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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Magic49%94107
10Bulls51%9578
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.8
35.1
30.2
24
91%
4
9
2
1
0
3
0
4
5-5
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
3-3
100%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.0
34.4
38.3
13
47%
12
0
1
1
2
3
4
8
3-4
75%
5-12
8-13
42%
58%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
33.9
24.9
22
56%
6
2
1
1
0
4
4
2
6-6
100%
8-13
3-7
62%
46%
0-4
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
33.5
21.9
9
75%
8
1
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
3-5
60%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
23.7
30.9
13
73%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
28.7
19.3
17
77%
5
0
0
0
3
1
3
2
7-7
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.3
19.3
17.6
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
13.6
9.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
11.2
27.6
5
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
3.1
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
3.1
1.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
0.3
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
31.9
39.5
15
48%
0
4
0
1
1
3
0
0
3-6
50%
3-9
9-18
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
28.1
39.9
8
41%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
1-6
6-12
17%
48%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
25.4
38.9
16
63%
0
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.0
21.6
29.8
5
43%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
6-12
40%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.6
17.7
15.0
5
64%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.7
30.4
27.2
6
55%
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
22.5
18.5
10
63%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.7
20.9
25.4
2
25%
2
3
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.6
16.1
18.3
5
28%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
14.8
9.2
6
60%
2
2
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
8.8
12.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.2
1.8
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
33%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.