FinalWin Prob.pScore
2428%95
94
872%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
100.09486.3
DEN logo DEN
108.297106.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN94
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENMISS Harrington 2' Tip Shot92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0DENMISS Harrington 1' Layup92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILBrockman Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILMISS Brockman Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILBucks Rebound91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILMISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENMISS Lawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 13' Jump Shot91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MILDouglas-Roberts 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MILMISS Brockman Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MILBrockman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MILBucks Rebound88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33DENBillups 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)88
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 3:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:14MILNene BLOCK (1 BLK)88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:26DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 3:26DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 288
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 3:26DENNUGGETS Rebound88
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 3:26MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 3:38DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)88
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 3:48MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 3:48MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 4:02DENHarrington 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)86
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 4:21DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 4:23MILMISS Salmons 14' Jump Shot86
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 4:34DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 4:34DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 4:50MILSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ilyasova 4 AST)86
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 5:11DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)83
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 5:21MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)83
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:33DENHarrington 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 5:54MILSalmons 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)83
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 6:08DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 6:08DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 281
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 6:08DENNUGGETS Rebound81
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 6:08MILBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)81
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 6:13DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)81
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 6:25DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 181
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 6:38MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 6:39DENMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot79
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 6:47DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 6:49MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 7:05DENSmith 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)79
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 7:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 7:15MILMISS Sanders 15' Jump Shot79
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 7:39DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)79
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 7:47DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
4.8%
87
95.2%
Q4 - 7:52MILAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)79
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 8:14DENHarrington 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)79
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q4 - 8:29MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q4 - 8:29MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
8.8%
85
91.2%
Q4 - 8:34DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)77
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 8:43MILJennings 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Maggette 4 AST)77
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 8:54DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 8:54DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)75
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 9:13MILJennings 1' Layup (10 PTS)75
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q4 - 9:17DENAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)73
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 9:27MILSalmons 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Maggette 3 AST)73
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 9:36MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 9:38DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup71
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q4 - 9:50MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T13)71
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 9:53MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 9:55DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot71
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q4 - 10:11MILDooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)71
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 10:29DENHarrington Layup (8 PTS)71
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q4 - 10:31DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 10:33DENMISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup71
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q4 - 10:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 10:42MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.8%
81
95.2%
Q4 - 11:00DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q4 - 11:00DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q4 - 11:15DENNUGGETS Rebound71
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q4 - 11:15MILMISS Maggette 15' Jump Shot71
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 11:38DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)71
9.1%
79
90.9%
Q4 - 11:51MILGooden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)71
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN71
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound71
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
14.7%
76
85.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
16.4%
76
83.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot71
15.6%
76
84.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 269
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q3 - 1:10DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
12.0%
75
88.0%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Maggette Free Throw 1 of 169
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q3 - 1:30DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q3 - 1:35DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
