FinalWin Prob.pScore
1645%93
95
1855%94
97
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
105.690100.3
MIL logo MIL
105.49283.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0IND95
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILBogut 2' Tip Shot (17 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 3 AST)95
2.8%
97
97.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
65.4%
95
34.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Salmons 14' Jump Shot95
57.3%
95
42.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS)95
39.4%
95
60.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
26.6%
95
73.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)93
29.3%
94
70.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)93
41.2%
93
58.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot93
54.2%
93
45.8%
Q4 - 1:03INDBogut STEAL (2 STL)93
42.3%
93
57.7%
Q4 - 1:25MILMbah a Moute 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)93
59.0%
93
41.0%
Q4 - 1:42MILJennings REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)93
68.4%
91
31.6%
Q4 - 1:45INDBogut BLOCK (5 BLK)93
71.6%
91
28.4%
Q4 - 2:02MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)93
79.7%
91
20.3%
Q4 - 2:25INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
67.0%
91
33.0%
Q4 - 2:25INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)92
65.6%
91
34.4%
Q4 - 2:34MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
60.1%
91
39.9%
Q4 - 2:34MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 291
62.0%
90
38.0%
Q4 - 2:48MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
54.9%
90
45.1%
Q4 - 2:49INDMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot91
60.3%
90
39.6%
Q4 - 2:57INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
68.7%
90
31.3%
Q4 - 2:58MILMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot91
64.8%
90
35.2%
Q4 - 3:15INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)91
54.8%
90
45.2%
Q4 - 3:15INDPacers Rebound91
69.3%
90
30.7%
Q4 - 3:15INDJennings BLOCK (1 BLK)91
59.5%
90
40.5%
Q4 - 3:38INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
64.2%
90
35.8%
Q4 - 3:39MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot91
61.3%
90
38.7%
Q4 - 3:51INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)91
54.4%
90
45.6%
Q4 - 4:03MILIlyasova 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)89
45.6%
90
54.4%
Q4 - 4:22MILJennings REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)89
54.5%
88
45.5%
Q4 - 4:23MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot89
61.7%
88
38.3%
Q4 - 4:39INDMcRoberts 1' Layup (8 PTS)89
54.6%
88
45.4%
Q4 - 4:54INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
45.5%
88
54.5%
Q4 - 4:55MILMISS Jennings 13' Jump Shot87
42.3%
88
57.7%
Q4 - 5:14INDMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
36.9%
88
63.1%
Q4 - 5:14INDMISS McRoberts Free Throw 1 of 286
34.4%
88
65.6%
Q4 - 5:17MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)86
37.5%
88
62.5%
Q4 - 5:37MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
29.3%
88
70.7%
Q4 - 5:38INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot86
31.7%
88
68.3%
Q4 - 5:51MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
37.4%
88
62.6%
Q4 - 5:51MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
38.8%
87
61.2%
Q4 - 5:53MILMISS Jennings Free Throw Technical86
45.1%
86
54.9%
Q4 - 6:10INDHibbert 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)86
45.4%
86
54.6%
Q4 - 6:17INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
38.6%
86
61.4%
Q4 - 6:20INDBogut BLOCK (4 BLK)84
33.3%
86
66.7%
Q4 - 6:29INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
38.5%
86
61.5%
Q4 - 6:30MILMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
36.2%
86
63.8%
Q4 - 6:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)84
31.1%
86
68.9%
Q4 - 6:43INDMISS Rush 8' Jump Shot84
33.3%
86
66.7%
Q4 - 6:47INDPacers Rebound84
38.5%
86
61.5%
Q4 - 6:47INDBogut BLOCK (3 BLK)84
33.2%
86
66.8%
Q4 - 7:06INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
39.3%
86
60.7%
Q4 - 7:07MILMISS Dooling 8' Jump Shot84
37.1%
86
62.9%
Q4 - 7:31MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
32.3%
86
67.7%
Q4 - 7:31INDMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot84
34.4%
86
65.6%
Q4 - 7:40INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
39.3%
86
60.7%
Q4 - 7:42MILMISS Sanders 3' Layup84
37.1%
86
62.9%
Q4 - 8:03INDCollison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)84
33.9%
86
66.1%
Q4 - 8:09INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
23.3%
86
76.7%
Q4 - 8:11MILMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot81
21.9%
86
78.1%
Q4 - 8:31MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
19.0%
86
81.0%
Q4 - 8:32MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
21.9%
86
78.1%
Q4 - 8:54MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
19.0%
86
81.0%
Q4 - 8:55INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot81
20.2%
86
79.8%
Q4 - 9:03INDPacers Rebound81
24.7%
86
75.3%
Q4 - 9:03INDDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)81
21.8%
86
78.2%
Q4 - 9:11MILIlyasova Running Layup (17 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)81
24.7%
86
75.3%
Q4 - 9:23MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
29.4%
84
70.6%
