FinalWin Prob.pScore
365%99
118
2235%94
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
128.39281.8
CLE logo CLE
100.090104.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA118
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0CLEWilliams 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)118
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)118
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)115
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)115
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound115
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEMISS Hickson 18' Jump Shot115
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0CLEJump Ball Williams vs. Howard: Tip to Sessions115
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)115
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0CLEMISS Powe 2' Layup115
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19MIAHoward Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)115
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40CLEMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03CLESessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Dampier 18' Jump Shot113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33CLEWilliams 8' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Sessions 7 AST)113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07MIAHeat Rebound111
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07CLEMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot111
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)111
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45CLESessions Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Howard 9' Jump Hook Shot108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14CLEMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:26MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:33CLEMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43CLECAVALIERS Rebound108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Arroyo 31' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:09CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)108
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:09CLEMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)108
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:37CLEPowe 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)105
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAArroyo 8' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:20CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34CLEPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 6:35MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 6:56CLEPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)102
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 6:56CLEPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 7:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)102
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 7:30CLEPowe 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)99
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45CLESessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot99
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 8:11CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jamison 3 AST)99
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 8:20CLEPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:34CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:53CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 199
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 9:18CLEWilliams 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)97
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 9:33CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 9:42CLEMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 9:53CLECAVALIERS Rebound97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:05MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:07CLEPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:07CLEMISS Powe 1' Layup97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:10CLEMISS Sessions 2' Layup97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:25CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:42CLEMISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 10:51MIAAnthony 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 11:11CLEPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)95
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 11:11CLEMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 295
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 11:19CLEPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Bosh 28' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 11:42CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)95
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 11:42CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)95
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIASessions STEAL (1 STL)95
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE95
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAJamison STEAL (2 STL)95
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)95
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (38 PTS)95
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 293
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 193
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q3 - 1:10CLEHollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)91
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q3 - 1:10CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q3 - 1:10CLEHollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 1:12CLEMISS Hollins 6' Jump Shot91
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 1:27MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)91
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q3 - 1:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot89
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q3 - 1:57CLEJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)89
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q3 - 2:08MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)89
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 288
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 2:21CLEGibson 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)88
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 2:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 2:35MIAHeat Rebound88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS James 31' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 3:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 3:08CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 288
