FinalWin Prob.pScore
156%96
111
944%94
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
124.78984.8
UTA logo UTA
110.18993.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA111
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)107
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTAD. Williams 13' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)106
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)106
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWade 1' Putback Dunk (28 PTS)106
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS James 1' Layup104
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 1:16MIAHeat Rebound104
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 1:17UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 1104
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 1:34UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 2:00UTAMiles 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)104
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)104
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)103
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 2:35UTAMiles 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)102
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 2:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:45MIAJames 2' Tip Shot (31 PTS)102
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup100
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 2:52MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)100
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 2:53UTAMISS Jefferson 2' Reverse Layup100
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 3:18MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (29 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)100
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 3:23UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)98
98.6%
90
1.4%
Q4 - 3:35MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)98
95.6%
90
4.4%
Q4 - 3:56UTAMillsap Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)98
97.2%
90
2.8%
Q4 - 4:12MIABosh 4' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)98
96.0%
90
4.0%
Q4 - 4:30UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)96
94.4%
90
5.6%
Q4 - 4:36MIAKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)96
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 4:39UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)96
98.2%
87
1.8%
Q4 - 4:54MIAIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 9 AST)96
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 5:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
94.4%
87
5.6%
Q4 - 5:18UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 294
94.1%
87
5.9%
Q4 - 5:18UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 294
92.9%
87
7.1%
Q4 - 5:22UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
92.2%
87
7.8%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
92.9%
87
7.1%
Q4 - 5:50UTAMillsap 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)94
94.5%
87
5.5%
Q4 - 5:56UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
95.9%
85
4.1%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot94
96.3%
85
3.7%
Q4 - 6:20UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)94
96.1%
85
3.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)94
97.0%
83
3.0%
Q4 - 6:40UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)92
96.1%
83
3.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)92
94.7%
83
5.3%
Q4 - 7:16UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)89
89.5%
83
10.5%
Q4 - 7:18UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
86.3%
83
13.7%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot89
87.3%
83
12.7%
Q4 - 7:41UTAKirilenko 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (D. Williams 12 AST)89
89.5%
83
10.5%
Q4 - 7:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
91.7%
81
8.3%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 288
91.3%
81
8.7%
Q4 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
90.5%
81
9.5%
Q4 - 8:12UTAMISS Jefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot88
89.8%
81
10.2%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)88
88.2%
81
11.8%
Q4 - 8:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
81.6%
81
18.4%
Q4 - 8:46UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
80.4%
81
19.6%
Q4 - 9:02MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)85
76.2%
81
23.8%
Q4 - 9:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
66.5%
81
33.5%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
62.7%
81
37.3%
Q4 - 9:22UTAElson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)82
66.5%
81
33.5%
Q4 - 9:35UTAJAZZ Rebound82
61.0%
81
39.0%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 2' Dunk82
62.7%
81
37.3%
Q4 - 9:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
66.5%
81
33.5%
Q4 - 9:53UTAMISS Miles 21' Jump Shot82
64.9%
81
35.1%
Q4 - 10:15UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
60.7%
81
39.3%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot82
62.3%
81
37.7%
Q4 - 10:42UTAD. Williams Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)82
66.0%
81
34.0%
Q4 - 10:42UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)82
66.8%
80
33.2%
Q4 - 10:42UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)82
67.7%
79
32.3%
Q4 - 11:00MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)82
75.4%
78
24.6%
Q4 - 11:05MIAHeat Rebound79
65.4%
78
34.6%