Q4 - 9:24INDMISS Ford 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
31.0%
84
69.0%
Q4 - 9:47MILMaggette 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)81
34.5%
84
65.5%
Q4 - 10:07INDFord 1' Layup (5 PTS)81
40.4%
82
59.6%
Q4 - 10:18INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
35.1%
82
64.9%
Q4 - 10:19MILMISS Sanders 6' Hook Shot79
33.5%
82
66.5%
Q4 - 10:37MILBUCKS Rebound79
30.0%
82
70.0%
Q4 - 10:37INDMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
31.5%
82
68.5%
Q4 - 11:02MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
35.5%
82
64.5%
Q4 - 11:02MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
36.3%
81
63.7%
Q4 - 11:15MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
40.6%
80
59.4%
Q4 - 11:16INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 279
41.3%
80
58.7%
Q4 - 11:16INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 279
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q4 - 11:31MILSalmons 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
45.9%
80
54.1%
Q4 - 11:46INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)79
51.3%
78
48.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND79
56.6%
78
43.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)79
56.6%
78
43.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound79
51.3%
78
48.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ilyasova 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
54.4%
78
45.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
51.2%
78
48.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDMaggette BLOCK (1 BLK)79
52.6%
78
47.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMaggette Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)79
55.9%
78
44.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0MILBUCKS Rebound79
51.2%
78
48.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0MILMISS Sanders 13' Jump Shot79
54.5%
78
45.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
51.2%
78
48.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 278
50.5%
78
49.5%
Q3 - 1:09MILJennings Layup (19 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)78
50.4%
78
49.6%
Q3 - 1:14MILBUCKS Rebound78
55.8%
76
44.2%
Q3 - 1:14MILMISS Bogut 9' Hook Shot78
58.8%
76
41.2%
Q3 - 1:32INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)78
55.8%
76
44.2%
Q3 - 1:32INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)77
55.0%
76
45.0%
Q3 - 1:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
50.5%
76
49.5%
Q3 - 1:38MILMISS Jennings 10' Jump Shot76
49.1%
76
50.9%
Q3 - 1:50MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
46.0%
76
54.0%
Q3 - 1:51INDMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
47.3%
76
52.7%
Q3 - 2:02INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
50.1%
76
49.9%
Q3 - 2:03MILMISS Salmons 12' Jump Shot76
48.7%
76
51.3%
Q3 - 2:19INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)76
45.5%
76
54.5%
Q3 - 2:35INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
36.3%
76
63.7%
Q3 - 2:37MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot73
35.0%
76
65.0%
Q3 - 2:57INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)73
32.2%
76
67.8%
Q3 - 2:57INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
36.3%
76
63.7%
Q3 - 2:58INDSanders BLOCK (1 BLK)73
33.4%
76
66.6%
Q3 - 3:16MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
37.0%
76
63.0%
Q3 - 3:16MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
37.6%
75
62.4%
Q3 - 3:30MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
41.0%
74
59.0%
Q3 - 3:32INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot73
42.4%
74
57.6%
Q3 - 3:42MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
45.6%
74
54.4%
Q3 - 3:42MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
47.2%
73
52.8%
Q3 - 3:42MILJennings Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)73
50.0%
72
50.0%
Q3 - 3:59INDPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)73
54.5%
71
45.5%
Q3 - 4:12MILJennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)70
45.8%
71
54.2%
Q3 - 4:27INDDunleavy Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)70
53.8%
68
46.2%
Q3 - 4:27INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)69
53.1%
68
46.9%
Q3 - 4:27INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)68
52.3%
68
47.7%
Q3 - 4:43MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)67
45.8%
68
54.2%
Q3 - 5:06INDGranger 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
53.2%
65
46.8%
Q3 - 5:22MILIlyasova 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)65
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q3 - 5:43INDMcRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)65
53.3%
63
46.7%
Q3 - 5:51INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
45.3%
63
54.7%
Q3 - 5:52MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
43.9%
63
56.1%
Q3 - 6:07INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)62
41.0%
63
59.0%
Q3 - 6:15INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
45.3%
63
54.7%
Q3 - 6:17MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup62
43.9%
63
56.1%
Q3 - 6:32MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
41.0%
63
59.0%
Q3 - 6:34INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot62
42.3%
63
57.7%
Q3 - 6:45MILSalmons 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)62
