
90
3.3%
Q4 - 10:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
95.9%
90
4.1%
Q4 - 10:30TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
95.6%
90
4.4%
Q4 - 10:39DENBargnani STEAL (3 STL)101
94.9%
90
5.1%
Q4 - 10:51TORWeems 8' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)101
95.9%
90
4.1%
Q4 - 11:10DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)101
96.2%
88
3.8%
Q4 - 11:20TORKleiza 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)98
94.2%
88
5.8%
Q4 - 11:42TORWeems REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
95.3%
86
4.7%
Q4 - 11:43DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
95.6%
86
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN98
96.2%
86
3.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound98
96.2%
86
3.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Ely 2' Hook Shot98
95.6%
86
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
96.2%
86
3.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Lawson 23' Jump Shot98
95.1%
86
4.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0TORKleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)98
95.7%
86
4.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENWright STEAL (1 STL)98
94.8%
86
5.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)98
95.7%
86
4.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)98
96.0%
85
4.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENEly Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)98
96.5%
84
3.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0TORKleiza 4' Driving Layup (21 PTS)98
97.1%
84
2.9%
Q3 - 1:09DENEly Foul Turnover (P2.T16)98
97.4%
82
2.6%
Q3 - 1:19TORKleiza Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T10)98
97.8%
82
2.2%
Q3 - 1:37DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)98
97.4%
82
2.6%
Q3 - 1:58TORBarbosa 4' Driving Layup (18 PTS)98
97.8%
82
2.2%
Q3 - 2:09DENForbes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)98
97.9%
80
2.1%
Q3 - 2:22TORBarbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
97.0%
80
3.0%
Q3 - 2:34DENHarrington 6' Running Bank Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)95
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q3 - 2:51DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q3 - 2:53TORMISS Barbosa Free Throw 2 of 293
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q3 - 2:53TORMISS Barbosa Free Throw 1 of 293
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q3 - 2:59DENWeems STEAL (2 STL)93
97.0%
77
3.0%
Q3 - 3:16TORBarbosa Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)93
97.2%
77
2.8%
Q3 - 3:27DENKleiza STEAL (1 STL)93
96.7%
77
3.3%
Q3 - 3:39DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
97.2%
77
2.8%
Q3 - 3:41DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
96.8%
77
3.2%
Q3 - 4:01TORBarbosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)93
97.0%
77
3.0%
Q3 - 4:15DENEly Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)93
97.8%
74
2.2%
Q3 - 4:27DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q3 - 4:29TORMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot93
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q3 - 4:43DENForbes 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)93
97.8%
74
2.2%
Q3 - 5:00TORBarbosa Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)91
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q3 - 5:06DENForbes 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)91
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q3 - 5:11TORBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)89
96.0%
74
4.0%
Q3 - 5:31DENForbes 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)89
95.2%
74
4.8%
Q3 - 5:36TORBargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)87
94.5%
74
5.5%
Q3 - 5:50TORRAPTORS Rebound87
93.5%
74
6.5%
Q3 - 5:50DENMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot87
93.8%
74
6.2%
Q3 - 5:58DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
94.5%
74
5.5%
Q3 - 5:59TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot87
94.2%
74
5.8%
Q3 - 6:12DENShel. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)87
93.0%
74
7.0%
Q3 - 6:21TORWeems 22' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)87
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q3 - 6:36TORWeems REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q3 - 6:38TORMISS Weems 10' Jump Shot87
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q3 - 6:51DENForbes 1' Layup (6 PTS)87
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q3 - 6:53DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
94.1%
72
5.9%
Q3 - 6:55DENMISS Shel. Williams 14' Jump Shot85
93.4%
72
6.6%
Q3 - 7:05DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
93.4%
72
6.6%
Q3 - 7:06TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot85
93.1%
72
6.9%