Q4 - 11:05MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)79
62.0%
78
38.0%
Q4 - 11:25UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
65.5%
78
34.5%
Q4 - 11:39MIABosh 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)79
60.5%
78
39.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA77
55.2%
78
44.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMillsap STEAL (2 STL)77
49.8%
78
50.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
55.1%
78
44.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot77
51.9%
78
48.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
55.1%
78
44.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Miles 11' Running Jump Shot77
53.7%
78
46.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0UTAJump Ball Miles vs. Howard: Tip to Bell77
50.4%
78
49.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
55.1%
78
44.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
51.9%
78
48.1%
Q3 - 1:13UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
55.2%
78
44.8%
Q3 - 1:13UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
55.9%
77
44.1%
Q3 - 1:13UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
60.5%
76
39.5%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot77
61.8%
76
38.2%
Q3 - 1:38UTAD. Williams 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)77
64.7%
76
35.3%
Q3 - 1:43MIABell STEAL (2 STL)77
69.4%
74
30.6%
Q3 - 1:53UTAMiles Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)77
73.1%
74
26.9%
Q3 - 1:53UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
69.4%
74
30.6%
Q3 - 1:54UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
72.0%
74
28.0%
Q3 - 1:58UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
69.5%
74
30.5%
Q3 - 1:59UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
72.0%
74
28.0%
Q3 - 2:13MIAArroyo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)77
68.7%
74
31.3%
Q3 - 2:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
72.5%
74
27.5%
Q3 - 2:36UTAMISS D. Williams 11' Jump Bank Shot77
71.4%
74
28.6%
Q3 - 3:00MIABosh 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
68.7%
74
31.3%
Q3 - 3:27UTAKirilenko 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST)75
64.7%
74
35.3%
Q3 - 3:55MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)75
68.5%
72
31.5%
Q3 - 4:15UTAMillsap 2' Layup (14 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)72
60.6%
72
39.4%
Q3 - 4:24UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot72
65.4%
70
34.6%
Q3 - 4:44UTAKirilenko 4' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)72
68.6%
70
31.4%
Q3 - 5:07MIAIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 8 AST)72
70.9%
68
29.1%
Q3 - 5:21UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)70
67.8%
68
32.2%
Q3 - 5:21UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)70
68.6%
67
31.4%
Q3 - 5:37MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)70
71.0%
66
29.0%
Q3 - 5:51UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)68
67.8%
66
32.2%
Q3 - 6:05MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
70.7%
64
29.3%
Q3 - 6:05MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
70.1%
64
29.9%
Q3 - 6:18UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)66
67.6%
64
32.4%
Q3 - 6:25UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
74.0%
61
26.0%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS James 1' Layup66
75.0%
61
25.0%
Q3 - 6:32MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)66
77.2%
61
22.8%
Q3 - 6:34UTAMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot66
76.3%
61
23.7%
Q3 - 6:41UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)66
74.0%
61
26.0%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Bosh 7' Turnaround Jump Shot66
75.0%
61
25.0%
Q3 - 7:05UTAD. Williams 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
76.2%
61
23.8%
Q3 - 7:27MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 7 AST)66
78.9%
59
21.1%
Q3 - 7:50UTAMillsap 17' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)64
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 8:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)64
78.5%
57
21.5%
Q3 - 8:18UTAMillsap 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)64
81.1%
57
18.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)64
83.2%
55
16.9%
Q3 - 8:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
85.3%
55
14.7%
Q3 - 8:41UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 264
85.0%
55
15.0%
Q3 - 8:41UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
83.6%
55
16.4%
Q3 - 8:45UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
85.2%
54
14.8%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot64
85.8%
54
14.2%
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
87.1%
54
12.9%
Q3 - 8:55UTAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot64
86.5%
54
13.5%
Q3 - 9:04MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)64
84.8%
54
15.2%
Q3 - 9:28UTAJefferson 2' Layup (23 PTS)64
86.6%
54
13.4%
Q3 - 9:50MIAWade 2' Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (James 6 AST)64
88.2%
52
11.8%
Q3 - 9:56MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
86.7%
52
13.3%
Q3 - 9:57UTAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot62
86.1%
52
13.9%
Q3 - 10:13MIAIlgauskas 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)62
84.3%
52
15.7%
Q3 - 10:32UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
82.4%
52
17.6%
Q3 - 10:32UTAJefferson 2' Putback Layup (21 PTS)60
82.4%
52
17.6%