45.3%
63
54.7%
Q3 - 7:11INDMcRoberts 1' Layup (2 PTS)62
52.4%
60
47.6%
Q3 - 7:13INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 7:14INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
45.9%
60
54.1%
Q3 - 7:19INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 7:21MILMISS Ilyasova 5' Jump Shot60
47.5%
60
52.5%
Q3 - 7:34MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
44.7%
60
55.3%
Q3 - 7:34MILMISS Jennings 6' Jump Shot60
47.5%
60
52.5%
Q3 - 7:41MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
44.7%
60
55.3%
Q3 - 7:43INDBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)60
45.9%
60
54.1%
Q3 - 7:49INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 7:51MILMISS Ilyasova 4' Jump Shot60
47.5%
60
52.5%
Q3 - 8:15INDHibbert 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)60
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q3 - 8:34MILMbah a Moute 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)58
41.2%
60
58.8%
Q3 - 8:48INDDunleavy Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)58
44.6%
58
55.4%
Q3 - 8:51MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)58
48.6%
58
51.4%
Q3 - 9:02INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
44.6%
58
55.4%
Q3 - 9:02INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 257
44.0%
58
56.0%
Q3 - 9:21MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
44.7%
58
55.3%
Q3 - 9:21MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
45.9%
57
54.1%
Q3 - 9:38INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)57
48.3%
56
51.7%
Q3 - 9:54MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)55
44.7%
56
55.3%
Q3 - 10:07INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)55
41.1%
56
58.9%
Q3 - 10:16INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
34.5%
56
65.5%
Q3 - 10:17MILMISS Salmons 20' Jump Shot52
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 10:32INDDunleavy 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)52
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 10:41INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
28.3%
56
71.7%
Q3 - 10:42MILMISS Sanders 15' Jump Shot50
27.4%
56
72.6%
Q3 - 11:04MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 11:05INDMISS Collison 12' Jump Shot50
26.9%
56
73.1%
Q3 - 11:10INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
28.9%
56
71.1%
Q3 - 11:11MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
28.0%
56
72.0%
Q3 - 11:34INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 11:34INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
25.7%
56
74.3%
Q3 - 11:35INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
23.6%
56
76.4%
Q3 - 11:36MILMISS Jennings 3' Jump Shot48
22.8%
56
77.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL48
21.0%
56
79.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound48
21.0%
56
79.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
22.8%
56
77.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0INDCollison 1' Layup (12 PTS)48
22.2%
56
77.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
19.4%
56
80.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
19.0%
56
81.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
18.3%
56
81.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILJennings 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)46
19.4%
56
80.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0INDCollison 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q2 - 1:08INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
19.9%
54
80.1%
Q2 - 1:09MILMISS Mbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot44
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q2 - 1:25INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T6)44
18.4%
54
81.6%
Q2 - 1:44MILSalmons Reverse Layup (4 PTS)44
19.8%
54
80.2%
Q2 - 2:01INDCollison 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q2 - 2:12INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
20.6%
52
79.4%
Q2 - 2:13MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 242
20.3%
52
79.7%
Q2 - 2:13MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q2 - 2:29MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)42
20.5%
51
79.5%
Q2 - 2:30INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q2 - 2:39MILBogut 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)42
22.7%
51
77.3%
Q2 - 2:59INDCollison 1' Layup (6 PTS)42
24.9%
49
75.1%
Q2 - 3:09MILBogut Foul Turnover (P1.T5)40
23.4%
49
76.6%
Q2 - 3:15MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
20.9%
49
79.1%
Q2 - 3:16INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
21.6%
49
78.4%
Q2 - 3:32MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)40
23.4%
49
76.6%
Q2 - 3:44INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)40
20.8%
49
79.2%
Q2 - 3:44INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
20.6%
49
79.4%
Q2 - 3:54MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)38
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q2 - 4:03MILMISS Jennings Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 238
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 4:03MILMISS Jennings Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 238
19.7%
47
80.3%
Q2 - 4:09MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 4:10MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot38
