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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hornets29%9484
3Spurs71%101109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
32.1
33.4
16
53%
5
8
2
2
0
4
0
5
4-5
80%
3-9
4-8
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
31.6
34.9
13
54%
4
1
0
2
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
29.6
22.5
13
55%
5
3
1
1
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
49%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
22.8
33.2
5
53%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-3
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
20.6
29.6
2
14%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-6
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
22.7
15.5
2
20%
5
1
2
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
22.0
9.8
10
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
45%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.4
19.7
21.9
10
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
15.9
14.9
4
52%
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
12.0
3.3
9
83%
4
1
1
0
0
2
3
1
1-1
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
7.8
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.5
3.2
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.0
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.6
28.8
16.9
10
71%
8
0
1
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
26.8
30.0
19
73%
3
7
2
1
0
4
1
2
5-7
71%
7-10
6-11
70%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.5
25.9
32.0
13
54%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
3-7
43%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.4
22.2
32.5
8
68%
2
5
2
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-7
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.6
18.7
31.5
11
63%
9
3
0
1
2
1
2
7
3-4
75%
4-7
6-12
57%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
33.3
15.0
11
58%
5
4
1
0
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
17.6
8.6
5
43%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-4
25%
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
15.7
19.6
14
117%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
4-5
80%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
15.6
2.2
4
40%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
40%
0-2
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.6
14.4
31.5
11
103%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
4-4
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
12.0
5.9
3
80%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.2
9.0
11.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.