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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Celtics56%97102
1976ers44%95101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.8
47.2
28.0
19
68%
6
14
4
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
8-12
3-7
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.2
39.7
32.4
10
51%
8
2
1
1
0
4
0
8
4-4
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
50%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.4
35.3
32.4
23
88%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
7-7
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
2-3
67%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.6
32.3
29.9
14
54%
6
1
2
1
3
2
3
3
2-2
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
17.7
14.2
8
86%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
4-6
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.9
26.0
27.1
16
54%
6
2
0
1
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.5
20.6
19.3
9
64%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.9
16.1
21.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.4
5.3
7.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.8
19.1
0
3-6
58%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.0
4.9
0
1-1
45%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.9
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.1
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.2
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
40.1
26.1
19
92%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
4-4
100%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
40.0
36.9
14
44%
5
11
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.7
39.0
32.0
13
55%
14
1
0
1
3
1
8
6
3-4
75%
5-10
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.5
34.3
35.4
12
39%
3
6
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-5
60%
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.6
24.0
24.9
11
46%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
5-11
4-7
45%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
28.4
25.2
16
67%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
22.1
20.1
16
71%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-3
67%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
4-5
80%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
6.4
15.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.0
5.6
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
7.4
0
1-3
48%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
4.9
0
1-1
47%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.8
1.6
0
0-1
49%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.