Q3 - 10:34UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot60
85.6%
50
14.4%
Q3 - 10:50MIAIlgauskas 1' Layup (6 PTS)60
84.3%
50
15.7%
Q3 - 10:51MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
82.4%
50
17.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIAD. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)58
80.9%
50
19.1%
Q3 - 11:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
82.0%
50
18.0%
Q3 - 11:08UTAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot58
81.3%
50
18.7%
Q3 - 11:24MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)58
79.7%
50
20.3%
Q3 - 11:42UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)56
77.6%
50
22.4%
Q3 - 12:00MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw Technical56
74.9%
50
25.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA56
74.9%
50
25.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound56
77.6%
50
22.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dampier 76' 3PT Jump Shot56
75.8%
50
24.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
76.7%
50
23.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
74.9%
50
25.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Jefferson 2' Putback Layup56
76.1%
50
23.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAMISS D. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
76.1%
50
23.9%
Q2 - 0:12.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
74.9%
50
25.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 256
75.1%
50
24.9%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)56
76.8%
50
23.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
74.3%
50
25.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
73.7%
50
26.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJames 3' Layup (21 PTS)55
72.3%
50
27.7%
Q2 - 1:04UTABell 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)53
68.8%
50
31.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIABosh Layup (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)53
72.2%
48
27.8%
Q2 - 1:31MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
68.8%
48
31.2%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot51
67.3%
48
32.7%
Q2 - 1:56UTABell 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)51
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q2 - 2:17MIAWade Palming Turnover (P2.T6)51
74.0%
45
26.0%
Q2 - 2:32UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q2 - 2:32UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
76.8%
44
23.2%
Q2 - 2:46MIABosh 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)51
78.7%
43
21.3%
Q2 - 3:05UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
76.5%
43
23.5%
Q2 - 3:08UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
73.8%
43
26.2%
Q2 - 3:09UTAMISS Kirilenko 23' Jump Shot49
75.7%
43
24.3%
Q2 - 3:23UTAJAZZ Rebound49
73.8%
43
26.2%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot49
74.6%
43
25.4%
Q2 - 3:36UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)49
76.5%
43
23.5%
Q2 - 3:36UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)49
77.0%
42
23.0%
Q2 - 3:36UTAJAZZ Rebound49
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot49
79.1%
41
20.9%
Q2 - 3:49UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 3:49UTAJefferson 2' Layup (17 PTS)49
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 3:50UTAMISS D. Williams 2' Layup49
83.7%
39
16.3%
Q2 - 3:59UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
82.2%
39
17.8%
Q2 - 4:01UTAMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot49
83.1%
39
16.9%
Q2 - 4:27MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS)49
81.8%
39
18.2%
Q2 - 4:45UTAJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)47
80.2%
39
19.8%
Q2 - 5:07MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 3 AST)47
77.9%
39
22.1%
Q2 - 5:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
75.7%
39
24.3%
Q2 - 5:14UTAMISS Millsap 2' Layup45
75.1%
39
24.9%
Q2 - 5:26MIAHoward 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)45
73.5%
39
26.5%
Q2 - 5:50UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)43
71.1%
39
28.9%
Q2 - 5:53MIABell STEAL (1 STL)43
75.7%
36
24.3%
Q2 - 5:56UTAMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)43
77.8%
36
22.2%
Q2 - 6:07MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T4)43
74.9%
36
25.1%
Q2 - 6:20MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
77.4%
36
22.6%
Q2 - 6:22UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 243
77.1%
36
22.9%
Q2 - 6:22UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)43
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 6:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)43
77.1%
35
22.9%
Q2 - 6:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
76.6%
35
23.4%
Q2 - 6:47UTAJefferson 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
75.3%
35
24.7%
Q2 - 7:03MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)41
76.9%
33
23.1%
Q2 - 7:09MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
72.8%
33
27.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
71.2%
33
28.8%
Q2 - 7:28UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
72.9%
33
27.1%
Q2 - 7:28UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
73.4%
32
26.6%
Q2 - 7:49MIAWade 23' Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 8:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
72.5%
31
27.5%
Q2 - 8:11UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
71.8%
31
28.2%
Q2 - 8:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)36
70.3%
31