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 3:08CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)88
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 3:21CLECAVALIERS Rebound88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q3 - 3:43CLEGibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q3 - 3:50CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot88
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 4:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 4:13CLEMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 288
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 4:13CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
99.9%
51
0.1%
Q3 - 4:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)88
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q3 - 4:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q3 - 4:29CLEMISS Gibson 2' Running Layup85
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q3 - 4:38MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)85
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q3 - 4:55CLEParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)82
99.8%
50
0.2%
Q3 - 5:15MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 8 AST)82
99.7%
50
0.3%
Q3 - 5:33CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)80
99.7%
50
0.3%
Q3 - 5:33CLECAVALIERS Rebound80
99.6%
50
0.4%
Q3 - 5:33CLEMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot80
99.7%
50
0.3%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)80
99.6%
50
0.4%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 6:25CLEMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)78
99.4%
50
0.6%
Q3 - 6:43CLEJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)75
99.2%
50
0.8%
Q3 - 6:55CLECAVALIERS Rebound75
99.0%
50
1.0%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.1%
50
0.9%
Q3 - 7:13CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
99.0%
50
1.0%
Q3 - 7:13CLEJamison 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)75
99.0%
50
1.0%
Q3 - 7:16CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.2%
48
0.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 7 AST)75
99.2%
48
0.8%
Q3 - 7:42CLEHickson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)73
99.0%
48
1.0%
Q3 - 7:53MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)73
98.9%
48
1.1%
Q3 - 8:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
98.6%
48
1.4%
Q3 - 8:09CLEMISS Hickson 15' Jump Shot71
98.5%
48
1.5%
Q3 - 8:21MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)71
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 8:49CLEGraham 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)69
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 8:56MIAVarejao STEAL (1 STL)69
98.3%
46
1.7%
Q3 - 9:07CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
98.5%
46
1.5%
Q3 - 9:07CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
98.5%
45
1.5%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWade 10' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS)69
98.7%
44
1.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
98.5%
44
1.5%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot67
98.3%
44
1.7%
Q3 - 9:58CLEWilliams 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)67
98.5%
44
1.5%
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade 1' Dunk (18 PTS)67
98.5%
42
1.5%
Q3 - 10:19CLEParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)65
98.3%
42
1.7%
Q3 - 10:34MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)65
98.1%
42
1.9%
Q3 - 10:40CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)63
97.8%
42
2.2%
Q3 - 10:48MIAJames 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)63
97.4%
42
2.6%
Q3 - 11:04CLEGraham 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)61
96.9%
42
3.1%
Q3 - 11:17MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
97.2%
40
2.8%
Q3 - 11:37CLEParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)59
96.9%
40
3.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
96.4%
40
3.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
96.9%
40
3.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 259
96.9%
39
3.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
96.6%
39
3.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
96.5%
39
3.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound57
96.0%
39
4.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot57
95.9%
39
4.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
95.6%
39
4.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 257
95.7%
39
4.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
96.1%
39
3.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
95.5%
39
4.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0CLEMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot56
95.4%
39
4.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
95.1%
39
4.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
94.2%
39
5.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
93.8%
39
6.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
94.0%
39
6.0%
Q2 - 1:05CLEMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot54
93.9%
39
6.1%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)54
93.5%
39
6.5%
Q2 - 1:46CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
92.4%
39
7.6%
Q2 - 1:46CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
92.5%
38
7.5%
Q2 - 1:51MIABosh 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
93.5%
37
6.5%
Q2 - 2:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot50
91.6%
37
8.4%
Q2 - 2:31CLEVarejao Foul Turnover (P1.T6)50
92.3%
37
7.7%
Q2 - 2:41CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
91.3%
37
8.7%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS James 2' Layup50
91.6%
37
8.4%
Q2 - 2:46MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
92.3%
37
7.7%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
91.6%
37
8.4%
Q2 - 3:02CLEParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)50
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q2 - 3:08CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
91.1%
37
8.9%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot50
91.4%
37
8.6%
Q2 - 3:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q2 - 3:20CLEMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
91.9%
37
8.1%
Q2 - 3:30CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
91.1%
37
8.9%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
91.4%
37
8.6%
Q2 - 3:53CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q2 - 3:53CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
