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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Magic76%100104
25Pistons24%9091
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.9
40.6
27.6
25
75%
4
9
3
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
8-10
4-7
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
36.3
28.1
15
50%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
50%
2-5
40%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.3
33.3
17.9
6
50%
2
3
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
31.9
11.2
14
78%
11
2
1
0
3
0
4
7
0-0
-
7-9
1-2
78%
56%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
30.9
25.7
15
58%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
3-8
38%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
32.3
22.4
27
90%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
5-7
71%
11-12
4-7
92%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
17.3
2.3
0
0%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
16.9
2.2
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
0.5
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.0
36.5
1
7-12
60%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.8
31.6
1
4-8
52%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
25.6
1
2-3
46%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.8
40.3
29.3
30
83%
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
9-12
5-10
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.6
35.4
27.5
11
49%
3
7
3
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
3-9
4-10
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.8
21.3
19.7
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.2
18.1
23.1
4
53%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.8
17.6
25.7
10
51%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
4-8
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
30.4
23.0
5
23%
9
4
1
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
1-8
2-5
13%
46%
1-3
33%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.3
29.7
21.1
15
66%
3
0
1
0
2
3
1
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
3-7
43%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.5
26.9
22.5
6
50%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.5
15.0
13.8
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.5
5.3
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.9
20.1
1
2-5
45%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
4.0
0
1-1
50%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.8
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.