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 4:22MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 4:24INDMISS Jones 4' Hook Shot38
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 4:47MILIlyasova 1' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)38
23.6%
47
76.4%
Q2 - 5:04INDCollison 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
26.3%
45
73.7%
Q2 - 5:11INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
24.0%
45
76.0%
Q2 - 5:13INDMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot36
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 5:21MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
24.0%
45
76.0%
Q2 - 5:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)36
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 5:39INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 5:56MILBogut 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)36
23.9%
45
76.1%
Q2 - 6:08MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q2 - 6:09INDMISS Rush 16' Jump Shot36
27.3%
43
72.7%
Q2 - 6:22MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
29.1%
43
70.9%
Q2 - 6:22MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)36
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q2 - 6:26INDBogut STEAL (1 STL)36
31.2%
41
68.8%
Q2 - 6:53MILIlyasova 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)36
34.0%
41
66.0%
Q2 - 7:06INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)36
36.6%
39
63.4%
Q2 - 7:22INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
31.7%
39
68.3%
Q2 - 7:23MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 18' Jump Shot33
31.0%
39
69.0%
Q2 - 7:34INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)33
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 7:49INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
31.7%
39
68.3%
Q2 - 7:50MILMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot33
30.9%
39
69.1%
Q2 - 8:02MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 8:03MILMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot33
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 8:24INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
29.7%
39
70.3%
Q2 - 8:24INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
29.5%
39
70.5%
Q2 - 8:30INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
27.6%
39
72.4%
Q2 - 8:31MILMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot31
26.9%
39
73.1%
Q2 - 8:41MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 8:42MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.9%
39
73.1%
Q2 - 9:04INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
25.8%
39
74.2%
Q2 - 9:04INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 230
25.5%
39
74.5%
Q2 - 9:14INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q2 - 9:15MILMISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot30
25.3%
39
74.7%
Q2 - 9:26INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 9:26INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 229
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q2 - 9:44MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 9:44MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
24.2%
38
75.8%
Q2 - 10:02MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
25.9%
37
74.1%
Q2 - 10:04INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 229
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q2 - 10:04INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 10:09MILMaggette 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)28
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q2 - 10:26MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 10:27INDMISS Posey 28' 3PT Jump Shot28
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 10:48MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q2 - 10:48MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 11:02INDSanders STEAL (1 STL)28
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q2 - 11:14INDGranger Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)28
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 11:29MILMaggette Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)27
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 11:34MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
30.3%
33
69.7%
Q2 - 11:36INDMISS Granger 1' Layup27
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 11:47MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T1)27
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
30.3%
33
69.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)27
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0MILDooling 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)24
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILIlyasova 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)21
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q1 - 1:04INDPosey 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q1 - 1:21MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q1 - 1:21MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q1 - 1:21MILBUCKS Rebound19
27.4%
27
72.6%
Q1 - 1:22INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot19
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 1:42MILIlyasova 2' Layup (3 PTS)19