29.7%
Q2 - 8:47UTAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)33
65.7%
31
34.3%
Q2 - 9:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)33
67.6%
29
32.4%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 232
67.2%
29
32.8%
Q2 - 9:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
67.7%
29
32.3%
Q2 - 9:17UTAMISS Elson 18' Jump Shot32
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q2 - 9:32MIADampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
65.3%
29
34.7%
Q2 - 9:32MIADampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
64.5%
29
35.5%
Q2 - 9:32MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
63.0%
29
37.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot30
61.2%
29
38.8%
Q2 - 9:57UTAWatson 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)30
63.0%
29
37.0%
Q2 - 10:04UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
64.9%
27
35.1%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot30
65.7%
27
34.3%
Q2 - 10:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
67.4%
27
32.6%
Q2 - 10:25UTAMISS Miles 3' Driving Layup30
66.7%
27
33.3%
Q2 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
64.9%
27
35.1%
Q2 - 10:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q2 - 11:00MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q2 - 11:00UTAMISS Miles 2' Layup28
62.0%
27
38.0%
Q2 - 11:06UTAJAZZ Rebound28
60.0%
27
40.0%
Q2 - 11:06UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
61.8%
27
38.2%
Q2 - 11:11MIAElson STEAL (1 STL)28
60.0%
27
40.0%
Q2 - 11:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
62.5%
27
37.5%
Q2 - 11:15UTAMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot28
61.8%
27
38.2%
Q2 - 11:25MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
60.0%
27
40.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
62.5%
27
37.5%
Q2 - 11:37UTAMISS Price 3PT Jump Shot28
61.8%
27
38.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
60.0%
27
40.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMillsap 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)28
62.6%
27
37.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
64.7%
25
35.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot28
65.3%
25
34.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
66.5%
25
33.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
66.9%
24
33.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMiles STEAL (1 STL)28
69.0%
23
31.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0UTAMillsap 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)28
70.7%
23
29.3%
Q1 - 1:00MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)28
73.1%
21
26.9%
Q1 - 1:13UTABell Foul Turnover (P2.T3)25
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q1 - 1:33UTAJAZZ Rebound25
66.9%
21
33.1%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot25
67.4%
21
32.6%
Q1 - 1:57UTAMiles 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q1 - 2:07UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
70.7%
19
29.3%
Q1 - 2:09UTAMISS Elson 18' Jump Shot25
71.8%
19
28.2%
Q1 - 2:31MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS)25
70.7%
19
29.3%
Q1 - 2:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
68.5%
19
31.5%
Q1 - 2:50UTAMISS Kirilenko 3PT Jump Shot23
68.0%
19
32.0%
Q1 - 3:06MIABosh 2' Hook Shot (4 PTS)23
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 3:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
64.6%
19
35.4%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot21
63.1%
19
36.9%
Q1 - 3:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
64.6%
19
35.4%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot21
63.1%
19
36.9%
Q1 - 3:45UTAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
64.6%
19
35.4%
Q1 - 3:56MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)21
66.6%
17
33.4%
Q1 - 4:04UTABell 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)19
66.3%
15
33.7%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)18
64.3%
15
35.7%
Q1 - 4:33UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 4:36UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
60.2%
15
39.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot16
60.9%
15
39.1%
Q1 - 4:54MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
62.5%
15
37.5%
Q1 - 4:56UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 216
62.1%
15
37.9%
Q1 - 4:56UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
60.7%
15
39.3%
Q1 - 5:00UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
62.3%
14
37.7%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot16
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 5:14UTAJefferson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)16
64.1%
14
35.9%
Q1 - 5:31MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)16
65.8%
12
34.2%
Q1 - 5:42MIAHeat Rebound14
64.1%
12
35.9%
Q1 - 5:42UTAMISS Millsap 6' Running Jump Shot14
63.5%
12
36.5%
Q1 - 5:54MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
61.9%
12
38.1%
Q1 - 5:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
61.6%
12
38.4%
Q1 - 6:07MIAHeat Rebound12
60.0%
12
40.0%
Q1 - 6:07UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
57.9%
12
42.1%
Q1 - 6:07UTAMISS Jefferson 1' Tip Shot12
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 6:07UTAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup12
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWade 9' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)12
57.9%
12
42.1%
