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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors24%96100
4Mavericks76%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.0
44.6
42.4
17
53%
11
4
3
1
1
2
1
10
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
45%
3-7
43%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
42.7
39.1
18
47%
2
7
3
2
0
6
1
1
2-5
40%
5-14
7-15
36%
48%
2-3
67%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
41.5
38.6
21
62%
6
4
2
2
0
6
1
5
2-2
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
47%
3-5
60%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
40.3
34.0
20
41%
8
7
1
1
0
3
7
1
2-6
33%
9-22
6-12
41%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
31.8
25.4
8
80%
11
1
0
1
1
1
2
9
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
16.9
9.9
4
50%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
11.8
19.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
5.2
5.1
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
2-4
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
5.1
6.1
6
75%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.8
9.8
0
1-3
43%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
7.4
0
1-2
41%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
5.5
0
0-1
41%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
36.7
33.3
25
63%
2
2
2
1
4
4
0
2
3-4
75%
8-15
7-14
53%
53%
2-3
67%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
34.0
26.1
19
50%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
6-13
4-9
46%
48%
2-5
40%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.7
32.4
29.9
3
21%
4
7
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.0
17.8
22.5
4
58%
6
1
0
0
3
3
1
5
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
12.8
15.0
7
58%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
33.3
29.3
20
75%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
51%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
25.4
26.5
6
34%
6
3
3
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
54%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.1
21.0
2.5
12
64%
10
0
2
0
1
0
7
3
8-10
80%
2-5
0-1
40%
56%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
17.4
22.7
6
41%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.6
9.2
3.1
3
31%
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-1
25%
54%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
4.5
0
0-0
46%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
1.3
0
0-0
54%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.