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q1 - 1:44MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q1 - 1:46MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 219
32.6%
25
67.4%
Q1 - 1:46MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)19
31.5%
25
68.5%
Q1 - 1:46MILBUCKS Rebound19
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 1:46MILMISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot19
34.4%
24
65.6%
Q1 - 1:58INDRush 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 2:20MILDooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)17
31.3%
24
68.7%
Q1 - 2:47INDRush 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)17
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 3:02INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 3:04MILMISS Jennings 14' Jump Shot14
31.0%
21
69.0%
Q1 - 3:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)14
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 3:15INDMISS Rush 14' Jump Shot14
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q1 - 3:39MILJennings 1' Layup (9 PTS)14
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 3:51MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
33.5%
19
66.5%
Q1 - 3:52INDMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot14
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 4:17INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 4:18MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 214
35.4%
19
64.6%
Q1 - 4:18MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
34.4%
19
65.6%
Q1 - 4:38INDJones 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)14
35.6%
18
64.4%
Q1 - 4:51MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
33.7%
18
66.3%
Q1 - 4:51MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 212
34.1%
17
65.9%
Q1 - 4:51MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
33.5%
17
66.5%
Q1 - 4:51MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup12
35.1%
17
64.9%
Q1 - 4:51MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
33.5%
17
66.5%
Q1 - 4:53MILMISS Jennings 12' Jump Shot12
35.1%
17
64.9%
Q1 - 5:09MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 5:10INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot12
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 5:16INDPacers Rebound12
35.9%
17
64.1%
Q1 - 5:17INDBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)12
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 5:36INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
35.9%
17
64.1%
Q1 - 5:37MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup12
35.3%
17
64.7%
Q1 - 5:38MILJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 5:39MILMISS Jennings 2' Layup12
35.3%
17
64.7%
Q1 - 5:44INDJennings STEAL (1 STL)12
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 5:50MILSalmons 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
35.9%
17
64.1%
Q1 - 5:57MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)12
37.7%
15
62.3%
Q1 - 5:58MILMISS Mbah a Moute 16' Jump Shot12
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 6:11INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 6:11INDJones Tip Shot (2 PTS)12
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 6:13INDMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot10
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 6:27MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 6:27MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 6:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)10
37.8%
13
62.2%
Q1 - 6:38INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
38.5%
13
61.5%
Q1 - 6:54INDPacers Rebound10
39.9%
13
60.1%
Q1 - 6:55MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
39.3%
13
60.7%
Q1 - 7:07MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
37.9%
13
62.1%
Q1 - 7:08INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 7:14INDPacers Rebound10
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 7:14INDMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)10
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 7:28MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 7:28MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 7:28MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)10
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:28MILMISS Bogut 1' Tip Shot10
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 7:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:28MILMISS Bogut 2' Tip Shot10
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 7:29MILMISS Salmons 1' Layup10
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 7:45MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:47INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 210
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 7:47INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 7:49MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 7:49MILSanders 3' Layup (2 PTS)9
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 7:53MILMISS Sanders 2' Layup9
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 8:03MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
44.0%
9
56.0%
Q1 - 8:05MILMISS Salmons 13' Jump Shot9
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 8:07MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
44.0%
9
56.0%
Q1 - 8:09MILMISS Sanders 2' Layup9
