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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards36%100108
22Raptors64%105127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.9
34.5
32.4
15
58%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
7-11
3-6
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
32.5
34.6
17
46%
6
0
0
1
1
2
2
4
3-6
50%
7-15
7-15
47%
48%
0-1
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.9
29.3
37.6
7
28%
2
3
2
2
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
1-8
5-11
13%
47%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
27.1
28.7
21
68%
7
1
0
1
1
0
4
3
5-8
63%
8-12
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
13.9
20.8
4
67%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
31.9
14.7
19
64%
1
8
2
1
0
2
0
1
8-9
89%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
23.4
9.5
5
47%
4
0
2
0
2
1
2
2
1-3
33%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.0
15.7
20.5
3
28%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.0
13.0
8.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
11.8
29.8
9
52%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
7.0
9.4
6
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
12.3
0
1-2
51%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
28.2
27.3
20
71%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
5-7
71%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
1-1
100%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
27.9
25.8
18
61%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-6
67%
7-12
5-9
58%
53%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.1
26.1
34.6
18
65%
8
3
0
0
1
3
2
6
2-2
100%
8-11
7-13
73%
50%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.2
25.1
30.0
11
79%
3
8
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
21.4
21.1
4
40%
3
2
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-6
40%
61%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
24.2
4.5
11
70%
6
0
0
0
2
0
4
2
1-2
50%
5-7
1-1
71%
52%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
24.1
15.9
16
74%
6
5
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.0
20.8
26.9
16
62%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
51%
2-2
100%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.0
18.5
9.7
5
53%
8
0
3
0
1
0
5
3
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.9
18.2
21.6
8
45%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
5.5
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.5
8.5
0
1-2
45%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.7
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.