Q3 - 7:27DENShel. Williams 4' Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)85
92.4%
72
7.6%
Q3 - 7:49DENMISS Billups Free Throw Technical83
91.4%
72
8.6%
Q3 - 7:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
91.4%
72
8.6%
Q3 - 7:51TORMISS Bayless 4' Jump Shot83
91.0%
72
9.0%
Q3 - 8:05TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
89.7%
72
10.3%
Q3 - 8:07TORMISS Kleiza 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot83
90.7%
72
9.3%
Q3 - 8:24DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
89.7%
72
10.3%
Q3 - 8:24DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
89.3%
72
10.7%
Q3 - 8:36DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
88.3%
72
11.7%
Q3 - 8:37TORMISS Bayless 20' Pullup Jump Shot81
87.8%
72
12.2%
Q3 - 8:47TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q3 - 8:49DENMISS Forbes 4' Driving Layup81
87.1%
72
12.9%
Q3 - 9:01TORWeems 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)81
87.9%
72
12.1%
Q3 - 9:18DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)81
89.4%
70
10.6%
Q3 - 9:25DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
86.3%
70
13.7%
Q3 - 9:26DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot78
85.0%
70
15.0%
Q3 - 9:50TORWeems 12' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)78
86.3%
70
13.7%
Q3 - 10:08TORBargnani Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)78
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 10:08DENShel. Williams 1' Layup (4 PTS)78
89.0%
67
11.0%
Q3 - 10:08DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
87.6%
67
12.4%
Q3 - 10:08DENMISS Shel. Williams 3' Layup76
86.5%
67
13.5%
Q3 - 10:23DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
87.6%
67
12.4%
Q3 - 10:24TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 2 of 276
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q3 - 10:24TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 276
86.3%
67
13.7%
Q3 - 10:32DENForbes 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)76
85.9%
67
14.1%
Q3 - 10:47DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
84.2%
67
15.8%
Q3 - 10:49TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup74
83.6%
67
16.4%
Q3 - 11:05DENShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T10)74
81.9%
67
18.1%
Q3 - 11:16DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
84.0%
67
16.0%
Q3 - 11:18TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
83.4%
67
16.6%
Q3 - 11:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
81.9%
67
18.1%
Q3 - 11:30DENMISS Billups 17' Step Back Jump Shot74
82.6%
67
17.4%
Q3 - 11:47TORBargnani 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)74
84.0%
67
16.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN74
85.7%
65
14.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound74
87.4%
65
12.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
86.2%
65
13.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
86.7%
65
13.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0TORMISS Bargnani 8' Pullup Jump Shot74
86.3%
65
13.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)74
85.5%
65
14.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0TORKleiza 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)71
81.4%
65
18.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
83.7%
63
16.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0TORMISS Bayless 9' Jump Shot71
84.7%
63
15.3%
Q2 - 1:00DENBargnani STEAL (2 STL)71
83.7%
63
16.3%
Q2 - 1:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
84.9%
63
15.1%
Q2 - 1:04TORMISS Weems 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
84.5%
63
15.5%
Q2 - 1:21TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
83.6%
63
16.4%
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 171
83.8%
63
16.2%
Q2 - 1:29DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
81.2%
63
18.8%
Q2 - 1:31TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot69
80.8%
63
19.2%
Q2 - 1:55DENNene 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)69
79.7%
63
20.3%
Q2 - 2:13TORWeems 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)67
77.1%
63
22.9%
Q2 - 2:18TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
79.2%
61
20.8%
Q2 - 2:19DENMISS Afflalo 22' Jump Shot67
79.8%
61
20.2%
Q2 - 2:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
81.2%
61
18.8%
Q2 - 2:27TORMISS Bayless 11' Turnaround Jump Shot67
80.6%
61
19.4%
Q2 - 2:44DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)67
79.2%
61
20.8%
Q2 - 2:50DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
74.7%
61
25.3%
Q2 - 2:51TORMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot64
74.0%
61
26.0%
Q2 - 3:09DENForbes Dunk (2 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)64
72.3%
61
27.7%
Q2 - 3:10DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
70.2%
61
29.8%
Q2 - 3:13TORMISS Kleiza 1' Tip Shot62