14.2%
72
85.8%
Q3 - 1:36DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q3 - 1:49DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)67
14.2%
72
85.8%
Q3 - 1:57MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q3 - 1:57MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
16.4%
71
83.6%
Q3 - 2:07DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)65
14.3%
71
85.7%
Q3 - 2:14DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q3 - 2:15MILMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot65
20.5%
68
79.5%
Q3 - 2:35MILBucks Rebound65
22.7%
68
77.3%
Q3 - 2:36DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 2:40MILMISS Maggette Free Throw Technical65
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q3 - 2:40DENNUGGETS Rebound65
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q3 - 2:40DENMISS Anthony 4' Driving Layup65
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 3:02MILDooling 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
19.5%
68
80.5%
Q3 - 3:09MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 3:11MILAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)63
15.2%
68
84.8%
Q3 - 3:26MILMaggette Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)63
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 3:26MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 3:28DENMISS Anthony 3' Driving Layup62
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q3 - 3:46MILSalmons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)62
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 4:07DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)62
14.9%
68
85.1%
Q3 - 4:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q3 - 4:25MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 262
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q3 - 4:25MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
14.1%
68
85.9%
Q3 - 4:35DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)61
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 4:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q3 - 4:48MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q3 - 4:48MILMISS Sanders 2' Tip Shot61
17.7%
65
82.3%
Q3 - 4:49MILMISS Ilyasova 6' Running Jump Shot61
17.7%
65
82.3%
Q3 - 5:09DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q3 - 5:09DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 5:09DENBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)61
22.2%
63
77.8%
Q3 - 5:12MILSmith STEAL (2 STL)61
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 5:31DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)61
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q3 - 5:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
35.9%
59
64.1%
Q3 - 5:42MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
37.3%
59
62.7%
Q3 - 5:59DENNene 2' Layup (16 PTS)61
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 6:16MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
42.8%
57
57.2%
Q3 - 6:16MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
42.2%
57
57.8%
Q3 - 6:35DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)59
39.3%
57
60.7%
Q3 - 6:41DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
46.8%
54
53.2%
Q3 - 6:43DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
49.9%
54
50.1%
Q3 - 6:57MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
46.9%
54
53.1%
Q3 - 6:57MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
45.6%
54
54.4%
Q3 - 7:06MILBucks Rebound57
41.7%
54
58.3%
Q3 - 7:06MILMISS Salmons 14' Jump Shot57
39.0%
54
61.0%
Q3 - 7:30DENNene 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)57
41.8%
54
58.2%
Q3 - 7:46MILSanders 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)57
45.4%
52
54.6%
Q3 - 8:05DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)55
41.2%
52
58.8%
Q3 - 8:11DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
44.7%
50
55.3%
Q3 - 8:12MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q3 - 8:23MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
48.7%
50
51.3%
Q3 - 8:24DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot55
47.5%
50
52.5%
Q3 - 8:34DENNUGGETS Rebound55
44.7%
50
55.3%
Q3 - 8:35DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot55
47.5%
50
52.5%
Q3 - 9:00MILSalmons 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)55
44.7%
50
55.3%
Q3 - 9:05MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
40.3%
50
59.7%
Q3 - 9:06MILMISS Jennings 23' Jump Shot53
37.9%
50
62.1%
Q3 - 9:25MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
40.4%
50
59.6%
Q3 - 9:26DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot53
39.3%
50
60.7%
Q3 - 9:46DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
36.8%
50
63.2%
Q3 - 9:49MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 253
37.3%
50
62.7%
Q3 - 9:49MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
39.4%
50
60.6%
Q3 - 10:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
36.1%
50
63.9%
Q3 - 10:07DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 252
35.6%
50
64.4%
Q3 - 10:07DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
33.7%
50
66.3%
Q3 - 10:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
36.0%
49
64.0%
Q3 - 10:07DENMISS Nene 3' Layup52
38.4%
49
61.6%
Q3 - 10:20DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
36.0%
49
64.0%
Q3 - 10:22MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot52
37.0%
49
63.0%
Q3 - 10:31DENNene 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)52
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q3 - 10:55MILJennings 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
42.8%
47
57.2%
Q3 - 11:02MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
38.7%
47
61.3%
Q3 - 11:04DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
37.7%
47
62.3%
Q3 - 11:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
35.3%
47
64.7%
Q3 - 11:17MILMISS Sanders 14' Turnaround Jump Shot50
36.4%
47
63.6%
Q3 - 11:38DENAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)50
38.8%
47
61.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
41.9%
45
58.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
44.1%
45
55.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot50
43.4%
45
56.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
41.7%
45
58.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0MILMISS Brockman 2' Layup50
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0MILAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)50
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
44.8%
44
55.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 4 AST)50
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
41.0%
43
59.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot47
40.2%
43
59.8%
Q2 - 1:12MILSalmons Driving Layup (8 PTS)47
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q2 - 1:23DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
34.2%
43
65.8%
Q2 - 1:23DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 1:27DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
38.1%
41
61.9%
Q2 - 1:28MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 1:28MILMISS Sanders 1' Tip Shot45
38.7%
41
61.3%
Q2 - 1:29MILMISS Salmons 2' Layup45
38.7%
41
61.3%
Q2 - 1:47DENSmith 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)45
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 1:51MILNene STEAL (2 STL)45
44.4%
39
55.6%
Q2 - 1:54MILBucks Rebound45
46.7%
39
53.3%