92.3%
36
7.7%
Q2 - 4:01MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 6 AST)50
92.6%
35
7.4%
Q2 - 4:14CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
91.8%
35
8.2%
Q2 - 4:14CLEMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 248
92.0%
34
8.0%
Q2 - 4:21MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)48
91.8%
34
8.2%
Q2 - 4:43MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
89.9%
34
10.1%
Q2 - 4:44CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
88.6%
34
11.4%
Q2 - 4:44CLEMISS Varejao 2' Tip Shot45
89.5%
34
10.5%
Q2 - 4:46CLEMISS Graham 4' Jump Shot45
89.5%
34
10.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
88.5%
34
11.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
88.2%
34
11.8%
Q2 - 5:24MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
87.2%
34
12.8%
Q2 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
86.3%
34
13.7%
Q2 - 5:52CLEParker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)43
87.2%
34
12.8%
Q2 - 6:02CLECAVALIERS Rebound43
89.0%
31
11.0%
Q2 - 6:03CLEMISS Gibson 5' Floating Jump Shot43
89.9%
31
10.1%
Q2 - 6:23MIAHoward 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)43
89.0%
31
11.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
88.1%
31
11.9%
Q2 - 6:49CLEMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
87.7%
31
12.3%
Q2 - 7:16MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
86.6%
31
13.4%
Q2 - 7:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 7:36CLEMISS Varejao 2' Tip Shot38
83.3%
31
16.7%
Q2 - 7:36CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
82.2%
31
17.8%
Q2 - 7:37CLEMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
83.3%
31
16.7%
Q2 - 7:52MIAWade Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)38
82.2%
31
17.8%
Q2 - 7:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
80.6%
31
19.4%
Q2 - 7:58CLEMISS Gibson Driving Layup36
80.0%
31
20.0%
Q2 - 8:04MIAJamison STEAL (1 STL)36
78.6%
31
21.4%
Q2 - 8:20CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)36
80.4%
31
19.6%
Q2 - 8:41MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T4)36
83.5%
28
16.5%
Q2 - 8:55CLEMoon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)36
85.0%
28
15.0%
Q2 - 9:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)36
85.9%
26
14.1%
Q2 - 9:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
83.3%
26
16.7%
Q2 - 9:22CLEMISS Gibson 2' Driving Layup33
82.8%
26
17.2%
Q2 - 9:33CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
81.7%
26
18.3%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot33
82.2%
26
17.8%
Q2 - 9:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
83.3%
26
16.7%
Q2 - 9:44CLEMISS Jamison 9' Floating Jump Shot33
82.8%
26
17.2%
Q2 - 10:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
81.2%
26
18.8%
Q2 - 10:01MIAAnthony Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)33
81.2%
26
18.8%
Q2 - 10:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
82.9%
26
17.1%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot33
81.8%
26
18.2%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Hook Shot33
81.8%
26
18.2%
Q2 - 10:25CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
82.9%
26
17.1%
Q2 - 10:27MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)33
85.5%
23
14.5%
Q2 - 10:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
86.9%
23
13.1%
Q2 - 10:44CLEMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
86.5%
23
13.5%
Q2 - 10:51CLESessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
85.5%
23
14.5%
Q2 - 10:52CLEMISS Hickson 9' Jump Shot33
86.5%
23
13.5%
Q2 - 11:11MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)33
85.2%
23
14.8%
Q2 - 11:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
84.0%
23
16.0%
Q2 - 11:33CLEMISS Jamison 8' Floating Jump Shot31
83.5%
23
16.5%
Q2 - 11:37CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
82.5%
23
17.5%
Q2 - 11:38CLEMISS Sessions 2' Layup31
83.5%
23
16.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE31
82.5%
23
17.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound31
82.5%
23
17.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Hickson 41' 3PT Jump Shot31
83.5%
23
16.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
82.5%
23
17.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot31
82.6%
23
17.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0CLEGibson 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
83.4%
23
16.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)31
85.0%
21
15.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)28
82.1%
21
17.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)28
86.2%
17
13.8%
Q1 - 1:06MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
84.5%
17
15.5%
Q1 - 1:07CLEMISS Gibson 1' Layup26
84.2%
17
15.8%
Q1 - 1:16CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
83.5%
17
16.5%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS James 1' Dunk26
83.8%
17
16.2%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
84.5%
17
15.5%
Q1 - 1:27CLEMISS Sessions 9' Jump Shot26
84.2%
17
15.8%
Q1 - 1:46MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
83.6%
17
16.4%
Q1 - 2:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
81.8%
17
18.2%
Q1 - 2:05CLEMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot24
81.4%
17
18.6%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)24
80.5%
17
19.5%
Q1 - 2:32CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)21
77.3%
17
22.7%
Q1 - 2:47MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
75.8%
17
24.2%
Q1 - 3:01CLEHickson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
74.2%
17
25.8%
Q1 - 3:09MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
72.3%
17
27.7%
Q1 - 3:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
70.5%
17
29.5%
Q1 - 3:21CLEMISS Williams 13' Running Jump Shot17
69.9%
17
30.1%
Q1 - 3:35MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
68.5%
17
31.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
68.1%
17
31.9%
Q1 - 3:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
66.6%
17
33.4%
Q1 - 3:41CLEMISS Jamison 24' Jump Shot15
65.9%
17
34.1%
Q1 - 3:55MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
64.4%
17
35.6%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 214
64.1%
17
35.9%
Q1 - 4:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
64.9%
17
35.1%
Q1 - 4:06CLEMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot14
64.2%
17
35.8%
Q1 - 4:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
62.6%
17
37.4%
Q1 - 4:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
62.3%
17
37.7%
Q1 - 4:31CLEJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)12
60.7%
17
39.3%