69.2%
61
30.8%
Q2 - 3:15TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
67.0%
61
33.0%
Q2 - 3:16TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
69.2%
61
30.8%
Q2 - 3:23TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
67.0%
61
33.0%
Q2 - 3:24DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot62
68.0%
61
32.0%
Q2 - 3:46TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T5)62
70.1%
61
29.9%
Q2 - 3:52TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
67.0%
61
33.0%
Q2 - 3:53DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
68.0%
61
32.0%
Q2 - 3:59DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
70.1%
61
29.9%
Q2 - 4:00TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
69.2%
61
30.8%
Q2 - 4:17DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)62
67.1%
61
32.9%
Q2 - 4:36TORJohnson 1' Layup (6 PTS)59
61.9%
61
38.1%
Q2 - 4:38TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
64.4%
59
35.6%
Q2 - 4:39TORMISS Barbosa 4' Driving Reverse Layup59
66.5%
59
33.5%
Q2 - 4:55DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
64.4%
59
35.6%
Q2 - 4:58DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
59.0%
59
41.0%
Q2 - 5:01DENMISS Afflalo 1' Driving Layup56
57.4%
59
42.6%
Q2 - 5:10DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
59.4%
59
40.6%
Q2 - 5:11TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
58.5%
59
41.5%
Q2 - 5:24TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
56.5%
59
43.5%
Q2 - 5:25DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
57.4%
59
42.6%
Q2 - 5:49TORKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)56
59.3%
59
40.7%
Q2 - 5:55TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
64.9%
56
35.1%
Q2 - 5:57DENJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)56
65.7%
56
34.3%
Q2 - 6:09TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)56
67.5%
56
32.5%
Q2 - 6:24DENHarrington 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)56
72.0%
53
28.0%
Q2 - 6:43TORKleiza 23' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
70.0%
53
30.0%
Q2 - 7:09DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)54
72.2%
51
27.8%
Q2 - 7:31TORKleiza Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)51
67.7%
51
32.3%
Q2 - 7:39TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
65.0%
51
35.0%
Q2 - 7:40TORMISS DeRozan 3' Turnaround Jump Shot51
66.9%
51
33.1%
Q2 - 7:47DENHarrington 4' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
65.0%
51
35.0%
Q2 - 7:59TORKleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)49
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q2 - 8:17DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)49
67.7%
48
32.3%
Q2 - 8:34TORBarbosa 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)46
62.9%
48
37.1%
Q2 - 8:48DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)46
65.3%
46
34.7%
Q2 - 9:04TORKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
60.5%
46
39.5%
Q2 - 9:17TORRAPTORS Rebound43
65.3%
43
34.7%
Q2 - 9:18DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
66.1%
43
33.9%
Q2 - 9:28DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)43
67.7%
43
32.3%
Q2 - 9:42TORBarbosa 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
65.4%
43
34.6%
Q2 - 9:46DENBarbosa STEAL (1 STL)42
67.6%
41
32.4%
Q2 - 9:59DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
70.0%
41
30.0%
Q2 - 10:01TORMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 142
69.4%
41
30.6%
Q2 - 10:01TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)42
71.6%
39
28.4%
Q2 - 10:01TORMISS Kleiza 2' Tip Shot42
73.2%
39
26.8%
Q2 - 10:01TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
71.6%
39
28.4%
Q2 - 10:03TORMISS DeRozan 3' Layup42
73.2%
39
26.8%
Q2 - 10:11DENBargnani STEAL (1 STL)42
71.6%
39
28.4%
Q2 - 10:19TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)42
73.9%
39
26.1%
Q2 - 10:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
71.6%
39
28.4%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
72.3%
39
27.7%
Q2 - 10:46TORDavis Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)42
73.9%
39
26.1%
Q2 - 11:01DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)42
75.3%
37
24.7%
Q2 - 11:14TORKleiza 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)39
71.6%
37
28.4%
Q2 - 11:26TORRAPTORS Rebound39
73.4%
35
26.6%
Q2 - 11:30DENDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)39
74.1%
35
25.9%
Q2 - 11:30DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
75.5%
35
24.5%
Q2 - 11:31DENMISS Harrington 4' Running Hook Shot39
74.1%
35
25.9%
Q2 - 11:45TORDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS)39
75.5%
35
24.5%
Q2 - 11:46TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
77.2%
33
22.8%
Q2 - 11:48TORMISS Bargnani 6' Jump Shot39
78.5%
33
21.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR39
77.2%
33
