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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets62%109123
22Raptors38%105116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
38.3
33.1
5
46%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.2
34.8
32.7
21
63%
3
8
0
1
0
4
0
3
11-13
85%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.2
33.8
33.9
26
81%
6
2
1
1
1
2
0
6
8-9
89%
9-12
5-8
75%
59%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
24.3
12.2
15
94%
6
1
2
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-7
2-3
86%
51%
1-1
100%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
15.1
19.1
6
50%
7
1
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.8
35.7
25.6
31
80%
6
3
0
1
0
5
0
6
1-1
100%
6-8
3-5
75%
49%
6-11
55%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
27.7
24.7
11
59%
3
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.1
19.2
24.2
8
62%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.6
11.1
7.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.5
23.7
1
5-11
49%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.5
3.6
0
0-0
49%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.4
2.2
0
0-0
52%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.1
39.6
34.8
24
58%
3
3
3
0
0
3
0
3
8-8
100%
5-10
7-14
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
37.9
26.3
21
62%
7
4
2
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
9-13
5-9
69%
51%
1-4
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
32.5
32.0
6
27%
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-11
5-9
27%
51%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
22.8
19.8
3
15%
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-5
2-5
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
21.4
25.2
6
100%
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
4-7
100%
60%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.9
31.1
20.8
26
79%
12
1
1
0
0
3
5
7
0-1
0%
7-11
3-6
64%
52%
4-5
80%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.0
25.6
25.4
22
75%
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-6
67%
6-7
3-7
86%
50%
2-5
40%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
14.6
14.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
14.5
4.2
4
69%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.5
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.0
3.7
0
0-1
50%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.7
0.1
0
0-0
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.2
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.