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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 4, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks74%98105
30Kings26%90103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
36.5
32.2
25
77%
5
5
0
1
1
3
0
5
3-3
100%
11-15
7-13
73%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.7
32.5
29.3
8
35%
5
5
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-8
13%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
26.1
26.7
13
51%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
24.5
22.3
10
69%
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
5
4-5
80%
3-5
2-3
60%
60%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
13.2
16.2
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
31.8
28.4
23
67%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
7-7
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
2-5
40%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
26.7
27.0
4
33%
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-6
5-9
33%
54%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
25.2
21.7
7
48%
3
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.0
23.5
22.6
9
77%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
56%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
6.5
0
0-1
43%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.1
3.5
0
1-1
55%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
2.0
0
0-0
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.6
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.2
41.0
30.6
25
63%
5
8
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
8-15
5-11
53%
46%
3-5
60%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
39.3
28.0
16
65%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
2-4
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.3
31.4
24.5
17
50%
11
2
0
1
1
0
1
10
5-7
71%
6-14
4-10
43%
45%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.8
26.3
21.7
19
63%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
46%
3-6
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.4
20.0
25.8
4
34%
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.2
28.0
20.0
4
29%
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-6
4-7
17%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.6
16.6
20.5
5
64%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
14.6
19.6
8
80%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-2
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
13.2
18.9
5
125%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.0
9.7
8.1
0
0%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
19.0
1
1-3
46%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.1
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.