22.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound39
77.2%
33
22.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Barbosa 40' 3PT Running Jump Shot39
78.5%
33
21.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENLawson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)39
77.0%
33
23.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0TORBarbosa 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)37
74.9%
33
25.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
77.1%
31
22.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
76.7%
31
23.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORBarbosa 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENShel. Williams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
77.1%
29
22.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)33
75.0%
29
25.0%
Q1 - 1:07DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
73.5%
29
26.5%
Q1 - 1:21TORKleiza 4' Putback Layup (2 PTS)30
69.1%
29
30.9%
Q1 - 1:21TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q1 - 1:22TORMISS Weems 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
72.6%
27
27.4%
Q1 - 1:42DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)30
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q1 - 2:02TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Weems 3 AST)27
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q1 - 2:08TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
69.5%
25
30.5%
Q1 - 2:09DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
70.0%
25
30.0%
Q1 - 2:21TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
71.2%
25
28.8%
Q1 - 2:34DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)27
73.3%
23
26.7%
Q1 - 2:44TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q1 - 2:59TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
71.4%
21
28.6%
Q1 - 3:02DENMISS Billups 6' Driving Jump Shot24
72.1%
21
27.9%
Q1 - 3:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
73.4%
21
26.6%
Q1 - 3:14TORMISS Weems 17' Pullup Jump Shot24
72.8%
21
27.2%
Q1 - 3:33DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)24
71.5%
21
28.5%
Q1 - 3:33DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)23
71.3%
21
28.7%
Q1 - 3:33DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)22
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 3:44TORWeems 7' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
67.7%
21
32.3%
Q1 - 3:55DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)21
69.5%
19
30.5%
Q1 - 4:08DENNuggets Rebound21
71.5%
19
28.5%
Q1 - 4:08TORMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
70.9%
19
29.1%
Q1 - 4:22DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
69.5%
19
30.5%
Q1 - 4:22DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
69.4%
19
30.6%
Q1 - 4:35DENNuggets Rebound19
67.8%
19
32.2%
Q1 - 4:36TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
67.1%
19
32.9%
Q1 - 4:47TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
65.6%
19
34.4%
Q1 - 4:49DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
66.3%
19
33.7%
Q1 - 5:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
67.5%
19
32.5%
Q1 - 5:07TORMISS Weems 22' Jump Shot19
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 5:28DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
65.4%
19
34.6%
Q1 - 5:37DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
67.5%
19
32.5%
Q1 - 5:38TORMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 6:02DENNene 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)19
65.6%
19
34.4%
Q1 - 6:17TORBargnani 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)17
63.8%
19
36.2%
Q1 - 6:25TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
65.6%
17
34.4%
Q1 - 6:26DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot17
66.2%
17
33.8%
Q1 - 6:43TORWeems Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
67.5%
17
32.5%
Q1 - 6:50DENNene 2' Layup (8 PTS)17
65.6%
17
34.4%
Q1 - 7:05TORJohnson 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
64.1%
17
35.9%
Q1 - 7:07TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
65.8%
15
34.2%
Q1 - 7:08TORMISS DeRozan 1' Alley Oop Layup15
67.1%
15
32.9%
Q1 - 7:14DENWeems STEAL (1 STL)15
65.8%
15
34.2%
Q1 - 7:34TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)15
67.7%
15
32.3%
Q1 - 7:48DENNene 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)15
69.3%
13
30.7%
Q1 - 7:56TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 8:10DENBillups 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
71.4%
10
28.6%
Q1 - 8:19TORJohnson Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)10
67.9%
10
32.1%
Q1 - 8:30DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)10
69.7%
8
30.3%
Q1 - 8:41TORWeems 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)10
71.3%
8
28.7%
Q1 - 8:50DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
72.9%
6
27.1%
