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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat65%99118
22Cavaliers35%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
32.6
29.6
22
64%
9
9
3
1
0
3
3
6
2-3
67%
10-15
6-11
67%
52%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
30.0
34.5
38
66%
5
8
1
1
1
0
0
5
6-9
67%
13-18
7-13
72%
54%
2-7
29%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
28.8
32.6
15
57%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
3-5
60%
6-10
7-13
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
27.9
24.9
6
33%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
16.6
15.9
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.2
26.5
23.4
18
101%
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
5-7
71%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
24.4
22.4
4
106%
8
2
0
0
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
20.1
18.7
9
90%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
19.2
13.3
6
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
6.9
12.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
6.9
8.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.2
26.6
23.0
6
33%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.0
25.4
27.5
11
48%
1
6
0
1
0
4
0
1
6-8
75%
1-6
4-9
17%
47%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.2
24.8
27.7
4
41%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.5
20.0
26.9
3
38%
0
2
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.5
18.3
21.1
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.8
28.0
24.6
21
61%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
5-7
71%
2-8
2-5
25%
44%
4-6
67%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
26.1
25.3
11
51%
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
22.6
19.5
11
65%
3
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
7-8
88%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
19.4
4.4
6
38%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
12.0
3.4
7
61%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.5
10.3
20.1
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
6.5
15.4
4
43%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.2
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 21.9
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.