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 8:31INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)9
43.9%
9
56.1%
Q1 - 8:35MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 8:44INDCollison 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)9
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 8:57INDPacers Rebound7
47.9%
6
52.1%
Q1 - 8:58MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 9:11MILBUCKS Rebound7
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 9:11INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
46.7%
6
53.3%
Q1 - 9:18MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)7
48.0%
6
52.0%
Q1 - 9:34INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)7
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 9:58MILJennings 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
46.0%
4
54.0%
Q1 - 10:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 10:09INDMISS Granger 2' Layup4
48.2%
2
51.8%
Q1 - 10:20INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
49.7%
2
50.3%
Q1 - 10:21MILMISS Salmons 10' Jump Shot4
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 10:36INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)4
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 10:50INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.1%
2
53.9%
Q1 - 10:51MILMISS Bogut 6' Jump Shot2
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 11:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 11:09INDMISS Collison 1' Layup2
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 11:21MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:21MILBogut 1' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:22MILMISS Bogut 1' Layup2
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:42INDGranger 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. McRoberts: Tip to Hibbert0
45.6%
0
54.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.04 52.2%
MIL
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
10
22
45%
MIL
14
29
48%
Midrange
IND
13
28
46%
MIL
14
44
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
MIL
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
IND
22
31
71%
MIL
32
40
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2657%13.0 / 23
D. Collison1750%8.5 / 17
R. Hibbert1359%6.5 / 11
M. Dunleavy950%4.5 / 9
J. McRoberts880%4.0 / 5
J. Posey867%4.0 / 6
B. Rush528%2.5 / 9
T. Ford550%2.5 / 5
S. Jones467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2255%11.0 / 20
E. Ilyasova2158%10.5 / 18
A. Bogut1745%8.5 / 19
J. Salmons1642%8.0 / 19
L. Mbah a Moute857%4.0 / 7
C. Maggette660%3.0 / 5
K. Dooling536%2.5 / 7
L. Sanders214%1.0 / 7
C. Douglas-Roberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+10
-11
89
MIL
82
+24
-10
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.04 52.2%
MIL
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
101.9
IND 105.6 +0.1
MIL 105.4
Pace
94.5
89.6
IND 100.3 +16.9
MIL 83.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.6
IND 14.4 +2.9
MIL 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
46.7%
IND 49.3% +11.5%
MIL 37.8%
TO %
15.5%
13.9%
IND 12.0%
MIL 9.6% +2.4%
ORB %
25.9%
24.8%
IND 13.9%
MIL 37.3% +23.4%
FTrt
30.0
28.7
IND 41.9
MIL 46.5 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
54.9%
IND 50.0%
MIL 61.3% +11.3%
STL %
7.5%
8.3%
IND 5.6% +1.3%
MIL 4.3%
BLK %
8.4%
7.9%
IND 9.6%
MIL 20.0% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
49.5%
IND 52.2% +6.4%
MIL 45.8%
Rim FG%
56.8%
53.9%
IND 45.5%
MIL 48.3% +2.8%
Mid FG%
39.2%
39.0%
IND 46.4% +14.6%
MIL 31.8%
3P %
35.4%
34.2%
IND 37.5% +14.4%
MIL 23.1%
FT %
78.2%
75.7%
IND 71.0%
MIL 80.0% +9.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
33.9%
IND 29.7%
MIL 33.7% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
44.5%
IND 37.8% +13.3%
MIL 51.2%
3P Att. %
24.4%
21.6%
IND 32.4% +17.3%
MIL 15.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes21.526.5
Points9597
Rebounds3750
Assists1619
Steals54
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)19 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)31 (4)
Field Goals32-7431-86
At-the-Rim FG10-2214-29
Midrange FG13-2814-44
2-Point FG23-5028-73
3-Point FG9-243-13
Free Throws22-3132-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 28
37.3
26
57%
4
2
1
1
2
4
0
4
9-11
82%
4-11
36%
3-7
43%
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
31.9
17
50%
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-14
43%
1-2
50%
C · 7'2" 270 · 24
31.1
13
59%
5
1
1
2
3
4
0
5
3-7
43%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 230 · 30
29.6
9
50%
6
3
1
0
1
1
1
5
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
25.2
8
80%
7
5
0
2
0
5
1
6
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25
29.1
5
28%
2
0
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 217 · 34
22.8
8
67%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
G · 6'0" 165 · 28
16.1
5
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34
10.7
0
0%
3
2
0
2
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
6.3
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 250 · 25
G · 6'2" 195 · 24
#6 · G · 6'6" 230 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'8" 220 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
37
16
5
7
11
0
5
32
22-31
71%
23-50
46%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.