Q1 - 8:50DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
72.5%
6
27.5%
Q1 - 8:58DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
71.3%
6
28.7%
Q1 - 8:59TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot8
70.8%
6
29.2%
Q1 - 9:10DENNene 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)8
70.0%
6
30.0%
Q1 - 9:24TORWeems 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)6
68.3%
6
31.7%
Q1 - 9:35DENJohnson STEAL (1 STL)6
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 9:57TORBargnani 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
71.5%
4
28.5%
Q1 - 10:11DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 10:11DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
72.5%
2
27.5%
Q1 - 10:25DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 10:26TORMISS Bargnani 17' Turnaround Jump Shot4
70.9%
2
29.1%
Q1 - 10:40DENBillups Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
69.7%
2
30.3%
Q1 - 10:45DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 10:47TORMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
70.9%
2
29.1%
Q1 - 11:02DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)4
69.8%
2
30.2%
Q1 - 11:16TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 11:16TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
68.5%
1
31.5%
Q1 - 11:33DENAfflalo 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)2
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. Nene: Tip to Shel. Williams0
68.3%
0
31.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.41 70.7%
TOR
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
24
35
69%
TOR
19
32
59%
Midrange
DEN
7
15
47%
TOR
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
TOR
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
Free Throws
DEN
25
28
89%
TOR
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington3182%15.5 / 19
Nene2687%13.0 / 15
C. Billups2166%10.5 / 16
G. Forbes1594%7.5 / 8
J. Smith1161%5.5 / 9
T. Lawson867%4.0 / 6
S. Williams650%3.0 / 6
A. Afflalo550%2.5 / 5
M. Ely0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Kleiza2681%13.0 / 16
A. Bargnani2460%12.0 / 20
L. Barbosa2273%11.0 / 15
S. Weems2162%10.5 / 17
D. DeRozan627%3.0 / 11
A. Johnson6100%3.0 / 3
E. Davis467%2.0 / 3
J. Wright467%2.0 / 3
J. Bayless315%1.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+11
-22
87
TOR
84
+15
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.41 70.7%
TOR
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
105.9
DEN 125.5 +5.9
TOR 119.6
Pace
95.2
93.1
DEN 95.8
TOR 99.3 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.1
DEN 15.0
TOR 14.5 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.1%
DEN 64.5% +7.8%
TOR 56.7%
TO %
14.5%
15.0%
DEN 19.9%
TOR 11.7% +8.2%
ORB %
23.8%
28.3%
DEN 27.6%
TOR 30.2% +2.6%
FTrt
36.7
29.3
DEN 36.8 +15.7
TOR 21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.1%
DEN 62.8% +19.3%
TOR 43.5%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
DEN 5.1%
TOR 9.3% +4.2%
BLK %
6.8%
6.7%
DEN 4.6% +0.6%
TOR 4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.1%
DEN 70.7% +12.7%
TOR 58.0%
Rim FG%
58.5%
58.9%
DEN 68.6% +9.2%
TOR 59.4%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.2%
DEN 46.7%
TOR 51.5% +4.8%
3P %
38.8%
31.6%
DEN 46.2% +6.2%
TOR 40.0%
FT %
76.6%
75.5%
DEN 89.3% +15.6%
TOR 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
39.1%
DEN 46.1% +10.5%
TOR 35.6%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
44.7%
DEN 19.7% +16.9%
TOR 36.7%
3P Att. %
25.8%
16.2%
DEN 34.2% +6.4%
TOR 27.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENTOR
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points123116
Rebounds3834
Assists2720
Steals59
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)21 (3)
Field Goals43-7646-90
At-the-Rim FG24-3519-32
Midrange FG7-1517-33
2-Point FG31-5036-65
3-Point FG12-2610-25
Free Throws25-2814-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
38.3
5
50%
2
4
0
1
2
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
34.8
21
66%
3
8
0
0
4
3
0
3
11-13
85%
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
33.8
26
87%
6
2
1
1
2
2
0
6
8-9
89%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
24.3
15
94%
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-7
86%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
15.1
6
50%
7
1
0
0
2
4
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
35.7
31
82%
6
3
0
0
5
1
0
6
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
6-11
55%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
27.7
11
61%
3
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
19.2
8
67%
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
11.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
3
4
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
71%
38
27
5
3
22
0
8
30
25-28
89%
31-50
62%
12-26
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.