Q1 - 4:44CLEHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
64.7%
14
35.3%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot12
65.4%
14
34.6%
Q1 - 4:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 4:54CLEMISS Hollins 4' Jump Shot12
66.2%
14
33.8%
Q1 - 5:07CLEHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
64.6%
14
35.4%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 112
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 5:28CLEJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)10
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 5:44CLECAVALIERS Rebound10
66.5%
11
33.5%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot10
67.2%
11
32.8%
Q1 - 5:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
68.6%
11
31.4%
Q1 - 5:52CLEMISS Hickson 9' Jump Shot10
68.0%
11
32.0%
Q1 - 6:13MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
66.8%
11
33.2%
Q1 - 6:29CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
68.7%
11
31.3%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
66.8%
11
33.2%
Q1 - 6:45MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
65.0%
11
35.0%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot8
63.6%
11
36.4%
Q1 - 7:12CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
65.4%
11
34.6%
Q1 - 7:12CLEHickson Putback Dunk (6 PTS)8
65.4%
11
34.6%
Q1 - 7:14CLEMISS Varejao 1' Layup8
68.4%
9
31.6%
Q1 - 7:21CLECAVALIERS Rebound8
67.1%
9
32.9%
Q1 - 7:23CLEMISS Hickson 18' Jump Shot8
68.4%
9
31.6%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
67.1%
9
32.9%
Q1 - 7:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
65.4%
9
34.6%
Q1 - 7:42CLEMISS Graham 15' Jump Shot6
64.8%
9
35.2%
Q1 - 7:49CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
63.4%
9
36.6%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot6
64.0%
9
36.0%
Q1 - 8:06CLEWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
65.8%
9
34.2%
Q1 - 8:19CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
69.3%
6
30.7%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot6
69.8%
6
30.2%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHeat Rebound6
70.9%
6
29.1%
Q1 - 8:48CLEMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot6
70.4%
6
29.6%
Q1 - 8:52CLECAVALIERS Rebound6
69.3%
6
30.7%
Q1 - 8:52CLEMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot6
70.4%
6
29.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
69.8%
6
30.2%
Q1 - 9:25CLEHickson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)4
68.1%
6
31.9%
Q1 - 9:30CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
70.2%
4
29.8%
Q1 - 9:56CLEHickson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 10:04CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 10:26CLEVarejao 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 10:53CLEMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot2
73.8%
0
26.2%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade 1' Dunk (2 PTS)2
72.8%
0
27.2%
Q1 - 11:25CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 11:39CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.0%
0
30.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot0
70.4%
0
29.6%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Varejao vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
71.3%
0
28.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
CLE
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
17
82%
CLE
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
23
42
55%
CLE
7
30
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
CLE
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
14
21
67%
CLE
29
37
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3868%19.0 / 28
D. Wade2265%11.0 / 17
J. Jones18100%9.0 / 9
C. Bosh1558%7.5 / 13
M. Chalmers990%4.5 / 5
C. Arroyo633%3.0 / 9
J. Howard650%3.0 / 6
J. Anthony4100%2.0 / 2
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 0
E. House0-0.0 / 1
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gibson2162%10.5 / 17
M. Williams1146%5.5 / 12
A. Jamison1155%5.5 / 10
R. Sessions1169%5.5 / 8
L. Powe758%3.5 / 6
J. Hickson633%3.0 / 9
J. Williams638%3.0 / 8
A. Varejao440%2.0 / 5
J. Graham440%2.0 / 5
R. Hollins440%2.0 / 5
A. Parker338%1.5 / 4
J. Moon233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+11
-9
94
CLE
77
+15
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
CLE
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
102.3
MIA 128.3 +28.3
CLE 100.0
Pace
91.3
93.0
MIA 81.8
CLE 104.4 +22.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.1
MIA 17.6
CLE 13.8 +3.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.2%
MIA 62.7% +22.6%
CLE 40.1%
TO %
14.4%
14.7%
MIA 9.8% +3.4%
CLE 13.2%
ORB %
25.2%
24.3%
MIA 27.8% +6.4%
CLE 21.4%
FTrt
36.3
31.2
MIA 25.3
CLE 48.7 +23.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
59.6%
MIA 63.8%
CLE 77.8% +14.0%
STL %
7.3%
7.1%
MIA 7.6% +0.9%
CLE 6.7%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 8.8% +8.8%
CLE 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
50.5%
MIA 62.8% +15.4%
CLE 47.4%
Rim FG%
64.7%
55.9%
MIA 82.4% +34.3%
CLE 48.1%
Mid FG%
42.2%
37.5%
MIA 54.8% +31.5%
CLE 23.3%
3P %
37.0%
34.2%
MIA 41.7% +4.9%
CLE 36.8%
FT %
76.9%
74.5%
MIA 66.7%
CLE 78.4% +11.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
36.3%
MIA 20.5%
CLE 35.5% +15.0%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
41.3%
MIA 50.6%
CLE 39.5% +11.1%
3P Att. %
23.5%
22.4%
MIA 28.9% +3.9%
CLE 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes27.020.7
Points11890
Rebounds4335
Assists3021
Steals76
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)26 (5)
Field Goals47-8327-76
At-the-Rim FG14-1713-27
Midrange FG23-427-30
2-Point FG37-5920-57
3-Point FG10-247-19
Free Throws14-2129-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
32.6
22
65%
9
9
3
0
3
4
3
6
2-3
67%
10-15
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
30.0
38
68%
5
8
1
1
0
1
0
5
6-9
67%
13-18
72%
2-7
29%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
28.8
15
58%
5
3
1
0
3
4
0
5
3-5
60%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
27.9
6
33%
3
1
0
0
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
16.6
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
26.5
18
100%
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
24.4
4
100%
8
2
0
1
2
3
2
6
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
20.1
9
90%
0
3
0
0
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
19.2
6
50%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
6.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
6.9
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
63%
43
30
7
5
9
0
10
33
14-21
67%
37-59
63%
10-24
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.