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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets34%89101
17Hawks66%95116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.8
37.1
27.4
18
60%
0
13
3
1
0
5
0
0
13-16
81%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
1-1
100%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
35.0
30.3
10
56%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.7
34.1
29.6
24
58%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
8-11
73%
8-16
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
24.0
19.3
8
51%
7
5
0
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.2
17.2
27.5
3
38%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.0
26.8
28.9
16
68%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
3-7
43%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.4
24.0
18.1
4
53%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.2
19.4
17.1
10
56%
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
44%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.9
13.9
14.3
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.6
8.1
6.4
4
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
0.3
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.6
13.7
0
1-2
49%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.0
38.0
33.2
34
89%
3
7
1
1
2
1
0
3
4-7
57%
12-14
6-12
86%
51%
2-2
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
35.6
35.9
24
59%
10
6
0
1
0
1
3
7
4-5
80%
10-18
7-13
56%
56%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.6
26.5
31.6
11
80%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.5
24.4
28.2
7
45%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
19.4
8.1
3
80%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
36.5
29.8
26
71%
2
6
3
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
9-13
4-8
69%
47%
2-4
50%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
15.1
16.6
2
35%
4
2
2
0
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
13.8
13.6
2
26%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
12.8
19.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.9
10.0
11.8
4
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
4.8
9.1
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
3.2
3.1
3
104%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.