Q2 - 1:55MILAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)45
45.1%
39
54.9%
Q2 - 2:14DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 2:14DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
47.1%
38
52.9%
Q2 - 2:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 2:22MILMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot45
50.4%
37
49.6%
Q2 - 2:37DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
52.7%
37
47.3%
Q2 - 2:37DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 245
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 2:59MILSanders 1' Layup (10 PTS)45
52.7%
36
47.3%
Q2 - 3:00MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
49.5%
36
50.5%
Q2 - 3:01MILMISS Maggette 16' Jump Shot43
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 3:12MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 3:13DENMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot43
47.6%
36
52.4%
Q2 - 3:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
45.1%
36
54.9%
Q2 - 3:26MILMISS Maggette 23' Jump Shot43
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 3:32MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 3:34DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
47.7%
36
52.3%
Q2 - 3:45DENJump Ball Nene vs. Jennings: Tip to Smith43
45.2%
36
54.8%
Q2 - 4:06DENNene 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)43
47.4%
36
52.6%
Q2 - 4:23MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)43
50.2%
34
49.8%
Q2 - 4:40DENSmith 5' Driving Layup (9 PTS)40
44.5%
34
55.5%
Q2 - 4:55MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
47.3%
32
52.7%
Q2 - 4:55MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 239
46.3%
32
53.7%
Q2 - 5:13DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
46.6%
32
53.4%
Q2 - 5:13DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 239
47.4%
31
52.6%
Q2 - 5:25MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)39
46.7%
31
53.3%
Q2 - 5:55DENAfflalo 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)36
40.9%
31
59.1%
Q2 - 6:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
42.7%
29
57.3%
Q2 - 6:09MILMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 6:16DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)36
46.0%
29
54.0%
Q2 - 6:33MILDooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)36
42.8%
29
57.2%
Q2 - 6:41DENSmith 1' Dunk (7 PTS)36
46.0%
29
54.0%
Q2 - 6:45MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)36
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q2 - 6:59DENSmith 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
51.8%
27
48.2%
Q2 - 7:18MILSanders 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q2 - 7:28MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
50.5%
25
49.5%
Q2 - 7:29DENMISS Harrington 3' Driving Reverse Layup34
49.6%
25
50.4%
Q2 - 7:35DENNUGGETS Rebound34
47.5%
25
52.5%
Q2 - 7:36DENMISS Lawson 3' Driving Layup34
49.6%
25
50.4%
Q2 - 7:57MILDooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 3 AST)34
47.5%
25
52.5%
Q2 - 8:14MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q2 - 8:16DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 231
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q2 - 8:16DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 231
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q2 - 8:22MILDooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)31
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q2 - 8:38MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
33.8%
25
66.2%
Q2 - 8:40DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 128
33.4%
25
66.6%
Q2 - 8:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
36.2%
23
63.8%
Q2 - 8:45DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
37.9%
23
62.1%
Q2 - 8:56DENNUGGETS Rebound28
36.2%
23
63.8%
Q2 - 8:56DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q2 - 9:07MILMaggette 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
35.5%
23
64.5%
Q2 - 9:27DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q2 - 9:27DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 226
33.7%
22
66.3%
Q2 - 9:42MILGooden 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 2 AST)26
33.2%
22
66.8%
Q2 - 9:51MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q2 - 9:53DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q2 - 10:03DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q2 - 10:03MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 1' Driving Layup24
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q2 - 10:18DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T8)24
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q2 - 10:34MILMaggette 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)24
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q2 - 10:40DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q2 - 10:42DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q2 - 10:43MILMISS Brockman 6' Jump Bank Shot22
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q2 - 11:03MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q2 - 11:05DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot22
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q2 - 11:20MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)22
24.6%
22
75.4%
Q2 - 11:48DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)22
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN22
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound22
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 36' 3PT Jump Shot22
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0MILMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 222
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)21
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENNUGGETS Rebound21
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILMISS Maggette 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
32.5%
17
67.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot21
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 1:02MILHarrington STEAL (1 STL)21
32.2%
17
67.8%
Q1 - 1:16MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
33.7%
17
66.3%
Q1 - 1:17DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 1:34MILGooden 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)21
32.2%
17
67.8%
Q1 - 1:43MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
29.6%
17
70.4%
Q1 - 1:45DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
29.2%
17
70.8%
Q1 - 1:51DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 1:53MILMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot19
28.6%
17
71.4%
Q1 - 2:11DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)19
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 2:29MILMaggette 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)19
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 2:33MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 2:35DENMISS Billups 6' Jump Shot17
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 2:45DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 2:46MILMISS Ilyasova 6' Fadeaway Bank Shot17
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 2:59MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 3:01DENMISS Harrington 2' Driving Reverse Layup17
30.9%
14
69.1%
Q1 - 3:11DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 3:13MILMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot17
