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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies35%96109
15Hawks65%101112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.4
43.3
34.8
19
49%
19
2
0
1
2
0
7
12
7-8
88%
6-15
6-13
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
39.0
33.2
22
79%
2
9
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
10-11
4-8
91%
47%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
36.7
39.2
23
54%
4
1
1
1
1
3
1
3
3-3
100%
7-17
6-12
41%
49%
2-3
67%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
31.3
33.6
16
78%
10
3
0
1
1
3
2
8
4-5
80%
6-8
4-8
75%
55%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.7
22.6
21.6
3
28%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-3
33%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
24.4
25.2
10
59%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.9
13.9
7.7
8
67%
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
9.7
10.1
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 23.9
9.1
13.8
2
26%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.8
8.1
6.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.3
1.9
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.8
2.2
0
0-0
42%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.5
40.8
29.1
15
59%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
37.9
31.7
20
63%
6
6
2
1
1
0
1
5
4-4
100%
8-14
6-11
57%
56%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.6
33.5
27.7
15
84%
3
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
4-5
80%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.0
22.9
30.0
13
41%
8
2
1
1
2
4
5
3
1-2
50%
6-15
5-10
40%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
21.5
22.1
9
78%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
33.7
26.2
16
52%
1
8
1
1
0
2
0
1
6-8
75%
2-8
3-6
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
23.2
12.2
16
89%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
8-9
2-4
89%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
14.6
7.4
8
58%
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
12.0
12.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
7.0
0
1-2
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
4.2
0
0-1
43%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
2.7
0
0-1
52%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.