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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 4, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks19%9077
1Heat81%10189
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.0
34.2
27.2
11
43%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-10
5-10
20%
47%
2-2
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.5
32.0
33.4
5
28%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.6
31.1
29.2
10
50%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
30.5
34.7
22
86%
9
1
1
1
0
2
2
7
2-4
50%
10-11
6-12
91%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
26.0
23.6
4
29%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
30.8
31.5
12
38%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
43%
0-5
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
21.3
12.6
12
55%
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.9
13.2
11.0
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
10.9
14.6
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
5.4
18.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
4.6
2.6
1
57%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
4.3
0
0-1
41%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
39.8
30.9
27
57%
10
1
0
1
0
2
4
6
3-4
75%
12-22
6-12
55%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
39.8
30.5
26
63%
10
3
3
1
3
4
2
8
4-6
67%
11-17
6-11
65%
53%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
37.3
32.6
22
66%
7
4
1
1
1
2
0
7
11-13
85%
4-10
7-12
40%
55%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
21.0
25.4
2
25%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
16.1
15.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
27.0
19.0
9
45%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
21.8
22.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.2
18.9
24.0
3
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
11.5
7.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
6.8
14.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
10.8
0
1-2
44%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
2.8
0
0-0
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.