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 3:26DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 3:26DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 3:38MILIlyasova 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)17
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 3:56DENNene 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)15
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 4:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 4:05MILMISS Sanders 8' Jump Hook Shot15
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 4:15DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
34.7%
10
65.3%
Q1 - 4:24DENNUGGETS Rebound15
32.6%
10
67.4%
Q1 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 2' Driving Layup15
34.1%
10
65.9%
Q1 - 4:39MILSalmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)15
32.6%
10
67.4%
Q1 - 4:57DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)15
34.8%
10
65.2%
Q1 - 5:05DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 5:07MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot15
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 5:20DENAfflalo 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)15
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 5:39MILSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)15
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 6:00DENBillups 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 6:23MILJennings 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)12
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 6:29MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 6:30MILMISS Jennings 5' Jump Shot10
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 6:35MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 6:37DENMISS Billups 2' Driving Layup10
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 7:00MILMbah a Moute 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)10
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 7:20DENNene Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
27.9%
6
72.1%
Q1 - 7:25DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
29.4%
4
70.6%
Q1 - 7:26MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Driving Layup8
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 7:42DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 7:50DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.4%
4
70.6%
Q1 - 7:52MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 8:05DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 8:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 8:11MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 8:30DENBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 8:42MILSanders Dunk (2 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)8
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 8:55MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 8:57DENMISS Anthony 20' Fadeaway Jumper6
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 9:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 9:22MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:48DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)6
27.3%
4
72.7%
Q1 - 10:09MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)6
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:21MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:22DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot3
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:38MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)3
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 10:53DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:53DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
21.8%
1
78.2%
Q1 - 11:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 11:03MILMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 11:24MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 11:26DENMISS Afflalo 5' Jump Shot0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:44MILMbah a Moute Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Sanders: Tip to Ilyasova0
23.8%
0
76.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.99 49.5%
DEN
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
27
56%
DEN
16
29
55%
Midrange
MIL
10
31
32%
DEN
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
DEN
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIL
23
32
72%
DEN
31
41
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Salmons2162%10.5 / 17
C. Maggette1765%8.5 / 13
L. Sanders1458%7.0 / 12
B. Jennings1447%7.0 / 15
K. Dooling867%4.0 / 6
E. Ilyasova735%3.5 / 10
C. Douglas-Roberts422%2.0 / 9
D. Gooden450%2.0 / 4
L. Mbah a Moute350%1.5 / 3
J. Brockman225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Nene2492%12.0 / 13
J. Smith2059%10.0 / 17
C. Billups1662%8.0 / 13
C. Anthony1444%7.0 / 16
A. Harrington1441%7.0 / 17
A. Afflalo1267%6.0 / 9
C. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
S. Williams0-0.0 / 0
T. Lawson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+12
-13
93
DEN
81
+14
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.99 49.5%
DEN
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
112.7
MIL 100.0
DEN 108.2 +8.2
Pace
89.6
95.2
MIL 86.3
DEN 106.5 +20.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
14.3
MIL 16.7
DEN 13.5 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
52.6%
MIL 44.4%
DEN 49.3% +4.9%
TO %
13.9%
14.5%
MIL 13.0% +1.7%
DEN 14.7%
ORB %
24.8%
23.8%
MIL 17.4%
DEN 19.4% +2.0%
FTrt
28.7
36.7
MIL 40.0
DEN 54.7 +14.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
57.6%
MIL 68.8% +12.9%
DEN 55.9%
STL %
8.3%
7.7%
MIL 8.5% +3.3%
DEN 5.2%
BLK %
7.9%
6.8%
MIL 20.4% +10.1%
DEN 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
56.3%
MIL 49.5%
DEN 55.3% +5.8%
Rim FG%
53.9%
58.5%
MIL 55.6% +0.4%
DEN 55.2%
Mid FG%
39.0%
40.0%
MIL 32.3%
DEN 48.0% +15.7%
3P %
34.2%
38.8%
MIL 31.8% +3.2%
DEN 28.6%
FT %
75.7%
76.6%
MIL 71.9%
DEN 75.6% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
42.5%
MIL 33.8%
DEN 38.7% +4.9%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
31.8%
MIL 38.8%
DEN 33.3% +5.4%
3P Att. %
21.6%
25.8%
MIL 27.5%
DEN 28.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsMILDEN
Possessions9497
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points94105
Rebounds3745
Assists2219
Steals85
Blocks116
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)38 (4)
Field Goals32-8034-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2716-29
Midrange FG10-3112-25
2-Point FG25-5828-54
3-Point FG7-226-21
Free Throws23-3231-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
40.8
7
35%
9
4
0
1
0
3
0
9
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 210 · 31
37.0
21
62%
4
3
3
1
3
4
1
3
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
3-6
50%
C · 6'11" 230 · 22
33.5
14
58%
10
0
2
8
0
3
4
6
4-5
80%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 170 · 21
33.4
14
47%
5
4
0
1
3
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
16.1
3
50%
3
2
0
0
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
22.2
17
65%
0
4
1
0
1
3
0
0
7-10
70%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
20.7
4
22%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
14.6
8
67%
0
1
1
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 255 · 24
11.7
2
25%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 29
10.0
4
50%
1
0
0
0
2
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 26
G · 5'5" 133 · 34
#9 · G · 6'7" 210 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
50%
37
22
8
11
13
0
8
29
23-32
72%
25-58
43%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.