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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bobcats34%9073
12Hornets66%9689
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
41.6
38.3
18
58%
5
0
2
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
38.6
35.5
13
51%
3
2
1
1
0
5
0
3
2-4
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.1
35.0
34.5
13
60%
1
6
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
24.1
13.8
2
13%
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-8
1-2
13%
41%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
14.8
15.8
8
67%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.2
27.8
20.8
4
29%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
21.6
19.2
9
53%
10
0
1
1
1
0
2
8
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.7
16.5
9.6
6
45%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
2-6
33%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.2
10.9
14.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
9.1
7.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
25.0
1
3-7
45%
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.7
1.9
0
0-0
39%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.8
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
39.2
33.9
9
64%
5
14
4
2
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
38.4
32.7
10
33%
5
5
0
2
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
48%
2-8
25%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
37.8
30.7
14
60%
13
0
0
1
2
2
3
10
2-4
50%
6-10
4-7
60%
55%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
34.3
33.1
22
64%
6
0
2
1
2
1
2
4
4-5
80%
9-15
7-14
60%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
19.7
28.8
6
44%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.3
20.8
21.4
10
63%
5
2
0
1
1
3
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.8
17.9
15.1
6
61%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
10.1
9.8
7
51%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
9.6
5.6
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
6.8
14.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
5.3
9.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.4
8.0
0
1-2
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.0
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.