Q1 - 6:52UTAKirilenko 3' Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)10
56.0%
12
44.0%
Q1 - 6:56UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 6:58UTAMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot10
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 7:11UTAJAZZ Rebound10
58.0%
10
42.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot10
58.6%
10
41.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot10
58.6%
10
41.4%
Q1 - 7:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 7:20UTAMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot10
59.5%
10
40.5%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWade Reverse Dunk (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
58.0%
10
42.0%
Q1 - 7:59MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
56.2%
10
43.8%
Q1 - 8:00UTAMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot8
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 8:07UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
54.5%
10
45.5%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup8
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 8:20UTAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)8
56.4%
10
43.6%
Q1 - 8:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 27
57.9%
8
42.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot7
57.0%
8
43.0%
Q1 - 8:52UTABell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 9:03MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 9:27UTABell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)4
53.1%
8
46.9%
Q1 - 9:32UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot4
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 9:57UTAMillsap 1' Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)4
56.8%
6
43.2%
Q1 - 10:05UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot4
59.2%
4
40.8%
Q1 - 10:28UTAKirilenko 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)4
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 10:42MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 11:03UTAMillsap 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)2
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 11:28MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 11:28MIAIlgauskas 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 11:29MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup0
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)0
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Wade0
60.4%
0
39.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
UTA
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
27
67%
UTA
25
33
76%
Midrange
MIA
14
33
42%
UTA
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
UTA
1
1.5
14
7%
11%
Free Throws
MIA
20
25
80%
UTA
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3369%16.5 / 24
D. Wade2874%14.0 / 19
Z. Ilgauskas1673%8.0 / 11
C. Bosh1441%7.0 / 17
M. Chalmers844%4.0 / 9
J. Jones8100%4.0 / 4
E. Dampier233%1.0 / 3
J. Howard250%1.0 / 2
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2557%12.5 / 22
D. Williams2158%10.5 / 18
P. Millsap1869%9.0 / 13
A. Kirilenko1365%6.5 / 10
R. Bell1179%5.5 / 7
C. Miles833%4.0 / 12
E. Watson2100%1.0 / 1
F. Elson0-0.0 / 2
R. Price0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+17
-15
91
UTA
74
+12
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
UTA
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.2
MIA 124.7 +14.6
UTA 110.1
Pace
91.3
91.0
MIA 84.8
UTA 93.6 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 17.0
UTA 15.4 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.8%
MIA 56.9% +5.6%
UTA 51.3%
TO %
14.4%
14.8%
MIA 14.2% +0.5%
UTA 14.7%
ORB %
25.2%
26.9%
MIA 45.5% +18.5%
UTA 27.0%
FTrt
36.3
31.3
MIA 31.3
UTA 36.0 +4.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
62.7%
MIA 53.7% +1.1%
UTA 52.6%
STL %
7.3%
8.3%
MIA 9.0%
UTA 10.1% +1.1%
BLK %
8.5%
9.9%
MIA 1.6%
UTA 5.0% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.9%
MIA 59.7% +4.6%
UTA 55.1%
Rim FG%
64.7%
60.3%
MIA 66.7%
UTA 75.8% +9.1%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.0%
MIA 42.4%
UTA 42.9% +0.5%
3P %
37.0%
34.6%
MIA 45.0% +37.9%
UTA 7.1%
FT %
76.9%
77.1%
MIA 80.0% +2.2%
UTA 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
37.2%
MIA 33.8%
UTA 44.0% +10.2%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
43.8%
MIA 41.3%
UTA 37.3% +3.9%
3P Att. %
23.5%
19.1%
MIA 25.0% +6.3%
UTA 18.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points11198
Rebounds4228
Assists2220
Steals89
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)18 (5)
Field Goals41-8038-75
At-the-Rim FG18-2725-33
Midrange FG14-3312-28
2-Point FG32-6037-61
3-Point FG9-201-14
Free Throws20-2521-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
40.9
28
74%
4
4
2
0
4
0
2
2
8-11
73%
7-11
64%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
39.4
33
69%
7
9
0
0
2
4
1
6
6-7
86%
9-15
60%
3-5
60%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
39.0
14
41%
9
3
0
0
2
4
3
6
2-2
100%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
26.1
16
73%
10
1
1
0
0
3
4
6
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
22.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
25.3
8
44%
2
3
2
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
21.9
2
33%
6
1
2
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
15.7
8
100%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
8.7
2
50%
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
42
22
8
1
15
0
15
27
20-25
80%
32-60
53%
9-20
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.